Academic-Birdbath — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.0%

Resolved

101

Trades

866

lifetime

Volume

$5.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 05-08 22:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 93% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775866800	1	$10	26	+26	open	—	04-11 00:25
btc updown 5m 1775553900	1	$10	26	+26	open	—	04-07 09:30
btc updown 5m 1775505300	1	$10	16	+16	open	—	04-06 20:00
btc updown 5m 1774944900	1	$10	12	+12	open	—	03-31 08:20
btc updown 5m 1775743200	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	04-09 14:04
btc updown 5m 1774997400	1	$10	49	+49	open	—	03-31 22:55
btc updown 5m 1775527800	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	04-07 02:15
btc updown 5m 1775670000	1	$10	14	+14	open	—	04-08 17:45
btc updown 5m 1774988400	1	$10	50	+50	open	—	03-31 20:25
btc updown 5m 1775381100	1	$10	12	+12	open	—	04-05 09:30
btc updown 5m 1775383200	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	04-05 10:05
btc updown 5m 1775235600	1	$10	14	+14	open	—	04-03 17:05
btc updown 5m 1775386800	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	04-05 11:05
btc updown 5m 1775788500	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	04-10 02:40
btc updown 5m 1775574600	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	04-07 15:15
btc updown 5m 1775798700	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	04-10 05:30
btc updown 5m 1775677200	1	$10	12	+12	open	—	04-08 19:45
btc updown 5m 1775613000	1	$10	31	+31	open	—	04-08 01:55
btc updown 5m 1775383500	1	$10	16	+16	open	—	04-05 10:10
btc updown 5m 1775248200	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	04-03 20:35
btc updown 5m 1775310000	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	04-04 13:45
btc updown 5m 1775437500	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	04-06 01:10
btc updown 5m 1775549100	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	04-07 08:10
btc updown 5m 1775401800	1	$10	18	+18	open	—	04-05 15:15
btc updown 5m 1775881200	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	04-11 04:25
btc updown 5m 1775660100	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	04-08 15:00
btc updown 5m 1775718600	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	04-09 07:15
btc updown 5m 1775289900	1	$10	12	+12	open	—	04-04 08:10
btc updown 5m 1775287500	1	$10	14	+14	open	—	04-04 07:30
btc updown 5m 1775724600	1	$10	15	+15	open	—	04-09 08:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 22:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x675da3…
05-08 21:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8af7ed…
05-08 20:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x6b4c90…
05-08 19:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x364241…
05-08 19:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe74e01…
05-08 18:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x910b3d…
05-08 17:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x854f03…
05-08 16:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4bb843…
05-08 16:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x95eb91…
05-08 12:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x33b2c2…
05-08 12:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xed4236…
05-08 11:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xefefe0…
05-08 09:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xad4188…
05-08 06:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x510150…
05-08 05:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4c95c8…
05-08 05:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xeeb2e5…
05-08 04:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc27071…
05-08 04:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb0d51a…
05-08 00:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x4cef33…
05-07 19:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2bf579…
05-07 18:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x659cab…
05-07 17:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6975fa…
05-07 16:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x936136…
05-07 15:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc5aa6c…
05-07 15:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x54dbff…
05-07 15:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x0e3237…
05-07 12:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xcd0571…
05-07 11:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x51a6dc…
05-07 10:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x9896c2…
05-07 09:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x88ad30…
05-07 09:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf0ee52…
05-07 07:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x09d765…
05-07 07:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa7b5f2…
05-07 07:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7ebd59…
05-07 06:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6309e3…
05-07 06:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x32221f…
05-07 06:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x64618a…
05-07 06:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x1dcf61…
05-07 05:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7172e1…
05-07 03:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xcf7e8c…
05-07 02:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9271c6…
05-07 01:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf6adc7…
05-07 00:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5fbe9d…
05-07 00:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa317fc…
05-07 00:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xb75297…
05-06 22:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x335c97…
05-06 20:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfb570a…
05-06 20:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xde0503…
05-06 20:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x75cadd…
05-06 19:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe2d204…
05-06 19:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xa0566a…
05-06 18:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2363e1…
05-06 18:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x94764b…
05-06 17:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x68a0b7…
05-06 17:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3bb4e1…
05-06 17:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x89e5b1…
05-06 17:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xad506f…
05-06 16:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xb61282…
05-06 14:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x817c79…
05-06 14:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x092459…
05-06 13:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x2e5d51…
05-06 11:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x42be71…
05-06 10:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8f8a1a…
05-06 09:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x62cf23…
05-06 08:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf6bc85…
05-06 07:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcbac3b…
05-06 07:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x52321b…
05-06 06:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xa20840…
05-06 05:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x2143de…
05-06 03:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa4ba4f…
05-06 03:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x045997…
05-06 03:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3c5a75…
05-06 02:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x810049…
05-06 02:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x7f3694…
05-06 02:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x20a397…
05-06 01:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x29f3fe…
05-05 23:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x085263…
05-05 23:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8d1b5a…
05-05 22:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1d8f69…
05-05 19:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd7c2c0…
05-05 15:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc02c3f…
05-05 15:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x29d2c2…
05-05 14:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x43f270…
05-05 13:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xf49c2f…
05-05 12:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8a0f72…
05-05 11:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa58824…
05-05 11:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5c5ba6…
05-05 10:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x81f370…
05-05 09:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe6e145…
05-05 08:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x621df9…
05-05 07:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x889199…
05-05 06:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x0e14d8…
05-05 06:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8198ae…
05-05 05:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x297f44…
05-05 04:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8f224a…
05-05 02:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xb4d0e7…
05-05 01:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3c92de…
05-05 01:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5d4a45…
05-05 00:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xc632ff…
05-04 23:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xa5a24c…