Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$605

Unrealized P&L

+$33

Hit rate

80.8%

Resolved

Trades

245

lifetime

Volume

$31.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$127

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-09-22

last 10-25 21:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

44% 50% -$616

Politics

42% 75% +$114

Crypto

9% 44% -$53

Tech

5% 0% -$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes		+0	-$33	91¢	$0	+$33	09-29 13:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	6	$3.8K	2,970	2,970	+0	open	—	10-17 13:32
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	6	$3.1K	2,424	2,424	+0	open	—	10-06 20:32
Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?	2	$2.1K	1,050	1,050	+0	No	+$40	09-27 11:05
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	6	$1.7K	1,174	624	+550	No	+$80	09-30 23:35
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$1.5K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	+$8	10-03 18:03
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	5	$1.4K	1,161	1,161	+0	open	—	10-16 15:33
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	5	$1.3K	650	650	+0	Yes	+$10	10-01 19:56
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	6	$1.2K	825	825	+0	No	+$3	09-30 01:57
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?	6	$1.1K	596	596	-0	Yes	+$90	10-01 10:17
Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	12	$1.0K	786	786	+0	No	-$251	10-02 11:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	4	$975	490	490	+0	No	+$2	09-28 17:18
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	2	$923	543	543	+0	open	—	09-27 22:04
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	8	$794	599	599	+0	open	—	09-29 13:37
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	11	$751	525	525	+0	No	+$184	09-29 13:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	9	$619	350	350	+0	Yes	+$11	09-27 08:09
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	5	$613	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	10-19 00:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 28?	2	$580	292	292	+0	No	+$3	09-28 14:14
Trump renames AI by September 30?	5	$546	562	562	+0	Yes	-$102	09-29 18:42
will bitcoin dip to 82k on september 27 2026	4	$538	767	767	+0	No	+$1	09-28 02:07
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.225T by September 30?	3	$532	355	200	+155	No	+$19	10-01 03:03
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	4	$452	400	400	+0	open	—	10-02 02:27
Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?	8	$383	912	200	+712	Yes	-$259	10-02 01:48
bitcoin up or down on september 25 2026	6	$380	410	260	+150	Down	+$10	09-25 13:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 24?	2	$362	300	300	+0	Yes	+$44	09-24 08:49
will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 23	2	$344	655	0	+655	Yes	-$344	09-29 14:18
Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	4	$300	223	223	+0	Yes	+$8	09-25 00:47
Spain snap election called by October 31?	3	$284	190	190	+0	Yes	+$95	10-05 12:17
Paris curfew by October 19?	5	$275	280	279	+1	Yes	+$71	10-19 17:06
Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?	5	$214	238	238	+0	open	—	10-25 14:17
Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?	2	$209	180	180	+0	open	—	10-25 14:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 21:23:53	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x949709…
10-25 14:17:03	Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	43	54¢	$23	0xa9f4dd…
10-25 14:10:53	Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	180	71¢	$128	0x44581b…
10-25 14:10:41	Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	195	56¢	$108	0x2cbb2e…
10-25 11:01:57	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x420a96…
10-19 23:57:17	Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	180	45¢	$81	0x7fcf79…
10-19 23:56:35	Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	BUY	38	35¢	$13	0xf67802…
10-19 23:56:03	Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0xa819c9…
10-19 23:55:48	Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	BUY	182	35¢	$63	0x913fde…
10-19 17:06:02	Paris curfew by October 19?	No	SELL	279	62¢	$173	0xdb6963…
10-19 16:54:08	Paris curfew by October 19?	No	BUY	45	16¢	$7	0x4a326d…
10-19 16:53:50	Paris curfew by October 19?	No	BUY	53	16¢	$9	0xbff554…
10-19 16:53:45	Paris curfew by October 19?	No	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x9aed49…
10-19 13:44:26	Paris curfew by October 19?	No	BUY	180	48¢	$86	0x6148cd…
10-19 00:08:47	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	10¢	$99	0xf0cbe9…
10-17 13:32:09	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	820	63¢	$517	0xb3de43…
10-16 15:33:09	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,161	62¢	$720	0x8e0549…
10-14 12:14:53	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	1,000	62¢	$620	0x270827…
10-13 22:08:52	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	SELL	120	51¢	$61	0xb336ec…
10-13 15:06:46	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	SELL	39	51¢	$20	0xa26a29…
10-11 11:32:24	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?	Yes	SELL	130	48¢	$62	0xfb7934…
10-10 21:38:52	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x59cfa1…
10-10 21:37:07	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	110	51¢	$56	0x85de36…
10-10 05:25:51	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	35¢	$25	0x8185a3…
10-09 11:39:34	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	134	35¢	$47	0xb0e41d…
10-08 23:56:29	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	75	42¢	$32	0x57bcb4…
10-08 23:46:57	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	75	63¢	$47	0x237c0f…
10-08 20:59:41	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?	Yes	SELL	81	44¢	$35	0xd59375…
10-08 15:50:11	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?	Yes	SELL	21	49¢	$10	0x0a9187…
10-08 12:52:54	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0xf24641…
10-08 02:03:01	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	45¢	$43	0x6f2048…
10-08 01:59:49	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x384f77…
10-08 01:59:41	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x153760…
10-08 01:59:40	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0xba9896…
10-08 01:59:40	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	31	16¢	$5	0x699bef…
10-08 01:59:40	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x599cbc…
10-08 01:59:38	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	27	16¢	$4	0xcbe0f5…
10-08 01:59:38	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x456999…
10-08 01:59:38	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x00172c…
10-08 01:59:37	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	138	16¢	$22	0xe3395c…
10-08 01:31:10	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	163	15¢	$24	0x8a3990…
10-07 23:06:50	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0xc952df…
10-07 22:33:20	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	BUY	80	58¢	$46	0x4eb21b…
10-07 22:05:15	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x80b8eb…
10-07 19:26:18	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	1,350	64¢	$864	0x3d113e…
10-06 20:32:27	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,424	65¢	$926	0x18a2c5…
10-06 01:48:43	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by October 31?	No	BUY	45	71¢	$32	0x6dc908…
10-05 23:02:41	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	470	65¢	$306	0x780cf5…
10-05 12:17:50	Spain snap election called by October 31?	Yes	SELL	190	100¢	$190	0x617620…
10-05 12:17:13	Spain snap election called by November 30?	Yes	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x3c4428…
10-04 21:06:20	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?	Yes	BUY	102	35¢	$36	0x449a0c…
10-04 20:06:46	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	28	24¢	$7	0x1c4293…
10-04 20:06:46	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x0c23e2…
10-04 16:17:01	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	65¢	$650	0x67961b…
10-04 14:59:04	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	65¢	$650	0xf067d5…
10-04 10:31:43	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	236	30¢	$71	0xb0ea9b…
10-04 09:30:26	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,100	61¢	$671	0x3922c3…
10-04 09:28:10	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	64¢	$640	0x696fb5…
10-04 09:06:14	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	1,150	65¢	$748	0x1d1c28…
10-04 09:00:22	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xae5808…
10-04 08:56:16	Spain snap election called by October 31?	Yes	BUY	150	50¢	$75	0x8331db…
10-03 18:03:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,300	59¢	$764	0x276c42…
10-03 17:05:27	Spain snap election called by October 31?	Yes	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x630d39…
10-03 17:01:15	spain snap election called by november 30	Yes	BUY	110	48¢	$53	0xc3fbdc…
10-03 15:34:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,300	58¢	$757	0x7d1e2f…
10-03 11:24:17	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x67db26…
10-03 11:21:50	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	59¢	$21	0xf1bc93…
10-03 11:18:09	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	324	63¢	$204	0xbd60ed…
10-03 11:18:09	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x5806a8…
10-03 11:00:08	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x59fc1b…
10-03 09:23:20	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	1,150	64¢	$736	0x391683…
10-02 11:26:06	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	SELL	239	47¢	$113	0xed4858…
10-02 11:20:35	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0x6992e1…
10-02 11:16:54	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x8d5fae…
10-02 11:06:00	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0xc4003e…
10-02 11:04:11	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0x64ec71…
10-02 11:03:09	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	SELL	23	53¢	$12	0xbc8780…
10-02 11:02:48	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	SELL	218	53¢	$116	0x608e32…
10-02 10:45:02	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	SELL	86	49¢	$42	0x10f48a…
10-02 10:44:11	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0xd1b86b…
10-02 02:27:15	Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	No	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0x74617d…
10-02 01:51:41	any of the cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime	No	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0xbd5d74…
10-02 01:48:27	Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	SELL	200	31¢	$62	0x646828…
10-02 01:39:32	any of the cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime	No	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0x5f9e37…
10-01 22:33:50	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x0743a6…
10-01 21:52:39	Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	BUY	150	27¢	$40	0xef8e20…
10-01 21:41:11	over 45m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	150	69¢	$103	0x4c14f8…
10-01 21:40:50	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0x97c2e0…
10-01 21:37:51	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	BUY	342	81¢	$277	0x84911d…
10-01 20:31:24	Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0xb22f6a…
10-01 20:15:00	any of the cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime	No	BUY	400	54¢	$216	0x3fb965…
10-01 19:56:11	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	465	100¢	$464	0xf4e117…
10-01 17:49:50	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	22¢	$220	0x9d472d…
10-01 15:47:54	Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x292fa7…
10-01 15:44:45	Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	BUY	27	52¢	$14	0x2f3cc1…
10-01 12:18:08	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by October 31?	No	BUY	225	65¢	$146	0x35f681…
10-01 10:17:44	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd766e8…
10-01 09:17:05	Concrete FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	63	7¢	$4	0xfee80f…
10-01 04:53:06	Concrete FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xa45d95…
10-01 04:49:15	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0xb57ca5…