Unsteady-Efficiency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.23K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.4%

Resolved

3,311

Trades

11,179

lifetime

Volume

$251.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-25 05:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 242 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 51% -$1,023

Other

2% 29% -$198

Politics

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 14:05 UTC	126	$6.6K	3,924	3,924	+0	Up	-$154	03-01 14:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 15:40 UTC	3	$4.7K	4,059	2,926	+1,133	Down	-$1,502	03-03 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 15:50 UTC	14	$2.5K	1,785	1,758	+27	Down	+$504	03-03 15:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 01:55 UTC	12	$2.1K	1,319	1,315	+4	Down	+$359	03-01 01:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 15:30 UTC	5	$1.4K	704	704	+0	Down	+$42	02-14 15:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 15:30 UTC	16	$1.3K	692	692	+0	Down	+$5	02-16 15:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 15:15 UTC	19	$1.1K	876	843	+33	Up	+$320	03-01 15:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 05:45 UTC	2	$1.1K	553	553	+0	Up	+$6	02-12 06:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 10:00 UTC	6	$1.1K	677	646	+31	Down	+$100	02-16 10:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 15:00 UTC	30	$1.0K	576	573	+3	Up	+$42	02-17 15:02
bitcoin up or down february 11 8am et	3	$999	517	517	+0	Up	+$28	02-11 14:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 16:35 UTC	47	$994	700	700	+0	Down	+$350	03-02 16:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 16:00 UTC	3	$982	1,116	772	+344	Up	-$206	03-03 16:03
bitcoin up or down march 1 9am et	16	$961	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$101	03-01 14:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 05:00 UTC	2	$925	470	470	+0	Down	+$5	02-10 05:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:45 UTC	16	$875	700	700	+0	Up	+$259	03-10 14:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 12:40 UTC	2	$866	629	621	+8	Up	+$75	03-01 12:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 16:15 UTC	24	$866	525	525	+0	Down	+$173	02-14 16:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 15:15 UTC	14	$859	687	500	+187	Up	-$106	02-17 15:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 16:30 UTC	16	$858	600	599	+1	Down	+$84	03-02 16:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 16:35 UTC	29	$854	800	800	+0	Down	+$102	03-03 16:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 11:30 UTC	10	$839	449	448	+1	Down	+$40	03-18 11:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 15:15 UTC	6	$830	459	459	+0	Up	-$4	01-06 15:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 14:45 UTC	10	$787	1,029	400	+630	Down	-$42	02-17 14:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 15:00 UTC	2	$786	593	588	+5	Down	-$130	02-17 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 12:45 UTC	2	$775	588	581	+7	Down	+$382	02-04 13:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 12:00 UTC	28	$773	600	600	+0	Up	+$161	03-02 12:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 15:05 UTC	21	$762	500	494	+6	Down	+$103	03-17 15:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 14:45 UTC	5	$740	439	436	+3	Up	+$62	01-27 15:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 23:05 UTC	4	$733	700	692	+8	Down	+$278	03-16 23:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 05:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 25?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xa450ae…
10-25 05:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x572351…
10-25 05:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 25?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x75154e…
10-25 05:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 25?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x516873…
10-25 05:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 25?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x49f8d4…
10-25 05:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 25?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x29dc8d…
10-25 04:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 25?	No	SELL	30	46¢	$14	0x54c297…
10-25 04:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 25?	No	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xb885f0…
10-25 03:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0xf7fe50…
10-24 14:38:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xc1cf8b…
10-24 14:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x63a550…
10-24 14:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x057d97…
10-24 14:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xe6f2f7…
10-24 14:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xd58f11…
10-24 13:58:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x5f68d6…
10-24 13:57:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x11526e…
10-24 13:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xc5dc0c…
10-24 13:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x6ee603…
10-24 13:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf4c9f8…
10-24 13:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xd8fd02…
10-24 11:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x5bdf05…
10-24 09:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x0667cf…
10-24 08:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x1a400d…
10-24 07:53:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xa16fd4…
10-23 07:12:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 23?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x32640c…
10-23 07:12:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x685ce1…
10-22 22:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 23?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x0a4a6e…
10-22 16:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x4e65bb…
10-21 22:40:59	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x38a690…
10-21 16:00:39	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x6ddb09…
10-21 15:04:05	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 14°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6193c6…
10-21 14:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	42	94¢	$39	0x221f94…
10-21 14:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x1cef5d…
10-21 14:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xae9cd6…
10-21 10:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x52062f…
10-21 06:38:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xe7e267…
10-21 03:36:36	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x406c79…
10-21 00:00:42	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xa1194f…
10-20 22:41:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xc6e335…
10-20 22:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	121	10¢	$12	0x34d518…
10-20 15:42:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xc3356d…
10-20 15:41:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x3e148a…
10-20 15:28:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x7f3343…
10-20 15:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x46563e…
10-20 15:28:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xdc2635…
10-20 15:13:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0x29b517…
10-20 13:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	84	2¢	$1	0x1db38c…
10-20 13:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x81b2fd…
10-20 13:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x786088…
10-20 08:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	67	2¢	$2	0x6ce216…
10-20 06:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 20?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x44f40a…
10-20 06:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0xbf60f6…
10-20 06:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x1ee557…
10-20 06:22:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x474555…
10-20 06:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$7	0xda2fa0…
10-20 05:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x64c646…
10-20 05:20:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x85b688…
10-20 05:19:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	42	53¢	$22	0x552feb…
10-20 02:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	42	46¢	$19	0xb63583…
10-19 12:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x7627f9…
10-19 10:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x771605…
10-19 07:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc1bfba…
10-19 06:46:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xb5aa50…
10-19 06:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xa603e3…
10-19 04:36:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xd734de…
10-18 04:39:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	68	15¢	$10	0x549842…
10-18 04:39:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	89	29¢	$26	0x5b5757…
10-18 04:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xa0cfae…
10-18 03:44:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0x88318e…
10-18 00:05:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0xab2705…
10-17 23:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd2cad1…
10-17 23:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x35906e…
10-17 22:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xf7cdce…
10-16 13:34:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	39	18¢	$7	0x653185…
10-16 13:30:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x5630ee…
10-16 13:15:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xdb1bb6…
10-15 15:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	41	61¢	$25	0x30091d…
10-15 15:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xbff5f9…
10-11 14:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	36	81¢	$29	0x51237b…
10-11 14:30:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x94a7da…
10-11 14:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	24	6¢	$1	0x63977e…
10-11 14:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xdbff6a…
10-11 13:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	21	27¢	$6	0x8bf085…
10-11 13:46:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x17ca0e…
10-11 11:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	38	78¢	$30	0x184279…
10-11 10:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xf78a71…
10-10 11:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	22	77¢	$17	0x25e50f…
10-10 11:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x1fb5dd…
10-10 11:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xe6f477…
10-10 11:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xcd241f…
10-09 15:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xceed50…
10-09 15:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa68748…
10-09 14:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	27	44¢	$12	0x739457…
10-09 14:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	27	52¢	$14	0xe5277f…
10-09 14:49:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xe0fe3d…
10-09 14:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf38951…
10-09 12:19:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x9c592a…
10-09 12:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	30	58¢	$17	0xb04ca9…
10-09 12:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xd5c6f6…
10-08 16:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0x81d134…