Definitive-Scout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-17 08:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

76% — —

Politics

10% — —

Crypto

9% 100% +$0

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	1	$108	110	+110	open	—	04-14 06:07
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	1	$108	108	+108	open	—	04-13 03:52
will mrbeasts latest video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 4	1	$108	108	+108	open	—	04-08 08:31
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 140 159	1	$108	108	+108	open	—	04-03 08:09
will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	03-31 11:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	05-17 08:45
will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	1	$72	72	+72	open	—	02-13 08:35
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 200 219	1	$71	72	+72	open	—	02-09 03:33
will the ecb announce no change at the february 2026 meeting	1	$71	71	+71	open	—	02-03 07:17
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	1	$70	73	+73	open	—	03-02 03:25
will bitcoin dip to 52k march 2 8	1	$70	70	+70	open	—	03-08 03:36
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	1	$70	70	+70	open	—	03-23 06:47
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 100 119	1	$70	70	+70	open	—	03-11 03:03
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$70	70	+70	open	—	03-14 09:11
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	1	$69	101	+101	open	—	03-31 06:57
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 120 139	1	$69	69	+69	open	—	03-27 07:46
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$68	68	+68	open	—	01-30 02:06
will israel strike lebanon on january 12 2026	1	$66	67	+67	open	—	01-13 03:09
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 500 519	1	$65	66	+66	open	—	01-12 07:30
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$65	66	+66	open	—	01-26 07:46
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 0 39	1	$65	65	+65	open	—	01-15 08:44
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 300 319	1	$65	65	+65	open	—	01-21 08:28
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 300 319	1	$65	65	+65	open	—	01-25 09:09
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 440 459	1	$64	65	+65	open	—	01-08 07:44
will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be between 40m and 45m	1	$61	64	+64	open	—	01-05 03:07
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	03-18 09:03
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	03-18 09:03
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	03-27 07:46
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	03-02 03:25
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	01-15 08:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 08:45:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x303ca4…
05-14 02:59:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1771f0…
05-14 02:59:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x46c92e…
05-14 02:59:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8a0702…
05-14 02:59:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x53ec43…
05-14 02:59:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4d7950…
05-12 07:02:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x116983…
05-11 03:55:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf4ce98…
05-11 03:55:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8026fc…
04-14 06:07:03	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	No	BUY	110	99¢	$108	0xb2843f…
04-13 03:52:23	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x6a1314…
04-08 08:31:27	will mrbeasts latest video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 4	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x3fb5d0…
04-03 08:09:11	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 140 159	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xc79394…
03-31 11:19:17	will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6e549d…
03-31 06:57:15	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	No	BUY	101	68¢	$69	0x770b43…
03-27 07:46:39	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7ecadd…
03-27 07:46:33	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 120 139	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x806379…
03-23 06:47:09	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xb0a8d1…
03-18 09:03:35	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd849f7…
03-18 09:03:29	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x64717f…
03-14 09:11:51	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x94a454…
03-11 03:03:33	will xai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5c4db1…
03-11 03:03:27	will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x0de5b8…
03-11 03:03:17	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 100 119	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xcef489…
03-08 03:36:07	will bitcoin dip to 52k march 2 8	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x7dde82…
03-08 03:35:53	will ethereum reach 2500 march 2 8	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdb0b04…
03-08 03:35:47	will ethereum dip to 1500 march 2 8	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3e1d49…
03-02 03:25:33	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x554394…
03-02 03:25:23	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	No	BUY	73	96¢	$70	0xd79acd…
02-13 08:35:39	will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x0b29fb…
02-09 03:33:27	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 200 219	No	BUY	72	100¢	$71	0x708c8a…
02-03 07:17:36	will the ecb announce no change at the february 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x69b3aa…
01-30 02:06:44	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x274a63…
01-26 07:46:53	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x851bc9…
01-25 09:09:40	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 300 319	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x7faf65…
01-21 08:28:48	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 300 319	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x94a1cb…
01-15 08:45:08	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x4e9da1…
01-15 08:44:56	elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 0 39	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xd8bbe7…
01-13 03:09:55	will israel strike lebanon on january 12 2026	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x700824…
01-12 07:30:20	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 500 519	No	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x7a9a9a…
01-08 07:44:17	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 440 459	No	BUY	65	97¢	$64	0xd6da32…
01-05 03:07:57	will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be between 40m and 45m	Yes	BUY	64	96¢	$61	0x31ed0d…