Flippant-Second — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$497

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.1%

Resolved

2,606

Trades

8,482

lifetime

Volume

$117.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 10-30 09:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 69% -$497

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$500	676	0	+676	Down	+$176	05-18 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	6	$500	676	0	+676	Up	+$176	05-19 15:59
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	23	$500	676	0	+676	Down	+$176	05-19 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	3	$500	676	0	+676	Down	+$176	05-19 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	31	$500	676	0	+676	Up	+$176	05-19 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	9	$500	676	0	+676	Down	+$176	05-18 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	16	$500	676	0	+676	Up	+$176	05-19 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	23	$500	676	0	+676	Up	-$500	05-18 23:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	16	$500	676	0	+676	Up	+$176	05-19 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	35	$500	676	0	+676	Down	+$176	05-19 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	27	$500	676	0	+676	Up	-$500	05-19 06:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	18	$500	676	0	+676	Up	+$176	05-19 05:09
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	28	$500	676	0	+676	Down	-$500	05-19 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	25	$500	676	0	+676	Down	-$500	05-19 16:49
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	18	$500	676	0	+676	Up	-$500	05-19 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	10	$490	676	0	+676	Down	+$185	05-19 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	23	$473	639	0	+639	Up	-$473	05-18 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	8	$460	621	0	+621	Down	+$161	05-19 18:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 02:15 UTC	12	$342	268	266	+2	Down	-$55	02-02 02:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 16:45 UTC	8	$307	216	214	+2	Up	-$10	02-01 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$300	405	0	+405	Down	+$105	05-23 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	9	$300	405	0	+405	Up	+$105	05-18 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	6	$300	405	0	+405	Down	+$105	05-23 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	11	$300	405	0	+405	Up	+$105	05-18 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	14	$300	405	0	+405	Up	+$105	05-18 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	5	$300	405	0	+405	Down	-$300	05-23 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	21	$300	405	0	+405	Up	-$300	05-18 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	22	$300	405	0	+405	Up	+$105	05-18 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	10	$300	405	0	+405	Down	+$105	05-18 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	13	$300	405	0	+405	Up	+$105	05-18 09:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	29	79¢	$23	0x543927…
10-30 01:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	74¢	$24	0x3f18a0…
10-29 21:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	32	74¢	$24	0xafd339…
10-29 21:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x215f04…
10-29 21:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x12b3ea…
10-29 21:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	80¢	$5	0x01ea11…
10-29 12:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0xa072aa…
10-29 12:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x4ba846…
10-29 12:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	76¢	$10	0x11f166…
10-29 05:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$24	0xbaaa2e…
10-28 19:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xa05efc…
10-28 19:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0xf43403…
10-28 17:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0xb33811…
10-28 17:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xa5e38b…
10-28 13:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	36	75¢	$27	0x1e760c…
10-28 02:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	33	81¢	$26	0xd605b7…
10-26 21:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	35	74¢	$26	0x511421…
10-26 19:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	75¢	$26	0xe7552e…
10-26 15:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	31	82¢	$25	0x759eaf…
10-26 04:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	85¢	$14	0xfd3563…
10-26 04:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x9319ba…
10-25 10:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x016d45…
10-25 10:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x5d9bda…
10-24 21:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xc1bf2f…
10-24 14:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xb590d4…
10-23 14:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x521958…
10-23 14:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xaa46c1…
10-23 14:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x110554…
10-23 13:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	31	74¢	$23	0xb8d86b…
10-23 06:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x5a440c…
10-22 11:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	82¢	$8	0x8fb0cb…
10-22 11:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x2bd295…
10-22 11:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x240f79…
10-22 10:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	26	85¢	$23	0x0a1927…
10-22 07:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0x437027…
10-22 02:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0xa75d2c…
10-20 22:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$21	0x6faf8e…
10-20 10:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	80¢	$14	0xd8f296…
10-20 10:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xb6bcc3…
10-20 07:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xfce5d5…
10-20 07:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x5adb8d…
10-19 22:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x00ef85…
10-19 22:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0xb2865d…
10-19 22:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x3715d8…
10-19 22:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x2c0533…
10-19 22:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x7a0402…
10-19 20:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	76¢	$14	0x116a4c…
10-19 13:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x0bcac7…
10-18 15:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	74¢	$14	0xed62d9…
10-18 02:14:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	16	85¢	$14	0xe8357d…
10-18 02:14:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xdc63bf…
10-17 05:39:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$14	0x03e04f…
10-17 04:29:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x9aef58…
10-16 23:59:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xa7947d…
10-16 21:59:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x0f9333…
10-15 08:54:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$14	0xeab6e3…
10-15 03:49:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0x97b2b8…
10-14 20:14:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x8e8383…
10-14 20:14:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	13	74¢	$9	0x30a9da…
10-14 14:49:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x36e20e…
10-14 10:39:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	19	56¢	$11	0x2ccbed…
10-14 08:29:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x4e27d9…
10-13 13:59:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xa65fb9…
10-13 13:59:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x7ecfde…
10-13 12:54:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	18	77¢	$14	0xaba1e3…
10-12 22:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0x0597e8…
10-12 08:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	75¢	$13	0x1d27a7…
10-11 18:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	75¢	$13	0xc2b747…
10-11 15:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	68¢	$12	0xb2af51…
10-11 08:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	80¢	$13	0x8b4ae2…
10-09 08:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$5	0xb645d1…
10-08 16:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x939e88…
10-08 15:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x2f4146…
10-06 05:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x7dc933…
10-05 00:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x259323…
10-04 20:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x40882c…
10-04 19:09:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x2b4f53…
10-04 12:59:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc05db8…
10-03 10:44:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x059a39…
10-03 00:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x7b323d…
10-02 13:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x5a909e…
10-01 07:44:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xaa6a86…
10-01 05:34:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x471aaa…
09-30 20:04:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x8c56e2…
09-30 14:14:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x0523f1…
09-30 06:19:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x156ecc…
09-30 01:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x75735b…
09-29 19:04:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x67ea2f…
09-29 11:24:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xe72d07…
09-29 09:14:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf74ebf…
09-29 09:14:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$4	0x1eb493…
09-29 09:14:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0c3768…
09-29 09:09:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x3a34c5…
09-29 05:39:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x3488b5…
09-29 00:44:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x61ee20…
09-28 20:39:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd1b548…
09-27 23:39:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x3ddb38…
09-27 23:39:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x6eac34…
09-27 21:54:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xf78edc…
09-27 12:39:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xe78f5e…