Willing-Walking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.70K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.0%

Resolved

Trades

698

lifetime

Volume

$113.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$162

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-08 14:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 32% $-4,703

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 132 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 15m 1767938400	5	$5.4K	4,432	2,406	+2,026	open	—	01-09 06:14
eth updown 15m 1768722300	7	$4.5K	5,766	2,870	+2,896	open	—	01-18 07:57
eth updown 15m 1768723200	6	$3.8K	4,435	2,312	+2,123	open	—	01-18 08:13
eth updown 15m 1767936600	6	$3.6K	1,994	1,987	+7	open	—	01-09 05:43
eth updown 15m 1767939300	8	$3.5K	4,198	3,186	+1,011	open	—	01-09 06:29
eth updown 15m 1767883500	2	$3.4K	1,799	1,798	+1	open	—	01-08 14:53
eth updown 15m 1768721400	6	$3.4K	2,821	2,205	+616	open	—	01-18 07:37
eth updown 15m 1767882600	5	$3.3K	1,761	1,758	+3	open	—	01-08 14:43
eth updown 15m 1767879900	2	$3.1K	1,644	1,641	+3	open	—	01-08 14:00
eth updown 15m 1768000500	9	$3.0K	2,998	2,520	+478	open	—	01-09 23:29
eth updown 15m 1767871800	6	$2.7K	2,145	1,332	+814	open	—	01-08 11:38
btc updown 15m 1767825900	9	$2.6K	3,952	2,608	+1,344	open	—	01-07 22:52
eth updown 15m 1768001400	10	$2.5K	2,854	2,817	+38	open	—	01-09 23:44
eth updown 15m 1767844800	13	$2.4K	3,369	3,113	+256	open	—	01-08 04:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	7	$2.1K	2,407	2,407	+0	Down	$-273	05-08 08:24
eth updown 15m 1767859200	8	$2.0K	1,177	1,172	+5	open	—	01-08 08:12
eth updown 15m 1767843000	11	$1.9K	4,730	2,334	+2,395	open	—	01-08 03:43
eth updown 15m 1767884400	3	$1.7K	1,880	150	+1,731	open	—	01-08 15:13
eth updown 15m 1768003200	10	$1.6K	1,997	1,632	+365	open	—	01-10 00:13
eth updown 15m 1768725000	3	$1.6K	3,296	0	+3,296	open	—	01-18 08:33
eth updown 15m 1768004100	9	$1.5K	2,214	2,185	+28	open	—	01-10 00:29
eth updown 15m 1768005000	9	$1.5K	2,111	1,980	+130	open	—	01-10 00:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	3	$1.5K	2,742	0	+2,742	Up	$-1,500	05-08 10:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	12	$1.5K	1,705	1,223	+482	Up	+$192	05-08 10:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	9	$1.3K	1,761	1,142	+618	Up	+$95	05-08 10:18
eth updown 15m 1767995100	6	$1.3K	1,386	606	+780	open	—	01-09 21:55
eth updown 15m 1767861000	7	$1.3K	1,284	156	+1,128	open	—	01-08 08:38
btc updown 15m 1767825000	9	$1.3K	2,035	2,023	+12	open	—	01-07 22:44
eth updown 15m 1767864600	7	$1.2K	1,313	117	+1,197	open	—	01-08 09:43
eth updown 15m 1767946500	12	$1.2K	2,268	808	+1,460	open	—	01-09 08:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 14:19:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x4133c2…
05-08 14:11:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0x15db73…
05-08 14:11:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x60312c…
05-08 14:10:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xabd39d…
05-08 14:07:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x8c22f5…
05-08 14:00:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8d4ac3…
05-08 13:54:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	591	19¢	$110	0x0fc4d7…
05-08 12:15:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	118	51¢	$60	0x3396cc…
05-08 12:11:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	345	3¢	$10	0xf0af49…
05-08 12:09:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	68	82¢	$55	0x0799cc…
05-08 12:06:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x06ce52…
05-08 12:05:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xf5b557…
05-08 12:04:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	168	51¢	$86	0x839a46…
05-08 12:02:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	168	45¢	$75	0xf8b85c…
05-08 12:01:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	174	47¢	$81	0x26da35…
05-08 12:01:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	174	40¢	$70	0x1c38d8…
05-08 12:01:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	160	48¢	$77	0x7996b7…
05-08 12:00:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	160	56¢	$90	0x164a26…
05-08 11:48:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	234	21¢	$50	0xd9c1bd…
05-08 11:46:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	165	75¢	$124	0x1f6af9…
05-08 11:45:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xd1dba7…
05-08 11:45:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	165	60¢	$100	0xe93662…
05-08 11:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	247	41¢	$100	0x65474c…
05-08 11:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	259	100¢	$259	0x9a429a…
05-08 11:37:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	202	50¢	$100	0x0913cc…
05-08 11:37:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	236	49¢	$116	0x8c89ba…
05-08 11:36:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	236	42¢	$100	0x9bd552…
05-08 11:36:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	214	61¢	$131	0x47fc16…
05-08 11:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	153	66¢	$100	0x77b3a8…
05-08 11:33:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	214	47¢	$100	0x520898…
05-08 10:42:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	84	55¢	$46	0xaf808a…
05-08 10:41:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	84	36¢	$30	0xc45001…
05-08 10:37:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	436	16¢	$70	0xa73ad8…
05-08 10:36:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	171	66¢	$113	0x0effbe…
05-08 10:34:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	171	52¢	$89	0x06d160…
05-08 10:31:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	307	33¢	$100	0x953c80…
05-08 10:30:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	762	42¢	$320	0xc0fcd7…
05-08 10:30:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	141	49¢	$69	0x250f63…
05-08 10:29:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	215	47¢	$100	0x12b07b…
05-08 10:29:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	267	37¢	$100	0x0f946f…
05-08 10:29:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	254	63¢	$161	0x430c90…
05-08 10:29:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	99	31¢	$30	0x2cd1b7…
05-08 10:28:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	254	39¢	$100	0x1c1718…
05-08 10:28:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	339	64¢	$217	0xc7067b…
05-08 10:28:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	193	37¢	$72	0xd565f9…
05-08 10:27:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	180	36¢	$64	0x4972e7…
05-08 10:27:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	64	22¢	$14	0xd4a46d…
05-08 10:26:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	531	82¢	$435	0x539e90…
05-08 10:26:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	241	42¢	$100	0x05bdbc…
05-08 10:25:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	290	34¢	$100	0xa97ba7…
05-08 10:24:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	782	56¢	$436	0xb38461…
05-08 10:24:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	57	44¢	$25	0x460125…
05-08 10:21:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	70	85¢	$60	0xbdf202…
05-08 10:20:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9bb18b…
05-08 10:20:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	834	36¢	$298	0x7689ce…
05-08 10:18:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	618	16¢	$100	0xc6689a…
05-08 10:18:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	177	90¢	$160	0x1f1251…
05-08 10:18:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	177	62¢	$110	0x8cc87c…
05-08 10:17:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	511	58¢	$298	0x4b3949…
05-08 10:17:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	210	59¢	$123	0x4e2c3c…
05-08 10:17:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	511	41¢	$209	0xc714d3…
05-08 10:16:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	210	48¢	$100	0x456323…
05-08 10:16:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	245	55¢	$133	0x9a0fb0…
05-08 10:15:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	245	41¢	$100	0xc89453…
05-08 10:11:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1,367	58¢	$799	0xf7d5f6…
05-08 10:11:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	384	72¢	$276	0xca435a…
05-08 10:11:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	991	43¢	$424	0x11d29a…
05-08 10:01:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	196	30¢	$58	0x69d75c…
05-08 09:55:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	60	45¢	$27	0x18b267…
05-08 09:53:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x7875d2…
05-08 09:53:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1,112	90¢	$1,000	0x523bac…
05-08 09:50:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xee21ee…
05-08 09:47:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	432	5¢	$20	0xfb17bd…
05-08 09:45:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xd00382…
05-08 09:42:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	169	73¢	$123	0x42449b…
05-08 09:41:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	99	33¢	$32	0x17b306…
05-08 09:40:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x666a2e…
05-08 09:38:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xd37646…
05-08 09:22:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	137	80¢	$110	0x220aed…
05-08 08:42:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	757	32¢	$242	0xa1ebb4…
05-08 08:42:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1,020	43¢	$435	0x8e2dbd…
05-08 08:41:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	567	18¢	$100	0x68ede5…
05-08 08:35:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x334760…
05-08 08:30:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	114	58¢	$65	0xfacd9b…
05-08 08:30:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	642	52¢	$335	0x3fa702…
05-08 08:28:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	229	63¢	$145	0xe5ac93…
05-08 08:28:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	734	48¢	$355	0x07f8fb…
05-08 08:27:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	630	41¢	$260	0xfda4e1…
05-08 08:27:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	466	51¢	$240	0x225b0e…
05-08 08:24:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	620	70¢	$433	0xc22cac…
05-08 08:24:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1,145	37¢	$426	0x15b45a…
05-08 08:24:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	642	11¢	$68	0x03af35…
05-08 08:23:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	372	54¢	$200	0xf54455…
05-08 08:21:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	976	50¢	$484	0xf44bae…
05-08 08:21:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	455	61¢	$276	0xc346eb…
05-08 08:21:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	603	40¢	$240	0x63aeb5…
05-08 08:17:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	438	46¢	$200	0xb4134d…
05-08 08:16:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	369	53¢	$197	0xb823bd…
05-08 08:16:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	660	46¢	$303	0x259cca…
05-08 08:14:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	178	6¢	$10	0x2b98c9…