Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$686

Unrealized P&L

-$967

Hit rate

57.4%

Resolved

924

Trades

2,191

lifetime

Volume

$327.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$149

Open exposure

$4.20K

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 11-04 10:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 54% +$3,393

Politics

28% 57% -$2,939

Other

1% 33% -$1,140

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No		+4,523	$4,169	92¢	$4.2K	+$15	11-02 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	—	+1,898	$1,000	1¢	$19	-$981	11-04 11:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	10	$38.1K	23,337	18,814	+4,523	open	—	11-02 17:22
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	17	$11.6K	9,689	9,689	+0	Yes	-$7	06-22 12:53
russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	4	$9.4K	4,970	4,970	+0	No	+$332	08-21 20:50
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$8.0K	5,238	5,238	+0	open	—	09-15 10:19
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	2	$6.8K	3,528	3,528	+0	No	+$197	08-15 21:46
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	2	$6.8K	4,170	4,170	+0	No	-$469	09-15 10:19
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	2	$6.3K	5,078	1,450	+3,628	No	+$179	08-24 19:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	4	$3.2K	3,878	0	+3,878	Yes	-$3,236	04-07 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	3	$2.7K	1,905	1,905	+0	Up	+$719	11-04 08:29
russia ukraine peace talks by june 30 2026 20260609012542187	1	$2.5K	2,570	0	+2,570	No	+$67	06-21 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$2.3K	2,065	2,065	+0	Up	+$350	11-03 16:46
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	2	$2.2K	1,111	1,111	+0	No	+$24	06-21 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$2.0K	1,733	1,733	+0	Down	+$423	11-03 17:57
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	7	$1.8K	1,463	1,463	+0	No	-$464	03-14 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$1.7K	1,373	1,373	+0	Down	-$280	11-03 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$1.7K	1,616	1,616	+0	Up	-$281	11-03 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$1.3K	1,336	1,336	+0	Up	-$702	11-03 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$1.3K	1,402	1,402	+0	Up	-$713	11-02 19:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 14:15 UTC	2	$1.2K	2,267	0	+2,267	Up	+$1,044	03-17 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$1.2K	969	969	+0	Down	+$222	11-02 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	4	$1.2K	3,131	3,131	+0	Up	-$843	11-03 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	4	$1.2K	2,156	2,156	+0	Up	-$811	11-04 09:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	3	$1.2K	2,926	1,000	+1,926	Up	-$825	11-03 12:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 16:00 UTC	23	$1.2K	2,049	0	+2,049	Up	+$883	03-17 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	3	$1.2K	1,861	1,861	+0	Up	-$843	11-04 06:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$1.1K	1,924	1,924	+0	Up	-$854	11-03 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	3	$1.1K	1,939	1,878	+61	resolved	-$861	11-04 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$1.1K	1,839	1,839	+0	Up	-$861	11-03 13:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 19:00 UTC	1	$1.1K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	-$1,132	03-17 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$1.1K	1,502	0	+1,502	Down	+$380	11-03 16:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 11:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1,898	53¢	$1,000	0xe0ad5f…
11-04 10:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1,149	9¢	$100	0xf5b38b…
11-04 10:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	729	5¢	$40	0x0755f1…
11-04 10:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1,939	52¢	$1,000	0x63e083…
11-04 10:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1,438	68¢	$980	0xbf31d7…
11-04 10:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	69¢	$20	0xb3f436…
11-04 09:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	761	8¢	$61	0xbcbf06…
11-04 09:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1,395	9¢	$128	0x28e617…
11-04 09:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1,232	45¢	$560	0x37a104…
11-04 09:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	924	48¢	$440	0x18e9af…
11-04 09:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	494	85¢	$419	0x28a981…
11-04 09:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	494	51¢	$252	0x8dea65…
11-04 08:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1,703	91¢	$1,541	0x0bf5b1…
11-04 08:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	202	88¢	$178	0x47e8de…
11-04 08:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1,905	53¢	$1,000	0x799984…
11-04 07:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1,480	68¢	$1,000	0xdb9696…
11-04 06:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1,653	60¢	$1,000	0x78fba7…
11-04 06:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	382	55¢	$209	0xf2658f…
11-04 06:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1,481	53¢	$791	0x23d06a…
11-04 06:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1,104	9¢	$96	0xf35522…
11-04 06:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	757	8¢	$61	0xebf948…
11-04 05:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1,861	54¢	$1,000	0x1a482a…
11-04 04:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	950	84¢	$800	0xc6c62b…
11-03 18:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1,036	96¢	$1,000	0x29a301…
11-03 18:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1,077	93¢	$1,000	0xeed130…
11-03 18:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1,479	61¢	$900	0x5403b2…
11-03 17:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1,733	71¢	$1,223	0x9e24a3…
11-03 17:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,733	46¢	$800	0x805eaf…
11-03 17:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	210	42¢	$88	0xefc8b4…
11-03 17:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1,405	45¢	$631	0x13cf5e…
11-03 17:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1,616	62¢	$1,000	0x70be6f…
11-03 16:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	787	72¢	$567	0xe9de91…
11-03 16:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1,279	61¢	$783	0xec5917…
11-03 16:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2,065	48¢	$1,000	0xa9eac7…
11-03 16:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1,428	75¢	$1,073	0xba8fb0…
11-03 16:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	74	65¢	$49	0xdbd3d3…
11-03 15:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1,852	54¢	$1,000	0x935fea…
11-03 15:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1,348	74¢	$1,000	0xa27448…
11-03 13:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2,049	49¢	$1,000	0x7ef1e9…
11-03 13:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1,614	62¢	$1,000	0xa76646…
11-03 13:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1,839	8¢	$139	0x643c18…
11-03 13:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1,839	54¢	$1,000	0x23f0c2…
11-03 13:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x69cfd7…
11-03 12:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1,924	8¢	$146	0x88dff7…
11-03 12:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1,924	52¢	$1,000	0x107bef…
11-03 12:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1,336	22¢	$298	0xb6242a…
11-03 12:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1,336	75¢	$1,000	0x122549…
11-03 12:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1,000	18¢	$175	0x99dbfb…
11-03 12:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1,790	33¢	$600	0xe75aaf…
11-03 12:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1,136	35¢	$400	0x5c58df…
11-03 11:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1,373	52¢	$720	0x8c08de…
11-03 11:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1,373	73¢	$1,000	0x4d7488…
11-03 11:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1,909	52¢	$1,000	0xd07956…
11-03 11:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1,813	55¢	$1,000	0x90fece…
11-03 10:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1,288	5¢	$63	0xafcb54…
11-03 10:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1,842	7¢	$121	0xab6602…
11-03 10:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2,420	29¢	$711	0xf419e2…
11-03 10:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	711	44¢	$316	0x623ca9…
11-03 10:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	980	2¢	$20	0x229f11…
11-03 10:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	980	51¢	$500	0xa30392…
11-03 10:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1,309	61¢	$800	0x34a5f6…
11-03 09:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	988	34¢	$334	0x08c6c2…
11-03 09:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	988	61¢	$600	0x9673a0…
11-03 09:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	980	17¢	$162	0x4ea515…
11-03 09:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	980	51¢	$500	0x859673…
11-03 08:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	617	81¢	$500	0xa84b56…
11-03 07:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1,263	40¢	$500	0x388615…
11-03 07:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	683	28¢	$192	0xa51ad7…
11-03 07:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	683	44¢	$300	0x7b48e4…
11-03 06:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1,061	47¢	$500	0x344a7e…
11-03 05:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1,187	51¢	$600	0xb871de…
11-03 05:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	772	16¢	$124	0x94affa…
11-03 05:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	772	65¢	$500	0x81b1cc…
11-02 20:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	969	75¢	$722	0x92068e…
11-02 20:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	969	52¢	$500	0xeb82c9…
11-02 20:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1,928	52¢	$1,000	0x9694dc…
11-02 20:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1,020	98¢	$1,000	0xa26c3e…
11-02 19:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2,140	47¢	$1,000	0x7bb65d…
11-02 19:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1,402	20¢	$287	0x73caac…
11-02 19:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1,402	71¢	$999	0x371b41…
11-02 19:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1,859	36¢	$674	0xd50a0e…
11-02 19:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	880	37¢	$326	0x932a89…
11-02 18:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1,964	51¢	$1,000	0xb0be75…
11-02 18:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1,587	63¢	$1,000	0x93fd78…
11-02 17:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1,931	52¢	$1,000	0xe48017…
11-02 17:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2,104	33¢	$700	0x5c017c…
11-02 17:22:48	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	4,523	91¢	$4,132	0xbffee7…
11-02 17:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1,622	37¢	$600	0xa19bac…
11-02 17:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1,148	52¢	$600	0x207c7f…
11-02 16:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1,026	11¢	$113	0x83afaf…
11-02 16:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1,026	39¢	$400	0x4ac2eb…
11-02 16:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	490	19¢	$93	0x699b7a…
11-02 16:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	490	51¢	$250	0x37381e…
11-02 16:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	235	27¢	$64	0xfd49b2…
11-02 16:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	235	68¢	$160	0x4479bc…
11-02 16:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	179	12¢	$21	0x8674da…
11-02 16:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x488ec9…
11-02 15:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	345	87¢	$300	0x2291f3…
11-02 15:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xc69840…
11-02 15:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xf0687a…