Downright-Analogy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$110

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

418

Trades

679

lifetime

Volume

$16.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-01

last 05-23 07:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

99% 40% +$82

Crypto

0% 100% +$18

Sports

0% 100% +$18

Politics

0% 0% -$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-23).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		-161	-$9	4¢	$-6	+$3	05-21 15:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	2	$367	250	250	+0	Team Falcons	+$129	05-12 11:02
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NRG - Map 2 Winner	2	$268	171	171	+0	FaZe	+$70	05-12 17:12
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)	3	$261	175	175	+0	Team Falcons	+$85	05-11 09:27
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs	3	$255	164	161	+2	fnatic	+$69	04-27 20:02
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	2	$234	149	149	+0	Team Falcons	+$64	05-12 08:47
cs2 mglz prv 2026 04 09	4	$205	140	138	+2	TheMongolz	+$72	04-09 19:18
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	3	$193	147	147	+0	FaZe	+$97	05-01 23:02
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	3	$179	454	0	+454	Imperial	+$275	05-03 22:03
cs2 furia vit 2026 04 18 map handicap home 1pt5	3	$175	121	119	+2	Vitality	+$63	04-18 20:23
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	3	$170	116	116	+0	Yes	+$40	05-05 20:48
cs2 bnd m1x 2026 04 07	3	$160	114	112	+2	bond1e	+$66	04-07 17:18
cs2 vit fal2 2026 04 15	3	$159	120	117	+2	Team Falcons	+$77	04-15 21:13
cs2 fav lavked 2026 04 21 game2	2	$158	100	99	+1	Favbet	+$39	04-21 15:59
cs2 kol all 2026 04 20 game2	2	$144	87	86	+1	Alliance	+$28	04-21 16:40
cs2 vit g2 2026 04 14	2	$143	79	79	+0	Vitality	+$13	04-14 16:27
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	3	$141	100	100	+0	illwill	+$57	04-29 12:19
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #4 Playoffs	2	$140	88	88	+0	TYLOO	+$36	05-02 15:42
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Clutchain Female (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group C	3	$135	132	132	+0	cancelled	-$5	04-30 08:47
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-10?	2	$131	77	77	+0	Yes	+$23	05-10 14:35
Counter-Strike: Brute vs NEW VISION - Map 1 Winner	2	$131	114	114	+0	Brute	+$97	05-07 14:56
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-05-10?	2	$129	90	90	+0	Yes	+$51	05-10 17:55
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)	2	$128	78	78	+0	Team Falcons	+$28	05-09 12:14
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 Winner	2	$125	89	89	+0	Bounty Hunters Esports	+$51	05-03 21:56
Will Falcons win PGL Astana 2026?	2	$122	322	0	+322	No	-$122	05-10 09:18
cs2 ice faze 2026 04 06	2	$121	88	86	+2	Inner Circle Esports	+$52	04-06 14:55
cs2 hero nip 2026 04 03	2	$120	78	77	+1	Heroic	+$35	04-03 14:14
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BIG (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	2	$120	70	70	+1	BIG	+$20	04-25 10:53
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	3	$114	85	83	+2	Monte	+$52	04-24 20:25
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Reign Above (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs	2	$112	83	83	+0	Reign Above	+$53	04-29 03:38
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?	2	$110	70	70	+0	Yes	+$30	05-08 20:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 07:54:16	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	MIBR	BUY	107	35¢	$37	0x7ff9fd…
05-23 07:50:53	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Team Falcons	SELL	39	99¢	$38	0x09df0d…
05-23 05:30:59	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	39	44¢	$17	0xc49a43…
05-23 05:29:45	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	216	8¢	$18	0xd32fcd…
05-21 15:42:45	CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	80	39¢	$31	0xddf06b…
05-21 15:29:34	Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	Yes	SELL	233	10¢	$23	0x0567b4…
05-21 15:29:02	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	161	6¢	$9	0xfd7502…
05-13 12:32:39	Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	100 Thieves	BUY	209	46¢	$97	0xa7e68b…
05-13 11:32:27	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	180	41¢	$74	0x8558ff…
05-13 10:04:53	Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)	TheMongolz	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xc4e0cb…
05-13 09:57:43	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	92	53¢	$49	0x77c0e7…
05-13 05:51:33	Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Gentle Mates	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xeab41c…
05-12 21:53:51	Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Passion UA	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x87aaf3…
05-12 21:15:39	Will CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x9a668c…
05-12 21:03:33	Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	FUT Esports	BUY	37	57¢	$21	0x816b13…
05-12 20:50:46	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	BetBoom Team	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0x0d7556…
05-12 20:07:19	Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Passion UA	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x8fed2b…
05-12 19:39:01	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	42	3¢	$1	0xd4c5dc…
05-12 19:32:59	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)	BetBoom Team	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x1403dc…
05-12 17:18:42	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	BetBoom Team	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x738457…
05-12 17:17:53	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)	BetBoom Team	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0xcaf8bf…
05-12 17:12:38	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NRG - Map 2 Winner	FaZe	SELL	171	99¢	$169	0x7f5155…
05-12 16:26:43	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NRG - Map 2 Winner	FaZe	BUY	171	58¢	$99	0x660c3d…
05-12 15:50:46	Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winner	BC.Game Esports	BUY	214	7¢	$15	0x716599…
05-12 14:51:54	Will CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x29d7a1…
05-12 14:51:21	Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?	Yes	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xca4d1f…
05-12 14:50:06	Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-12?	Yes	BUY	48	40¢	$19	0xdb1b33…
05-12 14:49:06	Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	BC.Game Esports	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xcde57b…
05-12 14:02:33	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x1f9abc…
05-12 13:04:48	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	105	24¢	$25	0x078c41…
05-12 12:08:04	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner	Gentle Mates	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x3a5433…
05-12 12:02:09	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	67	24¢	$16	0x2577ba…
05-12 11:02:58	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Team Falcons	SELL	250	99¢	$248	0xf11c1e…
05-12 10:08:10	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	250	48¢	$119	0x2adff8…
05-12 08:47:54	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	51	55¢	$28	0x6ce2ea…
05-12 08:47:35	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	Team Falcons	SELL	149	100¢	$149	0x2ebeb1…
05-12 08:01:21	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	149	57¢	$85	0x43e6e8…
05-12 07:12:12	Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Heroic	BUY	56	32¢	$18	0x8d5365…
05-11 21:59:37	Counter-Strike: Sinners vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	GamerLegion	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x6389ea…
05-11 21:48:39	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	M80	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x5c3880…
05-11 21:44:15	Counter-Strike: Sinners vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner	GamerLegion	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x80a399…
05-11 21:31:19	Counter-Strike: Sinners vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	GamerLegion	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x8c82e9…
05-11 21:17:30	Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-05-11?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x94da6c…
05-11 21:17:26	Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)	Sporting CP	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xdecd05…
05-11 21:17:21	Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Arouca: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x382647…
05-11 21:17:18	Will CD Tondela win on 2026-05-11?	Yes	SELL	37	100¢	$36	0x5da4f5…
05-11 15:34:12	Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner	FaZe	BUY	80	61¢	$49	0x8a851f…
05-11 12:51:57	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	9z	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xc52fe8…
05-11 09:41:19	Will Vitória SC win on 2026-05-11?	Yes	BUY	52	57¢	$30	0x7d30be…
05-11 09:40:04	Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-05-11?	Yes	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x2cbd1e…
05-11 09:38:15	Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)	Sporting CP	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x43657c…
05-11 09:36:53	Will CD Tondela win on 2026-05-11?	Yes	BUY	37	52¢	$19	0x0333b3…
05-11 09:34:45	Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Arouca: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	35	54¢	$19	0x21d15f…
05-11 09:33:13	Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-05-11?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x09cf4c…
05-11 09:31:17	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?	Yes	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0x47cf5f…
05-11 09:30:25	Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-11?	Yes	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xf4301c…
05-11 09:30:02	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?	Yes	BUY	42	55¢	$23	0x83b6ab…
05-11 09:27:17	Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)	Team Falcons	SELL	175	99¢	$173	0xe3567e…
05-11 07:05:43	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 1 Winner	G2	BUY	151	37¢	$56	0x338a23…
05-11 07:02:22	Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A	JiJieHao	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xbb784e…
05-11 05:50:26	Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)	Team Falcons	BUY	146	50¢	$73	0xbe811b…
05-11 05:48:36	Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Heroic	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xee2ede…
05-11 05:46:32	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	69	26¢	$18	0x20a943…
05-11 05:08:38	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	212	24¢	$50	0x465840…
05-11 05:02:52	Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)	Heroic	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xa5d259…
05-11 04:41:40	Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs JiJieHao - Map 2 Winner	JiJieHao	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xadd100…
05-10 21:39:30	Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A	JiJieHao	BUY	57	32¢	$18	0xf65482…
05-10 20:23:09	Will AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0x050329…
05-10 18:47:01	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0xe81160…
05-10 18:46:43	Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)	Team Falcons	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x17e585…
05-10 18:46:26	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	9z	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x5f28f8…
05-10 18:38:59	Will AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x8b3be9…
05-10 17:56:19	Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xffec13…
05-10 17:55:48	Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xc88095…
05-10 17:49:12	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x5f6f00…
05-10 14:35:58	Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x2937b2…
05-10 14:35:55	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x695371…
05-10 09:18:23	Will Falcons win PGL Astana 2026?	Yes	BUY	239	41¢	$98	0x83d9e9…
05-10 09:12:36	Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	90	43¢	$39	0xd6ad9c…
05-10 08:38:37	Will AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	66	29¢	$19	0x5ff3a6…
05-10 08:37:06	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x74f2f4…
05-10 08:35:14	Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x73b422…
05-10 08:34:38	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	77	70¢	$54	0xee5d83…
05-10 08:31:27	Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0xb01dfe…
05-10 08:30:01	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x8802b7…
05-10 08:29:33	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	39	61¢	$24	0xf79af9…
05-10 08:28:49	Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x91475f…
05-10 08:28:21	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x5414bb…
05-10 08:27:22	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs The Huns Esports - Map 1 Winner	The Huns Esports	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0x23c74e…
05-10 07:59:45	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	G2	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x9cf710…
05-10 07:50:21	Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	K27	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0xe2c3f9…
05-09 22:01:57	Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Playoffs	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x525734…
05-09 21:59:33	Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Playoffs	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x156c47…
05-09 21:58:35	Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffs	Yawara Esports	BUY	51	30¢	$15	0x8e2d99…
05-09 20:59:42	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	56	100¢	$55	0x71dbad…
05-09 18:38:50	Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)	Team Falcons	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x098adc…
05-09 18:37:19	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	35	96¢	$34	0xfa5dad…
05-09 18:36:58	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x02b2be…
05-09 18:35:58	Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)	Spirit	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x8b0fe7…
05-09 18:35:07	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	G2	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0xbb951a…