Expensive-Cohort — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

22.7%

Resolved

Trades

846

lifetime

Volume

$1.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 06-17 12:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 23% $-19

Politics

2% — —

Other

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 148 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776286200	3	$17	45	31	+14	open	—	04-15 20:53
btc updown 5m 1776286500	4	$15	16	15	+1	open	—	04-15 20:57
btc updown 5m 1776538200	2	$12	15	14	+1	open	—	04-18 18:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$11	15	15	+0	open	—	04-14 03:26
btc updown 5m 1776549000	4	$11	13	13	+1	open	—	04-18 21:52
btc updown 5m 1776537000	2	$11	16	15	+1	open	—	04-18 18:32
btc updown 5m 1776564300	4	$11	13	13	+1	open	—	04-19 02:07
btc updown 5m 1776538500	2	$11	16	15	+1	open	—	04-18 18:57
btc updown 5m 1776285900	1	$10	48	0	+48	open	—	04-15 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	10	$10	263	0	+263	open	—	05-22 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	10	$10	63	0	+63	open	—	05-21 09:25
btc updown 5m 1776595800	6	$10	37	35	+2	open	—	04-19 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	9	$9	99	0	+99	open	—	05-21 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	9	$9	62	0	+62	open	—	05-22 10:45
btc updown 5m 1776539700	2	$9	15	14	+1	open	—	04-18 19:17
btc updown 5m 1776538800	2	$8	14	14	+1	open	—	04-18 19:02
btc updown 5m 1776539400	2	$8	14	14	+1	open	—	04-18 19:12
btc updown 5m 1781408700	1	$8	20	0	+20	open	—	06-14 03:50
btc updown 5m 1781349900	1	$8	26	0	+26	open	—	06-13 11:30
btc updown 5m 1781147700	1	$8	100	0	+100	open	—	06-11 03:20
btc updown 5m 1781348100	1	$8	27	0	+27	open	—	06-13 11:00
btc updown 5m 1781343300	1	$8	22	0	+22	open	—	06-13 09:40
btc updown 5m 1781203800	1	$8	20	0	+20	open	—	06-11 18:55
btc updown 5m 1781353500	1	$8	36	0	+36	open	—	06-13 12:29
btc updown 5m 1781107500	1	$8	19	0	+19	open	—	06-10 16:09
btc updown 5m 1781400900	1	$8	24	0	+24	open	—	06-14 01:40
btc updown 5m 1781160600	1	$8	47	0	+47	open	—	06-11 06:54
btc updown 5m 1781699100	2	$8	136	0	+136	open	—	06-17 12:30
btc updown 5m 1781545800	2	$8	26	0	+26	open	—	06-15 17:55
btc updown 5m 1781664600	2	$8	60	0	+60	open	—	06-17 02:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 12:30:04	btc updown 5m 1781699100	Up	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xb62de0…
06-17 12:30:04	btc updown 5m 1781699100	Up	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x1a9596…
06-17 02:54:51	btc updown 5m 1781664600	Down	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xf3ea37…
06-17 02:54:51	btc updown 5m 1781664600	Down	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x3d43b8…
06-16 21:55:01	btc updown 5m 1781646600	Down	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xe99f35…
06-16 21:55:01	btc updown 5m 1781646600	Down	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0xaf511e…
06-15 17:55:01	btc updown 5m 1781545800	Down	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0xad8b96…
06-15 17:55:00	btc updown 5m 1781545800	Down	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xd2d2a4…
06-14 08:40:03	eth updown 5m 1781426100	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9f1c2a…
06-14 07:15:01	eth updown 5m 1781421000	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x265d98…
06-14 06:45:03	eth updown 5m 1781419200	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa1fba5…
06-14 03:50:00	btc updown 5m 1781408700	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x25b7b9…
06-14 01:40:01	btc updown 5m 1781400900	Up	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0x6077d4…
06-13 12:29:57	btc updown 5m 1781353500	Up	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0x96b272…
06-13 11:30:01	btc updown 5m 1781349900	Down	BUY	26	31¢	$8	0x2fe33a…
06-13 11:00:01	btc updown 5m 1781348100	Up	BUY	27	29¢	$8	0xa914ba…
06-13 09:40:03	btc updown 5m 1781343300	Down	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0x1788a3…
06-11 18:55:01	btc updown 5m 1781203800	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x4b76d8…
06-11 10:25:00	btc updown 5m 1781173200	Up	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x8442a8…
06-11 06:54:54	btc updown 5m 1781160600	Down	BUY	47	17¢	$8	0xbc25e8…
06-11 03:20:01	btc updown 5m 1781147700	Down	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x2c3b67…
06-10 23:04:54	eth updown 5m 1781132400	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x65c427…
06-10 16:09:52	btc updown 5m 1781107500	Up	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0x19779c…
06-10 14:49:52	eth updown 5m 1781102700	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfd8ba0…
06-10 08:15:01	eth updown 5m 1781079000	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x13ee49…
06-09 18:54:49	eth updown 5m 1781031000	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x18c518…
06-09 18:39:58	eth updown 5m 1781030100	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdb1bb3…
06-09 16:14:49	btc updown 5m 1781021400	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xf15363…
06-09 09:55:00	btc updown 5m 1780998600	Down	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x172a06…
06-09 02:10:01	btc updown 5m 1780970700	Up	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0xabf1c3…
06-08 23:14:54	eth updown 5m 1780960200	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6e1cf7…
06-08 01:40:01	btc updown 5m 1780882500	Up	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x5a4235…
06-07 23:49:52	btc updown 5m 1780875900	Down	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x408846…
06-07 23:05:00	btc updown 5m 1780873200	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xe436c0…
06-07 22:39:58	btc updown 5m 1780871700	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xe4f759…
06-07 20:20:01	btc updown 5m 1780863300	Up	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x0c67cc…
06-07 18:35:00	btc updown 5m 1780857000	Up	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x6744ce…
06-05 19:55:01	btc updown 5m 1780689000	Down	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x8d8586…
06-04 20:30:00	btc updown 5m 1780604700	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x751077…
06-04 19:59:52	btc updown 5m 1780602900	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xf013b1…
06-04 07:44:58	btc updown 5m 1780558800	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x2305bc…
06-03 21:30:03	btc updown 5m 1780521900	Down	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x78179c…
06-03 19:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x75a979…
06-03 16:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xc8812b…
06-01 20:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x387ef6…
06-01 16:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x49bff5…
06-01 05:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x2ed02f…
05-31 21:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x427f4d…
05-31 05:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb4b5f1…
05-31 01:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf03908…
05-31 00:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x56512d…
05-30 23:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2856c0…
05-30 23:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x011a71…
05-30 23:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf0ce1d…
05-30 22:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xea8974…
05-30 21:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe78ac8…
05-30 21:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x40f296…
05-30 19:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2868ee…
05-30 17:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc60c84…
05-30 17:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x967f59…
05-30 17:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x589949…
05-30 17:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa8b553…
05-30 16:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd30075…
05-30 15:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x08c463…
05-30 15:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x467077…
05-30 12:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa2702a…
05-30 12:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe58630…
05-30 12:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xba2042…
05-30 12:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3a462c…
05-30 11:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcef9d7…
05-30 11:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x905a59…
05-30 10:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x04a06a…
05-30 10:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x42e754…
05-30 10:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2e0645…
05-30 10:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xbbc0b4…
05-30 10:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9f851a…
05-30 10:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd57b75…
05-30 10:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x50b50e…
05-30 09:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x118fc1…
05-30 08:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x49ee98…
05-30 08:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb4a25b…
05-30 08:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x014586…
05-30 08:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x93410f…
05-30 07:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x402024…
05-30 07:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf336f7…
05-30 07:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9685a7…
05-30 06:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xdd4dbb…
05-30 05:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xdf10ba…
05-30 05:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xdbb70f…
05-30 05:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3640c5…
05-30 04:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xedda2c…
05-30 04:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe17fad…
05-30 03:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2b205c…
05-30 02:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8530af…
05-30 00:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb41a8c…
05-30 00:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x59860d…
05-30 00:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7b00eb…
05-29 23:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x799731…
05-29 23:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa0e8c0…
05-22 13:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf0f1d6…