Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$96

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.6%

Resolved

131

Trades

937

lifetime

Volume

$5.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-25 11:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

39% 22% -$41

Tech

36% 29% +$123

Politics

25% 21% -$179

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	16	$629	1,642	1,642	-0	No	+$147	02-23 14:42
gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	6	$527	300	300	+0	Yes	+$55	03-05 18:00
gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	5	$487	300	300	+0	Yes	+$37	03-03 18:09
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	6	$388	304	304	+0	No	+$13	03-03 09:03
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	15	$210	497	500	-3	Yes	+$181	02-10 01:40
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	15	$194	956	607	+349	No	-$104	04-02 16:18
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	6	$181	165	165	+0	Yes	+$142	02-28 07:37
deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	8	$181	200	200	+0	No	+$19	04-03 15:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	7	$159	500	500	+0	No	+$27	01-17 11:51
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	8	$133	600	600	+0	No	-$2	03-05 17:06
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	31	$116	700	350	+350	No	+$50	04-21 10:26
maduro travels outside venezuela by march 31	5	$102	2,334	100	+2,234	Yes	-$4	01-03 10:22
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	12	$102	697	697	+0	No	+$14	02-17 17:08
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	2	$98	200	200	+0	No	+$18	03-14 07:25
will anthropic have the best ai model for coding on march 31	4	$89	400	400	+0	No	-$9	02-28 16:22
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	3	$86	105	105	+0	Yes	+$4	04-02 10:47
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	7	$85	200	100	+100	No	-$37	04-08 06:58
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	2	$72	0	200	-200	Yes	+$72	01-06 09:29
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	5	$69	100	100	+0	No	+$21	01-11 13:00
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$67	100	100	+0	No	+$41	02-19 11:24
will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 24 2026	4	$62	50	50	+0	Yes	+$10	03-26 11:58
will qatar strike iran by march 31	2	$61	100	100	+0	No	+$19	03-03 08:10
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	14	$61	1,487	0	+1,487	No	-$61	04-02 14:10
will the us next strike iran on february 19 2026 et	14	$60	3,113	500	+2,613	No	-$45	02-19 11:46
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	5	$56	297	0	+297	No	-$56	02-19 11:27
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	6	$55	300	300	+0	No	-$5	01-15 09:56
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$54	58	58	+0	Yes	+$53	02-28 20:43
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	3	$48	200	200	+0	No	+$8	01-08 12:46
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	5	$45	323	323	+0	No	-$7	03-17 08:45
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$45	100	100	+0	No	+$18	01-11 14:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 11:28:04	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x18b63f…
08-25 10:58:03	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x42e4c5…
08-25 10:57:49	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	1¢	$1	0x22dc45…
08-25 10:57:45	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	1¢	$1	0x92e0c0…
07-06 09:06:13	Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	6¢	$3	0x3315ff…
06-23 14:34:11	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	13¢	$5	0x4fc982…
06-23 12:34:38	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	179	0¢	$1	0xf7a4dd…
06-23 12:04:44	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x575c0d…
06-23 11:59:20	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0x4e23ae…
06-23 11:50:29	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	220	0¢	$1	0xe14e48…
06-23 11:35:55	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xa24120…
06-22 07:43:22	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	36¢	$28	0x27f4c8…
06-17 15:12:02	Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xe31de7…
06-17 15:12:02	Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xd51f57…
06-15 07:10:58	Will Mistral have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6212b1…
06-15 07:08:16	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x9b0ca6…
06-13 18:59:12	Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xe8668f…
06-12 16:18:10	Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x3e3d4d…
05-20 08:30:23	NATO article 5 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x63bdbc…
05-20 07:41:22	NATO article 5 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xa4aa02…
05-14 04:49:19	GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xc6ff9e…
05-13 14:25:07	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	3¢	$3	0x4d55de…
05-13 14:24:56	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$4	0x99c749…
05-13 14:24:48	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	2¢	$3	0x61e42d…
05-08 09:10:50	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x43f65a…
05-07 08:59:33	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x3171ef…
04-30 10:17:44	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x7f45c4…
04-30 10:17:26	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x3d67ef…
04-30 10:17:18	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xa4d06f…
04-30 10:16:58	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x37fb33…
04-30 09:58:42	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	485	1¢	$3	0xba144a…
04-27 16:00:12	Will OpenAI have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	0¢	$0	0x5a30c9…
04-27 14:21:12	Will OpenAI have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	3¢	$2	0x652340…
04-27 09:52:26	Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	180	3¢	$5	0x8fb821…
04-23 18:02:14	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xaf3b75…
04-23 18:02:14	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x7d08f6…
04-23 17:49:32	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xcfa75e…
04-23 17:49:24	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x3f0638…
04-23 17:49:22	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	537	0¢	$1	0x9b8d79…
04-23 17:49:22	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x59ff7f…
04-23 17:33:54	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0xe06abf…
04-23 15:58:34	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xce645c…
04-23 15:10:12	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0xa44918…
04-23 15:10:12	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x59e602…
04-23 15:10:02	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xa1bc71…
04-23 14:56:00	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	0¢	$0	0xbc5a5e…
04-23 14:52:28	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x1fbd26…
04-23 14:50:52	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	0¢	$0	0x9e71c8…
04-23 14:42:46	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x344394…
04-23 14:42:22	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	0¢	$0	0x7faeed…
04-23 08:40:16	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x81e3b3…
04-23 08:39:18	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1bf5ab…
04-23 07:12:38	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	756	0¢	$1	0xb3080e…
04-23 00:02:58	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0x6515b4…
04-22 22:24:50	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xaee8ad…
04-22 22:23:48	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	0¢	$0	0xbc9ab6…
04-22 22:22:42	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	0¢	$0	0x9d36f0…
04-22 22:22:24	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xbda0fd…
04-22 22:21:54	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	0¢	$0	0x97de99…
04-22 17:02:08	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	411	0¢	$2	0xdb585b…
04-22 16:10:30	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x0a0c39…
04-22 16:07:04	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x7adbc2…
04-22 16:01:30	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x1c4369…
04-22 15:57:46	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x8a37d2…
04-22 15:57:14	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x85643b…
04-22 15:29:42	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xe442a6…
04-22 15:29:42	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb073f1…
04-22 15:29:42	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x67be04…
04-22 15:29:42	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x6252a4…
04-22 15:29:42	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x0b631a…
04-22 15:23:56	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x699d15…
04-22 15:17:56	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x301f28…
04-22 15:17:52	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd167a9…
04-22 15:17:50	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcded8c…
04-22 15:17:50	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x6d313e…
04-22 15:17:50	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0x1282ae…
04-22 15:17:24	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xe719f7…
04-22 15:17:24	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x57a440…
04-22 15:17:14	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0x7c7905…
04-22 14:40:06	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0x672df7…
04-22 13:57:06	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	5¢	$6	0xa88b71…
04-21 10:26:42	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	350	24¢	$83	0x1093dd…
04-21 07:52:46	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	58	19¢	$11	0xb72b96…
04-21 07:14:56	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	29	19¢	$6	0xffe980…
04-20 09:14:00	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x005535…
04-18 14:02:22	Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xcb2ab8…
04-18 14:02:22	Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xa9ca5f…
04-18 13:07:22	Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	4¢	$2	0xc09bfa…
04-18 11:24:02	Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xf14b06…
04-18 11:11:48	Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x51ca6b…
04-18 11:11:42	Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x3210d3…
04-18 10:54:28	Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xc5e881…
04-18 03:52:32	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	999	0¢	$1	0x049191…
04-18 02:53:14	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x7f5cff…
04-17 14:15:12	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x478e2e…
04-17 01:52:30	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x31e91d…
04-17 01:50:26	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0xc61808…
04-17 01:23:10	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	0¢	$0	0xe59ea0…
04-17 01:23:10	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xe1efec…
04-17 01:23:10	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xd42152…