Educated-Thinking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.3%

Resolved

Trades

19,280

lifetime

Volume

$363.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-09 09:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 90% $-41

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 759 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1771770300	1	$1.0K	1,068	0	+1,068	open	—	02-22 14:29
btc updown 5m 1771771500	4	$1.0K	1,010	10	+1,000	open	—	02-22 14:50
btc updown 5m 1771769700	28	$990	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-22 14:20
btc updown 5m 1771770000	17	$990	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-22 14:25
btc updown 5m 1771769100	1	$988	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-22 14:09
btc updown 5m 1771788000	2	$973	1,005	0	+1,005	open	—	02-22 19:25
btc updown 5m 1771787400	8	$952	962	0	+962	open	—	02-22 19:15
btc updown 5m 1771770900	5	$891	900	0	+900	open	—	02-22 14:39
btc updown 5m 1776402900	12	$690	698	0	+698	open	—	04-17 05:20
btc updown 5m 1776407700	4	$677	685	0	+685	open	—	04-17 06:40
btc updown 5m 1776405900	5	$672	692	0	+692	open	—	04-17 06:10
btc updown 5m 1776407400	4	$655	662	0	+662	open	—	04-17 06:35
btc updown 5m 1776395700	4	$655	662	0	+662	open	—	04-17 03:20
btc updown 5m 1776412500	6	$650	662	0	+662	open	—	04-17 08:00
btc updown 5m 1776402600	8	$648	655	0	+655	open	—	04-17 05:15
btc updown 5m 1776411000	3	$648	655	0	+655	open	—	04-17 07:35
btc updown 5m 1771853100	10	$641	647	0	+647	open	—	02-23 13:31
btc updown 5m 1776408300	36	$632	639	0	+639	open	—	04-17 06:50
btc updown 5m 1776411300	8	$624	630	0	+630	open	—	04-17 07:40
btc updown 5m 1776403200	6	$615	621	0	+621	open	—	04-17 05:25
btc updown 5m 1776412800	9	$612	626	0	+626	open	—	04-17 08:05
btc updown 5m 1776392400	32	$605	612	0	+612	open	—	04-17 02:26
btc updown 5m 1772154300	5	$604	610	0	+610	open	—	02-27 01:09
btc updown 5m 1776651300	20	$596	602	0	+602	open	—	04-20 02:20
btc updown 5m 1776401400	4	$594	685	0	+685	open	—	04-17 04:55
btc updown 5m 1776400500	19	$594	600	0	+600	open	—	04-17 04:40
btc updown 5m 1771720500	11	$588	326	325	+2	open	—	02-22 00:40
btc updown 5m 1776748200	8	$588	595	0	+595	open	—	04-21 05:15
btc updown 5m 1776556200	9	$556	562	0	+562	open	—	04-18 23:55
btc updown 5m 1776561000	5	$556	562	0	+562	open	—	04-19 01:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 09:50:04	btc updown 5m 1780998300	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x1f4a93…
06-08 15:20:03	btc updown 5m 1780931700	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4d62c3…
06-04 22:10:10	btc updown 5m 1780610700	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5d642a…
06-03 21:30:03	btc updown 5m 1780521900	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x283587…
06-03 11:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd33547…
06-02 12:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x8ba22e…
06-02 10:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x28a209…
06-02 07:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xaa977f…
06-02 07:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x907c4e…
06-02 06:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xbfdfce…
06-02 06:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xbe4532…
06-02 05:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xde4e2c…
06-02 04:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x682a68…
06-02 04:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xdb0168…
06-02 04:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xb0204d…
06-02 03:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x45d8a1…
06-02 03:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x46978d…
06-02 02:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x066979…
06-02 02:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$5	0xf3af75…
06-02 01:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf57e33…
06-02 01:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x485d6c…
06-02 01:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa12f71…
06-02 01:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x5cb2ab…
06-02 01:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xde17a4…
06-02 01:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x024611…
06-02 01:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xf94929…
06-02 01:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x196853…
06-02 01:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x4f3ff7…
06-02 00:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x97669f…
06-01 23:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x29428b…
06-01 23:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xf27a4c…
06-01 23:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xb26250…
06-01 23:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd20859…
06-01 23:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x5dc176…
06-01 23:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x38723a…
06-01 22:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x59b7c1…
06-01 21:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xd2b53b…
06-01 21:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9acad2…
06-01 21:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x63af8f…
06-01 20:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x3a4733…
06-01 19:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xaf0f9d…
06-01 19:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x532979…
06-01 18:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xd56e99…
06-01 16:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xe89ed5…
06-01 16:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x0e7eb6…
06-01 16:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xfb3360…
06-01 15:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x77498b…
06-01 15:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xa57810…
06-01 14:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xe5c156…
06-01 14:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x51f7b7…
06-01 13:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x8bd5cc…
06-01 13:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5a6acd…
06-01 13:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xae2b95…
06-01 12:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7e6e96…
06-01 11:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x63fac8…
06-01 11:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xb143b9…
06-01 11:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xcd9211…
06-01 11:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xc76cbf…
06-01 10:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xce9267…
06-01 09:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x1e2319…
06-01 09:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0b879c…
06-01 09:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x1663a5…
06-01 09:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x64c22b…
06-01 09:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xeea0ed…
06-01 08:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x992859…
06-01 08:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$6	0xed1bf8…
06-01 08:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x42bc49…
06-01 08:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xfd78ae…
06-01 07:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x268208…
06-01 07:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x28f4fa…
06-01 07:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x7d2c40…
06-01 05:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$6	0x6e34df…
06-01 05:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x20a381…
06-01 05:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x233da0…
06-01 04:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0xf45079…
06-01 04:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xaf8621…
06-01 04:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xae46a2…
06-01 04:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0xaf9ec7…
06-01 03:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x36f428…
06-01 02:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x3424b7…
06-01 02:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x732725…
06-01 02:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x50d874…
06-01 02:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x005eec…
06-01 00:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x648013…
05-31 23:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x1ca60c…
05-31 23:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb94b96…
05-31 22:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x4b5d04…
05-31 22:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb50085…
05-31 21:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xb80868…
05-31 20:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x6d946a…
05-31 18:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x5f019f…
05-31 18:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x942ee5…
05-31 16:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xb0fddd…
05-31 14:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1ee593…
05-31 14:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x70ebd6…
05-31 13:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x022d57…
05-31 12:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x80117a…
05-31 11:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xc86450…
05-31 09:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x0fde15…
05-31 08:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xc9db4f…