Educated-Thinking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.03K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.1%

Resolved

9,028

Trades

19,301

lifetime

Volume

$363.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 07-28 17:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 136 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 90% -$1,984

Other

0% 62% -$43

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-28).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 14:25 UTC	1	$1.0K	1,068	0	+1,068	Up	-$1,039	02-22 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 14:45 UTC	4	$1.0K	1,010	10	+1,000	Down	+$10	02-22 14:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 14:15 UTC	28	$990	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	+$10	02-22 14:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 14:20 UTC	17	$990	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$10	02-22 14:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 14:05 UTC	1	$988	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$12	02-22 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 19:20 UTC	2	$973	1,005	0	+1,005	Up	+$32	02-22 19:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 19:10 UTC	8	$952	962	0	+962	Down	+$10	02-22 19:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 14:35 UTC	5	$891	900	0	+900	Down	+$9	02-22 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:15 UTC	12	$690	698	0	+698	Up	+$8	04-17 05:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 06:35 UTC	4	$677	685	0	+685	Up	+$8	04-17 06:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 06:05 UTC	5	$672	692	0	+692	Down	+$5	04-17 06:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 06:30 UTC	4	$655	662	0	+662	Up	+$7	04-17 06:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 03:15 UTC	4	$655	662	0	+662	Up	+$7	04-17 03:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:55 UTC	6	$650	662	0	+662	Up	+$7	04-17 08:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:10 UTC	8	$648	655	0	+655	Up	+$7	04-17 05:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:30 UTC	3	$648	655	0	+655	Up	+$7	04-17 07:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 13:25 UTC	10	$641	647	0	+647	Up	+$6	02-23 13:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 06:45 UTC	36	$632	639	0	+639	Up	+$6	04-17 06:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:35 UTC	8	$624	630	0	+630	Down	+$6	04-17 07:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:20 UTC	6	$615	621	0	+621	Up	+$6	04-17 05:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 08:00 UTC	9	$612	626	0	+626	Up	-$597	04-17 08:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 02:20 UTC	32	$605	612	0	+612	Up	+$7	04-17 02:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 01:05 UTC	5	$604	610	0	+610	Down	+$6	02-27 01:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 02:15 UTC	20	$596	602	0	+602	Down	+$6	04-20 02:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 04:50 UTC	4	$594	685	0	+685	Up	+$91	04-17 04:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 04:35 UTC	19	$594	600	0	+600	Down	+$6	04-17 04:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 00:35 UTC	11	$588	326	325	+2	Up	+$56	02-22 00:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 05:10 UTC	8	$588	595	0	+595	Down	+$7	04-21 05:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 23:50 UTC	9	$556	562	0	+562	Down	+$6	04-18 23:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 01:10 UTC	5	$556	562	0	+562	Up	+$6	04-19 01:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 17:41:31	col rfc1 var 2026 07 28 btts first half	Yes	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xed02cd…
07-28 17:41:31	col rfc1 var 2026 07 28 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0xb0853b…
07-28 02:29:06	argpn atl alm 2026 07 27 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xac320e…
07-28 02:29:03	argpn atl alm 2026 07 27 btts	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x01365d…
07-28 00:33:12	argpn atl alm 2026 07 27 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xfb01a9…
07-28 00:33:12	argpn atl alm 2026 07 27 btts	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x3c41db…
06-30 14:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x605537…
06-16 21:00:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x5788ae…
06-11 19:51:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd4a76e…
06-11 12:30:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2fd8f3…
06-10 08:10:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9888ed…
06-09 09:50:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x1f4a93…
06-08 15:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4d62c3…
06-07 03:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x428ef1…
06-06 23:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbf5250…
06-04 22:10:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5d642a…
06-04 13:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe4dd28…
06-03 21:30:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x283587…
06-03 11:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd33547…
06-02 12:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x8ba22e…
06-02 10:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x28a209…
06-02 07:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xaa977f…
06-02 07:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x907c4e…
06-02 06:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xbfdfce…
06-02 06:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xbe4532…
06-02 05:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xde4e2c…
06-02 04:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x682a68…
06-02 04:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xdb0168…
06-02 04:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xb0204d…
06-02 03:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x45d8a1…
06-02 03:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x46978d…
06-02 02:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x066979…
06-02 02:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$5	0xf3af75…
06-02 01:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf57e33…
06-02 01:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x485d6c…
06-02 01:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa12f71…
06-02 01:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x5cb2ab…
06-02 01:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xde17a4…
06-02 01:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x4b5f60…
06-02 01:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x024611…
06-02 01:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xf94929…
06-02 01:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x196853…
06-02 01:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x4f3ff7…
06-02 01:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x7ba04b…
06-02 01:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x7d8a18…
06-02 00:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x97669f…
06-01 23:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x29428b…
06-01 23:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xf27a4c…
06-01 23:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xb26250…
06-01 23:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd20859…
06-01 23:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x5dc176…
06-01 23:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x38723a…
06-01 22:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x59b7c1…
06-01 21:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xd2b53b…
06-01 21:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9acad2…
06-01 21:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x63af8f…
06-01 20:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x3a4733…
06-01 19:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xaf0f9d…
06-01 19:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x532979…
06-01 18:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xd56e99…
06-01 16:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xe89ed5…
06-01 16:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x0e7eb6…
06-01 16:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xfb3360…
06-01 15:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x77498b…
06-01 15:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xa57810…
06-01 14:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xe5c156…
06-01 14:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x51f7b7…
06-01 13:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x8bd5cc…
06-01 13:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5a6acd…
06-01 13:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xae2b95…
06-01 12:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7e6e96…
06-01 11:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x63fac8…
06-01 11:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xb143b9…
06-01 11:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xcd9211…
06-01 11:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xc76cbf…
06-01 10:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xce9267…
06-01 09:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x1e2319…
06-01 09:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0b879c…
06-01 09:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x1663a5…
06-01 09:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x64c22b…
06-01 09:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xeea0ed…
06-01 08:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x992859…
06-01 08:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$6	0xed1bf8…
06-01 08:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x42bc49…
06-01 08:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xfd78ae…
06-01 07:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x268208…
06-01 07:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x28f4fa…
06-01 07:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x7d2c40…
06-01 05:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$6	0x6e34df…
06-01 05:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x20a381…
06-01 05:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x233da0…
06-01 05:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9aaf26…
06-01 04:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0xf45079…
06-01 04:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xaf8621…
06-01 04:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xae46a2…
06-01 04:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0xaf9ec7…
06-01 03:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x36f428…
06-01 03:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x826223…
06-01 02:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x3424b7…
06-01 02:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x732725…