Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$221

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.7%

Resolved

Trades

155

lifetime

Volume

$925

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 04-29 12:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 40% -$177

Other

44% 9% -$23

Politics

2% 0% -$21

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	3	$231	542	542	+0	No	+$151	03-08 21:02
will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	4	$90	5,031	6,031	-1,000	No	-$50	03-25 16:17
will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	3	$62	2,430	2,430	+0	No	-$52	03-25 16:17
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$41	7,643	0	+7,643	No	-$41	03-13 17:24
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$33	18,345	0	+18,345	No	-$33	04-29 12:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:45 UTC	5	$25	23	23	+0	Down	+$2	02-20 20:50
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	2	$25	3,549	0	+3,549	No	-$25	02-16 22:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:40 UTC	4	$23	30	29	+0	Up	+$1	02-20 20:43
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$22	12,300	0	+12,300	No	-$22	03-15 02:24
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$20	15,000	0	+15,000	No	-$20	04-29 12:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:20 UTC	4	$18	38	21	+17	Up	+$2	02-16 04:24
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$15	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$15	03-15 02:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:35 UTC	3	$14	34	34	+0	Up	-$7	02-20 20:38
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$13	13,000	0	+13,000	No	-$13	04-29 12:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:25 UTC	2	$12	14	14	+0	Up	+$2	02-16 04:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 01:30 UTC	5	$12	18	18	+0	Down	+$4	02-14 01:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:15 UTC	2	$11	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	02-16 04:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 15:15 UTC	2	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	02-16 15:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:50 UTC	3	$11	14	11	+3	Down	-$1	02-20 20:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:00 UTC	4	$10	15	15	+0	Up	+$2	02-14 02:04
will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	1	$10	145	0	+145	Yes	-$10	02-23 17:41
another us government shutdown by february 14	1	$10	62	0	+62	No	-$10	02-14 01:22
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	1	$10	210	0	+210	No	-$10	02-14 02:58
moltbook shutdown by feb 28	1	$10	218	0	+218	No	-$10	02-14 01:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 03:05 UTC	3	$10	57	6	+51	Up	-$4	02-14 03:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:45 UTC	2	$9	14	14	+0	Down	-$1	02-14 02:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 23:35 UTC	4	$9	14	9	+5	Down	-$1	02-15 23:38
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$9	817	0	+817	No	-$9	03-20 17:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 01:15 UTC	4	$9	12	12	+0	Up	+$3	02-14 01:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:40 UTC	4	$9	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	02-14 02:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-29 12:46:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xbe55a7…
04-29 12:40:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x13b070…
04-29 12:40:20	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x72a5c3…
04-29 12:40:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x930a4e…
04-29 01:05:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8,000	0¢	$8	0x6c7dda…
04-29 01:04:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xc3a339…
04-29 01:04:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x6686f8…
03-25 16:17:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	345	3¢	$10	0x3ebc36…
03-25 16:17:25	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	2,430	0¢	$5	0x913d0d…
03-25 16:17:19	will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	4,523	0¢	$5	0x6be45f…
03-20 17:20:27	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	BUY	417	1¢	$5	0x6adf91…
03-20 01:17:53	will trump say tanker or ship or boat 5 times during events with japanese pm	Yes	BUY	153	2¢	$3	0x23ff8c…
03-20 01:16:27	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x2d678b…
03-15 02:24:53	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0x221983…
03-15 02:24:47	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x701ab6…
03-13 17:25:05	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0x2638f5…
03-13 17:24:57	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xa2e801…
03-13 17:23:53	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x0337f5…
03-13 17:23:39	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x0748d0…
03-08 21:03:33	will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	1,508	1¢	$16	0x7a90c2…
03-08 21:02:07	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	SELL	542	35¢	$191	0x010de4…
03-03 09:45:55	will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0xd1f628…
03-03 01:36:11	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	2,138	2¢	$50	0x9e7f34…
03-03 01:35:09	will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	3,363	1¢	$50	0x303cae…
03-02 16:48:55	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	292	2¢	$7	0x7b0aa1…
03-02 16:48:43	will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	1,668	1¢	$20	0x2f0db0…
03-01 00:19:53	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	375	8¢	$30	0x59f871…
02-26 11:12:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe569e1…
02-26 11:12:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc2e009…
02-26 11:11:14	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x7c31ae…
02-23 17:41:30	will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	No	BUY	145	7¢	$10	0x2d94cc…
02-20 20:57:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:55 UTC	Down	SELL	4	35¢	$2	0xb9bc16…
02-20 20:55:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9c6041…
02-20 20:53:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd322ca…
02-20 20:52:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:50 UTC	Up	SELL	11	41¢	$5	0x3b42ef…
02-20 20:50:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x87d8b4…
02-20 20:50:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x827748…
02-20 20:49:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6cf1da…
02-20 20:48:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x134019…
02-20 20:47:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x5c92ba…
02-20 20:45:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x598718…
02-20 20:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:40 UTC	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x6059ab…
02-20 20:42:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7f9681…
02-20 20:41:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:40 UTC	Down	SELL	26	42¢	$11	0x199e3e…
02-20 20:40:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x913148…
02-20 20:38:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:35 UTC	Down	SELL	34	9¢	$3	0x4634da…
02-20 20:37:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xe97269…
02-20 20:37:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	18	31¢	$6	0x2a6ccf…
02-16 22:12:37	will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	Yes	BUY	3,322	1¢	$20	0x799a58…
02-16 22:10:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 22:10 UTC	Down	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x801bbe…
02-16 22:10:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xa71c4f…
02-16 18:08:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xbdce91…
02-16 18:06:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x083de3…
02-16 18:05:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe4e98b…
02-16 18:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9a831c…
02-16 15:17:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 15:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x91a1e0…
02-16 15:16:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7b5297…
02-16 04:26:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:25 UTC	Up	SELL	14	52¢	$7	0x49a77b…
02-16 04:25:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xc51d89…
02-16 04:24:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x38c23e…
02-16 04:22:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:20 UTC	Down	SELL	21	46¢	$10	0x3fa4ed…
02-16 04:21:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x2c78a0…
02-16 04:21:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xab1cca…
02-16 04:17:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:15 UTC	Down	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0x17ddab…
02-16 04:15:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xa01e40…
02-16 04:14:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa6721e…
02-16 04:13:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x027ca8…
02-15 23:38:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5d612a…
02-15 23:37:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 23:35 UTC	Up	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0x4d13f9…
02-15 23:37:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x52f1bb…
02-15 23:36:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x63bdbd…
02-14 12:33:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 12:30 UTC	Up	SELL	12	35¢	$4	0x3c3968…
02-14 12:32:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa3c861…
02-14 12:31:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x826893…
02-14 04:38:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x50ae85…
02-14 03:18:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd927e7…
02-14 03:17:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa3d5e8…
02-14 03:16:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xf2e89f…
02-14 03:09:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x0dcbac…
02-14 03:07:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 03:05 UTC	Down	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x8e2559…
02-14 03:06:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x8dc180…
02-14 03:02:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 03:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x697b87…
02-14 03:01:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x82c716…
02-14 02:58:39	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	Yes	BUY	210	5¢	$10	0x8e16c7…
02-14 02:54:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:50 UTC	Up	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x3b9a6f…
02-14 02:52:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2e09d8…
02-14 02:51:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x38d031…
02-14 02:49:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:45 UTC	Up	SELL	14	32¢	$4	0xb6c8fb…
02-14 02:47:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x0bd409…
02-14 02:44:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:40 UTC	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x328c01…
02-14 02:44:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8a49cb…
02-14 02:43:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2e8550…
02-14 02:42:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x774024…
02-14 02:39:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:35 UTC	Up	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0xcb92f8…
02-14 02:38:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x340be7…
02-14 02:36:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x9abac5…
02-14 02:04:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:00 UTC	Down	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0x593b3a…
02-14 02:03:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x6d5288…
02-14 02:03:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0xf10e71…
02-14 02:01:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x0f7e49…