Earnest-Prose — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.4%

Resolved

1,972

Trades

2,040

lifetime

Volume

$19.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 11-01 02:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 217 days

Categories

Other

79% 98% -$4

Sports

17% 100% +$3

Crypto

3% 98% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-06 21:03
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-05 08:55
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:54
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-25 18:11
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:36
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:32
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:00
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-25 16:25
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 01:52
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-24 17:11
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-15 21:12
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-24 20:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 02:36:30	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6f99a…
11-01 01:38:52	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8ccb94…
11-01 01:09:24	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x867d86…
11-01 00:43:21	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x479292…
11-01 00:04:13	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dakota Hope	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ec973…
10-31 16:00:13	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b9b56…
10-31 00:29:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf831a8…
10-30 23:58:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x14e3c9…
10-30 16:24:40	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x499324…
10-29 15:14:13	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b02ef…
10-27 13:12:03	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7dc20c…
10-25 09:30:57	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x423b26…
10-24 19:01:02	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb3664a…
10-24 13:22:44	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xeca9c9…
10-24 13:22:11	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xabdee0…
10-23 16:52:29	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x906a6e…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5f3e6a…
10-22 20:41:06	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd73361…
10-20 18:47:45	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa79881…
10-19 18:51:59	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa5b0c…
10-18 03:35:39	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x565642…
10-15 20:32:47	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x929c5f…
10-15 19:37:43	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf877c…
10-14 20:56:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfe5bef…
10-14 11:41:28	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x15b6e0…
10-13 21:12:07	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xecebc0…
10-13 20:58:55	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x33d098…
10-13 14:15:20	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcc67ea…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3ed5cf…
10-12 16:35:42	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0efce4…
10-12 09:20:01	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4aebbf…
10-11 20:16:13	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2c097…
10-11 10:49:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbbee95…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xadad61…
10-10 10:21:46	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x263aa4…
10-09 02:09:51	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d7887…
10-08 19:13:35	Braga: Vilius Gaubas vs Duje Ajdukovic	Vilius Gaubas	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20c856…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xfb381d…
10-07 06:29:17	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0fc949…
10-06 20:46:23	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ce5d5…
10-06 16:07:30	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd11006…
10-06 13:20:18	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x028475…
10-04 23:23:13	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x64abf0…
10-04 20:17:37	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb96885…
10-04 07:45:11	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1fe05c…
10-03 14:50:32	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa44b00…
10-03 06:09:56	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4e0c28…
10-03 02:53:00	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2b1bb0…
10-02 14:15:35	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdaf17c…
10-02 14:12:51	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x28337e…
10-01 20:46:20	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0410a7…
10-01 20:42:27	Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x171be7…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x04b289…
10-01 16:12:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16ecde…
10-01 12:05:05	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeee716…
10-01 11:34:18	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x346879…
10-01 05:13:27	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xab2cdb…
09-30 23:54:54	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3f281a…
09-30 12:28:00	atp kuzmano sachko 2026 09 30	Vitaliy Sachko	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7ad0b9…
09-30 06:59:57	atp struff tirante 2026 09 29	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x90f3ce…
09-29 20:38:38	Will Slovakia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1b0919…
09-29 13:58:51	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8f424f…
09-29 13:16:02	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x140787…
09-28 16:53:14	atp angelin johns 2026 09 28	Lorenzo Angelini	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf24db4…
09-28 10:07:54	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc63f5c…
09-27 20:41:56	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41354f…
09-27 14:05:48	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe6eaad…
09-27 13:31:18	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb95946…
09-27 12:24:53	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe640d1…
09-27 01:58:21	UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ailin Perez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf98575…
09-26 23:23:48	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde44c1…
09-26 20:05:59	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8ab76e…
09-26 19:53:26	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb02772…
09-26 19:22:33	Virginia Tech vs. Boston College	Virginia Tech	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x790b5e…
09-26 12:18:23	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdcf3c1…
09-25 23:23:14	Army vs. Temple	Army	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x446521…
09-25 22:56:50	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xae7082…
09-25 10:12:38	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5e8760…
09-24 20:45:14	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc46f27…
09-24 09:38:47	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x685012…
09-23 22:37:43	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa593ff…
09-23 16:19:31	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93a079…
09-23 04:45:05	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4bb9a5…
09-21 19:09:01	will msft dip to 495 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb084cc…
09-21 18:44:31	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc19e6b…
09-21 02:19:40	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5cd589…
09-20 22:25:41	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x411687…
09-20 21:08:26	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc01176…
09-20 16:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x066cdf…
09-20 16:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x34df75…
09-20 12:44:51	cs2 sta6 ttbs 2026 09 20	STATE	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xebb75f…
09-20 02:59:34	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf37931…
09-20 00:02:51	Southeastern Louisiana vs. Louisiana-Monroe	Southeastern Louisiana	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ef71f…
09-19 22:11:06	daviscup fery guillen 2026 09 19	Arthur Fery	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x436f52…
09-19 15:39:35	lol kor usa 2026 09 19	South Korea	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa4905d…
09-19 13:24:56	Will Rochdale AFC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x99fbb5…
09-18 19:32:16	Will AC Oulu win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x79b009…
09-17 20:00:12	Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3226cb…
09-17 19:33:09	cs2 ence kamui 2026 09 17	KAMUI	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5d75c5…
09-17 17:27:43	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf927bc…