Periodic-Retrospective — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$53

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.1%

Resolved

222

Trades

1,122

lifetime

Volume

$23.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 06-17 12:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 72% $-4

Other

9% 39% +$186

Sports

4% 18% $-236

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 203 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	8	$349	505	505	-0	open	—	06-17 12:58
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	5	$281	445	445	+0	Gujarat Titans	$-40	05-12 16:44
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	11	$277	208	208	+0	open	—	05-17 02:58
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	2	$215	278	549	-271	Boston Red Sox	$-18	05-09 00:18
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	3	$203	104	104	+0	open	—	05-16 13:14
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	3	$201	104	104	+0	open	—	05-22 02:29
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	7	$199	208	46	+162	open	—	05-17 01:59
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	3	$199	104	104	+0	open	—	05-16 16:44
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	22	$197	104	104	+0	open	—	05-22 20:59
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	4	$194	208	0	+208	open	—	05-16 23:13
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	4	$193	104	104	+0	open	—	05-23 19:15
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	6	$193	104	104	+0	open	—	05-22 22:59
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	8	$193	104	104	+0	open	—	05-23 12:44
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	10	$192	104	104	+0	open	—	05-23 15:44
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	8	$191	104	104	+0	open	—	05-21 23:29
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	9	$188	104	104	+0	open	—	05-23 04:14
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	3	$185	193	193	+0	open	—	05-10 21:52
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	3	$185	104	104	+0	open	—	05-16 13:29
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	4	$184	208	0	+208	open	—	05-16 22:13
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	3	$181	104	104	+0	open	—	05-16 19:29
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	5	$176	235	19	+216	open	—	05-16 20:59
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	3	$175	104	104	+0	open	—	05-16 19:13
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	7	$173	199	21	+179	open	—	05-16 21:13
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	8	$173	104	104	+0	open	—	05-23 18:29
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	4	$172	208	0	+208	open	—	05-16 23:43
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	4	$167	208	0	+208	open	—	05-16 21:58
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	3	$167	104	104	+0	open	—	05-22 15:28
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	3	$163	118	118	+0	open	—	05-16 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	7	$153	104	104	+0	open	—	05-23 17:14
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	3	$128	104	62	+42	open	—	05-23 18:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 12:58:49	sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x320ae9…
06-05 13:02:25	sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	Yes	SELL	105	33¢	$35	0x9adc57…
06-05 13:01:16	sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	Yes	SELL	400	34¢	$136	0x48bb2a…
06-05 12:12:12	sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x0eda6a…
06-05 08:00:28	sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x8621f7…
06-04 20:41:22	sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x3c8b23…
06-02 23:57:39	Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?	Yes	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0xad9e25…
06-02 23:53:10	Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?	Yes	BUY	60	36¢	$22	0x206dcd…
05-28 07:29:45	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x26e1f6…
05-28 07:29:43	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xc092b5…
05-28 07:28:11	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x7bd537…
05-28 07:14:58	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	27	2¢	$1	0xb3a977…
05-28 07:13:15	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	52	90¢	$47	0x61605b…
05-28 05:13:29	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x878f83…
05-28 05:13:29	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x18ee1b…
05-28 05:13:17	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	52	91¢	$47	0x65fcfc…
05-28 02:13:33	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xa8c439…
05-28 02:13:33	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	51	86¢	$44	0x7bc7ed…
05-28 02:13:11	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	52	80¢	$42	0xfd1ff4…
05-27 19:13:09	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0xb3ec3a…
05-27 17:59:56	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x947c49…
05-27 17:59:55	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xe6d48f…
05-27 17:59:55	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5f1b15…
05-27 17:59:53	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xc48ae4…
05-27 17:59:51	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8e5c57…
05-27 17:58:15	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	90¢	$47	0xbc0399…
05-27 16:59:46	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0xd435dc…
05-27 16:59:46	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x7fc559…
05-27 16:59:46	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x1a8e7b…
05-27 16:58:08	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	52	92¢	$48	0x312eea…
05-27 15:44:35	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	52	35¢	$18	0x2c254e…
05-27 15:43:12	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	52	75¢	$39	0xd403ec…
05-27 14:43:18	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	52	87¢	$45	0xc35b8f…
05-23 19:15:01	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0x22409b…
05-23 19:15:00	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x8f224c…
05-23 19:15:00	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x105c08…
05-23 19:13:15	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	104	89¢	$93	0xbb9c90…
05-23 18:44:57	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xc3a4ae…
05-23 18:44:57	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	56	81¢	$45	0xc177b2…
05-23 18:43:23	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	104	75¢	$78	0xc0fb8a…
05-23 18:29:05	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0xeaa49c…
05-23 18:29:05	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0xe3060d…
05-23 18:29:05	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xca897e…
05-23 18:29:05	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	13	86¢	$11	0xbf84ae…
05-23 18:29:05	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x410361…
05-23 18:29:05	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0x3d6b7f…
05-23 18:29:05	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x2bb4ef…
05-23 18:28:32	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	104	80¢	$83	0x7c1e5d…
05-23 17:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x8f292c…
05-23 17:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xf9116b…
05-23 17:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	31	76¢	$24	0xc48bf0…
05-23 17:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x5e05d9…
05-23 17:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x54f963…
05-23 17:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	48	76¢	$37	0x367d32…
05-23 17:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xfa2ef5…
05-23 17:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x1917d1…
05-23 17:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	104	71¢	$74	0xfa53dc…
05-23 16:58:45	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	52	42¢	$22	0x7fad62…
05-23 16:58:10	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	78¢	$40	0xbf4e46…
05-23 15:44:02	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x40db15…
05-23 15:43:58	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xdcdde6…
05-23 15:43:58	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x28e1f1…
05-23 15:43:53	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0xf8b886…
05-23 15:43:43	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x3550e7…
05-23 15:43:39	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xe7c4af…
05-23 15:43:39	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x45d615…
05-23 15:43:39	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x1e63c6…
05-23 15:43:39	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x0b1f3f…
05-23 15:43:11	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	104	89¢	$92	0xe845db…
05-23 14:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0xfea6bc…
05-23 14:59:07	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x0b2151…
05-23 14:58:14	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0xa75b77…
05-23 14:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x4847f7…
05-23 14:14:28	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0xbaef5d…
05-23 14:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xfbd0b6…
05-23 14:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x21ce4a…
05-23 14:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	33	80¢	$27	0x0684c8…
05-23 14:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x2c0b88…
05-23 14:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xba0387…
05-23 14:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x395c22…
05-23 14:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	52	74¢	$38	0xdeafb0…
05-23 14:13:18	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	52	93¢	$48	0xb115e6…
05-23 12:44:46	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	21	96¢	$21	0xf5d92d…
05-23 12:44:45	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x6bfb0a…
05-23 12:44:43	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xd822f6…
05-23 12:44:15	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x2d454c…
05-23 12:44:13	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0xf3140e…
05-23 12:44:13	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe9715d…
05-23 12:44:08	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xb3bb31…
05-23 12:43:17	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	104	89¢	$93	0xceedb8…
05-23 09:58:54	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0xdf4575…
05-23 09:58:10	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x375320…
05-23 09:14:18	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xbc883c…
05-23 09:14:18	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x1b36e2…
05-23 09:13:17	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	104	90¢	$94	0x44ff30…
05-23 06:28:38	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	25	83¢	$21	0x3cb6d5…
05-23 06:28:33	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	27	83¢	$23	0x31b8b4…
05-23 06:28:09	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0xf829fa…
05-23 05:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	52	72¢	$37	0xab99a6…
05-23 04:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	30	76¢	$23	0xf13771…