Periodic-Retrospective — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$411

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.0%

Resolved

497

Trades

1,242

lifetime

Volume

$25.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 08-27 07:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 78% -$291

Other

9% 36% +$137

Sports

4% 18% -$236

Politics

1% 0% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	8	$349	505	505	-0	open	—	06-17 12:58
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	5	$281	445	445	+0	Gujarat Titans	-$40	05-12 16:44
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	11	$277	208	208	+0	Up	-$45	05-17 02:58
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	2	$215	278	549	-271	Boston Red Sox	-$18	05-09 00:18
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	3	$203	104	104	+0	Down	+$3	05-16 13:14
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	3	$201	104	104	+0	Down	+$6	05-22 02:29
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	7	$199	208	46	+162	Down	-$165	05-17 01:59
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	3	$199	104	104	+0	Down	+$6	05-16 16:44
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	22	$197	104	104	+0	Up	+$7	05-22 20:59
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	17	$195	104	104	+0	Down	+$7	05-23 09:14
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	4	$194	208	0	+208	Up	+$15	05-16 23:13
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	4	$193	104	104	+0	Down	+$7	05-23 19:15
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	6	$193	104	104	+0	Up	+$7	05-22 22:59
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	8	$193	104	104	+0	Up	+$7	05-23 12:44
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	10	$192	104	104	+0	Down	+$8	05-23 15:44
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	8	$191	104	104	+0	Up	+$7	05-21 23:29
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	9	$188	104	104	+0	Down	+$8	05-23 04:14
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	3	$185	193	193	+0	No	-$20	05-10 21:52
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	3	$185	104	104	+0	Up	+$21	05-16 13:29
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	4	$184	208	0	+208	Down	+$24	05-16 22:13
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	12	$183	104	104	+0	Up	+$7	05-22 01:14
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	3	$181	104	104	+0	Up	+$16	05-16 19:29
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	4	$179	104	104	+0	Down	+$6	05-21 21:58
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	5	$176	235	19	+216	Down	-$162	05-16 20:59
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	3	$175	104	104	+0	Down	-$6	05-16 19:13
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	7	$173	199	21	+179	Up	-$160	05-16 21:13
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	8	$173	104	104	+0	Up	+$6	05-23 18:29
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	4	$172	208	0	+208	Down	+$36	05-16 23:43
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	4	$167	208	0	+208	Up	+$41	05-16 21:58
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	3	$167	104	104	+0	Up	+$6	05-22 15:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-27 07:13:13	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	52	90¢	$47	0x66b827…
08-27 06:43:58	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 06:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf01bb1…
08-27 06:43:58	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 06:30 UTC	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xe17e56…
08-27 06:43:58	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 06:30 UTC	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x52df9e…
08-27 06:43:58	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 06:30 UTC	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x4da77b…
08-27 06:43:57	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 06:30 UTC	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xe723a8…
08-27 06:43:12	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	52	93¢	$48	0x4efe05…
08-27 04:43:28	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 04:30 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x001c1a…
08-27 04:43:27	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 04:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xa197fa…
08-27 04:43:25	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 04:30 UTC	Up	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x009d9a…
08-27 04:43:12	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0x65d2be…
08-27 04:28:18	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 04:15 UTC	Down	SELL	52	89¢	$46	0x4e4b3c…
08-27 04:28:07	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0x6dafd5…
08-27 03:13:21	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 03:00 UTC	Down	SELL	52	89¢	$46	0xe3719b…
08-27 03:13:10	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xb41998…
08-27 01:14:10	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 01:00 UTC	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x37f870…
08-27 01:14:10	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 01:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x232ebb…
08-27 01:14:09	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 01:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa13a07…
08-27 01:14:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 01:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6b3b8d…
08-27 01:14:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 01:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x51610d…
08-27 01:14:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 01:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x2d2ca8…
08-27 01:14:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 01:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1b11c4…
08-27 01:14:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 01:00 UTC	Down	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x01b457…
08-27 01:13:15	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	52	90¢	$47	0xe3bf5b…
08-26 21:44:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	52	84¢	$44	0x5b3f4d…
08-26 21:43:16	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	52	78¢	$41	0xe31698…
08-26 17:43:51	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 17:30 UTC	Up	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0xe98e10…
08-26 17:43:21	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	52	92¢	$48	0x7db762…
08-26 15:58:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	52	85¢	$44	0xd0245b…
08-26 15:58:18	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	52	91¢	$47	0x6aa7ce…
08-26 11:14:45	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 11:00 UTC	Down	SELL	52	32¢	$17	0xe73151…
08-26 11:13:18	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	52	81¢	$42	0x4881c8…
08-26 08:44:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 08:30 UTC	Down	SELL	52	43¢	$22	0x9c6e1b…
08-26 08:43:19	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	52	91¢	$47	0x27c115…
08-26 08:28:28	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 08:15 UTC	Down	SELL	52	86¢	$45	0x6b4beb…
08-26 08:28:19	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0x3db8aa…
08-26 07:58:34	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 07:45 UTC	Down	SELL	52	75¢	$39	0xcb4ce2…
08-26 07:58:28	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	52	82¢	$43	0xb11f49…
08-26 03:58:22	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 03:45 UTC	Down	SELL	52	84¢	$44	0x5a99f7…
08-26 03:58:15	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	52	84¢	$44	0x5dcd1a…
08-26 01:28:30	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 01:15 UTC	Down	SELL	52	94¢	$49	0x9e6718…
08-26 01:28:19	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0xd21b48…
08-25 17:59:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 17:45 UTC	Up	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x8e551f…
08-25 17:58:13	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	52	89¢	$46	0xecd7b4…
08-25 15:43:51	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	51	92¢	$47	0x7d812c…
08-25 15:43:51	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x2607d7…
08-25 15:43:12	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	52	86¢	$45	0x5c6cb6…
08-25 15:28:54	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 15:15 UTC	Down	SELL	52	18¢	$9	0xbf6647…
08-25 15:28:16	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	52	87¢	$45	0x2f9a96…
08-25 14:44:42	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 14:30 UTC	Down	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x8717b9…
08-25 14:43:09	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	52	93¢	$48	0x360340…
08-25 14:29:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 14:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd9f9ee…
08-25 14:29:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 14:15 UTC	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x535216…
08-25 14:29:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 14:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x34398d…
08-25 14:29:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 14:15 UTC	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xa70350…
08-25 14:28:10	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	52	93¢	$48	0xf2a417…
06-17 12:58:49	sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x320ae9…
06-05 13:02:25	sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	Yes	SELL	105	33¢	$35	0x9adc57…
06-05 13:01:16	sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	Yes	SELL	400	34¢	$136	0x48bb2a…
06-05 12:12:12	sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x0eda6a…
06-05 08:00:28	sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x8621f7…
06-04 20:41:22	sports prediction markets taxed as gambling	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x3c8b23…
06-02 23:57:39	Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?	Yes	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0xad9e25…
06-02 23:53:10	Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?	Yes	BUY	60	36¢	$22	0x206dcd…
05-28 07:29:45	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x26e1f6…
05-28 07:29:43	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xc092b5…
05-28 07:28:11	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x7bd537…
05-28 07:14:58	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	27	2¢	$1	0xb3a977…
05-28 07:13:15	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	52	90¢	$47	0x61605b…
05-28 05:13:29	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x878f83…
05-28 05:13:29	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x18ee1b…
05-28 05:13:17	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	52	91¢	$47	0x65fcfc…
05-28 02:13:33	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xa8c439…
05-28 02:13:33	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	51	86¢	$44	0x7bc7ed…
05-28 02:13:11	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	52	80¢	$42	0xfd1ff4…
05-27 19:13:09	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0xb3ec3a…
05-27 17:59:56	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x947c49…
05-27 17:59:55	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xe6d48f…
05-27 17:59:55	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5f1b15…
05-27 17:59:53	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xc48ae4…
05-27 17:59:51	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8e5c57…
05-27 17:58:15	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	90¢	$47	0xbc0399…
05-27 16:59:46	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0xd435dc…
05-27 16:59:46	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x7fc559…
05-27 16:59:46	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x1a8e7b…
05-27 16:58:08	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	52	92¢	$48	0x312eea…
05-27 15:44:35	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	52	35¢	$18	0x2c254e…
05-27 15:43:12	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	52	75¢	$39	0xd403ec…
05-27 14:43:18	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	52	87¢	$45	0xc35b8f…
05-23 19:15:01	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0x22409b…
05-23 19:15:00	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x8f224c…
05-23 19:15:00	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x105c08…
05-23 19:13:15	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	104	89¢	$93	0xbb9c90…
05-23 18:44:57	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xc3a4ae…
05-23 18:44:57	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	56	81¢	$45	0xc177b2…
05-23 18:43:23	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	104	75¢	$78	0xc0fb8a…
05-23 18:29:05	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0xeaa49c…
05-23 18:29:05	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0xe3060d…
05-23 18:29:05	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xca897e…
05-23 18:29:05	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	13	86¢	$11	0xbf84ae…