Likely-Manatee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.17K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.1%

Resolved

1,964

Trades

62,895

lifetime

Volume

$173.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 06-10 00:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% +$1,165

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 2729 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	21	$197	288	+288	open	—	05-20 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	4	$171	208	+208	open	—	04-25 10:19
btc updown 5m 1777037400	30	$152	314	+314	open	—	04-24 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	8	$150	262	+262	open	—	04-25 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	10	$129	191	+191	open	—	05-31 21:04
btc updown 15m 1775482200	30	$129	228	+228	open	—	04-06 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	30	$127	287	+287	open	—	05-20 08:12
btc updown 15m 1775379600	31	$125	271	+271	open	—	04-05 09:11
btc updown 5m 1776951000	30	$122	255	+255	open	—	04-23 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	9	$122	150	+150	open	—	05-25 20:49
btc updown 15m 1774026000	30	$122	190	+190	open	—	03-20 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	11	$121	153	+153	open	—	04-28 03:19
btc updown 5m 1776945600	22	$120	206	+206	open	—	04-23 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	18	$118	163	+163	open	—	04-26 19:28
btc updown 5m 1776945900	18	$117	251	+251	open	—	04-23 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	26	$117	212	+212	open	—	05-21 16:14
btc updown 15m 1775491200	30	$116	246	+246	open	—	04-06 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	24	$115	259	+259	open	—	05-20 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	10	$113	177	+177	open	—	04-27 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$112	129	+129	open	—	04-26 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	4	$110	120	+120	open	—	04-28 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	12	$110	153	+153	open	—	04-27 08:34
btc updown 15m 1775199600	27	$110	220	+220	open	—	04-03 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	8	$109	162	+162	open	—	05-25 19:09
btc updown 15m 1774017000	30	$107	159	+159	open	—	03-20 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	4	$107	5,204	+5,204	open	—	04-26 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	6	$107	174	+174	open	—	04-26 02:23
btc updown 5m 1776951900	18	$106	190	+190	open	—	04-23 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	30	$105	207	+207	open	—	05-20 22:41
btc updown 5m 1780697100	28	$105	194	+194	open	—	06-05 22:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 06:22:07	btc updown 15m 1781072100	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$2	0xd3abe8…
06-10 06:20:55	btc updown 5m 1781072400	Down	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x1b9a57…
06-10 06:20:30	btc updown 5m 1781072400	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xb8b221…
06-10 06:20:13	btc updown 5m 1781072400	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xad555d…
06-10 06:20:04	btc updown 5m 1781072400	Down	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x9a8706…
06-10 06:20:04	btc updown 5m 1781072400	Down	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0x9876ee…
06-10 06:20:04	btc updown 15m 1781072100	Down	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0x1a15be…
06-10 06:17:18	btc updown 5m 1781072100	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xb55d6c…
06-10 06:17:13	btc updown 15m 1781072100	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x0d2534…
06-10 06:17:00	btc updown 5m 1781072100	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x123fe3…
06-10 06:14:25	btc updown 5m 1781071800	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x7239ba…
06-10 06:13:52	btc updown 15m 1781071200	Up	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x16422d…
06-10 06:13:51	btc updown 5m 1781071800	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x9eccff…
06-10 06:13:51	btc updown 5m 1781071800	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x8f7aa4…
06-10 06:10:40	btc updown 15m 1781071200	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xcf0c78…
06-10 06:10:28	btc updown 5m 1781071800	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6a322c…
06-10 06:10:09	btc updown 5m 1781071800	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x398d65…
06-10 06:09:45	btc updown 15m 1781071200	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x265070…
06-10 06:09:36	btc updown 15m 1781071200	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x1ca6d8…
06-10 06:09:31	btc updown 15m 1781071200	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xb3a4e2…
06-10 06:09:07	btc updown 5m 1781071500	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xf960b9…
06-10 06:09:07	btc updown 5m 1781071500	Up	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0xbfed1e…
06-10 06:09:06	btc updown 15m 1781071200	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x33de2d…
06-10 06:09:01	btc updown 5m 1781071500	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x52c19c…
06-10 06:09:01	btc updown 15m 1781071200	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4fe621…
06-10 06:07:31	btc updown 15m 1781071200	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x26edda…
06-10 06:06:22	btc updown 5m 1781071500	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x26cdb8…
06-10 06:06:09	btc updown 5m 1781071500	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$3	0x4403cb…
06-10 06:05:12	btc updown 15m 1781071200	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x2bcda6…
06-10 06:04:21	btc updown 5m 1781071200	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x132ea6…
06-10 06:04:07	btc updown 5m 1781071200	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xfed873…
06-10 06:03:40	btc updown 15m 1781071200	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xb0fab1…
06-10 06:03:12	btc updown 5m 1781071200	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xb794ef…
06-10 06:03:07	btc updown 5m 1781071200	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x87d422…
06-10 06:01:19	btc updown 5m 1781071200	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$3	0xf86bb9…
06-10 06:01:19	btc updown 15m 1781071200	Down	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0xc2e116…
06-10 06:01:19	btc updown 5m 1781071200	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xa00e48…
06-10 06:01:18	btc updown 5m 1781071200	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xd89623…
06-10 06:01:04	btc updown 5m 1781071200	Down	BUY	13	65¢	$9	0x2a1254…
06-10 06:00:13	btc updown 5m 1781071200	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xef85df…
06-10 06:00:12	btc updown 15m 1781071200	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8b60cf…
06-10 06:00:06	btc updown 5m 1781071200	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1cfd83…
06-10 06:00:04	btc updown 15m 1781071200	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5ea04e…
06-10 06:00:03	btc updown 5m 1781071200	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x843b27…
06-10 05:58:07	btc updown 5m 1781070900	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x42d7e3…
06-10 05:57:42	btc updown 5m 1781070900	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x2e8d71…
06-10 05:55:22	btc updown 5m 1781070900	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xa599f6…
06-10 05:55:13	btc updown 5m 1781070900	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x28db5a…
06-10 05:51:16	btc updown 15m 1781070300	Down	BUY	4	59¢	$3	0x620e9e…
06-10 05:50:34	btc updown 15m 1781070300	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xeb7252…
06-10 05:48:03	btc updown 15m 1781070300	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xf96ac0…
06-10 05:45:57	btc updown 5m 1781070300	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$2	0x1acf07…
06-10 05:44:16	btc updown 15m 1781069400	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xc23181…
06-10 05:44:10	btc updown 15m 1781069400	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xba433f…
06-10 05:41:55	btc updown 15m 1781069400	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x1db247…
06-10 05:41:40	btc updown 15m 1781069400	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5a3ebe…
06-10 05:41:15	btc updown 5m 1781070000	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xdac463…
06-10 05:40:33	btc updown 5m 1781070000	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x8ec4bd…
06-10 05:40:27	btc updown 15m 1781069400	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xe67448…
06-10 05:40:27	btc updown 5m 1781070000	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x20f78c…
06-10 05:39:43	btc updown 15m 1781069400	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xca8e30…
06-10 05:38:49	btc updown 15m 1781069400	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xe49455…
06-10 05:38:28	btc updown 15m 1781069400	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xbcad0e…
06-10 05:37:15	btc updown 15m 1781069400	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x6928eb…
06-10 05:37:07	btc updown 15m 1781069400	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xef4db9…
06-10 05:36:28	btc updown 15m 1781069400	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xd0fdad…
06-10 05:36:27	btc updown 5m 1781069700	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x06dd59…
06-10 05:36:12	btc updown 5m 1781069700	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6afacb…
06-10 05:35:16	btc updown 5m 1781069700	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x4500b8…
06-10 05:35:06	btc updown 15m 1781069400	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xaf2c95…
06-10 05:33:39	btc updown 15m 1781069400	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xcebb6c…
06-10 05:33:39	btc updown 5m 1781069400	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x252819…
06-10 05:32:31	btc updown 5m 1781069400	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xdfc433…
06-10 05:32:18	btc updown 15m 1781069400	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8b9928…
06-10 05:32:13	btc updown 5m 1781069400	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x2e5e19…
06-10 05:32:04	btc updown 5m 1781069400	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4be761…
06-10 05:30:43	btc updown 15m 1781069400	Down	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xe30e39…
06-10 05:30:43	btc updown 5m 1781069400	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x8d4482…
06-10 05:30:22	btc updown 15m 1781069400	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd385bc…
06-10 05:30:15	btc updown 5m 1781069400	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0xb4bcc0…
06-10 05:26:45	btc updown 15m 1781068500	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdca7d2…
06-10 05:25:07	btc updown 15m 1781068500	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x12cab1…
06-10 05:24:24	btc updown 5m 1781068800	Down	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x7de1e6…
06-10 05:23:24	btc updown 5m 1781068800	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xf74de0…
06-10 05:23:24	btc updown 15m 1781068500	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcc7593…
06-10 05:23:07	btc updown 15m 1781068500	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xff306e…
06-10 05:22:16	btc updown 15m 1781068500	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x2a6018…
06-10 05:22:15	btc updown 5m 1781068800	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x6b4381…
06-10 05:18:34	btc updown 15m 1781068500	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x7a35ab…
06-10 05:18:30	btc updown 5m 1781068500	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x0adfba…
06-10 05:17:55	btc updown 5m 1781068500	Up	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0xb1d1f7…
06-10 05:17:55	btc updown 15m 1781068500	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x9c0f08…
06-10 05:17:55	btc updown 5m 1781068500	Up	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0x4f5b4a…
06-10 05:17:49	btc updown 15m 1781068500	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x047383…
06-10 05:15:46	btc updown 15m 1781068500	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x6a5076…
06-10 05:15:07	btc updown 15m 1781068500	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf953d3…
06-10 05:15:07	btc updown 5m 1781068500	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x875e1a…
06-10 05:15:04	btc updown 15m 1781068500	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x7f24e3…
06-10 05:13:58	btc updown 5m 1781068200	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0xed6e5d…
06-10 05:13:57	btc updown 5m 1781068200	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xee8de8…