Likely-Manatee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.17K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.1%

Resolved

1,964

Trades

96,932

lifetime

Volume

$266.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 08-10 00:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% +$1,165

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 2729 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	21	$197	288	+288	open	—	05-20 10:29
btc updown 15m 1784928600	14	$189	386	+386	open	—	07-24 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	4	$171	208	+208	open	—	04-25 10:19
btc updown 5m 1777037400	30	$152	314	+314	open	—	04-24 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	8	$150	262	+262	open	—	04-25 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	10	$129	191	+191	open	—	05-31 21:04
btc updown 15m 1775482200	30	$129	228	+228	open	—	04-06 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	30	$127	287	+287	open	—	05-20 08:12
btc updown 15m 1775379600	31	$125	271	+271	open	—	04-05 09:11
btc updown 5m 1784929200	9	$125	240	+240	open	—	07-24 21:44
btc updown 5m 1776951000	30	$122	255	+255	open	—	04-23 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	9	$122	150	+150	open	—	05-25 20:49
btc updown 15m 1774026000	30	$122	190	+190	open	—	03-20 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	11	$121	153	+153	open	—	04-28 03:19
btc updown 5m 1776945600	22	$120	206	+206	open	—	04-23 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	18	$118	163	+163	open	—	04-26 19:28
btc updown 5m 1776945900	18	$117	251	+251	open	—	04-23 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	26	$117	212	+212	open	—	05-21 16:14
btc updown 15m 1775491200	30	$116	246	+246	open	—	04-06 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	24	$115	259	+259	open	—	05-20 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	10	$113	177	+177	open	—	04-27 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$112	129	+129	open	—	04-26 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	4	$110	120	+120	open	—	04-28 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	12	$110	153	+153	open	—	04-27 08:34
btc updown 15m 1775199600	27	$110	220	+220	open	—	04-03 07:12
btc updown 5m 1785620400	7	$109	167	+167	open	—	08-01 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	8	$109	162	+162	open	—	05-25 19:09
btc updown 15m 1774017000	30	$107	159	+159	open	—	03-20 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	4	$107	5,204	+5,204	open	—	04-26 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	6	$107	174	+174	open	—	04-26 02:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 05:22:52	btc updown 5m 1786339200	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xf76710…
08-10 05:20:49	btc updown 5m 1786339200	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa8f34a…
08-10 05:20:24	btc updown 15m 1786338900	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xd56b09…
08-10 05:15:30	btc updown 15m 1786338900	Down	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xceffa9…
08-10 05:12:33	btc updown 15m 1786338000	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$9	0x7ca275…
08-10 04:56:04	btc updown 15m 1786337100	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xc7a0b6…
08-10 04:28:43	btc updown 15m 1786335300	Up	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0xd510fd…
08-10 04:18:10	btc updown 5m 1786335300	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x661605…
08-10 04:14:12	btc updown 5m 1786335000	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x60a883…
08-10 04:03:06	btc updown 15m 1786334400	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd152ee…
08-10 03:46:45	btc updown 15m 1786333500	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf8f80d…
08-10 03:43:51	btc updown 15m 1786332600	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x74c641…
08-10 03:40:36	btc updown 15m 1786332600	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x8d2da3…
08-10 03:38:48	btc updown 5m 1786332900	Down	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0x3b775c…
08-10 03:37:31	btc updown 5m 1786332900	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x20d3b1…
08-10 03:35:27	btc updown 5m 1786332900	Down	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0x25299c…
08-10 03:09:03	btc updown 15m 1786330800	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xf3c9b6…
08-10 03:05:22	btc updown 15m 1786330800	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x8f2eb6…
08-10 02:52:43	btc updown 5m 1786330200	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe7cfd3…
08-10 02:41:22	btc updown 5m 1786329600	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x0e1e14…
08-10 02:40:04	btc updown 5m 1786329600	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd6e1ed…
08-10 02:39:13	btc updown 5m 1786329300	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x7a0838…
08-10 02:36:49	btc updown 5m 1786329300	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4efbb6…
08-10 02:36:24	btc updown 5m 1786329300	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xda02bd…
08-10 02:35:19	btc updown 15m 1786329000	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc29e11…
08-10 02:26:24	btc updown 5m 1786328700	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x6a02c7…
08-10 02:24:01	btc updown 5m 1786328400	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4fe495…
08-10 02:08:10	btc updown 5m 1786327500	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x773503…
08-10 02:00:46	btc updown 5m 1786327200	Up	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x247654…
08-10 01:50:06	btc updown 5m 1786326600	Up	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0xb59b60…
08-10 01:31:24	btc updown 5m 1786325400	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8b4770…
08-10 01:22:18	btc updown 5m 1786324800	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$4	0x3b5673…
08-10 01:13:07	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x5ed763…
08-10 01:09:09	btc updown 15m 1786323600	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x9d0a0b…
08-10 01:08:51	btc updown 15m 1786323600	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0xded1de…
08-10 01:05:24	btc updown 15m 1786323600	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x2c9d6c…
08-10 01:05:15	btc updown 5m 1786323900	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x545c3a…
08-10 01:04:52	btc updown 15m 1786323600	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xcf1af6…
08-10 01:00:49	btc updown 5m 1786323600	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x087f3c…
08-10 00:41:24	btc updown 5m 1786322400	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x99fa06…
08-10 00:40:12	btc updown 5m 1786322400	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x355364…
08-10 00:40:06	btc updown 5m 1786322400	Down	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xb1bc78…
08-10 00:35:07	btc updown 15m 1786321800	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x458fe2…
08-10 00:34:36	btc updown 15m 1786321800	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x7d98ae…
08-10 00:32:04	btc updown 5m 1786321800	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xfc4457…
08-10 00:05:33	btc updown 15m 1786320000	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x28559a…
08-10 00:04:18	btc updown 5m 1786320000	Up	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xe07eba…
08-10 00:04:00	btc updown 5m 1786320000	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0edad6…
08-10 00:02:25	btc updown 5m 1786320000	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb2561d…
08-10 00:00:10	btc updown 5m 1786320000	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xebdd1f…
08-10 00:00:07	btc updown 5m 1786320000	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xf85f3a…
08-09 23:52:43	btc updown 15m 1786319100	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x2fdd84…
08-09 23:45:09	btc updown 15m 1786319100	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xb1dde0…
08-09 23:44:06	btc updown 5m 1786318800	Down	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xaad589…
08-09 23:43:45	btc updown 5m 1786318800	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x1d68ba…
08-09 23:36:00	btc updown 15m 1786318200	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x1371ff…
08-09 23:32:06	btc updown 5m 1786318200	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x458360…
08-09 23:30:04	btc updown 15m 1786318200	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc563bb…
08-09 23:18:25	btc updown 15m 1786317300	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x6c4b42…
08-09 23:06:51	btc updown 5m 1786316700	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x27032a…
08-09 23:05:57	btc updown 5m 1786316700	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe66e36…
08-09 23:02:21	btc updown 15m 1786316400	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xa05d63…
08-09 22:53:39	btc updown 5m 1786315800	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xefa1e4…
08-09 22:53:13	btc updown 5m 1786315800	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x82384b…
08-09 22:32:06	btc updown 5m 1786314600	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0a417b…
08-09 22:15:09	btc updown 15m 1786313700	Down	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xf66c7c…
08-09 22:15:06	btc updown 5m 1786313700	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$4	0x6e1de9…
08-09 21:54:06	btc updown 15m 1786311900	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x723ee6…
08-09 21:40:07	btc updown 5m 1786311600	Down	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xee68cb…
08-09 21:40:07	btc updown 5m 1786311600	Down	BUY	17	31¢	$5	0x9c46da…
08-09 21:36:21	btc updown 15m 1786311000	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x50fe85…
08-09 21:36:19	btc updown 5m 1786311300	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xfaef8a…
08-09 21:22:43	btc updown 5m 1786310400	Down	BUY	13	35¢	$4	0x7dfebb…
08-09 21:09:21	btc updown 5m 1786309500	Up	BUY	23	95¢	$21	0x16fad7…
08-09 21:09:12	btc updown 5m 1786309500	Up	BUY	21	93¢	$19	0xd2e16b…
08-09 21:08:19	btc updown 15m 1786309200	Up	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x43ad84…
08-09 20:47:57	btc updown 5m 1786308300	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xf684ae…
08-09 20:29:28	btc updown 5m 1786307100	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xbcbbba…
08-09 20:15:40	btc updown 15m 1786306500	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x11c78e…
08-09 20:15:27	btc updown 15m 1786306500	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xb20f76…
08-09 20:10:28	btc updown 5m 1786306200	Down	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x973cd3…
08-09 20:10:24	btc updown 5m 1786306200	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x8c3b89…
08-09 20:10:24	btc updown 5m 1786306200	Down	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0x176734…
08-09 19:59:15	btc updown 5m 1786305300	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x6421e5…
08-09 19:49:52	btc updown 15m 1786304700	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x866e82…
08-09 18:56:04	btc updown 5m 1786301700	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x33d697…
08-09 18:09:06	btc updown 5m 1786298700	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x39ca1d…
08-09 18:01:55	btc updown 15m 1786298400	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x595ff7…
08-09 17:53:04	btc updown 5m 1786297800	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$4	0xffd41f…
08-09 17:24:01	btc updown 5m 1786296000	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xbc9920…
08-09 17:24:01	btc updown 5m 1786296000	Up	BUY	34	96¢	$32	0x8493f9…
08-09 17:24:01	btc updown 5m 1786296000	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0x296705…
08-09 16:04:04	btc updown 5m 1786291200	Up	BUY	101	4¢	$4	0xaf97f9…
08-09 15:49:24	btc updown 5m 1786290300	Up	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x25fe37…
08-09 15:10:37	btc updown 5m 1786288200	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xf1afe3…
08-09 15:10:37	btc updown 5m 1786288200	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xd924ba…
08-09 14:32:18	btc updown 15m 1786285800	Down	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0xeec799…
08-09 14:23:40	btc updown 5m 1786285200	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0f19cd…
08-09 13:52:15	btc updown 5m 1786283400	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0x2de641…
08-09 13:21:57	btc updown 15m 1786281300	Down	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0xad35ce…