Likely-Manatee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.17K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.1%

Resolved

1,964

Trades

83,270

lifetime

Volume

$225.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 06-30 12:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% +$1,165

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 2729 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	21	$197	288	+288	open	—	05-20 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	4	$171	208	+208	open	—	04-25 10:19
btc updown 5m 1777037400	30	$152	314	+314	open	—	04-24 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	8	$150	262	+262	open	—	04-25 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	10	$129	191	+191	open	—	05-31 21:04
btc updown 15m 1775482200	30	$129	228	+228	open	—	04-06 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	30	$127	287	+287	open	—	05-20 08:12
btc updown 15m 1775379600	31	$125	271	+271	open	—	04-05 09:11
btc updown 5m 1776951000	30	$122	255	+255	open	—	04-23 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	9	$122	150	+150	open	—	05-25 20:49
btc updown 15m 1774026000	30	$122	190	+190	open	—	03-20 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	11	$121	153	+153	open	—	04-28 03:19
btc updown 5m 1776945600	22	$120	206	+206	open	—	04-23 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	18	$118	163	+163	open	—	04-26 19:28
btc updown 5m 1776945900	18	$117	251	+251	open	—	04-23 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	26	$117	212	+212	open	—	05-21 16:14
btc updown 15m 1775491200	30	$116	246	+246	open	—	04-06 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	24	$115	259	+259	open	—	05-20 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	10	$113	177	+177	open	—	04-27 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$112	129	+129	open	—	04-26 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	4	$110	120	+120	open	—	04-28 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	12	$110	153	+153	open	—	04-27 08:34
btc updown 15m 1775199600	27	$110	220	+220	open	—	04-03 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	8	$109	162	+162	open	—	05-25 19:09
btc updown 15m 1774017000	30	$107	159	+159	open	—	03-20 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	4	$107	5,204	+5,204	open	—	04-26 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	6	$107	174	+174	open	—	04-26 02:23
btc updown 5m 1776951900	18	$106	190	+190	open	—	04-23 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	30	$105	207	+207	open	—	05-20 22:41
btc updown 5m 1780697100	28	$105	194	+194	open	—	06-05 22:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 13:50:56	btc updown 5m 1782827400	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xf7aee5…
06-30 13:49:05	btc updown 5m 1782827100	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x94d019…
06-30 13:48:58	btc updown 5m 1782827100	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xb678ac…
06-30 13:48:41	btc updown 5m 1782827100	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x95dcf5…
06-30 13:48:22	btc updown 5m 1782827100	Up	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0xfcfc14…
06-30 13:48:22	btc updown 5m 1782827100	Up	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xcc8ddb…
06-30 13:48:10	btc updown 5m 1782827100	Up	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xd3428c…
06-30 13:47:28	btc updown 5m 1782827100	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xd541f8…
06-30 13:47:19	btc updown 5m 1782827100	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x2b9f0e…
06-30 13:47:11	btc updown 5m 1782827100	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$2	0xaed138…
06-30 13:47:11	btc updown 5m 1782827100	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7eda25…
06-30 13:47:11	btc updown 5m 1782827100	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x49f7cb…
06-30 13:47:10	btc updown 5m 1782827100	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x508c81…
06-30 13:46:08	btc updown 5m 1782827100	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x8f84f6…
06-30 13:45:11	btc updown 5m 1782827100	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9c4233…
06-30 13:45:11	btc updown 5m 1782827100	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8d1a1f…
06-30 13:45:08	btc updown 5m 1782827100	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x0f6253…
06-30 13:42:49	btc updown 5m 1782826800	Down	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x69837f…
06-30 13:42:11	btc updown 5m 1782826800	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xb87d71…
06-30 13:40:11	btc updown 5m 1782826800	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x3dcd87…
06-30 13:39:52	btc updown 5m 1782826500	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xc77914…
06-30 13:39:52	btc updown 5m 1782826500	Down	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x348b81…
06-30 13:39:34	btc updown 5m 1782826500	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xeffda7…
06-30 13:39:31	btc updown 5m 1782826500	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x6dc164…
06-30 13:39:28	btc updown 5m 1782826500	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xfe5311…
06-30 13:39:23	btc updown 5m 1782826500	Down	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0xb7f88e…
06-30 13:39:13	btc updown 5m 1782826500	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x16b061…
06-30 13:39:08	btc updown 5m 1782826500	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xe40e28…
06-30 13:39:02	btc updown 5m 1782826500	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x5df656…
06-30 13:38:59	btc updown 5m 1782826500	Up	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0xbd4461…
06-30 13:38:50	btc updown 5m 1782826500	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x26e803…
06-30 13:38:41	btc updown 5m 1782826500	Up	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0xd23d46…
06-30 13:38:41	btc updown 5m 1782826500	Up	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x95bf59…
06-30 13:38:37	btc updown 5m 1782826500	Up	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xedad4f…
06-30 13:36:19	btc updown 5m 1782826500	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$2	0xafb948…
06-30 13:36:19	btc updown 5m 1782826500	Up	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x9e3fa0…
06-30 13:36:19	btc updown 5m 1782826500	Up	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x230870…
06-30 13:35:46	btc updown 5m 1782826500	Up	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0xe2096d…
06-30 13:35:35	btc updown 5m 1782826500	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xf8bdef…
06-30 13:35:16	btc updown 5m 1782826500	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x9fc4f2…
06-30 13:35:13	btc updown 5m 1782826500	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xa10a88…
06-30 13:35:04	btc updown 5m 1782826500	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xa89d3f…
06-30 13:32:59	btc updown 5m 1782826200	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x047457…
06-30 13:32:50	btc updown 5m 1782826200	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8e4c19…
06-30 13:32:40	btc updown 5m 1782826200	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x71931b…
06-30 13:32:26	btc updown 5m 1782826200	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x2abfcf…
06-30 13:31:47	btc updown 5m 1782826200	Down	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0x226f7d…
06-30 13:31:04	btc updown 5m 1782826200	Down	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0xda2d29…
06-30 13:30:31	btc updown 5m 1782826200	Down	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0x241753…
06-30 13:30:31	btc updown 5m 1782826200	Down	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0x234ca5…
06-30 13:30:29	btc updown 5m 1782826200	Down	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xd0c645…
06-30 13:29:31	btc updown 5m 1782825900	Down	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x728156…
06-30 13:29:25	btc updown 5m 1782825900	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2b01f4…
06-30 13:28:47	btc updown 5m 1782825900	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x156b38…
06-30 13:24:29	btc updown 5m 1782825600	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf2516d…
06-30 13:24:11	btc updown 5m 1782825600	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0xd5879d…
06-30 13:24:10	btc updown 5m 1782825600	Down	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x7d132a…
06-30 13:24:08	btc updown 5m 1782825600	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xa62a3f…
06-30 13:24:07	btc updown 5m 1782825600	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xe16399…
06-30 13:23:20	btc updown 5m 1782825600	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$4	0xdda0e3…
06-30 13:17:55	btc updown 5m 1782825300	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x826026…
06-30 13:17:35	btc updown 5m 1782825300	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd67b63…
06-30 13:15:08	btc updown 5m 1782825300	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x5997b2…
06-30 13:12:40	btc updown 5m 1782825000	Down	BUY	21	79¢	$17	0xaaff91…
06-30 13:01:26	btc updown 5m 1782824400	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x553e59…
06-30 13:01:02	btc updown 5m 1782824400	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xd29027…
06-30 13:00:05	btc updown 5m 1782824400	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x3927a1…
06-30 13:00:04	btc updown 5m 1782824400	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x252d1b…
06-30 12:58:11	btc updown 5m 1782824100	Up	BUY	109	2¢	$2	0x5d4ba3…
06-30 12:56:23	btc updown 5m 1782824100	Up	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x92f379…
06-30 12:56:19	btc updown 5m 1782824100	Down	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x92e029…
06-30 12:52:50	btc updown 5m 1782823800	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xe511af…
06-30 12:52:04	btc updown 5m 1782823800	Up	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0xc7c45d…
06-30 12:51:10	btc updown 5m 1782823800	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x7a82b4…
06-30 12:50:52	btc updown 5m 1782823800	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xeb0c43…
06-30 12:50:50	btc updown 5m 1782823800	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xe7778a…
06-30 12:44:11	btc updown 5m 1782823200	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x6cd9cc…
06-30 12:43:34	btc updown 5m 1782823200	Up	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0x87a555…
06-30 12:42:04	btc updown 5m 1782823200	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x2dc8ef…
06-30 12:41:32	btc updown 5m 1782823200	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x67ce0a…
06-30 12:41:31	btc updown 5m 1782823200	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xbf965e…
06-30 12:39:47	btc updown 5m 1782822900	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8a9347…
06-30 12:38:25	btc updown 5m 1782822900	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5f144b…
06-30 12:37:58	btc updown 5m 1782822900	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xdddbf4…
06-30 12:36:20	btc updown 5m 1782822900	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x688968…
06-30 12:34:19	btc updown 5m 1782822600	Down	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x59ef15…
06-30 12:34:10	btc updown 5m 1782822600	Up	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0xb01097…
06-30 12:34:10	btc updown 5m 1782822600	Up	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x67b743…
06-30 12:33:43	btc updown 5m 1782822600	Up	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x8f2be5…
06-30 12:33:43	btc updown 5m 1782822600	Up	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x892fd4…
06-30 12:33:40	btc updown 5m 1782822600	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xef38d4…
06-30 12:33:31	btc updown 5m 1782822600	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x93be03…
06-30 12:33:31	btc updown 5m 1782822600	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x775e90…
06-30 12:33:19	btc updown 5m 1782822600	Up	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x84645f…
06-30 12:33:17	btc updown 5m 1782822600	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x51dbd1…
06-30 12:33:05	btc updown 5m 1782822600	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xbe1c50…
06-30 12:32:50	btc updown 5m 1782822600	Down	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0xf98f25…
06-30 12:32:29	btc updown 5m 1782822600	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc6e8ea…
06-30 12:31:35	btc updown 5m 1782822600	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x58d661…
06-30 12:31:26	btc updown 5m 1782822600	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x88839e…