Bruised-Beauty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$283

Hit rate

76.8%

Resolved

2,895

Trades

7,529

lifetime

Volume

$489.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$65

Open exposure

$1.56K

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 11-02 00:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 161 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 70% -$16,863

Politics

6% — —

Other

0% 100% +$32

Sports

0% 0% -$590

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 176 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	+3,516	$1,451	29¢	$1.0K	-$449	11-02 00:18
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-2,767	-$249	8¢	$-235	+$14	09-22 21:35
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-1,205	-$84	12¢	$-151	-$67	09-22 21:34
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-1,111	-$102	8¢	$-83	+$18	09-22 21:35
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-12,000	-$120	0¢	$-30	+$90	05-27 04:48
2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	+20,000	$20	0¢	$30	+$10	11-02 00:18
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	Yes	+1,218	-$66	2¢	$21	+$87	10-22 02:23
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	+26	$10	22¢	$6	-$4	11-02 00:19
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	-16	-$3	6¢	$-1	+$2	05-28 00:51
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-339	-$16	0¢	$-1	+$15	05-28 00:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	91	$28.2K	39,028	35,512	+3,516	open	—	11-02 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	5	$2.7K	4,956	0	+4,956	Up	-$2,750	10-24 16:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	8	$2.0K	6,128	965	+5,164	Up	-$1,432	10-24 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	11	$1.9K	1,102	1,102	+0	Down	+$51	10-19 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	4	$1.7K	1,757	0	+1,757	Up	+$57	10-24 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	4	$1.7K	1,722	0	+1,722	Up	+$22	10-24 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$1.6K	1,637	0	+1,637	Down	+$37	10-24 14:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 04:40 UTC	7	$1.6K	2,151	820	+1,332	Down	-$109	07-15 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	9	$1.5K	1,616	0	+1,616	Down	+$66	10-27 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	11	$1.5K	1,017	765	+252	Down	+$118	10-19 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	8	$1.4K	710	710	+0	Up	+$3	05-24 23:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 22:35 UTC	6	$1.4K	1,795	0	+1,795	Down	-$345	07-14 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	10	$1.3K	1,460	879	+581	Down	+$104	09-13 15:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 13:45 UTC	14	$1.3K	1,274	817	+457	Up	+$42	07-14 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 22:45 UTC	4	$1.3K	1,679	0	+1,679	Down	-$259	07-14 22:49
Clemson vs. LSU	6	$1.3K	939	761	+179	LSU	+$32	09-05 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	1	$1.3K	1,255	0	+1,255	Down	+$3	10-23 18:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 03:40 UTC	8	$1.2K	1,669	0	+1,669	Down	-$1,200	07-04 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	5	$1.2K	1,246	0	+1,246	Up	+$46	10-24 14:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 22:40 UTC	3	$1.2K	1,259	0	+1,259	Down	+$59	07-14 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	12	$1.2K	1,258	0	+1,258	Up	+$58	10-24 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	8	$1.2K	1,045	717	+328	Down	+$107	09-13 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 22:50 UTC	5	$1.1K	1,404	598	+806	Up	-$248	07-14 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	4	$1.1K	1,104	985	+119	Down	+$634	10-16 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$1.1K	1,116	0	+1,116	Up	+$16	10-27 12:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	3	$1.1K	1,112	0	+1,112	Down	+$12	10-27 11:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	3	$1.1K	1,123	0	+1,123	Up	+$23	10-27 11:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 04:50 UTC	2	$1.1K	1,209	0	+1,209	Down	-$544	07-15 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	11	$1.1K	1,146	0	+1,146	Down	+$46	05-24 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	11	$1.1K	1,138	0	+1,138	Down	+$38	05-24 23:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 00:19:06	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	292	24¢	$70	0x02fef9…
11-02 00:18:45	2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0xa9d4f7…
11-02 00:18:06	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	2,667	30¢	$800	0x90ea74…
11-02 00:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	350	29¢	$100	0x8952e9…
11-02 00:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x87b012…
11-02 00:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x03b424…
11-02 00:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x45cf02…
11-02 00:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	301	33¢	$100	0x141036…
11-01 23:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	618	16¢	$100	0xcb63e2…
11-01 23:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0xb1858f…
11-01 23:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x8b6c2a…
11-01 23:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x55644f…
11-01 23:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xb12928…
11-01 23:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x7ac360…
11-01 23:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3cbd07…
11-01 23:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3c42e6…
11-01 23:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x44295b…
11-01 23:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x8a40d4…
11-01 23:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x3d3cde…
11-01 23:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xd30765…
11-01 23:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb6857f…
11-01 23:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xcac94f…
11-01 23:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x6dd618…
11-01 23:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x3e0e66…
11-01 23:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x082a87…
11-01 23:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xcfeb83…
11-01 23:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x482114…
11-01 23:40:45	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	SELL	2,795	29¢	$811	0x4dc143…
11-01 23:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xf8422c…
10-31 20:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	621	16¢	$100	0xaea4aa…
10-31 20:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x639071…
10-31 20:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xe37a83…
10-31 20:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x531772…
10-31 20:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x4c927c…
10-31 20:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x764b43…
10-31 20:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xa9c2fc…
10-31 20:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x4ea4e0…
10-31 20:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x51340e…
10-31 19:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2c5648…
10-31 19:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xba19a7…
10-31 18:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0xf2eb36…
10-31 18:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xb09f60…
10-31 17:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	582	17¢	$100	0x4008f0…
10-31 17:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x48c252…
10-31 17:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x27ad55…
10-31 17:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x240464…
10-31 17:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x1859cf…
10-31 17:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	835	12¢	$100	0x9d25bc…
10-31 17:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1,027	10¢	$100	0x24cf60…
10-31 16:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd4c129…
10-31 16:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xde2f2c…
10-31 16:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x8d50ec…
10-31 15:58:18	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	SELL	1,000	29¢	$290	0xb1efd0…
10-31 15:57:31	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xff958f…
10-30 17:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6668e8…
10-30 16:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x70313d…
10-30 15:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x68867a…
10-30 14:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd4ef88…
10-29 19:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x3aec47…
10-28 19:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	749	13¢	$100	0x6de6a4…
10-28 17:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x050a8f…
10-28 16:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x7d0295…
10-28 13:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x5971e8…
10-27 19:43:12	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	6,000	35¢	$2,100	0x62ef7c…
10-27 18:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb84714…
10-27 18:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	751	13¢	$100	0x8e0d99…
10-27 18:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	758	99¢	$750	0x4b38db…
10-27 18:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0xb63136…
10-27 18:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x937b6e…
10-27 18:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	758	99¢	$750	0x991f64…
10-27 18:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x93a79e…
10-27 18:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x53b9fa…
10-27 18:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	788	95¢	$750	0xab780b…
10-27 18:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xcbb32d…
10-27 18:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x55e033…
10-27 18:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x51d51f…
10-27 18:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xfd25de…
10-27 18:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x20b2e7…
10-27 18:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xa4f6b1…
10-27 18:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x655e66…
10-27 18:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa1816e…
10-27 17:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	519	19¢	$97	0xc3ff6f…
10-27 17:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	628	16¢	$100	0xf542dc…
10-27 17:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	617	16¢	$100	0xe514f1…
10-27 17:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1,544	6¢	$100	0x627049…
10-27 17:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x2b1201…
10-27 17:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x885065…
10-27 17:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x501dc7…
10-27 17:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	292	34¢	$100	0xb6e572…
10-27 17:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	283	35¢	$100	0x621374…
10-27 17:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xad7e2b…
10-27 17:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb5cf27…
10-27 17:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x28dce4…
10-27 17:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xf92ef2…
10-27 16:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	245	99¢	$242	0x6b8cbb…
10-27 16:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	680	19¢	$129	0xe4fc6f…
10-27 16:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	680	15¢	$100	0x28ad58…
10-27 16:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xbe357f…
10-27 16:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x912257…
10-27 16:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x7981ea…