Hopeful-Chalk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$504

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

553

Trades

26,613

lifetime

Volume

$182.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 05-20 12:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 61% +$504

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 3682 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776696900	109	$711	1,552	+1,552	open	—	04-20 14:59
btc updown 5m 1776692100	93	$710	1,463	+1,463	open	—	04-20 13:39
btc updown 5m 1776636900	83	$615	1,172	+1,172	open	—	04-19 22:19
btc updown 5m 1776692400	87	$556	1,165	+1,165	open	—	04-20 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	78	$515	1,062	+1,062	open	—	04-27 01:03
btc updown 5m 1776783600	66	$503	941	+941	open	—	04-21 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	117	$490	966	+966	open	—	05-17 23:49
btc updown 5m 1776693000	70	$473	889	+889	open	—	04-20 13:54
btc updown 5m 1776708600	65	$448	888	+888	open	—	04-20 18:14
btc updown 5m 1776775500	55	$415	779	+779	open	—	04-21 12:50
btc updown 5m 1776696300	64	$397	838	+838	open	—	04-20 14:49
btc updown 5m 1776695400	59	$385	784	+784	open	—	04-20 14:34
btc updown 5m 1776617700	61	$378	767	+767	open	—	04-19 16:59
btc updown 5m 1776695700	56	$372	742	+742	open	—	04-20 14:39
btc updown 5m 1776693900	46	$365	1,778	+1,778	open	—	04-20 14:10
btc updown 5m 1776643500	59	$351	735	+735	open	—	04-20 00:09
btc updown 5m 1776621600	59	$347	708	+708	open	—	04-19 18:04
btc updown 5m 1776708900	49	$345	679	+679	open	—	04-20 18:19
btc updown 5m 1776631500	58	$345	732	+732	open	—	04-19 20:49
btc updown 5m 1776618300	41	$333	622	+622	open	—	04-19 17:09
btc updown 5m 1776865500	43	$325	610	+610	open	—	04-22 13:50
btc updown 5m 1776668400	56	$320	659	+659	open	—	04-20 07:04
btc updown 5m 1776695100	46	$318	635	+635	open	—	04-20 14:29
btc updown 5m 1776692700	51	$310	639	+639	open	—	04-20 13:48
btc updown 5m 1776621300	52	$308	735	+735	open	—	04-19 17:59
btc updown 5m 1777045500	52	$303	641	+641	open	—	04-24 15:49
btc updown 5m 1776835500	35	$301	627	+627	open	—	04-22 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	33	$297	581	+581	Up	$-230	05-11 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	34	$294	549	+549	Down	$-34	05-12 15:29
btc updown 5m 1776604800	43	$290	650	+650	open	—	04-19 13:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 12:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x9cdba4…
05-20 12:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xa572b3…
05-20 12:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xf01bcc…
05-20 12:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x927c2e…
05-20 11:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	64¢	$12	0xa5e252…
05-20 11:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe3724e…
05-20 11:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x8e8997…
05-20 11:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x6622e9…
05-20 11:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0xc99cb2…
05-20 11:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf86677…
05-20 11:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x0dba90…
05-20 11:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xe3d014…
05-20 11:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0x896822…
05-20 11:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xd5e5c4…
05-20 11:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x9478af…
05-20 11:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x6469de…
05-20 11:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xe5df87…
05-20 11:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x8ae87d…
05-20 11:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x7ba33e…
05-20 11:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xf9c5d6…
05-20 11:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x68b615…
05-20 11:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x7ef485…
05-20 11:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x6bc3fd…
05-20 11:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x14bacc…
05-20 11:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xa1a79c…
05-20 11:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x8a3ab0…
05-20 11:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0x5faa70…
05-20 11:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x554534…
05-20 11:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x469dd4…
05-20 11:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0x28aaeb…
05-20 11:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x205cb7…
05-20 11:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xfa9ed3…
05-20 11:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x0afdac…
05-20 11:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xe40a40…
05-20 11:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9d2bf7…
05-20 11:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	22	80¢	$18	0x8245b4…
05-20 11:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x17eedd…
05-20 11:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x0bb5bf…
05-20 11:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x50a3df…
05-20 11:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x3be007…
05-20 11:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xf9bd8a…
05-20 11:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4a4b83…
05-20 11:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa97c3c…
05-20 11:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x62a9be…
05-20 11:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x551f3e…
05-20 11:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0xd5b45c…
05-20 11:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4f1eae…
05-20 11:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x93e750…
05-20 11:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xf10114…
05-20 11:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x990589…
05-20 11:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x6e0015…
05-20 11:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x4ad8e4…
05-20 11:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	89¢	$20	0x964121…
05-20 11:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xc4ff5d…
05-20 11:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xb7eb5e…
05-20 11:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xe7cdc3…
05-20 11:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x6f690d…
05-20 11:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x1f3082…
05-20 10:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x23cfed…
05-20 10:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x803574…
05-20 10:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xb4418a…
05-20 10:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0xee16e7…
05-20 10:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x31df52…
05-20 10:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0xb56d6c…
05-20 10:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xd1faad…
05-20 10:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xdb4b92…
05-20 10:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xb41172…
05-20 10:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x5a4e6b…
05-20 10:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xbd1ee5…
05-20 10:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0xd965cb…
05-20 10:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd6e226…
05-20 10:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0x639753…
05-20 10:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x0dff1f…
05-20 10:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0xc99041…
05-20 10:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0xd22959…
05-20 10:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x7e0008…
05-20 10:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xdfe769…
05-20 10:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xd43255…
05-20 10:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8b7f0a…
05-20 10:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe3c401…
05-20 10:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0xf40b32…
05-20 10:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xab3896…
05-20 09:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xf31a30…
05-20 09:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xcc14b0…
05-20 09:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0a73d4…
05-20 09:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x5f1dfc…
05-20 09:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0x871c33…
05-20 09:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xd7ee7c…
05-20 09:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x481184…
05-20 09:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x18951e…
05-20 09:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0xc27168…
05-20 09:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x3df1a8…
05-20 09:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x133d2d…
05-20 09:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x4e64ac…
05-20 09:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xf01267…
05-20 09:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x69bf43…
05-20 09:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x1f7ccc…
05-20 09:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x40dd63…
05-20 09:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xed1aa9…
05-20 09:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0xe2176e…