Parched-Stew — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$82

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$26.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$453

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 06-09 17:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

91% — —

Crypto

7% 29% +$82

Other

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	5	$23.4K	33,832	33,832	+0	open	—	05-23 16:30
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	2	$885	1,334	1,334	+0	open	—	05-26 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$440	454	454	+0	Up	+$240	05-13 17:49
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	1	$420	1,535	0	+1,535	open	—	05-27 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$206	671	671	+0	Up	+$40	05-13 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$191	143	143	+0	open	—	05-14 18:20
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	4	$186	623	623	+0	open	—	05-09 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$125	3,011	0	+3,011	open	—	05-13 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$125	1,715	0	+1,715	Up	$-125	05-13 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	3	$110	1,332	0	+1,332	open	—	05-14 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$100	570	0	+570	open	—	05-13 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$80	58	58	+0	open	—	05-14 18:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	2	$73	49	49	+0	open	—	06-01 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$66	42	42	+0	open	—	05-14 18:08
will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	2	$56	1,077	1,077	+0	open	—	06-04 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$50	106	0	+106	open	—	05-14 18:22
bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	2	$36	25	25	+0	open	—	06-04 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$28	54	5	+49	Down	$-22	05-13 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$25	250	0	+250	Down	$-25	05-13 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$25	109	0	+109	Up	$-25	05-13 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$24	166	0	+166	open	—	05-16 13:44
gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	2	$24	813	0	+813	open	—	06-04 17:44
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$20	1,528	0	+1,528	open	—	05-27 04:44
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$14	67	67	+0	open	—	05-06 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$10	250	0	+250	open	—	05-14 18:02
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	185	0	+185	open	—	05-12 19:35
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	1	$7	436	0	+436	open	—	05-12 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$5	24	0	+24	open	—	05-14 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$5	99	0	+99	open	—	05-16 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-25 04:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:05:03	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x47b81e…
06-04 17:44:54	gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	Yes	BUY	724	3¢	$21	0xf913b5…
06-04 17:18:43	gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	Yes	BUY	90	3¢	$3	0x191797…
06-04 16:11:22	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x79c14e…
06-04 14:25:18	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x935acf…
06-04 05:32:22	will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	Yes	SELL	1,077	1¢	$11	0x2b8299…
06-03 10:49:26	Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 1-7?	Yes	BUY	1,077	4¢	$45	0xb74647…
06-01 06:14:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0xe4cb83…
05-29 11:03:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x203d3e…
05-27 14:10:15	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,535	27¢	$420	0x1a264c…
05-27 04:44:04	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1,250	1¢	$10	0x21a3e3…
05-26 14:06:52	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,334	36¢	$485	0x8811bf…
05-26 05:01:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	278	4¢	$10	0x0bc22f…
05-26 04:16:18	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,334	30¢	$400	0x69f094…
05-25 04:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x5aa6bf…
05-23 16:30:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	27	76¢	$21	0xe485b0…
05-23 16:29:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	27	77¢	$21	0x8df396…
05-23 13:31:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	33,745	68¢	$22,876	0xb3dd24…
05-23 13:27:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	60	72¢	$43	0x2d3758…
05-23 03:16:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	33,805	1¢	$400	0x8fcaf0…
05-16 13:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	132	3¢	$4	0x3c9b65…
05-16 13:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xc6c636…
05-16 13:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	99	5¢	$5	0xdca331…
05-14 19:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x0de533…
05-14 18:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xb35add…
05-14 18:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	219	23¢	$50	0x1591dd…
05-14 18:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	113	44¢	$50	0x61bd58…
05-14 18:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xea6da5…
05-14 18:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	143	99¢	$141	0x241397…
05-14 18:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x5d2d45…
05-14 18:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	58	95¢	$55	0xfb2675…
05-14 18:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x88b581…
05-14 18:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0xdcbe1e…
05-14 18:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xc464ae…
05-14 18:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x30e9c3…
05-14 17:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x07c474…
05-13 18:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0xf39320…
05-13 18:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	570	18¢	$100	0x4a9432…
05-13 18:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x7dd1cd…
05-13 18:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	511	20¢	$100	0x69e422…
05-13 18:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	671	18¢	$123	0x51af21…
05-13 18:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	671	12¢	$83	0x075dd9…
05-13 17:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,250	2¢	$25	0x164f29…
05-13 17:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	465	21¢	$100	0x8b2d2c…
05-13 17:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	454	75¢	$340	0x649671…
05-13 17:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	454	22¢	$100	0x7bb0bb…
05-13 17:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x2b58f6…
05-13 17:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x138184…
05-13 17:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xeae5e2…
05-12 19:35:10	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	185	5¢	$10	0x3f48da…
05-12 04:10:33	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	436	2¢	$7	0x77c86e…
05-11 03:10:10	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xb6ddcb…
05-09 08:13:31	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	526	1¢	$3	0x15a88a…
05-06 17:21:26	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	67	6¢	$4	0x5ac0ee…
05-06 05:10:00	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0xdba181…
05-05 18:41:04	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	97	96¢	$93	0x679039…
05-05 17:18:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd48196…
05-05 16:59:20	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	97	83¢	$80	0x52dc67…
05-05 03:41:16	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xd8df67…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	27	$42.7K	902	06-04 16:01
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	23	$42.0K	161	06-09 15:50
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17	19	$28.3K	2,705	05-25 04:40
(anonymous) 0x3375…a69c	19	$11.6K	1,543	05-25 04:40
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	19	$10.1K	1,806	05-25 04:39
Weird-Peak 0x9f5f…a008	19	$9.17K	927	05-25 04:38
(anonymous) 0xd9ca…f253	19	$7.10K	1,339	05-25 04:40
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	19	$6.61K	610	05-25 04:39