Incompatible-Scenario — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$452

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

74.8%

Resolved

2,176

Trades

2,767

lifetime

Volume

$31.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-01-22

last 11-02 15:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 198 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 51% +$188

Other

24% 54% +$275

Sports

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes		+24	$10	44¢	$11	+$1	11-01 14:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12PM ET	2	$678	626	626	+0	Down	+$78	10-09 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5AM ET	2	$633	528	528	+0	Down	+$133	10-17 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12PM ET	3	$463	1,013	1,013	+0	Down	+$63	10-12 16:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 05:45 UTC	2	$350	268	268	+0	Down	+$150	09-27 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6AM ET	3	$323	375	375	+0	Up	+$23	10-23 10:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 12:15 UTC	2	$272	308	293	+15	Down	+$83	04-01 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$268	304	304	+0	Up	+$68	10-15 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5AM ET	3	$264	293	282	+11	Down	+$34	10-20 09:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12PM ET	2	$260	228	228	+0	Up	+$40	10-20 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10AM ET	2	$259	225	225	+0	Up	+$39	10-11 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9AM ET	5	$257	290	290	+0	Down	+$17	10-03 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11AM ET	3	$250	320	320	+0	Down	-$22	10-09 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10AM ET	2	$249	250	250	+0	Down	+$49	10-05 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12PM ET	2	$241	183	183	+0	Down	+$41	10-15 16:26
bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 11am et	3	$239	213	213	+0	Up	+$39	07-15 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10AM ET	2	$239	208	208	+0	Up	+$19	10-06 14:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 12:30 UTC	2	$236	200	200	+0	Down	+$36	09-26 12:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 02:45 UTC	2	$232	228	228	+0	Up	+$32	06-25 02:50
bitcoin up or down october 17 2026 6am et	2	$231	208	208	+0	Up	+$11	10-17 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2AM ET	2	$229	230	230	+0	Up	+$29	10-23 06:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$227	193	193	+0	Up	+$27	09-26 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12PM ET	2	$219	233	233	+0	Up	+$19	10-05 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7AM ET	2	$217	198	198	+0	Up	+$17	10-23 11:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 18:15 UTC	2	$217	192	192	+0	Down	+$17	07-04 18:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 11:00 UTC	2	$216	186	183	+3	Up	+$33	03-27 11:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 13:00 UTC	4	$215	226	224	+3	Up	+$80	03-18 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11AM ET	2	$213	210	210	+0	Down	+$13	10-05 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	2	$212	200	200	+0	Up	+$12	10-23 11:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3AM ET	2	$204	192	192	+0	Up	+$4	10-17 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6AM ET	2	$140	115	115	+0	Down	+$20	10-02 10:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 15:10:54	Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x1b352a…
11-02 15:10:25	Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xdb1b59…
11-02 14:31:58	Will FC Lorient win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x7cd004…
11-02 14:31:09	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xb21444…
11-02 14:30:49	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xeb0ede…
11-02 14:30:00	RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x51ad6f…
11-02 14:28:58	Al-Ittihad Club vs. Al Ain FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x068fa5…
11-02 14:27:42	Will Al Qadsiah win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x31fd8e…
11-02 14:26:13	Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x8bb3cd…
11-02 14:22:06	Al Sadd SC vs. Al Ahli Saudi FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xac54e8…
11-01 18:31:52	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x90eaca…
11-01 18:31:46	Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd28455…
11-01 18:31:19	Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xb13a82…
11-01 18:30:48	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xfee3ff…
11-01 18:25:07	Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x4757ef…
11-01 17:34:43	Will SK Rapid win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	11	81¢	$9	0x410a22…
11-01 17:33:03	Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	24	77¢	$19	0x5fdc3e…
11-01 16:53:24	Will FC Lugano win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	15	77¢	$12	0x3e0f9d…
11-01 16:50:06	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x573c90…
11-01 16:33:09	Panathinaikos Athens vs. AEK Athens: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xf6b4f7…
11-01 16:32:52	Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xea9918…
11-01 16:32:40	Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x47b0ec…
11-01 16:32:21	Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1706a6…
11-01 16:31:51	Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x1208de…
11-01 16:31:30	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x6ff424…
11-01 16:31:03	Will SK Rapid win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf6bb05…
11-01 16:29:21	Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x0870a4…
11-01 16:23:28	Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	8	31¢	$3	0x996511…
11-01 15:48:45	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	43	91¢	$40	0x9f328f…
11-01 15:31:00	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x17699e…
11-01 15:28:09	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	10	74¢	$8	0x7c0c39…
11-01 15:07:27	Will FC Lugano win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xa9f9e9…
11-01 15:04:39	Ferencvarosi Budapest vs. Paksi FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xaea5fa…
11-01 15:02:15	Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x884195…
11-01 15:01:30	Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xdfe047…
11-01 14:53:09	Kasımpaşa SK vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x10ceb9…
11-01 14:51:52	Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x0df8b8…
11-01 14:47:30	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xa1207c…
11-01 14:47:15	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x61a35b…
11-01 14:38:43	Trabzonspor vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	18	12¢	$2	0x0232ec…
11-01 14:33:03	1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xf20a54…
11-01 14:22:28	Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xc7fdbb…
11-01 13:59:28	RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x8c1f37…
11-01 13:52:01	Will FC Twente win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x3f85df…
11-01 13:51:40	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	12	75¢	$9	0x70f7da…
11-01 13:51:12	Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	19	91¢	$17	0xd96f22…
11-01 13:10:39	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	66	89¢	$59	0xbd7353…
11-01 12:30:42	Frosinone Calcio vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x371245…
11-01 12:30:18	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd9965f…
11-01 12:30:00	SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x9752e3…
11-01 12:29:37	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x7e12e6…
11-01 12:28:46	Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x4e7998…
11-01 12:27:10	Trabzonspor vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x4043e1…
11-01 12:25:58	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x765f8b…
11-01 12:25:45	Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3a1320…
11-01 12:21:58	Will Sivasspor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	11¢	$2	0x713256…
11-01 12:10:25	Will Sivasspor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x3c0103…
11-01 10:38:19	Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xfe0e0b…
11-01 10:38:04	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x786a87…
11-01 10:36:09	Will Sivasspor win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x15db2e…
11-01 10:35:31	Will PFK CSKA Moskva win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xaaca86…
11-01 10:33:21	Amed Sportif vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x28bb71…
10-31 18:47:48	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0xaef3ff…
10-31 18:18:51	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x3d3c9a…
10-31 18:13:25	Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0x6ac360…
10-31 16:58:33	Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xfaf03a…
10-31 16:58:07	Will Olympiacos Piraeus win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xeb807f…
10-31 16:51:36	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	23	91¢	$21	0x1aa0e9…
10-31 15:58:36	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	16	84¢	$13	0xf10fd8…
10-31 15:53:54	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xbef7ad…
10-31 14:54:42	Udinese Calcio vs. AS Roma: AS Roma O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xfb2031…
10-31 14:54:21	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x3e5730…
10-31 14:53:45	FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x09cb25…
10-31 14:44:34	AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x2b012b…
10-31 14:44:04	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xbe6990…
10-31 14:43:52	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xad2c28…
10-31 14:43:10	Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa6c32c…
10-31 14:42:51	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xedfe81…
10-31 14:42:40	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x2f51f5…
10-31 14:42:22	Hull City AFC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xeb38c8…
10-31 14:36:39	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x084b2b…
10-31 14:34:58	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xbc1043…
10-31 14:05:43	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0xc63dbc…
10-31 13:41:51	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0xf69ba1…
10-31 13:35:36	FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x939ef7…
10-31 13:34:57	Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x34667d…
10-31 13:30:57	Will FC Twente win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x2de9b5…
10-31 13:27:24	Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Monza: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x00df87…
10-31 12:11:21	Will Qarabag FK win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xf4da96…
10-31 12:09:39	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x01c6e1…
10-31 12:09:27	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x5f4d57…
10-31 12:08:40	Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x042c65…
10-31 12:06:15	Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x1aee80…
10-31 12:06:03	Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe77206…
10-31 10:51:27	Will Çorum FK win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xd7d8ad…
10-31 10:48:52	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x94e59c…
10-31 10:48:34	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xc56c3b…
10-30 17:48:34	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xd13727…
10-30 15:02:07	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xbc95d4…
10-30 15:01:27	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xbb08a1…