Incompatible-Scenario — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,659

lifetime

Volume

$15.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 07-16 14:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 59% $-1

Other

20% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1775045700	2	$272	308	293	+15	open	—	04-01 12:22
bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 11am et	3	$239	213	213	+0	open	—	07-15 15:23
btc updown 15m 1782355500	2	$232	228	228	+0	open	—	06-25 02:50
btc updown 15m 1783188900	2	$217	192	192	+0	open	—	07-04 18:16
btc updown 15m 1774609200	2	$216	186	183	+3	open	—	03-27 11:11
btc updown 15m 1773838800	4	$215	226	224	+3	open	—	03-18 13:09
btc updown 15m 1783092600	2	$135	117	117	+0	open	—	07-03 15:38
bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 5am et	2	$133	103	103	+0	open	—	07-09 09:45
btc updown 15m 1783491300	2	$130	152	152	+0	open	—	07-08 06:24
btc updown 15m 1782187200	3	$128	124	124	+0	open	—	06-23 04:04
btc updown 15m 1782051300	2	$126	102	102	+0	open	—	06-21 14:17
btc updown 15m 1783305000	2	$125	131	131	+0	open	—	07-06 02:34
bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 9am et	2	$123	143	143	+0	open	—	07-15 13:45
btc updown 15m 1783954800	2	$123	119	119	+0	open	—	07-13 15:02
btc updown 15m 1776592800	4	$122	122	116	+6	open	—	04-19 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET	2	$121	140	140	+0	open	—	05-14 16:51
btc updown 15m 1783610100	2	$115	91	91	+0	open	—	07-09 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$113	106	102	+4	open	—	04-25 13:39
btc updown 15m 1783585800	2	$113	109	109	+0	open	—	07-09 08:38
btc updown 15m 1783489500	2	$112	111	111	+0	open	—	07-08 05:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	2	$112	103	103	+0	Up	+$5	05-14 04:04
btc updown 15m 1782351000	2	$112	100	100	+0	open	—	06-25 01:32
btc updown 15m 1781976600	2	$111	99	99	+0	open	—	06-20 17:32
btc updown 15m 1783587600	2	$109	99	99	+0	open	—	07-09 09:02
bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 5am et	2	$106	111	111	+0	open	—	07-16 09:48
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 3pt5	2	$101	62	62	+0	open	—	07-04 00:44
btc updown 15m 1782315000	1	$100	294	0	+294	open	—	06-24 15:34
bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 7am et	2	$94	105	105	+0	open	—	07-16 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$82	76	76	+0	Down	+$27	05-13 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	2	$78	68	68	+0	open	—	05-01 11:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 14:00:34	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	115	46¢	$53	0x45e38c…
07-16 13:02:44	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x4aa5ae…
07-16 11:40:58	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	105	52¢	$55	0x577c2d…
07-16 11:22:35	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0x3e36ae…
07-16 10:01:50	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xca1913…
07-16 09:48:53	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	111	50¢	$56	0x8d6fcc…
07-16 09:38:20	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x03f5aa…
07-15 15:23:37	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 11am et	Down	SELL	197	66¢	$130	0xefdad1…
07-15 15:16:07	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 11am et	Down	SELL	16	60¢	$10	0x6112c2…
07-15 15:09:31	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xd591b8…
07-15 14:00:55	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xb51037…
07-15 13:45:44	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 9am et	Down	SELL	143	51¢	$73	0xf3b934…
07-15 13:03:11	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0xe8c055…
07-15 12:37:28	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x303b26…
07-15 12:20:32	btc updown 15m 1784117700	Down	SELL	22	69¢	$15	0xad0801…
07-15 12:15:52	btc updown 15m 1784117700	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xba1c67…
07-13 15:27:01	btc updown 15m 1783955700	Down	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0xcacb25…
07-13 15:17:34	btc updown 15m 1783955700	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x0e6c5b…
07-13 15:02:19	btc updown 15m 1783954800	Down	SELL	119	61¢	$73	0xe6efa4…
07-13 15:01:13	btc updown 15m 1783954800	Down	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x5602a0…
07-13 14:48:07	btc updown 15m 1783953900	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x100483…
07-13 13:47:52	btc updown 15m 1783950300	Down	SELL	23	54¢	$12	0xea64c0…
07-13 13:47:11	btc updown 15m 1783950300	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x2dca6c…
07-13 13:08:23	btc updown 15m 1783947600	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x43e55e…
07-12 10:29:43	btc updown 15m 1783852200	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xea9ff9…
07-12 02:13:40	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xbbb249…
07-11 12:45:41	btc updown 15m 1783773900	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x71b350…
07-11 10:20:14	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x826acc…
07-11 10:19:25	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb67531…
07-10 15:35:56	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x430261…
07-10 14:51:14	btc updown 15m 1783694700	Down	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x342cb2…
07-10 14:41:49	btc updown 15m 1783694700	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb6c019…
07-10 14:20:47	btc updown 15m 1783692900	Down	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x8a3022…
07-10 14:14:52	btc updown 15m 1783692900	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa468ed…
07-09 21:33:01	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0xe6a8c6…
07-09 15:54:04	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals kylian mbappe gte1	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd4dc39…
07-09 15:52:04	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe00173…
07-09 15:35:34	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 11am et	Down	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xdf55c9…
07-09 15:19:52	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9081cf…
07-09 15:17:26	btc updown 15m 1783610100	Down	SELL	91	72¢	$65	0x1172e2…
07-09 15:16:44	btc updown 15m 1783610100	Down	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x9513d7…
07-09 14:48:02	btc updown 15m 1783608300	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x7d709f…
07-09 09:45:20	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	103	80¢	$83	0xee3543…
07-09 09:30:53	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	103	48¢	$50	0xac95b6…
07-09 09:02:53	btc updown 15m 1783587600	Up	SELL	99	59¢	$59	0xaeb86c…
07-09 09:01:49	btc updown 15m 1783587600	Up	BUY	99	50¢	$50	0x733578…
07-09 08:38:26	btc updown 15m 1783585800	Up	SELL	109	58¢	$63	0xd55701…
07-09 08:31:28	btc updown 15m 1783585800	Up	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x3a5d96…
07-09 08:18:02	btc updown 15m 1783584900	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x4b4cb9…
07-09 08:01:37	btc updown 15m 1783584000	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xf742fa…
07-09 07:34:05	btc updown 15m 1783582200	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xead579…
07-09 07:18:47	btc updown 15m 1783581300	Up	SELL	25	74¢	$18	0x82c162…
07-09 07:17:01	btc updown 15m 1783581300	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x146962…
07-09 06:51:19	btc updown 15m 1783579500	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb16590…
07-08 06:24:26	btc updown 15m 1783491300	Up	SELL	152	53¢	$80	0x0fe8da…
07-08 06:18:20	btc updown 15m 1783491300	Up	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x0c1372…
07-08 06:03:04	btc updown 15m 1783490400	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x9866cc…
07-08 05:47:16	btc updown 15m 1783489500	Down	SELL	111	56¢	$62	0x7490d9…
07-08 05:46:25	btc updown 15m 1783489500	Down	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x0dc15e…
07-08 03:46:46	btc updown 15m 1783482300	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x10f379…
07-08 03:40:49	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 11pm et	Down	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0xa66359…
07-08 03:39:28	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x3145ac…
07-07 13:50:25	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xaeffed…
07-06 02:34:40	btc updown 15m 1783305000	Down	SELL	131	57¢	$75	0x320fa7…
07-06 02:33:44	btc updown 15m 1783305000	Down	BUY	131	38¢	$50	0x3cd439…
07-06 02:16:10	btc updown 15m 1783304100	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x883b41…
07-06 01:42:29	btc updown 15m 1783301400	Down	SELL	35	40¢	$14	0x23e457…
07-06 01:33:14	btc updown 15m 1783301400	Down	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xcc578d…
07-06 01:14:04	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x9b5500…
07-05 15:51:17	btc updown 15m 1783266300	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xfdff59…
07-05 13:28:53	btc updown 15m 1783258200	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x73e84a…
07-04 18:16:16	btc updown 15m 1783188900	Down	SELL	192	61¢	$117	0xe304cb…
07-04 18:15:59	btc updown 15m 1783188900	Down	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x51f239…
07-04 17:17:13	btc updown 15m 1783185300	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x22155e…
07-04 17:15:10	btc updown 15m 1783185300	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xeeb490…
07-04 16:17:38	btc updown 15m 1783181700	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xc9e542…
07-04 15:56:04	btc updown 15m 1783179900	Down	SELL	29	48¢	$14	0x3ce11a…
07-04 15:54:50	btc updown 15m 1783179900	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xe3d005…
07-04 15:51:01	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x0ae41f…
07-04 15:29:59	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 btts	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x21b93a…
07-04 12:55:35	chi jin xin 2026 07 04 btts	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x233f75…
07-04 11:24:43	chi tie ton 2026 07 04 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x2926bd…
07-04 00:44:53	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	62	100¢	$61	0xfb9ffb…
07-03 15:38:59	btc updown 15m 1783092600	Down	SELL	117	67¢	$78	0xc0cd75…
07-03 15:29:29	btc updown 15m 1783092600	Down	BUY	117	48¢	$56	0xbe2477…
07-03 15:16:20	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x7e2262…
07-03 15:13:53	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	62	65¢	$40	0x6958ec…
07-03 12:46:50	btc updown 15m 1783082700	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xd1d5b3…
07-03 11:43:32	btc updown 15m 1783079100	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xac3286…
07-03 11:23:56	btc updown 15m 1783077300	Up	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x3e7dda…
07-03 11:15:07	btc updown 15m 1783077300	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x88a606…
07-03 11:06:17	btc updown 15m 1783076400	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xda32ca…
07-03 04:06:38	btc updown 15m 1783051200	Down	SELL	41	71¢	$29	0x41d1da…
07-03 04:01:55	btc updown 15m 1783051200	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xc8ebdd…
07-03 04:00:55	btc updown 15m 1783051200	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x8a20e9…
07-03 03:14:29	btc updown 15m 1783048500	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf4c83b…
07-03 02:50:28	btc updown 15m 1783046700	Up	SELL	22	78¢	$17	0xd2d6d4…
07-03 02:46:50	btc updown 15m 1783046700	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb27772…
07-02 16:06:43	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xbeb77a…
07-02 16:06:16	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x694a5b…