Crazy-Brush — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$72

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$104

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-24 15:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

87% 96% +$63

Politics

7% 100% +$8

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Tech

3% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No		+15	$15	100¢	$15	+$0	10-24 15:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?	1	$218	219	+219	No	+$1	06-02 07:22
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$217	218	+218	No	+$1	05-30 03:23
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	1	$216	217	+217	No	+$1	05-28 09:15
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$216	216	+216	No	+$0	05-25 08:15
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 3?	1	$215	216	+216	No	+$1	05-19 09:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	1	$209	209	+209	Yes	+$0	05-16 06:33
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	1	$208	215	+215	No	+$7	05-17 07:46
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$208	208	+208	No	+$0	05-06 06:54
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$208	208	+208	No	+$0	05-14 08:01
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$207	208	+208	No	+$1	05-04 07:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$206	206	+206	Yes	+$0	04-29 02:51
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	1	$206	207	+207	No	+$1	04-22 09:14
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	1	$198	198	+198	No	+$0	04-02 07:04
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	1	$197	206	+206	No	+$9	04-20 06:32
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 220 239	1	$197	197	+197	No	+$0	04-13 08:57
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 180 199	1	$197	197	+197	No	+$0	04-12 07:37
will mrbeasts next video get less than 56 million views on day 3 749	1	$196	196	+196	No	+$0	04-07 02:22
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 220 239	1	$189	190	+190	No	+$1	03-26 08:27
elon musk of tweets march 2026 960 999	1	$189	189	+189	No	+$0	03-22 08:04
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 0 39	1	$187	187	+187	No	+$1	02-15 08:31
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 300 319	1	$186	186	+186	No	+$0	02-02 07:31
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 460 479	1	$182	183	+183	No	+$1	01-19 11:26
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 460 479	1	$182	182	+182	No	+$0	01-11 08:48
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$181	182	+182	Yes	+$1	01-30 11:21
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$180	181	+181	Yes	+$1	01-26 10:51
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 65 89	1	$179	182	+182	No	+$3	01-08 02:56
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 0 39	1	$178	179	+179	No	+$1	03-10 02:31
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 200 219	1	$178	178	+178	No	+$0	01-03 09:22
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 0 39	1	$177	177	+177	No	+$0	03-13 08:57
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 20 39	1	$150	150	+150	No	+$0	03-04 08:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 15:59:51	Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x223bd1…
09-23 12:41:43	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3d16b5…
08-22 01:57:27	will xrp dip to 0pt4 in august 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb7b199…
07-27 05:53:24	macron out by july 31 2026 20260626155530286	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x63ee8e…
06-16 01:55:52	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	No	BUY	129	99¢	$128	0x379534…
06-15 03:04:33	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	110	79¢	$87	0x03ad33…
06-11 06:36:21	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 14 2026	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$99	0xf5862e…
06-02 07:22:41	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	219	99¢	$218	0xbad5e2…
05-30 03:23:02	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	218	100¢	$217	0x836581…
05-28 09:15:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	217	100¢	$216	0x268db1…
05-25 08:15:20	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	216	100¢	$216	0x2bef21…
05-19 09:00:48	Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	216	100¢	$215	0xc3a7e2…
05-17 07:46:56	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	215	97¢	$208	0xe6a498…
05-16 06:33:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	209	100¢	$209	0x92ac35…
05-14 08:01:18	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	208	100¢	$208	0x3cb7c7…
05-09 08:48:42	Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xa771be…
05-09 08:48:35	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x38e934…
05-06 06:54:44	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	208	100¢	$208	0xa09b57…
05-04 07:25:14	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	208	100¢	$207	0x1a30dd…
04-30 08:57:10	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x5eeaee…
04-30 08:57:04	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb45a69…
04-29 02:51:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0xf6dd63…
04-22 09:14:02	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	No	BUY	207	100¢	$206	0xcf3c79…
04-20 06:32:32	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	No	BUY	206	96¢	$197	0x0fa4da…
04-13 08:57:33	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 220 239	No	BUY	197	100¢	$197	0xbb3677…
04-12 07:37:53	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 180 199	No	BUY	197	100¢	$197	0x58c383…
04-07 02:22:17	will mrbeasts next video get less than 56 million views on day 3 749	No	BUY	196	100¢	$196	0xbf80de…
04-07 02:02:35	will mrbeasts next video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$2	0xc41fc1…
04-02 07:04:13	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	No	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0x34ae0c…
03-30 09:42:36	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2f1e8b…
03-30 09:42:30	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x4c6f05…
03-26 08:27:05	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 220 239	No	BUY	190	100¢	$189	0x2cf83b…
03-22 08:04:51	elon musk of tweets march 2026 960 999	No	BUY	189	100¢	$189	0xfcea65…
03-17 08:39:59	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	No	BUY	84	95¢	$79	0x0dad54…
03-16 11:27:33	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x3197c4…
03-16 11:27:19	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xac77be…
03-16 11:27:09	no change in bank of englands interest rates after march 2026 meeting 453	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xda1b50…
03-16 11:26:51	no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x982685…
03-16 11:26:45	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb59630…
03-16 11:26:37	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x1a92a1…
03-16 11:26:31	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	No	BUY	79	94¢	$75	0xe8e256…
03-13 08:57:49	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x08ddc8…
03-13 08:57:41	elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 0 39	No	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0xce955e…
03-13 08:57:29	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 13	Yes	BUY	627	0¢	$2	0x130b21…
03-10 02:31:45	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x423c2e…
03-10 02:31:37	will elon musk be richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xf1453d…
03-10 02:31:27	elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 0 39	No	BUY	179	99¢	$178	0xbd9e38…
03-04 08:50:39	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe2c64b…
03-04 08:50:33	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x538c68…
03-04 08:50:17	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xc6b44b…
03-04 08:50:01	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 20 39	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x4e899b…
02-28 09:35:23	will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xeea8c5…
02-28 09:35:13	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x239972…
02-28 09:34:57	will elon musks net worth be between 660b and 670b on february 28	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbe0534…
02-28 09:34:43	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 28	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x67bb4a…
02-28 09:34:35	deepseek v4 released by february 28	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa048d7…
02-28 09:34:27	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x4ce4f3…
02-28 09:34:17	will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xb41d89…
02-28 09:34:09	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xce0631…
02-28 09:34:01	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0xbfbc3e…
02-15 08:31:23	elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 0 39	No	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0xe4b1d1…
02-05 03:00:39	will the ecb announce no change at the february 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x64d5b3…
02-05 03:00:33	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 160 179	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xbc60c9…
02-02 07:31:06	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 300 319	No	BUY	186	100¢	$186	0x5adc31…
01-30 11:21:58	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	182	99¢	$181	0xa4fbc2…
01-26 10:52:45	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xad418b…
01-26 10:51:51	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	181	99¢	$180	0xb6ce7c…
01-25 02:44:12	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 280 299	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xb5b6fc…
01-25 02:43:02	will grok 4pt20 be released on january 24 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x368104…
01-25 02:42:56	elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 0 39	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xef06ee…
01-19 11:26:42	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 460 479	No	BUY	183	100¢	$182	0x6bad64…
01-11 08:48:02	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 460 479	No	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0x75fa54…
01-08 02:56:09	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 65 89	No	BUY	182	98¢	$179	0xb10a97…
01-03 09:22:57	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 200 219	No	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0x876ae1…