Far-Flung-Downstairs — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.0%

Resolved

Trades

137

lifetime

Volume

$2.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 06-13 15:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

50% — —

Other

44% 33% $-1

Politics

3% — —

Pop-Culture

3% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	11	$224	260	320	-60	open	—	03-31 07:09
btc updown 5m 1771772100	2	$199	101	101	+0	open	—	02-22 15:00
Will Bernie say "Coffee" in Maine?	4	$146	100	100	+0	open	—	05-23 15:28
highest temperature in beijing on march 30 2026 18c	7	$137	100	100	+0	open	—	03-30 06:42
Will Bernie say "Nuclear" in Maine?	9	$136	84	93	-9	open	—	05-24 15:56
GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launch	2	$126	100	100	+0	open	—	05-31 06:26
Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch	2	$124	120	120	+0	open	—	05-29 07:26
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	9	$115	113	113	+0	open	—	05-09 16:47
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$100	60	60	+0	No	$-1	05-03 10:08
btc updown 5m 1771896900	2	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	02-24 01:40
Will "Scary Movie" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	4	$100	60	60	+0	open	—	06-02 20:38
will nathalie sinclair desgagn win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	3	$82	112	112	+0	open	—	03-25 00:48
Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	3	$73	80	70	+10	Yes	+$8	05-05 01:28
btc updown 5m 1771630200	2	$62	36	36	+0	open	—	02-20 23:35
Will US Foods (USFD) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$58	40	40	+0	No	$-1	05-02 07:36
btc updown 5m 1771629300	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	02-20 23:20
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 40 64	5	$54	40	40	+0	open	—	03-25 05:26
btc updown 5m 1772014200	2	$51	32	31	+0	open	—	02-25 10:15
btc updown 5m 1771546500	2	$48	27	27	+0	open	—	02-20 00:20
btc updown 5m 1771894500	2	$44	24	24	+0	open	—	02-24 01:00
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	2	$42	120	120	+0	open	—	03-25 12:32
btc updown 5m 1772015100	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	02-25 10:30
btc updown 5m 1771545900	2	$34	22	21	+0	open	—	02-20 00:10
Will Wendy's (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$29	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	05-02 00:38
btc updown 5m 1771631700	1	$27	31	0	+31	open	—	02-20 23:59
3Jane FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$27	16	16	+0	open	—	06-10 12:28
btc updown 5m 1771376100	1	$25	27	0	+27	open	—	02-18 00:59
btc updown 5m 1771482000	2	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	02-19 06:25
btc updown 5m 1771480800	2	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	02-19 06:06
btc updown 5m 1771480500	2	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	02-19 06:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 15:03:49	btc updown 5m 1781362800	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0592d1…
06-10 12:28:27	3Jane FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	16	80¢	$13	0x7427bb…
06-02 20:38:21	Will "Scary Movie" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	13	89¢	$12	0x928412…
06-02 11:00:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x0a9b8b…
06-02 05:49:14	3Jane FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0x96bd22…
06-01 15:50:07	Will "Scary Movie" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0x84cb5d…
06-01 08:08:33	Will "Scary Movie" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	35	74¢	$26	0x646b95…
05-31 12:52:11	Will "Scary Movie" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	60	88¢	$53	0xaff270…
05-31 06:26:03	GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launch	Yes	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0x92e97f…
05-29 08:38:50	GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launch	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x5cc1c6…
05-29 07:26:39	Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch	No	SELL	120	51¢	$61	0x16e41e…
05-29 07:18:57	Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch	No	BUY	120	52¢	$62	0x3a6ef8…
05-24 15:56:27	Will Bernie say "Nuclear" in Maine?	No	SELL	44	82¢	$36	0x098ee4…
05-24 15:41:43	Will Bernie say "Nuclear" in Maine?	No	SELL	30	28¢	$8	0x50eb83…
05-24 15:16:47	Will Bernie say "Nuclear" in Maine?	No	BUY	66	88¢	$58	0xeb7882…
05-24 09:31:18	Will Bernie say "Nuclear" in Maine?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xca3f93…
05-24 05:01:29	Will Bernie say "Nuclear" in Maine?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x5a78f8…
05-23 18:36:28	Will Bernie say "Nuclear" in Maine?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x62bba5…
05-23 15:28:29	Will Bernie say "Coffee" in Maine?	No	SELL	48	65¢	$32	0xa4c37d…
05-23 10:46:51	Will Bernie say "Coffee" in Maine?	No	SELL	42	72¢	$30	0x1b1b20…
05-23 06:47:34	Will Bernie say "Coffee" in Maine?	No	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0xb43e2f…
05-23 04:57:52	Will Bernie say "Coffee" in Maine?	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xc67148…
05-23 00:13:35	Will Bernie say "Nuclear" in Maine?	No	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x99c7a7…
05-23 00:08:29	Will Bernie say "Nuclear" in Maine?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x9444ad…
05-23 00:05:34	Will Bernie say "Nuclear" in Maine?	No	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x400391…
05-15 06:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	78¢	$4	0x3b4831…
05-15 06:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x8f6262…
05-15 06:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa7b4bb…
05-15 06:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x62ea1b…
05-15 06:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0xdf52a6…
05-15 06:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x70a15b…
05-15 06:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2683c4…
05-15 06:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xc25a65…
05-15 06:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5ebbd0…
05-09 16:47:30	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	21	54¢	$11	0x3a0612…
05-09 08:50:58	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0x3e874c…
05-09 07:25:41	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xb807a1…
05-09 05:21:56	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	33	69¢	$23	0x748b85…
05-08 16:59:05	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0x88f2cf…
05-08 16:48:21	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x7e9fae…
05-08 15:59:51	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x22ff64…
05-08 15:54:56	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	46	28¢	$13	0x4d2c5d…
05-08 12:33:48	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x16c73e…
05-05 01:28:08	Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	70	51¢	$35	0x0638d2…
05-05 00:53:14	Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0xae1e26…
05-04 09:18:58	Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x33fdb1…
05-03 10:08:10	Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0x8801d2…
05-03 06:15:52	Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x0eec37…
05-03 02:22:10	Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0x85ac43…
05-02 23:23:58	Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x0393ca…
05-02 17:06:22	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in May 2026?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xc85160…
05-02 13:58:36	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in May 2026?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xe642eb…
05-02 07:36:06	Will US Foods (USFD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	40	72¢	$29	0xb350ec…
05-02 07:34:08	Will US Foods (USFD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xf7be77…
05-02 07:16:10	Will US Foods (USFD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xe87a8d…
05-02 00:38:24	Will Wendy's (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	13	72¢	$9	0x4942d1…
05-01 23:31:16	Will Wendy's (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0xa373a7…
05-01 06:15:26	Will Wendy's (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x89b875…
05-01 01:43:10	Will Wendy's (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xa37ede…
03-31 07:09:51	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	Yes	SELL	35	38¢	$13	0x1d3c1b…
03-31 06:55:13	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	Yes	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x300a74…
03-31 06:55:11	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x8a1641…
03-31 06:55:11	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	Yes	SELL	13	32¢	$4	0x5c8b50…
03-30 07:33:30	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	Yes	BUY	60	45¢	$27	0xcbde0f…
03-30 06:42:14	highest temperature in beijing on march 30 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x615252…
03-30 06:42:12	highest temperature in beijing on march 30 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x597f25…
03-30 06:42:06	highest temperature in beijing on march 30 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	41	74¢	$30	0x95032b…
03-30 06:36:04	highest temperature in beijing on march 30 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x9b4701…
03-30 06:08:48	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	Yes	SELL	64	36¢	$23	0x687f82…
03-30 06:07:56	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	Yes	SELL	36	36¢	$13	0xedc293…
03-30 06:02:00	highest temperature in beijing on march 30 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0x7e2038…
03-30 05:53:52	highest temperature in beijing on march 30 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0x2e0e53…
03-30 05:53:50	highest temperature in beijing on march 30 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0x9dd2de…
03-30 04:58:18	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xfa7769…
03-30 04:55:22	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	Yes	SELL	144	39¢	$57	0xd0ee3e…
03-30 04:54:20	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	Yes	SELL	16	39¢	$6	0x4e0b49…
03-30 04:48:46	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x399c90…
03-25 12:32:11	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	SELL	120	10¢	$12	0xabac60…
03-25 05:26:15	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 40 64	Yes	SELL	13	69¢	$9	0xd5d83e…
03-25 05:25:11	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 40 64	Yes	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x2b2c74…
03-25 05:24:29	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 40 64	Yes	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x85c9b8…
03-25 02:11:33	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0x61767d…
03-25 00:48:57	will nathalie sinclair desgagn win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	SELL	112	37¢	$41	0x2bcb7f…
03-25 00:45:13	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 40 64	Yes	BUY	28	65¢	$18	0xe41bc0…
03-25 00:45:13	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 40 64	Yes	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xb64f7a…
03-24 10:02:41	will nathalie sinclair desgagn win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	85	36¢	$31	0x3046b6…
03-24 10:02:41	will nathalie sinclair desgagn win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x04e12e…
02-25 10:34:40	btc updown 5m 1772015400	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x33138a…
02-25 10:30:08	btc updown 5m 1772015100	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x3c5af2…
02-25 10:29:42	btc updown 5m 1772015100	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x100f64…
02-25 10:15:08	btc updown 5m 1772014200	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xb9e949…
02-25 10:14:36	btc updown 5m 1772014200	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x0bb0c7…
02-24 01:40:14	btc updown 5m 1771896900	Down	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x673b81…
02-24 01:39:10	btc updown 5m 1771896900	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x569d9f…
02-24 01:00:10	btc updown 5m 1771894500	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xa3ff95…
02-24 00:59:38	btc updown 5m 1771894500	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x14e5bc…
02-22 15:04:54	btc updown 5m 1771772400	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xb3a096…
02-22 15:00:12	btc updown 5m 1771772100	Down	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x124550…
02-22 14:59:14	btc updown 5m 1771772100	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x082fb0…
02-21 00:15:08	btc updown 5m 1771632600	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x45f8dc…