Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$423

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

22.5%

Resolved

789

Trades

2,145

lifetime

Volume

$17.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-09 04:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Other

69% 13% -$354

Politics

20% 13% -$33

Tech

7% 17% -$9

Sports

3% 10% -$15

Crypto

1% 17% -$4

Pop-Culture

1% 14% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	9	$294	250	200	+50	No	$0	07-25 03:48
iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	19	$222	500	500	+0	No	-$2	07-22 14:17
moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	8	$203	111	111	+0	Yes	-$5	07-24 07:16
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	6	$193	150	150	+0	Yes	+$0	08-10 01:33
will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	4	$193	100	100	+0	No	+$0	08-08 02:03
Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?	4	$183	100	100	+0	No	-$1	08-04 05:10
will procter gamble say insolvency during earnings call 20260717164206377	6	$170	90	90	+0	No	-$1	07-27 12:11
will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	11	$167	202	202	+0	No	+$0	08-30 09:04
Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?	7	$150	81	81	+0	No	$0	08-18 14:28
will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	9	$138	121	121	+0	No	$0	08-09 08:13
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	10	$135	130	130	+0	Yes	$0	08-28 08:47
will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	14	$120	140	140	+0	No	-$1	07-27 10:20
tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	8	$116	66	66	+0	No	$0	08-04 05:09
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	10	$116	86	86	+0	Yes	$0	09-19 10:23
wti closes above 83 on august 26 2026	6	$114	60	60	+0	No	-$1	08-26 13:46
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	11	$106	299	299	+0	Yes	-$1	07-20 10:24
andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	14	$103	239	239	+0	No	-$1	07-27 11:55
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	6	$103	150	150	+0	Yes	+$0	07-26 10:30
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	8	$100	150	150	+0	No	-$1	08-31 01:15
israel closes its airspace by august 15	6	$100	150	150	+0	No	$0	08-09 11:07
will benjamin netanyahu be arrested by september 30 20260720194516250	4	$100	100	100	+0	No	$0	07-23 12:45
will the gta 6 extended look be at least 5 minutes long 20260807064756490	4	$99	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	08-23 05:45
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	4	$99	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	08-02 14:46
Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?	5	$99	100	56	+44	Yes	+$1	08-05 07:19
will dana white attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630258	4	$99	100	100	+0	No	$0	08-07 08:45
Will LAPTOP not launch by December 31?	4	$98	100	100	+0	No	$0	09-09 05:43
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,800?	4	$98	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	09-09 05:43
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	4	$98	100	100	+0	No	-$1	08-04 10:58
will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by december 31 2026 20260715004553752	4	$97	150	50	+100	Yes	+$0	07-28 18:16
will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	4	$97	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	08-03 12:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 04:14:27	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19?	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x871dbd…
10-06 00:15:41	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x7dd159…
10-05 11:44:56	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31?	No	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xc79017…
10-05 11:44:38	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x63a03c…
10-05 11:44:32	Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xc5f840…
10-05 11:44:25	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x46b0b6…
10-05 11:42:17	will ewy reach 190 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x4db335…
10-05 10:26:23	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xbb1a4f…
10-05 10:06:22	Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x4f6884…
10-05 09:08:29	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31?	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x821712…
10-05 08:22:26	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026?	No	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x191111…
10-05 08:22:14	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xd2d43a…
10-05 05:50:32	will spy reach 770 by october 5 2026	Yes	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x81c95e…
10-05 05:25:28	will spy reach 770 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x451456…
10-05 05:24:13	will pltr reach 189 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xb599f7…
10-05 05:18:40	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x563229…
10-05 05:05:58	will msft reach 517 50 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x99b317…
10-05 04:00:37	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x951884…
10-05 02:11:56	wti closes above 87 on october 5 2026	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x7c0bd9…
10-05 02:04:10	wti closes above 87 on october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x84821e…
10-05 02:04:07	wti closes above 87 on october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x416a9b…
10-04 12:28:25	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xc5150b…
10-04 12:28:17	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0x500080…
10-04 12:28:11	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 5	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x5ace3f…
10-04 11:16:59	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 5	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xad4534…
10-04 06:17:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x856de8…
10-04 05:23:07	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x7c2592…
10-04 05:20:35	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x5f1afd…
10-04 05:17:22	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x3a4523…
10-04 05:16:25	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xe17c1b…
10-04 05:15:01	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xdcf4b7…
10-04 03:59:05	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x502062…
10-04 03:47:40	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xbd75f4…
10-04 03:42:37	Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x6fcc92…
10-04 03:42:01	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x3f9193…
10-04 03:38:43	Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x3c3adf…
10-04 03:08:31	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x872cdb…
10-04 01:59:04	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xc6ab9d…
10-04 01:56:53	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xe5486f…
10-04 01:47:50	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x1d4c80…
10-04 01:42:50	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xe2b4e3…
10-04 01:42:44	Will Diego Lopes fight Charles Oliveira next?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xfaf813…
10-04 01:42:37	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x6f4196…
10-04 01:12:52	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x012833…
10-03 13:12:35	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2cbf29…
10-03 11:42:35	Will Diego Lopes fight Charles Oliveira next?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xb169a5…
10-03 05:59:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xe00f86…
10-03 05:48:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xe06cc4…
10-02 11:29:00	Will Nolo peak at Category 4?	Yes	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0xc94ed3…
10-02 08:52:56	Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x2b73a3…
10-02 07:47:17	Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x6f7460…
10-02 06:43:15	Will Nolo peak at Category 4?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x713331…
10-02 06:31:26	wti closes above 89 on october 2 2026	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x7e9ee1…
10-02 05:12:38	wti closes above 89 on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x2eb581…
10-02 04:46:39	Will Nolo peak at Category 4?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xadb207…
10-02 03:15:20	will googl reach 340 in october 2026	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x4fd14a…
10-02 03:15:14	will msft dip to 510 in october 2026	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x3f6e9f…
10-02 02:17:03	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $340 in October?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xd41823…
10-02 02:16:47	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x444aa7…
10-02 00:59:20	Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 10?	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x998801…
10-01 16:10:20	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xce0942…
10-01 14:30:11	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026?	No	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x8280b3…
10-01 13:43:24	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xcb0a94…
10-01 13:43:11	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 10?	No	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x880d41…
10-01 13:28:09	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 10?	No	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xd1381b…
10-01 12:34:33	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x4b9ad0…
10-01 12:34:24	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in October?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xe62921…
10-01 12:30:02	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in October?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xacc3cb…
10-01 10:54:11	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xac628e…
10-01 09:11:18	will meta dip to 740 in october 2026	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xe0dfb5…
10-01 07:36:57	will meta dip to 720 in october 2026	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x6465ef…
10-01 07:36:44	Will the Republican Party win the AR-03 House seat?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xfc95d7…
10-01 05:57:08	will meta dip to 720 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xe2de80…
10-01 05:56:59	will meta dip to 720 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x8aac73…
10-01 04:34:11	Will the Republican Party win the AR-03 House seat?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x73353d…
10-01 00:41:06	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x658f35…
10-01 00:41:06	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?	No	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x602b1f…
09-29 13:01:00	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x0228d5…
09-29 13:00:56	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x0ff305…
09-29 07:18:50	will patient zero hit 100m first week streams	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x012865…
09-29 07:18:32	wti up or down on september 28 2026	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6fddd7…
09-28 15:43:06	wti up or down on september 28 2026	Down	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x41c3e2…
09-28 13:30:02	will abnb dip to 156 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xe71938…
09-28 12:30:12	will pltr dip to 189 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x146e95…
09-28 12:17:00	will rklb reach 74 by september 28 2026	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x802ef1…
09-28 12:06:57	wti up or down on september 28 2026	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x11d168…
09-28 11:23:41	where will it rain on september 28 2026 seattle wa	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x0421a1…
09-28 11:22:33	will ewy dip to 187 by september 28 2026	No	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0x60ccbb…
09-28 11:22:17	Rain during the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x1378b3…
09-28 10:44:26	will ewy dip to 187 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0x59f2f7…
09-28 08:30:12	will ewy dip to 187 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x5f100e…
09-28 08:03:09	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 700k	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xa4f8e7…
09-28 08:01:08	will rklb dip to 62 by september 28 2026	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x53e0b8…
09-28 08:01:00	will ewy dip to 186 by september 28 2026	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x22ed00…
09-28 08:00:50	will ewy dip to 187 by september 28 2026	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xe39a70…
09-28 07:55:39	will ewy dip to 187 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x890a12…
09-28 07:24:11	will ewy dip to 186 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xfcc535…
09-28 06:37:23	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 700k	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xaca32c…
09-28 05:33:48	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 700k	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0x65e2e4…
09-28 05:31:24	will rklb dip to 62 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x492c84…