Definitive-Rambler — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.07K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.2%

Resolved

2,743

Trades

4,031

lifetime

Volume

$7.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 10-11 13:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 7% -$627

Other

10% 17% -$277

Politics

3% 0% -$161

Sports

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 64k february 2 8	2	$392	522	522	+0	Yes	+$130	02-05 15:24
will ethereum dip to 2000 in february 2026	2	$366	300	300	+0	Yes	+$90	02-03 18:43
will bitcoin dip to 70k february 2 8	2	$231	172	172	+0	Yes	+$31	02-05 04:25
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	3	$216	772	0	+772	No	-$216	02-05 15:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 15:00 UTC	4	$162	84	84	+0	Up	+$2	03-23 15:04
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	7	$153	1,378	1,378	+0	No	-$13	03-23 17:14
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	5	$128	382	382	+0	No	+$7	03-07 11:41
will bitcoin dip to 64k march 2 8	4	$126	206	206	+0	No	+$33	03-07 11:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 16:45 UTC	2	$124	64	64	+0	Up	+$3	03-23 16:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 15:55 UTC	4	$123	70	70	+0	Down	+$6	03-23 15:58
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	4	$115	509	0	+509	No	-$115	02-03 18:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 16:00 UTC	2	$109	59	59	+0	Up	+$4	03-23 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 15:45 UTC	3	$98	59	47	+12	Up	-$3	03-23 15:50
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	2	$94	207	207	+0	No	-$7	03-07 11:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 16:55 UTC	8	$87	62	61	+1	Down	+$7	03-23 17:00
will bitcoin dip to 80k january 26 1	2	$83	75	75	+0	Yes	+$49	01-31 16:59
will bitcoin dip to 76k january 26 1	2	$82	173	173	+0	Yes	+$68	01-31 18:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 17:05 UTC	4	$81	1,119	13	+1,105	Up	-$66	03-23 17:09
highest temperature in london on april 7 2026 19c	2	$71	193	187	+6	No	-$56	04-07 14:05
will bitcoin reach 76k march 2 8	5	$68	118	118	+0	No	+$28	03-04 16:05
will iran strike israel on march 6	9	$65	9,180	138	+9,042	No	-$41	03-11 08:53
will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	4	$64	303	55	+248	No	-$60	02-24 11:31
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	4	$60	200	200	+0	No	+$12	03-22 13:59
will bitcoin dip to 74k january 26 1	2	$58	325	325	+0	No	+$46	01-31 18:25
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	2	$54	313	0	+313	No	-$54	02-17 22:12
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 180 199	2	$50	1,461	1,389	+71	No	-$12	04-09 15:20
will ethereum reach 2800 in february 2026	2	$48	300	300	+0	No	-$12	02-10 15:48
will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	3	$47	84	84	+0	No	-$9	02-10 15:48
will bitcoin reach 80k february 2 8	1	$46	200	0	+200	No	-$46	02-03 18:55
will bitcoin dip to 78k january 26 1	2	$45	98	98	+0	Yes	+$31	01-31 17:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 13:48:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	467	1¢	$3	0x5fb792…
10-11 13:48:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,075	0¢	$4	0x38da3c…
10-11 13:47:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,100	0¢	$2	0x3310d7…
08-25 16:15:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	32	42¢	$13	0x901910…
08-25 16:11:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xef328b…
08-25 16:10:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x46dbc7…
08-25 16:10:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1fd409…
08-25 16:08:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x69a19c…
08-25 16:04:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xbc2bcc…
08-25 16:04:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xa4fd4c…
08-25 16:04:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x973422…
08-25 16:04:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x31d59f…
08-25 15:54:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x6c53cd…
08-25 15:48:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x3659e5…
08-25 15:44:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xd0fe04…
08-25 15:33:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xc32a76…
08-25 15:29:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xdd2c1a…
08-25 15:24:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x8da5bf…
08-25 15:19:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8aa0a1…
08-25 15:08:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 15:05 UTC	Down	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0xce8acc…
08-25 15:07:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa49b9f…
08-25 15:04:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbfc38d…
08-25 14:59:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbecd43…
08-24 05:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd22b8e…
08-24 05:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x4216e4…
08-24 05:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xfbd9a5…
08-24 05:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x62a531…
08-24 05:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x24a6a6…
08-24 04:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x4731cd…
08-24 04:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xf5f882…
08-24 04:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xa39a64…
08-24 04:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xbc3ffe…
08-24 04:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x3a8472…
08-24 04:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x9d5f5b…
08-24 04:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf482ac…
08-24 04:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3e2051…
08-24 04:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x84c994…
08-24 04:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb7230e…
08-24 04:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x5b1f6d…
08-24 04:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xc2873d…
08-23 16:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9d38b7…
08-23 16:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xba4a09…
08-23 16:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb14f92…
08-23 16:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa833e8…
08-10 04:40:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xbb9c69…
08-10 04:39:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x8868b8…
08-10 04:34:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xfab135…
08-10 04:29:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb8b1bb…
08-10 04:29:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xe9a963…
08-10 04:24:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xfa2405…
08-10 04:19:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xfc726c…
08-10 04:14:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x61b3b6…
08-10 04:09:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x5a4f8f…
08-05 05:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x5ba5ce…
08-05 04:54:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x6eebe5…
08-05 04:50:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x1a1b07…
08-05 04:39:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xc2fe5c…
08-05 04:34:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	98	0¢	$0	0x7a7be8…
08-05 04:34:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x2f492c…
08-05 04:34:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x039e93…
08-05 04:19:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa1caac…
08-05 04:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x46d591…
08-04 05:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xd08af4…
08-04 05:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x79a026…
08-04 05:24:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xda19fb…
08-04 05:19:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb63fbb…
08-04 05:18:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x74b133…
08-04 05:07:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xed57d7…
08-04 04:58:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x00f67b…
08-04 04:35:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2cde33…
08-04 04:32:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x597c99…
08-04 04:26:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x614c3b…
07-29 16:23:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x7ae700…
07-28 15:49:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xcba9fb…
07-28 15:49:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x185c77…
07-28 15:49:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0x1f59c2…
07-22 22:03:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa7b58a…
07-19 22:09:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 22:05 UTC	Up	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0xe30ed0…
07-19 22:08:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xcf13fa…
07-19 22:08:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 22:05 UTC	Up	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0xd31676…
07-19 22:07:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xce1c12…
07-19 21:45:31	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0x3dd0d0…
07-19 13:28:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x450b58…
07-18 07:05:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc5074e…
07-18 07:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8cd925…
07-17 21:04:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xfff4d6…
07-17 20:59:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xac8a87…
07-17 20:53:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xa76d18…
07-17 20:53:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xfdc6b2…
07-17 20:49:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf17df2…
07-17 20:44:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x955fe9…
07-17 20:39:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x38ccc0…
07-17 20:35:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf89d68…
07-14 18:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xa7c22c…
07-14 18:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7c68d0…
07-14 18:44:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf44d90…
07-14 18:39:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x52338d…
07-14 18:33:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x58730e…
07-14 14:54:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x3e34ca…
07-14 14:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xd8c281…