Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

638

lifetime

Volume

$6.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 04-25 04:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

51% — —

Other

28% 0% $-8

Tech

21% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	7	$513	259	259	+0	open	—	04-20 20:48
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	8	$410	415	0	+415	open	—	04-16 19:10
will the next model released by anthropic debut at a score of at least 1480 896	4	$311	312	0	+312	open	—	04-17 16:47
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	11	$259	267	22	+244	open	—	04-16 19:03
will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	21	$226	264	200	+63	open	—	04-20 17:26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	64	$211	159	159	+0	open	—	04-19 12:49
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	3	$194	147	147	+0	open	—	04-21 17:25
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	5	$182	183	0	+183	open	—	04-12 20:13
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	18	$172	125	125	+0	open	—	04-21 01:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	16	$170	435	435	+0	open	—	04-17 20:32
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	8	$148	152	24	+128	open	—	04-16 19:09
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?	4	$146	147	0	+147	open	—	04-16 14:22
will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	21	$134	163	145	+18	open	—	04-20 16:53
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?	5	$122	127	0	+127	open	—	04-16 18:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$111	157	157	+0	open	—	04-21 17:26
Military action against Iran ends by April 26, 2026?	1	$107	108	0	+108	open	—	04-11 19:04
Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?	6	$106	107	0	+107	open	—	04-16 14:26
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	3	$105	75	75	+0	open	—	04-14 23:03
internet access restored in iran by april 30 2026	5	$104	59	59	+0	open	—	04-24 05:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$102	67	67	+0	open	—	04-12 01:44
Military action against Iran ends by April 13, 2026?	6	$93	94	0	+94	open	—	04-12 20:03
claude 4pt7 released by april 24 251	7	$92	97	0	+97	open	—	04-16 14:22
Claude 4.7 released by April 30?	10	$89	93	0	+93	open	—	04-16 14:22
will claude opus 4pt7 by anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500 969	3	$86	92	0	+92	open	—	04-17 16:41
Will Claude 4.7 not be released by April 30, 2026?	6	$85	86	0	+86	open	—	04-16 14:26
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	12	$78	89	0	+89	open	—	04-16 14:17
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	8	$74	162	11	+151	open	—	04-23 18:05
will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be greater than 40m	6	$63	63	0	+63	open	—	04-20 01:23
will lee cronins the mummy opening weekend box office be between 10m and 15m	7	$62	38	33	+5	open	—	04-20 16:55
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	8	$62	60	60	+0	open	—	04-14 20:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-25 04:05:50	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	22	17¢	$4	0x056150…
04-24 11:26:12	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x6f0828…
04-24 11:13:52	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0x0c7d10…
04-24 11:13:06	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	No	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0xe740c7…
04-24 05:31:50	internet access restored in iran by april 30 2026	No	SELL	52	93¢	$49	0x344b27…
04-23 19:30:46	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	35	89¢	$31	0xac98fd…
04-23 18:05:28	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x701107…
04-23 16:56:20	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x8af086…
04-23 16:55:04	Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	SELL	10	86¢	$8	0xaae8b0…
04-21 17:45:38	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	37¢	$19	0x3ec84a…
04-21 17:38:06	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xd59a78…
04-21 17:37:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	Yes	SELL	35	40¢	$14	0xc96565…
04-21 17:32:40	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xe99370…
04-21 17:32:30	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xa17099…
04-21 17:31:52	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0xe1ad54…
04-21 17:30:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x7af278…
04-21 17:26:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	157	26¢	$41	0x14d174…
04-21 17:25:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	Yes	SELL	147	48¢	$71	0x53e641…
04-21 13:21:00	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd18071…
04-21 12:18:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	59	84¢	$50	0xf2c2df…
04-21 12:04:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0xbaf0d9…
04-21 11:57:02	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xf6931e…
04-21 08:40:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0x4c93b6…
04-21 04:50:30	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xa21f67…
04-21 04:22:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	157	45¢	$71	0x13f49e…
04-21 02:21:20	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x890369…
04-21 01:25:36	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0x8ac297…
04-21 01:17:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	88	84¢	$74	0x36d758…
04-21 01:13:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$5	0xc10650…
04-20 22:40:46	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	49¢	$14	0x083362…
04-20 22:27:40	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x68651d…
04-20 22:01:50	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x964835…
04-20 21:24:14	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	No	SELL	63	21¢	$13	0xa1f217…
04-20 20:48:30	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	259	99¢	$257	0xd87593…
04-20 20:44:52	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	77	99¢	$77	0xf6e13f…
04-20 20:44:52	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x988c61…
04-20 20:44:52	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	66	99¢	$66	0x939a6a…
04-20 20:44:52	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7a17c3…
04-20 20:44:52	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0x3afb25…
04-20 20:44:52	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x33bd04…
04-20 20:05:52	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xdd37de…
04-20 20:00:26	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	246	15¢	$38	0x3c0151…
04-20 19:27:12	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x72d9c6…
04-20 19:27:08	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x0af135…
04-20 18:41:06	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	17¢	$4	0x76e40e…
04-20 17:26:52	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	No	SELL	105	2¢	$2	0xe396a1…
04-20 17:16:32	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 48m and 52m	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x863aa7…
04-20 16:56:16	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x6dabc6…
04-20 16:55:58	will lee cronins the mummy opening weekend box office be between 10m and 15m	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8ba27a…
04-20 16:53:08	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	Yes	SELL	76	0¢	$0	0xe8034c…
04-20 16:52:52	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xc8abe5…
04-20 16:52:36	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfec7d5…
04-20 16:51:22	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x271f70…
04-20 16:32:10	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xc7b482…
04-20 16:30:06	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	Yes	SELL	95	45¢	$42	0xc6a3fb…
04-20 16:28:22	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0xcee518…
04-20 16:28:22	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x92d130…
04-20 16:27:10	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xd8eaaf…
04-20 15:00:58	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 48m and 52m	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde97f5…
04-20 14:35:48	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x5d90e7…
04-20 08:07:56	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 48m and 52m	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x93cd31…
04-20 08:03:20	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	No	BUY	55	59¢	$32	0x7ed3aa…
04-20 07:47:30	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	Yes	BUY	9	61¢	$6	0x5756e0…
04-20 06:26:28	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x6fb5de…
04-20 06:14:18	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	Yes	BUY	1	66¢	$1	0x1cbe75…
04-20 05:40:24	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	Yes	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x36e447…
04-20 05:40:22	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	Yes	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0xd2e1d5…
04-20 05:37:50	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xfa61ba…
04-20 05:36:04	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x27b5ba…
04-20 05:36:02	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xf4c714…
04-20 05:32:28	will trump post potus this week on truth social	No	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xe74578…
04-20 05:23:56	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x4e7cea…
04-20 05:13:42	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xb5df7d…
04-20 05:10:26	will trump post potus this week on truth social	No	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x1589cd…
04-20 05:05:00	will trump post potus this week on truth social	No	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x401391…
04-20 04:59:50	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 48m and 52m	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1bb381…
04-20 04:59:34	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xa862a1…
04-20 04:53:08	will trump post potus this week on truth social	No	SELL	23	53¢	$12	0x087d84…
04-20 04:43:50	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	8	32¢	$2	0x2622a7…
04-20 04:08:06	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xbccab0…
04-20 03:55:14	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	No	BUY	47	61¢	$29	0x6f185c…
04-20 03:54:56	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	No	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0xe8d648…
04-20 03:52:38	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	Yes	SELL	69	67¢	$46	0x30e176…
04-20 03:44:34	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x0e5a75…
04-20 03:44:32	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	Yes	BUY	62	61¢	$38	0xc98288…
04-20 03:44:32	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x1b9b8c…
04-20 03:44:28	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb09a55…
04-20 03:44:28	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x270265…
04-20 03:44:24	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xfa36e7…
04-20 03:44:12	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa86963…
04-20 03:24:34	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	Yes	BUY	11	61¢	$6	0x0d5f53…
04-20 03:15:28	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd72f69…
04-20 02:51:52	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x679524…
04-20 01:23:20	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be greater than 40m	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x8a87cb…
04-20 01:23:10	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be greater than 40m	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf8c991…
04-20 01:23:02	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be greater than 40m	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3a6c8a…
04-20 01:21:30	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be greater than 40m	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xde8450…
04-20 01:00:36	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be greater than 40m	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x525454…
04-20 00:59:54	val 100t1 sen 2026 04 19 game2	100 Thieves	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9cfcd9…
04-20 00:59:44	val 100t1 sen 2026 04 19 game2	100 Thieves	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x7bc34e…