Skeletal-Outlet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$18.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$292

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-30

last 07-12 10:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$3

Tech

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes		+10	$8	88¢	$9	+$0	06-30 14:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	2	$933	467	467	+0	Yes	+$0	05-04 19:31
bitcoin above 68k on july 12 2026	1	$557	558	0	+558	open	—	07-12 10:39
bitcoin above 68k on july 10 2026	1	$555	556	0	+556	open	—	07-09 18:22
bitcoin above 66k on july 9 2026	1	$552	554	0	+554	open	—	07-09 07:46
bitcoin above 68k on june 30 2026	1	$549	550	0	+550	open	—	06-29 15:27
bitcoin above 66k on july 11 2026	1	$499	500	0	+500	open	—	07-11 12:15
bitcoin above 66k on june 24 2026	1	$493	493	0	+493	open	—	06-24 15:12
bitcoin above 68k on june 25 2026	3	$493	493	0	+493	open	—	06-25 14:06
bitcoin above 66k on june 19 2026	1	$490	491	0	+491	open	—	06-19 07:44
bitcoin above 68k on june 22 2026	1	$490	491	0	+491	open	—	06-22 02:24
bitcoin above 66k on june 20 2026	1	$490	490	0	+490	open	—	06-20 12:06
bitcoin above 68k on june 18 2026	1	$489	489	0	+489	open	—	06-18 11:11
bitcoin above 62k on june 17 2026	1	$489	489	0	+489	open	—	06-17 14:19
bitcoin above 70k on june 8 2026	1	$487	488	0	+488	open	—	06-07 15:39
bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	1	$487	487	0	+487	open	—	06-05 14:49
bitcoin above 66k on june 6 2026	1	$486	487	0	+487	open	—	06-06 07:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	1	$486	486	0	+486	open	—	06-01 12:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	1	$485	485	0	+485	open	—	05-29 14:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	1	$482	482	0	+482	open	—	05-25 14:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 31?	1	$479	480	0	+480	open	—	05-31 04:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	2	$479	480	0	+480	open	—	05-28 11:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	3	$478	480	0	+480	open	—	05-23 19:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	2	$471	475	0	+475	open	—	05-17 18:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	1	$471	471	0	+471	open	—	05-15 14:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	1	$469	470	0	+470	No	+$1	05-11 02:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	2	$468	470	0	+470	open	—	05-13 16:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	1	$468	469	0	+469	No	+$1	05-12 00:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	1	$466	467	0	+467	No	+$1	05-10 07:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	1	$464	465	0	+465	open	—	05-01 02:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	1	$461	462	0	+462	open	—	04-30 14:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 10:39:10	bitcoin above 68k on july 12 2026	No	BUY	558	100¢	$557	0x314336…
07-11 12:15:04	bitcoin above 66k on july 11 2026	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x6123a1…
07-09 18:22:40	bitcoin above 68k on july 10 2026	No	BUY	556	100¢	$555	0xdbd381…
07-09 07:46:41	bitcoin above 66k on july 9 2026	No	BUY	554	100¢	$552	0x48b687…
07-06 12:11:17	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x4138f0…
07-06 09:32:20	bitcoin above 66k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x36f793…
07-05 12:22:53	bitcoin above 66k on july 5 2026	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x0c076b…
07-03 17:26:32	bitcoin above 70k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x418fe3…
07-03 11:34:17	bitcoin above 60k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x59e92b…
07-02 05:00:46	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x53fb86…
07-01 14:26:59	meta close above 550 on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa06f7c…
07-01 14:26:13	bitcoin above 62k on july 1 2026	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xecf1f6…
06-30 14:13:53	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x857860…
06-29 15:27:22	bitcoin above 68k on june 30 2026	No	BUY	550	100¢	$549	0x31b250…
06-29 14:09:13	bitcoin above 62k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd4f6e1…
06-29 07:34:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	SELL	44	95¢	$42	0xf8127a…
06-27 07:46:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	29	80¢	$24	0xed8018…
06-27 06:59:02	bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7f3934…
06-27 06:32:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x6825ce…
06-26 12:06:25	cap fdv above 200m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	170	65¢	$110	0xbfeab6…
06-25 14:06:32	bitcoin above 68k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	467	100¢	$466	0x8e9b4d…
06-25 12:26:56	bitcoin above 68k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x5c9e64…
06-25 11:20:07	bitcoin above 68k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe61661…
06-24 15:12:58	bitcoin above 66k on june 24 2026	No	BUY	493	100¢	$493	0x2aff66…
06-22 02:24:53	bitcoin above 68k on june 22 2026	No	BUY	491	100¢	$490	0xec0538…
06-21 14:48:01	bitcoin above 68k on june 21 2026	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xbff8da…
06-21 08:21:59	bitcoin above 60k on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x0b66f3…
06-20 12:06:55	bitcoin above 66k on june 20 2026	No	BUY	490	100¢	$490	0x76b242…
06-19 07:44:31	bitcoin above 66k on june 19 2026	No	BUY	491	100¢	$490	0x46cfde…
06-18 11:11:37	bitcoin above 68k on june 18 2026	No	BUY	489	100¢	$489	0x418078…
06-17 14:19:29	bitcoin above 62k on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	489	100¢	$489	0x3a8ddd…
06-07 15:39:27	bitcoin above 70k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	488	100¢	$487	0x4f441f…
06-06 07:32:55	bitcoin above 66k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	487	100¢	$486	0xb279c6…
06-05 14:49:25	bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	487	100¢	$487	0xa39070…
06-01 12:20:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	486	100¢	$486	0x27f317…
05-31 04:51:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	480	100¢	$479	0x215d9c…
05-29 14:48:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	485	100¢	$485	0x01ab41…
05-28 11:11:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x514204…
05-28 10:41:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	463	100¢	$462	0x1304a2…
05-26 08:03:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	280	100¢	$280	0x71043c…
05-26 07:48:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xa1470c…
05-25 14:45:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	482	100¢	$482	0x7c8fa6…
05-23 19:29:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$135	0x8332db…
05-23 18:47:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xf43c7e…
05-23 18:47:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xad7f02…
05-22 13:08:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x877efc…
05-21 10:00:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	383	99¢	$380	0x4d9c46…
05-21 09:59:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5a5396…
05-19 13:33:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	440	100¢	$438	0x0ccadb…
05-19 13:32:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x777fa9…
05-17 18:07:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x966cd0…
05-17 17:40:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	405	99¢	$401	0x5a7e93…
05-15 14:00:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	471	100¢	$471	0x6af59c…
05-13 16:08:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x7ac48b…
05-13 16:06:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	431	100¢	$429	0xa0b7e7…
05-12 00:09:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	469	100¢	$468	0x9356ea…
05-11 02:48:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	470	100¢	$469	0xe58b98…
05-10 07:01:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	467	100¢	$466	0x68567f…
05-04 19:31:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	467	100¢	$467	0x62ef69…
05-04 04:03:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	467	100¢	$466	0x1f294b…
05-01 02:11:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	465	100¢	$464	0x2e1136…
04-30 14:10:32	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xf9d39b…
04-30 14:10:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	462	100¢	$461	0x531b5e…
04-30 14:09:22	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf801bb…