Jittery-Raspberry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.0%

Resolved

12,105

Trades

17,370

lifetime

Volume

$712.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 10-26 12:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 209 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 83% -$10,605

Other

0% 75% +$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 167 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 9 12pm et	2	$3.2K	1,617	1,617	+0	Up	+$13	02-09 17:56
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 05:25 UTC	2	$2.0K	982	982	+0	Down	+$11	03-15 05:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 17:20 UTC	2	$2.0K	986	985	+0	Up	+$19	03-03 17:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 07:00 UTC	2	$1.8K	936	932	+4	Up	+$50	04-01 07:05
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 15:30 UTC	2	$1.8K	911	911	+0	Up	+$8	02-08 15:44
ethereum up or down february 8 4am et	2	$1.8K	902	902	+0	Down	+$1	02-08 10:27
bitcoin up or down february 8 3am et	2	$1.8K	903	903	+0	Up	+$2	02-08 08:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 12:00 UTC	2	$1.6K	827	827	+0	Down	+$8	02-12 12:15
bitcoin up or down february 8 5am et	2	$1.6K	833	833	+0	Up	+$33	02-08 11:37
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 17:30 UTC	1	$1.6K	1,610	0	+1,610	Up	+$2	02-09 17:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 18:25 UTC	4	$1.6K	949	946	+3	Up	-$152	02-27 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 15:20 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,726	0	+1,726	Down	-$554	04-04 15:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 15:10 UTC	1	$1.5K	1,567	0	+1,567	Up	+$38	04-04 15:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 14:20 UTC	1	$1.4K	1,541	0	+1,541	Down	+$161	04-04 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 08:00 UTC	1	$1.4K	1,595	0	+1,595	Down	-$1,357	04-01 08:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 14:15 UTC	1	$1.3K	1,383	0	+1,383	Up	+$45	04-04 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 05:20 UTC	8	$1.3K	1,135	887	+249	Up	-$423	02-26 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 07:40 UTC	2	$1.3K	667	666	+1	Up	+$19	04-02 07:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 07:50 UTC	1	$1.3K	1,361	0	+1,361	Down	+$55	04-01 07:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 04:55 UTC	1	$1.3K	1,285	0	+1,285	Up	+$13	03-05 04:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 07:25 UTC	2	$1.2K	808	792	+16	Down	+$66	04-02 07:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 15:55 UTC	1	$1.2K	1,223	0	+1,223	Up	+$12	03-04 15:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 13:20 UTC	1	$1.2K	1,348	0	+1,348	Down	+$146	04-04 13:23
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 17:20 UTC	2	$1.2K	601	601	+0	Down	+$5	03-04 17:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 08:00 UTC	4	$1.2K	663	661	+2	Down	+$2	03-14 08:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 04:50 UTC	6	$1.2K	1,896	1,637	+259	Down	-$577	04-02 04:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 06:00 UTC	3	$1.2K	1,350	1,008	+342	Down	-$663	02-07 06:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 07:15 UTC	2	$1.1K	590	588	+2	Up	+$19	04-02 07:18
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 19:10 UTC	2	$1.1K	1,138	0	+1,138	Up	+$11	03-04 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 12:05 UTC	3	$1.1K	688	671	+17	Down	+$219	04-04 12:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 12:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x01c5a9…
10-26 11:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	30¢	$14	0xbb3bf8…
10-26 11:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	89¢	$13	0x1bcda5…
10-13 08:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x783881…
10-13 08:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3064bb…
10-12 18:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xca3442…
10-12 16:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x2f0926…
10-12 16:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x24fcaf…
10-12 16:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x98ce40…
10-12 16:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe988fc…
10-12 16:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x9b6b88…
10-12 16:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd8a9e0…
10-12 16:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x20f1c7…
10-12 16:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xa8d0ec…
10-12 15:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4e7d58…
10-12 15:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0xb211f5…
10-12 15:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x257e3a…
10-12 15:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x458a5e…
10-12 14:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x86e048…
10-12 14:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0xe09102…
10-12 14:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x928a1f…
10-12 14:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa4c4a5…
10-12 14:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa5a300…
10-12 12:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa7ebfd…
10-12 12:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa52d67…
10-12 12:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x358000…
10-12 12:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xd1bd5c…
10-12 11:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xb2be9f…
10-12 11:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x301349…
10-12 11:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x923bbe…
10-12 11:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x7b5ae2…
10-12 11:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe509f2…
10-12 11:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x84af12…
10-12 11:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8fe263…
10-12 09:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0xc5db9c…
10-12 08:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xc5089b…
10-12 08:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0xdd4419…
10-12 08:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x4c30dc…
10-12 08:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfda9db…
10-12 06:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xf88d3f…
10-12 06:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x0b5deb…
10-11 21:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xf31068…
10-11 21:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x115835…
10-11 21:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x011cfa…
10-11 21:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xc12434…
10-11 21:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x98db41…
10-11 21:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x62ef0d…
10-11 20:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x4c4b3d…
10-11 20:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xbc47b7…
10-11 20:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x787c05…
10-11 20:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x37672b…
10-11 20:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x83564d…
10-11 19:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xa5679d…
10-11 19:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x3f4d4e…
10-11 18:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb22e8d…
10-11 18:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xf7eb2c…
10-11 18:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x7e7a88…
10-11 18:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xb9437a…
10-11 18:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x3d2987…
10-11 18:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x2d5a82…
10-11 13:13:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x730d21…
10-11 13:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6a47e3…
10-11 13:03:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9aab50…
10-11 12:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0x4ebe44…
10-11 12:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xe15c19…
10-11 12:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x6a2ed4…
10-11 12:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x932177…
10-11 12:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0xa5978d…
10-11 12:17:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe61c37…
10-11 12:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xfc1dec…
10-11 12:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0xcbc284…
10-11 12:03:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x6813eb…
10-11 11:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x4528fc…
10-11 11:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x11d017…
10-11 11:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xa1ea13…
10-11 11:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xc95a71…
10-11 11:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x74f881…
10-11 11:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x77804a…
10-11 11:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x9e48b4…
10-09 17:19:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 17:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9629bb…
10-09 17:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0xe128ea…
10-09 15:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xc7a31c…
10-09 15:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9d7e87…
10-09 15:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xb5c8ef…
10-09 15:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd6cec6…
10-08 19:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0x1e75bd…
10-08 18:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x011fd7…
10-08 18:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x4da21f…
10-08 16:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x0db9a5…
10-08 15:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xcb48fe…
10-08 14:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x9c0d34…
10-08 13:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$21	0x58c1c1…
10-08 13:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x84f5f5…
10-08 12:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x9064b4…
10-08 12:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xf8b6af…
10-08 12:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x880f38…
10-06 13:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x59a2cc…
10-04 19:13:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xfaf92f…
10-04 19:09:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x66bfe4…
10-03 10:56:33	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 10:45 UTC	Down	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x4935f3…