Fickle-Jeans — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

Trades

827

lifetime

Volume

$2.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 06-08 13:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 29% $-18

Sports

14% 57% +$51

Other

1% 0% $-2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$100	141	0	+141	Knicks	+$41	05-04 15:54
btc updown 15m 1773621000	11	$67	75	48	+27	open	—	03-16 00:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	14	$64	65	65	+0	open	—	05-04 16:41
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	1	$55	100	0	+100	open	—	06-08 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	8	$47	47	47	+0	open	—	05-04 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	7	$42	85	85	+0	open	—	05-04 16:29
btc updown 15m 1780863300	17	$42	105	105	+0	open	—	06-07 20:26
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	1	$40	114	0	+114	open	—	06-04 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	7	$38	58	24	+34	Down	$-8	05-04 22:17
btc updown 5m 1773631500	5	$34	24	24	+0	open	—	03-16 03:31
btc updown 5m 1773631200	5	$33	40	19	+21	open	—	03-16 03:25
btc updown 5m 1773633000	4	$32	34	18	+16	open	—	03-16 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	17	$31	67	67	+0	open	—	05-23 21:59
btc updown 5m 1773622500	5	$30	517	17	+500	open	—	03-16 00:59
btc updown 5m 1773632100	6	$29	30	14	+16	open	—	03-16 03:40
btc updown 5m 1773632700	5	$29	54	10	+44	open	—	03-16 03:47
btc updown 5m 1773624000	5	$27	18	16	+3	open	—	03-16 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	6	$27	36	20	+16	open	—	05-04 16:09
btc updown 5m 1773623400	5	$27	18	18	+0	open	—	03-16 01:14
btc updown 5m 1773625200	5	$27	27	19	+9	open	—	03-16 01:44
btc updown 5m 1773630900	2	$26	21	20	+0	open	—	03-16 03:20
btc updown 5m 1773680400	5	$25	34	23	+11	open	—	03-16 17:04
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	3	$24	45	0	+45	open	—	05-19 21:11
eth updown 15m 1773621000	7	$24	18	18	+0	open	—	03-16 00:45
btc updown 5m 1773670800	3	$24	29	20	+9	open	—	03-16 14:24
btc updown 5m 1773652200	2	$22	17	17	+0	open	—	03-16 09:15
btc updown 5m 1773630300	5	$21	17	17	+0	open	—	03-16 03:10
btc updown 5m 1773671700	2	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	03-16 14:39
btc updown 5m 1773623700	5	$20	28	9	+19	open	—	03-16 01:19
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	05-23 21:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 13:37:01	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x34fa43…
06-07 20:26:01	btc updown 15m 1780863300	Down	SELL	72	10¢	$7	0x0a40a7…
06-07 20:25:57	btc updown 15m 1780863300	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x626cb8…
06-07 20:22:57	btc updown 15m 1780863300	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xb770fc…
06-07 20:21:58	btc updown 15m 1780863300	Up	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x7a8931…
06-07 20:20:25	btc updown 15m 1780863300	Down	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x067840…
06-07 20:20:00	btc updown 15m 1780863300	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x83305f…
06-07 20:19:09	btc updown 15m 1780863300	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x819d5f…
06-07 20:18:57	btc updown 15m 1780863300	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xea4506…
06-07 20:17:52	btc updown 15m 1780863300	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xc92036…
06-07 20:17:25	btc updown 15m 1780863300	Up	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0x642996…
06-07 20:16:42	btc updown 15m 1780863300	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x3d992b…
06-07 20:16:33	btc updown 15m 1780863300	Down	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x79d255…
06-07 20:16:06	btc updown 15m 1780863300	Up	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x9ba646…
06-07 20:15:33	btc updown 15m 1780863300	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x856ef3…
06-07 20:15:28	btc updown 15m 1780863300	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xb49021…
06-07 20:15:24	btc updown 15m 1780863300	Down	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x66e3c1…
06-07 20:15:13	btc updown 15m 1780863300	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x66fde0…
06-07 20:08:48	btc updown 15m 1780862400	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x3640c1…
06-04 06:43:36	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	114	35¢	$40	0x692e66…
06-03 19:02:09	Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xabe4e4…
05-25 20:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x8cd5d2…
05-25 20:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4235bf…
05-25 20:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xafb099…
05-25 20:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xcbb6b8…
05-25 20:54:08	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x349b58…
05-23 22:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	17	14¢	$2	0xb36db0…
05-23 22:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x04223f…
05-23 22:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0xf34add…
05-23 22:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xac4170…
05-23 22:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x34e15e…
05-23 22:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x914c0f…
05-23 22:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x990853…
05-23 22:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0x8f5218…
05-23 22:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xd3dab6…
05-23 22:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x46abd0…
05-23 22:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x3674c6…
05-23 22:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x31876f…
05-23 22:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xe9fcf5…
05-23 22:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe2ac8c…
05-23 22:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x22f29c…
05-23 22:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x2d7763…
05-23 22:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x844d67…
05-23 22:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xa73b4b…
05-23 22:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x8ce9df…
05-23 22:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0xcfc981…
05-23 22:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x993e05…
05-23 22:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x70c3b5…
05-23 22:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x63c014…
05-23 22:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x7e4d39…
05-23 21:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x3e6c65…
05-23 21:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x902f18…
05-23 21:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x33c681…
05-23 21:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xb7eb32…
05-23 21:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xdd4487…
05-23 21:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xdb44d0…
05-23 21:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xe10f10…
05-23 21:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xd1a3d4…
05-23 21:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xa88e43…
05-23 21:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x9ce484…
05-23 21:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x1b16f2…
05-23 21:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x1d4dfe…
05-23 21:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc195ed…
05-23 21:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0xf94d8c…
05-23 21:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xdeb271…
05-23 21:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xafccf5…
05-23 21:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd2f4bb…
05-23 21:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xbcc9c4…
05-23 21:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	22	7¢	$2	0x96661a…
05-23 21:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x0295e6…
05-23 21:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf11e06…
05-23 21:38:56	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xeafc77…
05-23 21:38:51	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x321556…
05-20 08:33:36	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x491566…
05-20 08:33:29	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	24	67¢	$16	0xbc2aea…
05-19 21:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc41815…
05-19 21:11:58	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0xd144f7…
05-19 20:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1ffc35…
05-19 20:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x3b6422…
05-19 20:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9b4531…
05-19 20:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0xf3153a…
05-19 20:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3c39eb…
05-19 20:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0fba9e…
05-19 20:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xe57091…
05-19 20:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x6de753…
05-19 20:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x740c49…
05-19 20:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x79b117…
05-19 20:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe0922a…
05-19 20:21:55	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xc52269…
05-19 20:19:39	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x654cd9…
05-19 20:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	16	41¢	$7	0xf4a3f9…
05-19 20:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x97389a…
05-08 20:40:58	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe5c8c9…
05-07 03:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb0fb7a…
05-07 03:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x9bd17d…
05-07 03:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x73b8a4…
05-07 03:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x940e64…
05-07 02:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x065fbe…
05-07 02:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf6a828…
05-07 02:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5b93de…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	218	$59.2K	7,045	05-25 20:58
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	195	$55.4K	4,294	06-07 20:25
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	178	$10.1K	1,987	05-07 03:11
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	177	$151.1K	6,595	06-07 20:25
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	177	$3.08K	490	04-30 21:34
Considerate-Racer 0xe28f…a9b0	171	$17.0K	1,559	05-25 21:00
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	168	$402.1K	2,615	06-09 03:34
Inferior-Facelift 0x5374…042e	158	$11.1K	2,507	05-04 22:58