Moral-Crayon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$272

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

2,130

Trades

2,868

lifetime

Volume

$48.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-24 21:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 95% -$275

Other

1% 100% +$3

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 06:55 UTC	2	$60	61	+61	Down	+$1	07-07 07:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 05:10 UTC	2	$60	61	+61	Down	+$1	07-07 05:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 11:45 UTC	2	$60	61	+61	Up	+$1	07-07 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 00:35 UTC	2	$60	61	+61	Down	+$1	07-07 00:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 02:30 UTC	4	$60	61	+61	Down	+$1	07-07 02:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 13:30 UTC	4	$60	61	+61	Up	+$1	07-07 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 02:50 UTC	2	$60	61	+61	Down	+$1	07-07 02:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 15:45 UTC	3	$60	61	+61	Up	+$1	07-07 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 16:50 UTC	2	$60	61	+61	Up	+$1	07-07 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 12:05 UTC	4	$60	61	+61	Up	+$1	07-07 12:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 10:15 UTC	2	$60	61	+61	Up	+$1	07-07 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	3	$60	61	+61	Up	+$1	07-07 15:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 20:05 UTC	2	$60	61	+61	Down	+$1	07-07 20:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 14:35 UTC	2	$60	61	+61	Down	+$1	07-07 14:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 15:35 UTC	2	$60	61	+61	Up	+$1	07-07 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 02:15 UTC	9	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-06 02:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 16:05 UTC	3	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	07-05 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-09 04:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 20:55 UTC	2	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	07-08 21:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 23:30 UTC	2	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	07-07 23:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	07-08 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 07:25 UTC	5	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-08 07:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 10:45 UTC	2	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	07-07 10:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 10:10 UTC	2	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-06 10:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 09:50 UTC	2	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	07-08 09:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 08:10 UTC	2	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-05 08:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 18:10 UTC	7	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	07-05 18:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 07:55 UTC	2	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-06 07:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 00:30 UTC	2	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	07-07 00:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 20:20 UTC	2	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-08 20:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 21:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xecf77f…
10-24 21:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0x24b5c5…
10-24 21:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x520e89…
10-24 21:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x1642fb…
10-24 21:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xefb178…
10-24 21:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2f2c11…
10-24 21:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xc3b316…
10-24 21:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	57¢	$0	0x63641b…
10-24 21:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x184e78…
10-24 21:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x627325…
10-24 21:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7c9535…
10-24 21:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x6760d4…
10-13 20:56:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xd8696c…
10-13 20:55:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x71eef6…
10-13 20:55:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xb67a65…
10-13 20:55:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x9742d6…
10-13 20:51:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xfc4de9…
10-13 20:51:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x87ee35…
10-13 20:51:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x1259de…
10-13 20:50:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc234b1…
10-13 20:50:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:50 UTC	Up	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x5dffdb…
10-13 20:50:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x40936d…
10-13 20:50:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0xf328b8…
10-13 20:50:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe034f8…
10-13 18:01:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x349cfe…
10-13 18:00:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf1ad12…
10-13 18:00:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x5dbb0d…
10-13 18:00:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa1bd2c…
10-13 17:56:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x292be9…
10-13 17:56:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x8688c6…
10-13 14:00:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x898b41…
10-13 14:00:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3b4804…
10-13 14:00:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xa2f222…
10-13 14:00:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf61ef5…
10-13 13:57:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xdaf8d0…
10-13 13:57:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa795d3…
10-13 13:57:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x989fd8…
10-13 13:57:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x13e371…
10-13 13:56:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x57b2b3…
10-13 13:56:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4a8175…
10-13 13:56:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xf606f3…
10-13 13:56:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x3295ce…
10-13 13:56:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x90f2cb…
10-13 13:56:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x21cd15…
10-13 13:56:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xfaa3f4…
10-13 13:56:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x5d9d43…
10-11 21:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x500249…
10-11 21:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x21b3d0…
10-11 21:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x3ed609…
10-11 20:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xa089ca…
10-11 20:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa161fb…
10-11 20:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x83587e…
10-11 20:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd5ac9e…
10-11 20:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x144ba9…
10-11 20:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5a501a…
10-11 20:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xec225e…
10-11 20:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb6a279…
10-11 20:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x10e86d…
10-11 20:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x91fb17…
10-11 20:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x92e044…
10-11 20:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5da341…
10-11 20:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x59b3ca…
10-11 20:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa9028e…
10-11 20:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x439685…
10-11 20:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x016ba4…
10-11 20:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x91fd83…
10-11 20:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe027d9…
10-11 20:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x129f92…
10-11 20:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2abe46…
10-11 20:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x20439b…
10-11 20:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3a4689…
10-11 19:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xa403fc…
10-11 19:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7d56e1…
10-11 19:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x4c28b0…
10-11 19:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x175740…
10-11 19:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x8d3dde…
10-11 19:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xcbbf51…
10-11 19:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x6004a1…
10-11 19:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6871e4…
10-11 19:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x3bba73…
10-11 19:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf88d7a…
10-11 19:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x088b2a…
10-11 19:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9f07ba…
10-11 19:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x9be162…
10-11 19:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x32379b…
10-11 19:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x082a62…
10-11 19:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x492a28…
10-11 19:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x1ac934…
10-11 19:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x1a064b…
10-11 18:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xa6966b…
10-11 18:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x10a2ce…
10-10 12:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xfd7bc2…
10-10 12:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xf632c2…
10-10 12:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xcb7e3a…
10-10 12:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x08b705…
10-10 12:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8749fa…
10-10 12:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x894c07…
10-10 12:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x66afd0…
10-10 12:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x6db2f5…
10-10 12:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x124478…