Triangular-Storm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$194

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.6%

Resolved

1,415

Trades

2,884

lifetime

Volume

$21.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 11-12 22:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 74% -$193

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$208	108	107	+1	Up	+$4	04-24 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$207	106	106	+1	Down	+$3	04-24 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$206	106	106	+1	Up	+$4	04-24 20:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 14:45 UTC	2	$206	106	106	+1	Down	+$4	04-24 14:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 18:00 UTC	2	$206	106	106	+1	Down	+$4	04-24 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$206	106	106	+1	Down	+$4	04-24 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$206	106	106	+1	Up	+$4	04-24 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$206	105	105	+1	Up	+$2	04-24 22:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 18:40 UTC	2	$206	105	105	+1	Up	+$2	04-24 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$206	105	105	+1	Down	+$2	04-24 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$205	105	105	+1	Up	+$3	04-24 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$205	104	104	+1	Up	+$1	04-25 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$204	104	104	+1	Up	+$1	04-24 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$204	104	104	+1	Up	+$2	04-25 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$204	104	104	+1	Down	+$2	04-24 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$204	103	103	+1	Up	+$0	04-24 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$204	103	103	+1	Down	+$0	04-25 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$203	103	103	+1	Down	+$1	04-24 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$203	103	103	+1	Up	+$1	04-24 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$125	65	64	+0	Down	+$3	04-25 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$123	64	64	+0	Up	+$3	04-25 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$122	62	62	+0	Up	+$1	04-25 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$122	62	62	+0	Up	+$2	04-25 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$122	62	62	+0	Down	+$1	04-25 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$121	62	62	+0	Up	+$1	04-25 10:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 07:40 UTC	2	$104	54	53	+0	Down	+$2	04-24 07:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 03:55 UTC	2	$104	54	53	+0	Up	+$3	04-24 04:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 03:45 UTC	2	$103	54	53	+0	Up	+$3	04-24 03:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 00:50 UTC	2	$103	54	53	+0	Down	+$3	04-24 00:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 22:10 UTC	2	$103	53	53	+0	Down	+$2	04-23 22:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 22:49:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xdeaa99…
11-12 22:47:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x857efc…
11-12 22:44:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x48d896…
11-12 22:41:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3456ef…
11-12 22:39:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3e79f3…
11-12 22:38:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x363096…
11-12 22:33:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa3aaec…
11-12 22:32:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x399c5a…
11-12 22:29:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xcaa9e0…
11-12 22:26:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x373dd3…
11-12 22:19:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x803c5b…
11-12 22:18:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x66294d…
11-12 22:16:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x109cda…
11-12 22:16:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xcc5006…
11-12 22:03:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1a3c4e…
11-12 22:01:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x0fbedc…
11-12 21:59:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xfa2fd9…
11-12 21:57:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x5f9da3…
11-11 22:58:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc680cd…
11-11 22:57:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0xea2362…
11-11 22:56:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xdb1489…
11-11 22:54:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$1	0xd01ebb…
11-11 22:50:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x259e5d…
11-11 22:47:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x311fcb…
11-11 22:47:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xc63ac3…
11-11 22:46:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf09c6f…
11-11 22:38:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x8f76bf…
11-11 22:38:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x1a4bd6…
11-11 22:37:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc419ee…
11-11 22:36:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe94856…
11-11 22:28:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc04e41…
11-11 22:27:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x3c5213…
11-11 22:23:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf27327…
11-11 22:21:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf099fa…
11-11 22:08:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd08aa8…
11-11 22:07:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x0afff9…
11-11 22:04:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd4778d…
11-11 22:03:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3dc828…
11-11 22:02:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x93f058…
11-11 22:02:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x224dee…
11-11 21:38:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0xc7208b…
11-11 21:37:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xac16e1…
11-11 21:29:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdafb24…
11-11 21:29:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x61d50c…
11-11 21:29:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x94435f…
11-11 21:26:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x266315…
11-11 21:23:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xab3935…
11-11 21:22:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x5e03dd…
11-11 21:19:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc8cf44…
11-11 21:17:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xcdf6af…
11-11 21:14:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x56fc43…
11-11 21:13:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x96a0df…
11-11 21:13:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x0cd9b5…
11-11 21:11:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x44a241…
11-11 21:08:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x8f5e47…
11-11 21:06:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xadf76c…
11-11 21:03:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x33d1d4…
11-11 21:02:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x899ba8…
11-11 21:02:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x900e13…
11-11 21:00:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7785ea…
11-11 20:53:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x77ea60…
11-11 20:52:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x778a13…
11-11 20:52:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x62efe3…
11-11 20:51:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x24db97…
11-11 19:37:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd74fd1…
11-11 19:35:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xdddfd4…
11-11 19:31:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3dd412…
11-11 19:30:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6358c9…
11-11 19:26:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x11e9fe…
11-11 19:26:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x4876d8…
11-11 19:22:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x606579…
11-11 19:21:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9536ed…
11-09 22:26:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x6ab375…
11-09 22:14:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x84559d…
11-09 22:03:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x9bb09d…
11-09 21:40:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x3fd143…
11-09 21:38:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xd9e69e…
11-09 21:28:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x7a2268…
11-09 21:22:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xfbe738…
11-09 21:12:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x116d61…
11-09 21:10:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x8b496a…
11-09 21:09:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xe81c5a…
11-09 21:01:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xda904f…
11-09 20:52:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0xf9b837…
11-09 20:48:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xceb9a8…
11-09 19:24:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x9956a5…
11-09 19:20:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x71d5c2…
11-09 19:18:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8b84e0…
11-09 19:12:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xbeba61…
11-09 19:05:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x11cf3c…
11-09 18:58:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xa06f4a…
11-09 18:48:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6487a0…
11-09 18:38:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xfd2a2e…
11-09 18:32:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xce6960…
11-09 18:18:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x84e8d3…
11-09 18:18:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x2e72fd…
11-09 18:13:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe12192…
11-09 18:10:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1497cd…
11-09 17:48:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xea8c15…
11-09 17:45:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x153164…