Golden-Military — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$146

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,165

lifetime

Volume

$130.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$112

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 05-31 14:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

65% 0% $-197

Other

28% — —

Crypto

7% 64% +$51

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	4	$11.6K	12,301	12,301	+0	open	—	03-09 15:24
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	20	$10.4K	13,601	13,601	+0	open	—	02-28 19:56
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$7.6K	4,480	4,480	+0	open	—	04-07 23:00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	18	$6.6K	5,206	5,206	+0	open	—	04-10 02:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$6.2K	5,910	5,910	+0	open	—	04-16 19:01
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	9	$6.0K	3,417	3,417	+0	open	—	03-08 21:08
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	14	$5.3K	6,413	6,413	+0	open	—	04-19 17:39
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	9	$5.3K	28,267	28,267	+0	open	—	03-06 20:55
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 90 114	9	$5.1K	3,709	3,709	+0	open	—	02-09 13:48
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	6	$4.3K	9,491	9,491	+0	open	—	05-07 18:17
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	10	$4.0K	5,537	5,537	+0	open	—	03-03 18:04
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 40 64	20	$3.8K	4,157	3,757	+400	open	—	02-16 09:38
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	4	$3.0K	5,139	5,139	+0	open	—	05-31 13:30
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 115 139	6	$3.0K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	02-09 14:57
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	5	$2.9K	2,360	2,360	+0	open	—	04-20 18:08
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$2.5K	1,902	1,902	+0	open	—	04-19 18:02
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	13	$2.5K	1,832	1,832	+0	open	—	02-03 15:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	2	$2.1K	2,339	2,287	+52	open	—	04-13 09:47
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	2	$2.1K	3,778	3,778	+0	open	—	05-29 17:12
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$2.1K	1,254	1,254	+0	open	—	02-27 13:54
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	5	$1.8K	2,906	2,906	+0	open	—	05-01 07:35
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	2	$1.7K	1,119	1,119	+0	open	—	01-19 16:02
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1400plus	5	$1.7K	2,099	2,099	+0	open	—	02-27 23:53
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 300 319	3	$1.5K	2,750	686	+2,064	open	—	02-10 12:40
iran leadership change by march 31	2	$1.3K	695	695	+0	open	—	03-24 08:25
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	5	$1.1K	1,132	1,132	+0	open	—	02-16 16:41
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 360 379	15	$1.0K	3,735	3,735	+0	open	—	01-27 10:20
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$877	1,418	1,418	+0	No	$-197	05-05 02:24
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	7	$875	7,216	7,216	+0	open	—	04-20 14:19
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	8	$764	1,107	1,107	+0	open	—	02-05 15:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 14:15:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x349bd6…
05-31 14:07:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	130	63¢	$82	0xf05bcd…
05-31 13:30:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,277	3¢	$90	0xf3d981…
05-29 21:45:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,277	28¢	$919	0x34c105…
05-29 17:12:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	SELL	3,778	23¢	$877	0xe87acf…
05-29 15:05:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	3,778	32¢	$1,200	0x71410c…
05-26 15:36:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x1f6742…
05-24 13:28:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x81bbf7…
05-24 13:28:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe46f88…
05-23 22:02:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,862	67¢	$1,248	0x816bcc…
05-10 15:13:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,862	42¢	$781	0xa710ac…
05-10 04:25:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xa2ba44…
05-10 04:22:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x451d06…
05-10 04:22:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0xc48b06…
05-10 04:21:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x70acb4…
05-10 04:18:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xb069fe…
05-10 04:16:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xa81cc1…
05-10 04:14:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x8addba…
05-10 04:12:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x4b9525…
05-10 04:07:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xd51782…
05-10 04:06:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x6b5860…
05-10 04:06:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	29¢	$4	0xc86044…
05-10 04:04:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x6f59d9…
05-10 04:04:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x70817e…
05-10 04:00:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x6f760c…
05-10 03:52:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x48faa9…
05-10 03:50:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xcbba39…
05-07 18:17:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,194	35¢	$768	0x01441c…
05-05 03:53:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,194	17¢	$373	0x642db8…
05-05 03:36:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x579127…
05-05 03:36:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x295498…
05-05 03:36:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	22¢	$7	0x5582fd…
05-05 03:33:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x750e5e…
05-05 03:29:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xd5f5f8…
05-05 03:29:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xab92bc…
05-05 03:29:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x997633…
05-05 03:29:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	82¢	$27	0x29a88c…
05-05 03:29:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	77	82¢	$63	0x21359f…
05-05 03:29:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0x128d6c…
05-05 03:29:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xd51341…
05-05 03:29:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	82¢	$5	0x0ecd74…
05-05 03:29:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xbab387…
05-05 03:29:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	117	79¢	$92	0x9cb75d…
05-05 02:38:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	89	82¢	$73	0xa2a7c8…
05-05 02:37:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x864632…
05-05 02:24:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	1,418	24¢	$340	0x0cfad7…
05-04 16:44:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,418	38¢	$537	0x5a842e…
05-04 16:43:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,161	17¢	$537	0x219758…
05-03 20:39:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,161	29¢	$911	0x2e6b7a…
05-03 20:36:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,137	22¢	$910	0x89ab20…
05-02 19:01:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,137	19¢	$786	0x949d38…
05-01 07:35:28	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	1,261	31¢	$391	0x6256e7…
05-01 07:26:44	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	1,223	32¢	$391	0x82b833…
04-29 17:53:26	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	2,484	31¢	$770	0x2c3450…
04-29 17:11:48	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	422	30¢	$129	0xfff94e…
04-27 20:46:20	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	422	37¢	$156	0xafafff…
04-27 20:17:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	207	77¢	$159	0x6a1373…
04-27 20:15:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	210	74¢	$156	0x90cce7…
04-27 20:10:18	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	157	99¢	$156	0x9fef41…
04-27 20:07:00	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	159	87¢	$138	0xb309c2…
04-27 20:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	169	83¢	$140	0x6aab14…
04-27 20:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	173	65¢	$114	0x21c644…
04-27 20:03:20	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	119	96¢	$114	0xf296ad…
04-27 20:00:38	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	121	73¢	$88	0xa59ec8…
04-27 19:59:20	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	150	60¢	$91	0xb3cfb6…
04-27 19:58:00	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	152	79¢	$120	0xd09fb7…
04-27 19:48:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	159	77¢	$122	0x5c7d2a…
04-27 19:47:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	165	55¢	$91	0x26f19e…
04-27 19:38:58	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	101	90¢	$91	0x7e54d0…
04-27 19:35:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	105	48¢	$50	0x603dff…
04-27 19:32:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	108	48¢	$52	0xf2a980…
04-27 19:30:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	111	61¢	$68	0x89dd1f…
04-27 19:28:38	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	69	98¢	$68	0xcf7e57…
04-27 19:27:34	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	70	96¢	$67	0xca2915…
04-27 19:26:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x207ce4…
04-27 19:24:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	75	94¢	$71	0x9e26c7…
04-27 19:22:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	76	89¢	$67	0x0a63ac…
04-27 19:22:26	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0x93c84b…
04-27 19:20:52	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0xe4a6f9…
04-27 19:19:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	72	96¢	$69	0x2fb138…
04-27 19:18:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	73	76¢	$56	0x5840e9…
04-27 19:12:52	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x693809…
04-27 19:12:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xe50c91…
04-27 19:12:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0xbd4309…
04-27 19:12:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x98ade2…
04-27 19:12:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	18	75¢	$14	0x7f4fc0…
04-27 19:12:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	39	75¢	$29	0x6ee922…
04-27 19:12:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	77	64¢	$49	0xf52fb2…
04-27 19:07:44	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	110	47¢	$51	0xa77542…
04-27 19:06:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	115	37¢	$42	0x219d7b…
04-27 19:03:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	14	75¢	$10	0x05bc48…
04-27 19:00:46	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0xc0ef49…
04-27 18:58:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	Yes	SELL	1,157	3¢	$37	0x8126a2…
04-23 19:47:16	lal ray esp 2026 04 23 ray	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xa9fc6f…
04-20 18:15:36	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	Yes	BUY	1,157	45¢	$520	0xbb5513…
04-20 18:08:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	SELL	1,172	44¢	$520	0xf95583…
04-20 16:45:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	1,172	63¢	$735	0x0673bc…
04-20 14:45:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	SELL	1,188	62¢	$735	0x896518…
04-20 14:30:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	737	78¢	$575	0xfa7f8e…
04-20 14:29:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	451	76¢	$342	0xc69ab2…