Calm-Backburn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$40

Hit rate

78.8%

Resolved

403

Trades

1,787

lifetime

Volume

$303.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$170

Open exposure

$1.38K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 17:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 147 days

Categories

Other

79% 64% +$4,294

Politics

10% 55% +$7,953

Sports

6% 41% -$1,362

Tech

5% 83% +$992

Crypto

1% 43% -$304

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+712	$510	68¢	$484	-$27	10-19 07:11
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+635	$406	66¢	$416	+$10	10-19 07:12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	-400	-$260	64¢	$-258	+$2	07-05 14:25
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	+705	$167	32¢	$222	+$55	10-19 07:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	28	$15.6K	13,668	13,668	+0	Yes	+$6,984	10-26 05:03
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	11	$4.2K	2,349	2,349	+0	Yes	+$473	02-23 20:22
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	8	$3.5K	1,846	1,846	+0	Yes	+$30	01-22 06:26
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	36	$3.1K	1,976	1,976	+0	No	-$3	02-02 11:26
Will FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade win on 2026-10-18?	6	$2.7K	1,467	1,467	+0	Yes	+$198	10-18 15:36
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	17	$2.6K	2,395	2,395	+0	No	-$1,449	10-13 20:49
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul	12	$2.3K	1,500	1,500	+0	Daniil Medvedev	+$315	10-16 10:54
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	46	$2.3K	1,280	1,280	+0	Daniil Medvedev	+$268	10-25 11:59
Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-14?	8	$2.3K	1,194	1,194	+0	No	+$112	10-14 17:47
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?	23	$2.3K	1,242	1,329	-87	Yes	+$114	09-09 16:04
Will PSV win on 2026-10-13?	2	$2.2K	1,250	1,250	+0	No	+$249	10-13 21:10
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-10-25?	2	$2.2K	1,250	1,250	+0	No	+$249	10-25 15:21
Will AC Monza win on 2026-10-11?	3	$2.2K	1,234	1,234	+0	No	+$230	10-11 13:49
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-10-20?	6	$2.2K	1,205	1,205	+0	No	+$204	10-20 18:36
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-08-30?	6	$2.2K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$173	08-30 11:38
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	13	$2.2K	1,154	1,154	+0	No	+$121	10-20 18:32
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-12?	4	$2.2K	1,180	1,180	+0	No	+$176	10-12 18:09
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05?	2	$2.2K	1,180	1,180	+0	Yes	+$176	09-05 16:07
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-10-17?	4	$2.2K	1,148	1,148	+0	No	+$116	10-17 16:38
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-12?	2	$2.2K	1,170	1,170	+0	No	+$163	09-12 15:51
Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5	2	$2.2K	1,180	1,180	+0	Over	+$165	09-20 16:48
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-24?	7	$2.1K	1,150	1,150	+0	No	+$148	10-24 18:19
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs Daniel Altmaier	4	$2.1K	1,150	1,150	+0	Ben Shelton	+$148	10-09 06:20
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-08-28?	3	$2.1K	1,150	1,150	+0	No	+$149	08-28 20:40
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4	$2.1K	453	1,784	-1,331	Yes	-$17	01-10 08:43
SC Freiburg vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 2.5	9	$2.1K	1,350	1,350	+0	Over	+$149	10-15 19:29
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-12?	2	$2.1K	1,140	1,140	+0	No	+$136	09-12 20:49
will claude 5 be released by february 6 2026 173 394	2	$2.1K	1,175	1,175	+0	No	+$140	02-05 18:11
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-09-13?	6	$2.1K	1,130	1,130	+0	No	+$123	09-13 15:01
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro	6	$2.1K	1,129	1,129	+0	Daniil Medvedev	+$123	10-22 13:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 17:38:41	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x39ff57…
10-26 17:37:12	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	478	85¢	$406	0x3bf571…
10-26 17:34:33	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x5a2ba0…
10-26 17:34:32	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	500	82¢	$410	0x806df8…
10-26 16:14:08	Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	1,100	91¢	$1,001	0x0e9f13…
10-26 05:03:35	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	3,750	100¢	$3,746	0xcbc4c9…
10-26 05:03:35	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2,992	100¢	$2,989	0x9e38bb…
10-26 05:03:35	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	3,320	100¢	$3,317	0x03aaca…
10-25 22:02:33	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	SELL	1,633	15¢	$251	0xca1010…
10-25 19:43:26	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	1,633	80¢	$1,300	0xa73f5c…
10-25 17:33:12	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	750	35¢	$262	0x38395f…
10-25 17:33:00	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	291	36¢	$105	0x39c241…
10-25 17:21:30	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xb5a129…
10-25 17:21:29	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	165	36¢	$59	0x8f515f…
10-25 17:21:29	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	101	36¢	$37	0x787a12…
10-25 17:21:29	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x634656…
10-25 16:31:50	Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	403	85¢	$343	0x2c9f0d…
10-25 16:31:17	Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	120	85¢	$102	0xcf0e46…
10-25 16:31:17	Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	120	85¢	$102	0x5a5f11…
10-25 16:31:14	Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	120	85¢	$102	0x2b7b8d…
10-25 16:31:14	Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	120	85¢	$102	0x294fed…
10-25 16:31:05	Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	73	85¢	$62	0xccad54…
10-25 16:31:05	Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	73	85¢	$62	0x731373…
10-25 16:09:18	Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	155	87¢	$134	0xef4c6c…
10-25 15:21:11	Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	SELL	1,250	100¢	$1,249	0x0fcf9b…
10-25 12:01:21	Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	1,250	80¢	$1,000	0x5ad966…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xfa72d9…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf78085…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xef747b…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xea83db…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xe47cec…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xdec915…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xde419d…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xdc51fa…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd8a7b8…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcf3102…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xcdd6ba…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xc7ab0f…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xc5659e…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xb6a0eb…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa99630…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9d3686…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x960bae…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x95979c…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9337df…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x87a6f3…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x870af1…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7d0eaa…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x798c6b…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x6e150e…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6c1174…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x612a9f…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x60f5ab…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5f58c2…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5af7c0…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x5a858d…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x5127ca…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x4d1ec6…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x4b8969…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4a4721…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x465495…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x412504…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3fd01b…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x3e68bb…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x3d3818…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x36b823…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x34a738…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x30de99…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x1d6bb7…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x09093c…
10-25 11:59:54	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x0684a2…
10-25 10:14:18	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	1,280	79¢	$1,011	0x7e0a54…
10-25 01:12:42	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	340	27¢	$92	0xfd2176…
10-24 23:03:39	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x113a9a…
10-24 22:37:47	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	132	27¢	$36	0x51f995…
10-24 22:10:33	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x6c10c1…
10-24 22:10:30	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x049084…
10-24 22:06:20	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,456	27¢	$393	0xa0fd02…
10-24 20:20:09	Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	1,150	46¢	$529	0xe36478…
10-24 19:42:56	Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1,150	71¢	$816	0x97f44a…
10-24 19:25:26	Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?	No	BUY	480	84¢	$402	0xb21333…
10-24 18:19:08	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-24?	No	SELL	1,144	100¢	$1,142	0xc46137…
10-24 18:19:08	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-24?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xac2577…
10-24 16:55:09	Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?	No	BUY	1,220	82¢	$1,000	0x7d6983…
10-24 16:33:36	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	88	87¢	$76	0x950cec…
10-24 16:33:35	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x88af1b…
10-24 16:33:33	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	514	87¢	$447	0xf7bf48…
10-24 16:33:29	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	514	87¢	$447	0x528634…
10-24 16:33:11	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	19	87¢	$17	0x4c135f…
10-24 15:17:54	Rangers FC vs. St Johnstone FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	1,390	44¢	$612	0xa6f030…
10-24 14:36:23	Rangers FC vs. St Johnstone FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	26	72¢	$18	0xf23b0e…
10-24 14:36:20	Rangers FC vs. St Johnstone FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xdda26c…
10-24 14:36:20	Rangers FC vs. St Johnstone FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	710	72¢	$511	0xb91242…
10-24 14:36:20	Rangers FC vs. St Johnstone FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	29	72¢	$21	0x287a2c…
10-24 14:35:39	Rangers FC vs. St Johnstone FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	621	72¢	$447	0x93a0ca…
10-24 10:42:05	Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	801	86¢	$689	0xf04d42…
10-24 10:41:50	Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	239	86¢	$205	0x339094…
10-24 10:41:48	Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	125	86¢	$108	0x4b55fb…
10-24 09:14:26	Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	548	88¢	$482	0x82f027…
10-24 09:14:24	Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	350	88¢	$308	0xab89a2…