Aggravating-Meat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$298

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.7%

Resolved

1,396

Trades

2,347

lifetime

Volume

$23.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-30 15:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 181 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 70% -$298

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 17:30 UTC	3	$216	162	162	+0	Up	+$93	06-18 17:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 19:00 UTC	2	$203	130	130	+0	Down	+$50	07-08 19:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 23:30 UTC	8	$191	112	112	+0	Up	+$23	06-18 23:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 12:30 UTC	2	$189	147	147	+0	Up	+$103	06-18 12:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 18:30 UTC	2	$189	119	119	+0	Down	+$45	06-18 18:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 14:15 UTC	2	$187	121	121	+0	Down	+$50	06-09 14:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 09:45 UTC	7	$180	106	106	+0	Up	+$28	07-02 09:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 00:30 UTC	2	$177	105	105	+0	Up	+$25	06-29 00:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 15:15 UTC	2	$176	103	103	+0	Up	+$25	07-14 15:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 18:30 UTC	2	$176	109	109	+0	Down	+$39	06-08 18:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 16:00 UTC	2	$176	112	112	+0	Down	+$41	06-09 16:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 22:00 UTC	2	$172	99	99	+0	Down	+$17	06-18 22:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 13:45 UTC	2	$168	98	98	+0	Up	+$23	06-30 13:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 02:30 UTC	2	$161	103	103	+0	Down	+$39	06-10 02:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 17:30 UTC	2	$160	103	103	+0	Down	+$40	06-10 17:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 14:15 UTC	2	$160	102	102	+0	Down	+$42	06-17 14:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 15:45 UTC	2	$158	101	101	+0	Down	+$42	06-09 15:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 14:00 UTC	2	$156	101	101	+0	Down	+$39	06-09 14:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 04:15 UTC	4	$156	99	99	+0	Up	+$37	08-09 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 16:15 UTC	2	$151	100	100	+0	Down	+$43	06-10 16:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 06:45 UTC	2	$145	94	94	+0	Down	+$38	08-09 06:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 10:45 UTC	2	$145	79	79	+0	Up	+$11	06-11 10:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 20:00 UTC	2	$143	90	90	+0	Down	+$31	06-11 20:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 12:45 UTC	7	$142	77	77	+0	Up	+$12	06-13 12:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 19:00 UTC	2	$141	82	82	+0	Up	+$21	06-15 19:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 08:15 UTC	2	$141	82	82	+0	Up	+$18	06-16 08:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 04:00 UTC	2	$139	76	76	+0	Down	+$11	06-12 04:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 05:15 UTC	2	$139	83	83	+0	Up	+$24	08-09 05:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 19:00 UTC	2	$136	73	73	+0	Down	+$7	06-14 19:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 17:45 UTC	2	$135	74	74	+0	Down	+$10	06-13 17:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 17:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xd0a540…
10-30 15:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xcc9e67…
10-30 15:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x8ff31c…
10-30 15:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0x413295…
10-30 15:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x33df65…
10-30 14:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0xc4d31c…
10-30 14:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xaae2b4…
10-30 14:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0xbf8733…
10-30 14:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xbbe49c…
10-30 13:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x056e62…
10-30 11:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xc9712e…
10-30 09:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xfa3072…
10-30 09:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x02352d…
10-30 05:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x45fce3…
10-30 05:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x5b2baf…
10-30 01:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xd44db1…
10-30 01:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0x8bcc5e…
10-30 00:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x7eeb4f…
10-30 00:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x5986c4…
10-30 00:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xbed145…
10-30 00:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xfd2ae1…
10-30 00:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xfbcb2d…
10-30 00:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xda56cb…
10-30 00:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xbe61f5…
10-30 00:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0xac8480…
10-30 00:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x8c28e9…
10-30 00:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4da8d1…
10-30 00:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4ccc00…
10-30 00:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	71¢	$7	0x5c72b5…
10-30 00:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0xcba114…
10-30 00:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x22ef0e…
10-29 23:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xc3adc7…
10-29 22:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0x0fa917…
10-29 20:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0x0fcfd1…
10-29 20:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xeab8a9…
10-29 20:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	84¢	$7	0xe6ec10…
10-29 20:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xfcb032…
10-29 17:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x8a4f26…
10-29 17:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	13	96¢	$13	0x8460b3…
10-29 17:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x60cf65…
10-29 17:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x24d009…
10-29 14:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xd6f308…
10-29 14:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x18453c…
10-29 13:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x185c67…
10-29 13:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xfffbaf…
10-29 13:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x844976…
10-29 11:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x24d4fa…
10-29 11:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x831a9b…
10-29 10:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x82883f…
10-29 09:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xf65588…
10-29 08:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x065ea3…
10-29 06:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x83afa4…
10-29 02:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x205495…
10-29 02:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0x14a97d…
10-29 01:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x97db35…
10-29 01:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x6d9705…
10-29 01:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x716c52…
10-29 00:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xa77d04…
10-28 22:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x123f0b…
10-28 20:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x966cba…
10-28 20:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xdd32fd…
10-28 19:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x84f7be…
10-28 19:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x1248a2…
10-28 18:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xdcf9cb…
10-28 18:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xcc7558…
10-28 17:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x4b4111…
10-28 15:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x3a55cc…
10-28 15:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x99668c…
10-28 15:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xa2444b…
10-28 12:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$9	0x41d05c…
10-28 12:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	61¢	$6	0x0acb40…
10-28 12:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xa34ca4…
10-28 11:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x0258ce…
10-28 06:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x63e7b3…
10-28 06:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	97¢	$8	0xc6af6a…
10-28 06:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x2dae6e…
10-28 04:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x508353…
10-28 04:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x2da373…
10-28 04:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$9	0x9d4422…
10-28 01:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x638a15…
10-28 01:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x167bd7…
10-28 00:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xb204bf…
10-28 00:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	81¢	$7	0xbb14c8…
10-28 00:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0xeaec32…
10-27 22:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xccd856…
10-27 19:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xb28fa4…
10-27 17:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x12f614…
10-27 16:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x6e7b0e…
10-27 16:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x3e19d3…
10-27 16:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x771cc2…
10-27 15:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xd34a2a…
10-27 15:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	83¢	$6	0xe3f4dd…
10-27 14:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa68061…
10-27 14:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xee4d4d…
10-27 14:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x971813…
10-27 14:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xfc697d…
10-27 13:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$9	0x6e4c27…
10-27 12:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x15d884…
10-27 10:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x1e5924…
10-27 06:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xe62e30…