Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$403

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.5%

Resolved

Trades

598

lifetime

Volume

$57.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$97

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 04-22 06:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Politics

60% 43% -$4

Other

25% 46% -$436

Tech

15% 27% +$36

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	95	$26.4K	19,196	19,196	+0	Yes	+$61	04-04 19:30
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	51	$6.4K	4,724	4,724	+0	Yes	+$436	02-24 23:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	96	$3.9K	13,024	13,024	+0	No	+$31	04-12 22:37
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	18	$2.8K	3,659	4,059	-400	Yes	-$51	04-07 22:49
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	26	$1.7K	7,484	7,484	+0	No	-$516	02-24 01:16
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	21	$1.6K	3,989	3,989	+0	Yes	+$5	04-07 23:48
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$2	04-17 21:32
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	3	$1.2K	577	977	-400	No	+$4	03-09 17:37
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	14	$1.2K	1,162	1,162	+0	Yes	-$144	03-01 14:31
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	4	$1.1K	785	785	+0	No	+$42	02-25 00:00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	4	$1.0K	1,700	1,700	+0	No	-$37	03-24 21:31
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$952	1,570	1,570	+0	No	+$176	03-19 08:01
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	11	$880	4,002	4,002	+0	No	$0	03-18 22:23
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	2	$762	443	443	+0	No	+$9	02-15 19:27
grok 4pt20 released by january 15 984	5	$682	421	379	+42	No	+$74	01-12 13:44
will google have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	10	$646	1,051	596	+455	No	+$341	02-28 12:25
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	3	$468	466	309	+157	Yes	+$221	04-16 14:24
will xai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	43	$445	3,075	400	+2,675	No	-$349	03-15 15:12
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	5	$443	400	400	+0	Yes	+$8	04-13 15:22
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	3	$373	300	300	+0	Yes	+$3	02-28 11:03
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	3	$351	400	400	+0	Yes	$0	04-13 15:25
will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the top ai model on april 17 2026 style control on	11	$328	1,764	346	+1,418	Yes	-$134	04-16 15:02
grok 5 released by march 31 2026	3	$316	200	200	+0	No	+$52	01-13 09:19
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$247	200	200	+0	No	+$1	03-19 08:01
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	9	$220	1,000	1,000	+0	No	$0	04-13 15:24
will xai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	23	$201	1,267	1,267	+0	No	+$1	02-17 23:24
gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	1	$200	910	0	+910	No	-$200	02-25 05:30
grok 4pt20 released by january 31 273	4	$196	200	212	-12	No	+$144	01-18 17:06
will anthropic have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	33	$195	1,341	213	+1,128	No	-$151	03-17 18:51
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	3	$195	200	200	+0	No	-$17	02-19 15:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-22 06:03:28	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	25¢	$3	0x6b8e46…
04-17 21:32:26	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	75¢	$752	0xda8d4c…
04-17 16:36:14	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	75¢	$750	0x93cb8b…
04-16 15:02:22	will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the top ai model on april 17 2026 style control on	No	SELL	346	28¢	$97	0x28f863…
04-16 14:24:38	Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	309	98¢	$303	0xb0648d…
04-16 13:57:06	Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0x13d881…
04-16 13:37:34	Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	231	10¢	$23	0x73fec2…
04-16 13:07:16	claude 4pt7 released by april 17 411	No	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0x759318…
04-16 13:01:26	Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	No	BUY	74	5¢	$4	0xf3154f…
04-16 06:04:16	Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	137	2¢	$3	0xe4779a…
04-16 06:04:16	Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x18dd2b…
04-16 06:04:10	Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x38d93b…
04-16 05:59:32	Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	2¢	$3	0x8d8b43…
04-16 05:43:40	claude 4pt7 released by april 17 411	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xb7298c…
04-15 23:22:08	Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	2¢	$4	0x4bd171…
04-15 20:06:42	Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x3d8d67…
04-15 18:56:34	Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x566b26…
04-15 18:56:34	Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	14¢	$2	0x2b150f…
04-15 18:37:08	Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xc6c695…
04-15 18:24:14	Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xf3a865…
04-15 17:25:44	claude 4pt7 released by april 17 411	No	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x23fbb6…
04-15 17:17:46	Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xf0b3d8…
04-15 17:17:46	Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x637458…
04-15 17:17:20	Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x331e54…
04-15 17:17:16	Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	392	41¢	$162	0x12a132…
04-15 17:02:58	claude 4pt7 released by april 17 411	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x9d0824…
04-15 16:54:44	claude 4pt7 released by april 17 411	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x0da4b8…
04-15 15:15:42	claude 4pt7 released by april 17 411	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xda35ba…
04-15 14:59:36	will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the top ai model on april 17 2026 style control on	No	BUY	493	14¢	$68	0xa7dd33…
04-15 14:59:08	will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the top ai model on april 17 2026 style control on	No	BUY	1,238	13¢	$160	0x7a13b5…
04-15 11:58:28	will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the top ai model on april 17 2026 style control on	No	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x4eacc3…
04-15 11:58:22	will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the top ai model on april 17 2026 style control on	No	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x51034c…
04-15 11:58:16	will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the top ai model on april 17 2026 style control on	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x953104…
04-15 11:58:10	will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the top ai model on april 17 2026 style control on	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x09bd87…
04-15 11:58:04	will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the top ai model on april 17 2026 style control on	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xe4e76d…
04-15 11:57:58	will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the top ai model on april 17 2026 style control on	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x7dcad7…
04-15 11:57:54	will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the top ai model on april 17 2026 style control on	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x110b3f…
04-15 11:57:48	will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the top ai model on april 17 2026 style control on	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xb9e36d…
04-15 11:18:48	claude 4pt7 released by april 17 411	No	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x983d00…
04-13 15:25:13	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	200	43¢	$86	0xd0fc4b…
04-13 15:24:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	427	11¢	$47	0xa5ec19…
04-13 15:22:59	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	200	56¢	$113	0x7103bf…
04-13 15:18:19	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	200	56¢	$113	0x9ddc14…
04-13 15:17:47	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	455	11¢	$50	0x5b516f…
04-13 15:16:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	200	45¢	$89	0x1dddc5…
04-13 15:13:41	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0x69e9b6…
04-13 15:12:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0x9ba699…
04-13 15:11:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x94b3ef…
04-13 15:10:29	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x48905a…
04-13 15:09:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x77df9e…
04-13 15:07:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xcf500c…
04-13 15:05:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	400	44¢	$176	0x6eb8d9…
04-13 14:36:59	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	11¢	$110	0x799d8f…
04-13 13:57:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	140	54¢	$76	0x08a46f…
04-13 13:57:11	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xef2035…
04-13 13:57:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	258	54¢	$140	0xb62e0c…
04-12 22:37:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	266	14¢	$37	0x912528…
04-12 21:40:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	27	16¢	$4	0xb60ead…
04-12 21:39:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xa286f3…
04-12 21:39:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xbb505e…
04-12 21:39:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x07a907…
04-12 21:38:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x47f51b…
04-12 21:37:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	187	16¢	$30	0x3f14a9…
04-07 23:48:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	89	2¢	$2	0x9c185e…
04-07 23:48:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	86	2¢	$2	0x9d445d…
04-07 23:48:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	1,479	2¢	$28	0xfeb65a…
04-07 23:48:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	947	2¢	$18	0x34f73d…
04-07 23:22:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	85	2¢	$2	0x284671…
04-07 23:22:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	2,515	2¢	$48	0x89142e…
04-07 23:10:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	230	11¢	$25	0xae2be2…
04-07 23:08:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xc92654…
04-07 23:08:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	38	20¢	$8	0x412cf6…
04-07 23:08:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	55	20¢	$11	0x2a3986…
04-07 22:55:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	77	13¢	$10	0xa87e95…
04-07 22:55:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	193	13¢	$25	0xecda20…
04-07 22:52:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0xe0e5ac…
04-07 22:52:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	41	26¢	$11	0xbe7764…
04-07 22:52:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	330	26¢	$86	0xb0cd55…
04-07 22:52:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x842176…
04-07 22:49:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	234	28¢	$66	0x3917fa…
04-07 22:46:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xec401b…
04-07 22:46:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x7b89f4…
04-07 22:46:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	86	30¢	$26	0xaec846…
04-07 22:46:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	43	30¢	$13	0x27a7dc…
04-07 22:34:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	2,797	28¢	$783	0x852ffd…
04-07 22:34:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	93	28¢	$26	0xb4e41f…
04-07 22:32:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	1,490	32¢	$477	0xca1c44…
04-07 21:51:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	1,000	32¢	$320	0x1e0002…
04-07 21:47:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	89	48¢	$43	0xb66132…
04-07 21:46:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	311	48¢	$149	0xcbf1f1…
04-07 21:42:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	300	49¢	$147	0xd43e6d…
04-07 21:27:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0xe3a9da…
04-07 21:10:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	82	56¢	$46	0x9d5959…
04-07 21:10:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	889	78¢	$696	0x2e2e05…
04-07 21:06:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x9e622b…
04-07 21:06:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	921	31¢	$285	0xabf83b…
04-07 21:05:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0xe4a076…
04-07 21:05:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xbd6c64…
04-07 21:05:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	29	31¢	$9	0x912dec…
04-07 21:04:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	82	55¢	$45	0x7588ec…