Friendly-Outlook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$145

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.6%

Resolved

1,070

Trades

1,534

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-05 22:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 86% -$80

Other

14% 68% -$67

Sports

0% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 22:10 UTC	4	$344	241	238	+3	Up	+$19	02-23 22:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 20:15 UTC	2	$92	141	0	+141	Up	+$50	02-23 20:15
bitcoin up or down march 13 8pm et	3	$76	80	40	+40	Down	+$4	03-14 01:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 02:25 UTC	7	$65	71	0	+71	Down	+$7	02-22 02:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 00:45 UTC	3	$59	60	0	+60	Down	+$1	02-20 00:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 00:15 UTC	3	$59	60	0	+60	Up	+$1	02-20 00:20
bitcoin up or down march 13 6pm et	3	$57	60	30	+30	Down	+$3	03-13 23:07
bitcoin up or down march 13 5pm et	5	$57	60	30	+30	Down	+$3	03-13 23:07
bitcoin up or down march 13 2pm et	3	$57	60	30	+30	Up	+$3	03-13 19:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 19:40 UTC	8	$54	45	45	+0	Up	+$4	02-18 19:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 21:10 UTC	2	$51	56	0	+56	Up	$0	02-18 21:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 11:20 UTC	1	$50	50	0	+50	Up	-$50	03-02 11:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:55 UTC	1	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	02-27 00:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 18:10 UTC	1	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	02-26 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:50 UTC	1	$50	50	0	+50	Down	+$0	02-26 23:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 18:20 UTC	1	$50	50	0	+50	Down	+$0	02-26 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 17:40 UTC	1	$49	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	02-26 17:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 00:00 UTC	5	$49	50	0	+50	Down	+$1	02-20 00:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 17:30 UTC	1	$46	74	0	+74	Up	+$28	02-26 17:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 18:00 UTC	5	$46	51	0	+51	Down	+$5	02-23 18:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 23:15 UTC	2	$44	25	25	+0	Up	+$5	03-12 23:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 18:50 UTC	3	$43	34	33	+1	Down	+$4	04-03 18:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 22:05 UTC	5	$41	39	19	+20	Down	+$2	02-24 22:10
epl mac not 2026 03 04 mac	1	$40	58	0	+58	No	-$40	03-04 17:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 23:35 UTC	1	$40	41	0	+41	Down	+$1	02-17 23:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 22:55 UTC	2	$40	40	0	+40	Up	+$0	02-26 23:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 02:50 UTC	4	$40	40	0	+40	Down	+$0	03-05 02:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 22:45 UTC	2	$40	40	0	+40	Up	+$0	02-26 22:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 22:10 UTC	2	$40	40	0	+40	Up	+$0	02-26 22:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 05:55 UTC	4	$40	40	0	+40	Down	+$0	02-20 05:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 22:29:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2d0301…
06-05 22:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xcf8f48…
06-05 22:10:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc64f57…
06-05 21:29:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x5d6096…
06-05 21:15:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc5bbc5…
06-05 21:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x14a041…
06-05 19:55:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe7a835…
06-05 19:15:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x0f0132…
06-05 19:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x09e090…
06-05 19:04:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0800f0…
06-05 18:09:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x2d1f4b…
06-05 17:59:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xd9f442…
06-05 17:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xe5e564…
06-05 17:05:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x31df50…
06-05 17:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x4a7d40…
06-05 14:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x96e968…
06-05 14:50:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xb7650c…
06-05 13:45:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x58a061…
06-05 13:29:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x9c3938…
06-05 13:14:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x35b054…
06-05 12:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2769d3…
06-05 12:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x2eed7b…
06-05 11:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x54ad51…
06-05 10:59:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x47df09…
06-05 10:35:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x642882…
06-05 10:24:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8e5163…
06-05 10:05:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x35bdd7…
06-05 10:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x0f55ae…
06-05 09:54:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xdf5875…
06-05 09:44:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x0c3f0f…
06-05 09:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4858b7…
06-05 08:44:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xf02df0…
06-05 07:50:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x7b165d…
06-05 07:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x08a392…
06-05 05:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xac2866…
06-05 05:10:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xee68d2…
06-05 04:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x76f60d…
06-05 03:15:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x176ec4…
06-05 03:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x48a546…
06-05 02:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x980939…
06-05 01:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xd1b019…
06-05 01:29:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xca9353…
06-05 01:20:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x0c575b…
06-05 00:35:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x050382…
06-05 00:19:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x394c91…
06-04 23:49:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xbc7531…
06-04 22:29:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x99b0a3…
06-04 22:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3423f9…
06-04 22:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xae122f…
06-04 22:09:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x324bdd…
06-04 20:54:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x39ba01…
06-04 20:49:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x9789d1…
06-04 20:29:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x20fbfa…
06-04 19:59:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x997c30…
06-04 19:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x6f3d35…
06-04 19:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf52321…
06-04 18:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x61b4fc…
06-04 17:44:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x948a5f…
06-04 16:49:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x126e0f…
06-04 15:55:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xd61755…
06-04 15:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xaa4716…
06-04 15:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x745861…
06-04 14:34:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xbd5736…
06-04 14:29:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x28e206…
06-04 14:24:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xc790e9…
06-04 13:54:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x8fa4f1…
06-04 13:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa68e1b…
06-04 11:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x42a736…
06-04 09:54:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x4c5b5a…
06-04 09:44:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x2e7af3…
06-04 09:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xbd2e04…
06-04 08:59:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x8ba7f9…
06-04 08:34:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x304b44…
06-04 08:24:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x8d00de…
06-04 07:44:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x915342…
06-04 07:10:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8fd9c8…
06-04 06:44:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x738ca9…
06-04 06:29:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x812d5d…
06-04 06:15:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xeecf80…
06-04 05:29:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x96aa9e…
06-04 05:24:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xdae12a…
06-04 04:20:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x05731b…
06-04 03:54:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x56e315…
06-04 03:50:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x3536e6…
06-04 03:39:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x77c389…
06-04 02:39:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6669aa…
06-04 02:29:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x731ef2…
06-04 00:54:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf5126d…
06-04 00:14:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x8dc21b…
06-04 00:10:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x8f6813…
06-03 22:24:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x20f4a1…
06-03 22:10:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa025bc…
06-03 21:29:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xb2e118…
06-03 21:24:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xf21d43…
06-03 19:50:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x49fac7…
06-03 19:44:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x0335f4…
06-03 19:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x9b0a86…
06-03 18:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x060000…
06-03 18:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc4182d…
06-03 18:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xa189e8…