Boring-Encounter — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$97

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.7%

Resolved (90d)

1,491

Trades (90d)

1,554

9,066 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$16.2K

$38.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 10-31 05:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 120 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 60% -$237

Politics

1% 0% -$350

Other

0% 0% -$149

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$200	506	+506	No	-$200	05-23 20:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 00:30 UTC	1	$200	282	+282	Up	+$82	03-13 00:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 09:00 UTC	25	$118	125	+125	Up	+$7	03-18 09:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 20:45 UTC	1	$111	111	+111	Up	+$0	03-09 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 07:30 UTC	2	$104	790	+790	Down	-$99	04-01 07:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 06:30 UTC	3	$103	118	+118	Down	+$10	03-12 06:44
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	2	$75	170	+170	No	-$75	05-23 20:05
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$65	86	+86	No	-$65	05-23 20:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$60	359	+359	No	-$60	05-23 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	2	$50	105	+105	Up	-$50	09-12 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$50	104	+104	Down	+$54	09-12 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$50	59	+59	Up	+$9	09-11 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	1	$50	119	+119	Down	-$50	09-12 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$50	69	+69	Up	-$50	09-12 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	1	$50	94	+94	Down	-$50	09-12 12:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-12 09:45 UTC	1	$50	80	+80	Up	-$50	09-12 09:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$50	64	+64	Down	-$50	09-10 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	1	$50	64	+64	Up	+$14	09-12 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$50	64	+64	Down	+$14	09-12 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$50	64	+64	Up	+$14	09-11 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$50	64	+64	Up	+$14	09-12 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	1	$50	70	+70	Up	+$21	09-11 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	1	$50	71	+71	Down	+$21	09-12 01:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-11 10:45 UTC	1	$50	72	+72	Down	-$50	09-11 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$50	72	+72	Down	+$22	09-11 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$50	72	+72	Up	+$22	09-11 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	1	$50	54	+54	Up	+$4	09-11 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	1	$50	70	+70	Down	+$21	09-11 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	1	$50	73	+73	Up	-$50	09-11 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$50	73	+73	Down	-$50	09-12 02:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 05:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x554145…
10-31 05:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xa28cd5…
10-31 05:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf327bd…
10-31 02:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xabd320…
10-31 02:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x1b464c…
10-23 22:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xb74a6f…
10-23 22:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x67a24e…
10-23 21:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x084bad…
10-23 21:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xcb34db…
10-23 21:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x00eaa6…
10-23 20:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x3882a6…
10-23 20:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9651d9…
10-23 19:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x48b2e3…
10-23 18:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x825b2c…
10-23 18:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfcc29e…
10-23 18:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xdc1758…
10-23 12:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xbf09a7…
10-23 11:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x6965b8…
10-23 06:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xb86afe…
10-23 06:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xcfb164…
10-23 04:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xdd7fcd…
10-23 03:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x8b175f…
10-15 05:25:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x04e475…
10-15 04:55:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x4102c3…
10-14 17:40:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xff4438…
10-14 17:25:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x4b5578…
10-11 23:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x4a2c0e…
10-11 19:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x0642ce…
10-11 13:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x4e777c…
10-11 11:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x80789f…
10-11 10:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xc995d1…
10-11 10:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xc58576…
10-11 09:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xdac35a…
10-10 06:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xb25399…
10-10 06:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x7c3fd0…
10-10 05:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x5818da…
10-10 05:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xbb246c…
10-10 03:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x49d1e0…
10-10 03:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x7fff43…
10-10 03:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0x911242…
10-10 03:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x416dd3…
10-10 02:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x5f52c8…
10-10 02:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xc2639b…
10-10 02:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x997010…
10-10 01:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x987424…
10-10 01:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	62¢	$5	0xb2e790…
10-10 01:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x14eed3…
10-10 00:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x34e40d…
10-10 00:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x888884…
10-10 00:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x3fe607…
10-09 23:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0xecdf70…
10-09 23:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xdc45ba…
10-09 23:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x394982…
10-09 23:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xdc0108…
10-09 22:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x065626…
10-09 21:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x572363…
10-09 20:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xac51ed…
10-09 20:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x0bd459…
10-09 19:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xa2d21c…
10-09 18:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0xa7cde4…
10-06 21:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x17d92b…
10-03 01:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	484	1¢	$5	0x977af8…
10-02 20:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x0e328f…
09-29 20:55:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x4ae819…
09-29 19:40:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x956446…
09-28 09:59:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x365dc9…
09-28 04:40:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x010ad0…
09-28 00:14:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2,200	0¢	$2	0x1845dc…
09-27 19:10:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x9978bf…
09-27 10:59:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x0c2a15…
09-27 09:25:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0xb76bb8…
09-27 08:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xe480e6…
09-27 07:25:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x53a499…
09-27 07:10:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x4f3b01…
09-27 05:25:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xa829cc…
09-27 04:59:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2,200	0¢	$2	0x096069…
09-27 03:55:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xd8d106…
09-27 03:40:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x11cbf6…
09-27 02:40:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x4cb6cd…
09-27 01:40:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x8ef411…
09-27 01:25:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x8f3305…
09-26 18:40:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xa662f2…
09-26 18:25:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x0abc32…
09-26 17:40:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2b577a…
09-26 17:25:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x922eaa…
09-26 16:55:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x7c598e…
09-26 16:10:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x7f4874…
09-26 14:55:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x369187…
09-26 14:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa6007b…
09-26 14:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa6fb98…
09-26 14:10:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x465735…
09-26 12:55:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x58fce1…
09-26 12:25:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x9767f3…
09-26 11:55:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x856bf6…
09-26 11:25:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xba645c…
09-26 10:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xa153fa…
09-26 09:55:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xb838c9…
09-26 09:40:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x9b4cc2…
09-26 09:25:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0x0af5c9…
09-26 08:25:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xc90b5f…