Enchanting-Spud — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.36K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

79.5%

Resolved

676

Trades

5,609

lifetime

Volume

$17.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-24 01:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 251 days

Categories

Crypto

42% 53% +$529

Other

34% 58% +$1,199

Politics

24% 62% +$589

Sports

1% 100% +$41

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes		+100	$6	6¢	$5	$0	10-21 11:10
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+1,000	$2	0¢	$2	$0	09-19 20:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	61	$520	951	951	+0	No	+$377	05-20 05:08
will russia capture rodynske by february 28	22	$403	574	583	-9	No	+$26	02-04 16:12
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	76	$358	907	867	+40	Yes	+$1	06-16 09:53
bitcoin above 88k on january 26	49	$336	1,140	1,140	+0	No	+$49	01-26 16:58
will fidesz kdnp win at least 70 seats	16	$278	205	295	-90	No	+$52	04-12 18:27
will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	46	$274	278	318	-40	No	+$45	04-09 12:48
will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	30	$252	587	667	-80	No	+$44	01-23 22:26
bitcoin above 82k on january 31	45	$217	1,106	1,225	-120	No	+$57	01-31 16:46
bitcoin above 90k on january 23	32	$202	726	576	+150	Yes	+$174	01-23 16:48
North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	20	$198	646	653	-7	Yes	+$56	04-08 04:31
will trump say iran or iranian 15 times during monday news conference	8	$191	170	166	+4	Yes	+$57	04-06 05:07
trump renames ai by september 30	30	$188	288	288	+0	Yes	+$17	09-28 12:57
will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	19	$173	390	410	-20	No	+$23	02-19 03:13
bitcoin above 96k on january 18	66	$168	3,978	4,328	-350	No	+$20	01-18 16:47
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	6	$167	151	151	+0	No	+$35	04-09 20:17
bitcoin above 70k on april 6	2	$166	87	86	+0	No	+$6	04-06 16:01
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 18:45 UTC	13	$162	120	118	+2	Up	+$47	01-27 18:53
bitcoin above 96k on january 16	55	$158	3,093	2,575	+518	No	+$6	01-16 17:07
will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	14	$145	136	136	+0	No	+$5	06-10 21:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 23:45 UTC	11	$131	150	100	+50	Down	+$14	08-29 23:58
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	8	$126	695	70	+625	No	-$72	04-24 20:07
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	5	$123	90	90	+0	Yes	+$1	06-24 20:52
Will Bitcoin hit $70,000 or $73,000 first?	6	$113	65	65	+0	$70,000	+$13	03-19 08:13
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	47	$111	954	1,085	-131	Yes	+$42	04-07 23:09
bitcoin above 84k on january 31	50	$110	940	873	+67	No	+$4	01-31 14:30
will trump say nuclear during medal of honor ceremony on june 18 20260618143625488	5	$108	90	90	+0	No	+$70	06-18 21:20
moscow air traffic suspended by july 31 20260702184246099	8	$107	110	110	+0	Yes	$0	07-04 02:18
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 02:15 UTC	12	$106	80	80	+0	Down	+$46	01-18 02:26
will trump say fake news during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255815	22	$104	586	386	+200	Yes	+$2	07-25 02:09
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?	5	$101	173	173	+0	Yes	$0	06-22 15:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 01:14:29	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	91	12¢	$11	0x62e66b…
10-24 00:41:48	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x5a8033…
10-23 21:38:48	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	34	41¢	$14	0x214aa0…
10-23 20:45:02	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x0203a1…
10-23 20:40:44	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	26	81¢	$21	0xb27658…
10-23 20:33:41	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x8b1b42…
10-23 19:44:08	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	26	45¢	$12	0x334b4e…
10-23 19:33:00	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x3cbe02…
10-23 16:38:15	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x7e1168…
10-23 13:34:02	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x3ae135…
10-23 11:40:05	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	34	14¢	$5	0x417e24…
10-23 10:55:56	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x257972…
10-23 10:25:44	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	9	29¢	$3	0xa94111…
10-23 10:00:47	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x9de601…
10-22 15:58:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	70	0¢	$0	0xe53d60…
10-22 15:56:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd86f70…
10-22 15:56:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0x5ca554…
10-22 15:45:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x395a0b…
10-22 15:35:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x89386e…
10-22 15:12:08	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xdcc23f…
10-22 15:02:03	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xba2d4c…
10-22 12:56:03	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xa9944e…
10-21 23:01:57	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 22, 2026?	No	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0x57be8e…
10-21 22:57:24	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	38	4¢	$2	0xce90b2…
10-21 16:51:35	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xef73ea…
10-21 11:10:47	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$1	0xfd828d…
10-21 09:56:26	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x2754f6…
10-21 09:25:00	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0x0fd34f…
10-21 03:33:23	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x1f9976…
10-20 19:20:21	1win fdv above 30m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xae4d73…
10-20 19:10:27	1win fdv above 30m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa063a6…
10-20 15:54:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x04077b…
10-20 15:13:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?	No	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0xdda2d0…
10-20 15:13:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?	No	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0x9831b4…
10-20 15:13:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?	No	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x1058e1…
10-20 15:12:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?	No	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x752aa6…
10-20 15:11:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?	No	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x10f5d2…
10-20 15:10:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa2f548…
10-20 15:05:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6c368c…
10-19 18:58:02	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0xac1fca…
10-19 18:46:51	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0xd2dd18…
10-19 18:29:29	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima?	Yes	SELL	196	1¢	$1	0x553f65…
10-19 17:21:47	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	150	3¢	$5	0xcefed1…
10-19 17:19:50	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x747cbd…
10-19 17:18:15	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	29	11¢	$3	0x2365c1…
10-19 17:18:15	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	21	11¢	$2	0x00b44d…
10-19 17:05:11	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	22	63¢	$14	0xff5461…
10-19 17:02:39	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x379bb6…
10-19 16:44:47	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	50	23¢	$11	0xcfe354…
10-19 16:36:41	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	67	20¢	$13	0x19d66d…
10-19 16:19:14	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9964c0…
10-19 16:13:00	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	65	1¢	$1	0xa06e94…
10-19 16:08:51	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x763dd9…
10-19 16:04:57	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x9adb2c…
10-19 15:59:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xcb0b24…
10-19 14:50:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 19?	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x0bc9a9…
10-19 14:03:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x80a1b2…
10-19 13:44:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 19?	No	SELL	70	1¢	$0	0x15e391…
10-19 13:42:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0xd351e3…
10-19 13:37:50	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0x5a224c…
10-19 11:27:21	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xb9d6c8…
10-19 09:26:51	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x7b6846…
10-19 08:38:03	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x6aea5f…
10-19 07:38:42	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0xe7879b…
10-19 06:40:15	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x7f8b9c…
10-19 06:37:45	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0xb6ad3f…
10-19 06:37:42	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x97878f…
10-18 23:49:21	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x73cb22…
10-18 23:38:44	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x282914…
10-18 19:30:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0078a2…
10-18 17:01:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18?	No	SELL	42	17¢	$7	0x0cd028…
10-18 15:49:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18?	No	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0xc8c6bc…
10-18 15:41:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xe70b9a…
10-18 15:40:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xf62017…
10-18 15:31:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x61f8f3…
10-18 14:58:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18?	No	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0x6dfd2f…
10-18 14:42:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x6db005…
10-18 14:36:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xf3b04d…
10-18 14:06:51	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0x4f4926…
10-17 19:21:36	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xe29be2…
10-17 19:19:27	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$0	0x3dc74b…
10-17 11:50:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 17?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x3a88c1…
10-17 10:49:09	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima?	Yes	SELL	28	2¢	$0	0xa51b2b…
10-17 06:19:59	us imports russian diesel by october 31	Yes	SELL	51	6¢	$3	0x54a9d5…
10-16 22:05:50	us imports russian diesel by october 31	Yes	SELL	70	3¢	$2	0xb74bfc…
10-16 22:00:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 17?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x5f9fe2…
10-16 21:34:44	us imports russian diesel by october 31	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xe245e6…
10-16 18:53:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x80044e…
10-16 18:14:54	us imports russian diesel by october 31	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0x66b803…
10-16 18:09:03	us imports russian diesel by october 31	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6f72ad…
10-16 17:55:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x370763…
10-16 15:45:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x8c41fb…
10-16 15:21:12	us imports russian diesel by october 31	Yes	SELL	38	4¢	$1	0x423ca2…
10-16 10:50:55	us imports russian diesel by october 31	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x9a5612…
10-15 14:56:46	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x2a59bd…
10-14 15:57:07	bitcoin above 82k on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x9930c9…
10-14 15:56:15	bitcoin above 82k on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0xf4d27a…
10-14 15:55:46	bitcoin above 82k on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0x973ed5…
10-14 15:55:43	bitcoin above 82k on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x44a14b…
10-14 15:53:04	bitcoin above 82k on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$1	0x5ccda6…