Sugary-Saucer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

$55

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-14 03:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

37% — —

Crypto

32% — —

Tech

25% — —

Sports

4% 50% +$3

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		+56	$55	98¢	$55	$-0	06-14 03:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$280	142	142	+0	open	—	04-22 04:28
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	3	$186	122	66	+56	open	—	03-29 06:32
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$141	71	71	+0	open	—	04-26 02:26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$141	71	71	+0	open	—	04-19 03:53
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$135	103	103	+0	open	—	03-13 23:45
ethereum above 1600 on march 29	2	$131	66	66	+0	open	—	03-29 06:32
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	2	$112	57	57	+0	open	—	02-24 14:14
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	2	$111	56	56	+0	open	—	02-22 03:03
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$105	59	59	+0	open	—	02-12 01:42
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	2	$96	48	48	+0	open	—	01-24 04:14
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$96	49	49	+0	open	—	01-26 02:42
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$92	48	48	+0	open	—	01-18 02:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	1	$84	84	0	+84	open	—	05-31 02:27
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$71	77	0	+77	open	—	04-26 02:26
nvda above 155 on march 6 2026	1	$70	71	0	+71	open	—	03-03 04:29
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 1?	1	$65	65	0	+65	open	—	05-02 02:13
will bitcoin reach 84k march 9 15	1	$59	59	0	+59	open	—	03-13 23:46
nba phi ind 2026 02 24	1	$56	70	0	+70	open	—	02-24 14:15
bitcoin above 58k on february 12	1	$55	55	0	+55	open	—	02-12 01:42
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	1	$55	56	0	+56	open	—	06-14 03:15
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	1	$49	49	0	+49	open	—	02-04 03:11
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 65 89	1	$48	49	0	+49	open	—	01-26 02:43
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 440 459	1	$41	41	0	+41	open	—	01-05 04:44
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	05-02 02:12
nba bos cha 2026 03 29	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	03-29 06:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$5	192	0	+192	open	—	05-08 15:32
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$5	12	0	+12	Cavaliers	$-5	05-08 15:32
nba bos nyk 2026 04 09	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	04-09 11:02
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$5	13	0	+13	Cavaliers	+$8	05-13 01:49
nba cle dal 2026 03 13	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-13 23:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 03:15:24	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xdce92d…
05-31 02:27:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x4c22f3…
05-31 02:26:25	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x5a634a…
05-18 01:16:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xbcd1e8…
05-13 01:49:44	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x034936…
05-08 15:32:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	192	3¢	$5	0xd628e2…
05-08 15:32:11	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xab7811…
05-02 02:13:00	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x2342d9…
05-02 02:12:08	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xe3eab9…
04-26 02:26:40	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	77	92¢	$71	0xc12121…
04-26 02:26:22	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0xc81f2e…
04-22 04:29:28	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x97dcbb…
04-22 04:28:30	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x956301…
04-19 03:53:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0x6dec6c…
04-19 03:53:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	71	99¢	$71	0x65f4e2…
04-17 04:42:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	71	99¢	$71	0x11f1b9…
04-17 04:42:06	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	71	99¢	$71	0xadd5ae…
04-09 11:02:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0xc758d6…
04-09 11:02:25	nba bos nyk 2026 04 09	Celtics	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x456eec…
03-29 06:32:46	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x657115…
03-29 06:32:36	nba bos cha 2026 03 29	Celtics	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x66867f…
03-29 06:32:12	ethereum above 1600 on march 29	Yes	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x97ec26…
03-25 05:40:21	ethereum above 1600 on march 29	Yes	BUY	66	100¢	$65	0xb05516…
03-25 05:40:05	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0x6e6d52…
03-20 10:14:41	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x0f882d…
03-13 23:46:55	will bitcoin reach 84k march 9 15	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x600750…
03-13 23:46:31	nba cle dal 2026 03 13	Cavaliers	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x2a5786…
03-13 23:45:49	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	103	62¢	$64	0x493257…
03-13 14:56:01	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	103	69¢	$71	0x466b4f…
03-03 04:29:17	nvda above 155 on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0x8460f3…
02-24 14:15:12	nba phi ind 2026 02 24	76ers	BUY	70	81¢	$56	0x342a22…
02-24 14:14:14	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0xf57aaa…
02-22 03:04:34	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0x5519be…
02-22 03:03:40	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	SELL	56	100¢	$55	0xc049ea…
02-15 02:56:15	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	BUY	56	100¢	$55	0xf96db5…
02-12 01:42:51	bitcoin above 58k on february 12	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x9af69a…
02-12 01:42:27	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	SELL	59	94¢	$55	0x60f871…
02-07 02:11:11	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x2cec11…
02-04 03:11:52	us strikes iran by february 4 2026	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xc7d143…
01-26 02:43:52	elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 65 89	No	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0x1719b0…
01-26 02:42:02	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0x98baca…
01-24 04:15:30	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x9d4a3e…
01-24 04:14:50	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xed308d…
01-18 02:25:04	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0xe51caf…
01-18 02:24:50	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x6633e6…
01-18 02:24:44	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	48	96¢	$46	0x7151c5…
01-16 03:57:38	nba nyk gsw 2026 01 15	Knicks	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9e1cec…
01-16 03:57:00	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0x03f0a3…
01-05 04:44:17	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 440 459	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x23887e…