Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.35K

Unrealized P&L

+$23

Hit rate

57.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$22.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$265

Open exposure

$771

1 position

First seen

2026-02-27

last 09-15 19:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

82% 20% +$1,051

Other

7% 0% -$1,368

Tech

6% 33% -$31

Crypto

5% 0% -$1,003

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		-4,990	-$794	15¢	$-771	+$23	09-15 19:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	3	$5.5K	3,155	3,155	+0	Yes	+$723	04-07 23:26
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$3.5K	123,183	123,183	+0	Yes	-$509	04-08 04:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$2.9K	1,774	1,774	+0	Yes	+$665	04-07 23:26
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	2	$2.5K	1,525	1,525	+0	Yes	+$476	03-07 15:17
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$994	836	836	+0	Yes	-$8	03-03 11:33
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$794	0	4,990	-4,990	open	—	09-15 19:23
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	2	$745	648	648	+0	Yes	+$545	02-28 15:50
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$574	506	506	+0	Yes	-$26	02-28 15:51
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$550	50,000	0	+50,000	No	-$550	03-31 16:09
will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	2	$494	400	400	+0	Yes	+$294	02-27 22:51
will bitcoin reach 80k april 6 12	1	$367	10,292	0	+10,292	No	-$367	04-08 16:23
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$334	13,977	1,208	+12,770	No	-$136	04-02 13:09
Will the US strike Iran next?	3	$331	10,104	2,299	+7,805	No	-$219	02-28 18:28
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	1	$300	1,722	0	+1,722	No	-$300	02-28 15:52
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$274	15,480	0	+15,480	No	-$274	04-11 22:19
Netanyahu out by April 30?	4	$229	9,932	0	+9,932	No	-$229	04-08 06:48
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$225	13,727	0	+13,727	No	-$225	03-31 03:54
bitcoin above 76k on april 9	1	$218	8,784	0	+8,784	No	-$218	04-08 16:20
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	2	$159	716	716	+0	No	-$14	04-12 02:56
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 9	1	$136	8,129	0	+8,129	No	-$136	04-08 16:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$100	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$100	04-08 06:58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$85	7,067	0	+7,067	No	-$85	03-31 16:09
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	1	$75	4,211	0	+4,211	No	-$75	04-08 06:55
will bitcoin reach 82k april 6 12	1	$75	4,449	0	+4,449	No	-$75	04-08 16:22
bitcoin above 64k on april 2	1	$74	3,263	0	+3,263	Yes	-$74	04-02 13:10
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$50	1,282	0	+1,282	No	-$50	02-27 22:52
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$50	3,148	0	+3,148	No	-$50	04-08 00:01
will india strike pakistan by march 31	1	$50	532	0	+532	No	-$50	03-03 02:39
bitcoin above 74k on april 8	1	$47	4,335	0	+4,335	No	-$47	04-08 14:12
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$42	7,500	2,500	+5,000	No	-$28	03-31 18:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 19:23:58	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	4,990	16¢	$794	0xebc944…
04-16 09:38:22	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	15,000	0¢	$15	0xc528ca…
04-14 13:26:01	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	BUY	39	1¢	$0	0xede039…
04-14 13:25:11	Will Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x7af6c6…
04-14 13:22:49	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0xb29262…
04-12 02:56:45	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	Yes	SELL	716	10¢	$72	0x89f6bf…
04-11 22:19:07	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4,167	1¢	$50	0xf455cc…
04-11 16:11:55	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	687	1¢	$5	0x1235df…
04-09 15:20:07	bitcoin above 64k on april 11	No	BUY	2,265	1¢	$19	0x492736…
04-08 16:57:37	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5,556	2¢	$100	0x6a7166…
04-08 16:34:59	bitcoin above 62k on april 11	No	BUY	1,230	1¢	$11	0xd5ce67…
04-08 16:32:05	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 9	Yes	BUY	8,129	2¢	$136	0x175f2e…
04-08 16:30:21	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,493	1¢	$37	0x36ab77…
04-08 16:28:53	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	Yes	BUY	716	12¢	$86	0x9275aa…
04-08 16:23:55	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?	Yes	BUY	1,551	0¢	$5	0x4ca0f1…
04-08 16:23:21	will bitcoin reach 80k april 6 12	Yes	BUY	10,292	4¢	$367	0xc0bba9…
04-08 16:22:15	will bitcoin reach 82k april 6 12	Yes	BUY	4,449	2¢	$75	0xf4c25d…
04-08 16:21:49	will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	Yes	BUY	3,648	1¢	$29	0x0597ca…
04-08 16:20:11	bitcoin above 76k on april 9	Yes	BUY	8,784	2¢	$218	0xff882d…
04-08 14:12:37	bitcoin above 74k on april 8	Yes	BUY	4,335	1¢	$47	0x6d3bb5…
04-08 06:58:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5,000	2¢	$100	0xf81dba…
04-08 06:55:17	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	4,211	2¢	$75	0x1c6a68…
04-08 06:48:17	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,653	4¢	$59	0x888b1a…
04-08 04:38:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	121,154	0¢	$121	0xfd5fd7…
04-08 00:01:25	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3,238	2¢	$74	0x4bece6…
04-08 00:01:03	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	Yes	BUY	3,148	2¢	$50	0xab1525…
04-07 23:58:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	100,000	0¢	$500	0x36f5ac…
04-07 23:26:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	1,774	100¢	$1,765	0xbe5d1e…
04-07 23:26:39	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3,155	99¢	$3,123	0x620eea…
04-07 22:54:01	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	6,154	1¢	$80	0x433b88…
04-07 21:52:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	1,774	62¢	$1,100	0xad21be…
04-07 21:50:51	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	520	77¢	$400	0x733091…
04-07 21:50:31	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,635	76¢	$2,000	0x4af1e0…
04-05 15:02:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	15,000	0¢	$30	0xcac3db…
04-05 04:02:13	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3,846	1¢	$50	0xec8529…
04-05 04:01:35	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,520	2¢	$50	0xb49cb9…
04-02 13:10:25	bitcoin above 64k on april 2	No	BUY	3,263	2¢	$74	0x10467f…
04-02 13:09:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x703946…
04-01 12:02:53	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	909	2¢	$20	0xc344d2…
03-31 18:50:15	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$25	0x1a08ec…
03-31 18:49:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	2,500	0¢	$8	0xf7d2a0…
03-31 16:09:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,529	1¢	$65	0xe330e4…
03-31 16:09:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45,455	1¢	$500	0xe185ce…
03-31 16:09:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x291502…
03-31 12:13:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,545	1¢	$50	0xe42bb8…
03-31 03:56:05	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	758	3¢	$25	0xce19ae…
03-31 03:54:55	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0xc8966f…
03-30 17:14:25	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	638	0¢	$1	0x3d43ae…
03-30 17:14:03	trump out as president by march 31	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xac7815…
03-30 17:12:53	bitcoin above 72k on march 31	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x0db2ea…
03-30 17:10:35	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	435	2¢	$10	0x2f981c…
03-30 17:10:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,538	1¢	$20	0x0633a3…
03-30 17:09:59	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0x230898…
03-30 17:09:41	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x13e186…
03-30 17:08:55	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	2,012	5¢	$100	0xa96f7b…
03-30 12:58:58	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3,524	3¢	$100	0xcfc9e1…
03-30 02:16:30	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2,029	68¢	$1,380	0x1a1429…
03-29 23:10:06	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	1,738	1¢	$20	0xcf28e3…
03-29 17:53:48	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,029	69¢	$1,400	0xf06c2f…
03-29 17:53:34	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	1,208	8¢	$99	0xfb8a31…
03-29 17:53:02	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	1,208	8¢	$100	0x518ca0…
03-29 00:21:48	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0xd7e1e8…
03-28 14:17:49	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6e2a3e…
03-07 15:18:49	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x15f73c…
03-07 15:17:15	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,525	97¢	$1,476	0xb46765…
03-03 11:33:59	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,525	66¢	$1,000	0x67cbac…
03-03 11:33:45	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	833	59¢	$492	0x7a2c68…
03-03 11:33:23	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	833	60¢	$500	0xe584aa…
03-03 11:08:41	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xe3e6ec…
03-03 11:08:27	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x485382…
03-03 05:17:59	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,227	16¢	$200	0xcd3afc…
03-03 02:39:25	will india strike pakistan by march 31	Yes	BUY	532	9¢	$50	0xcb7dec…
02-28 18:28:55	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	7,805	3¢	$225	0xe73b00…
02-28 18:27:19	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	SELL	2,299	2¢	$56	0xa5d41e…
02-28 16:03:43	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	2,299	2¢	$50	0x4b416c…
02-28 15:52:37	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	1,722	17¢	$300	0x6599e0…
02-28 15:51:13	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	506	54¢	$274	0x3b819e…
02-28 15:50:41	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	SELL	648	100¢	$645	0x1bcde6…
02-27 22:57:45	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	506	59¢	$300	0x221e1f…
02-27 22:54:59	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	BUY	648	15¢	$100	0x578d67…
02-27 22:52:41	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	1,282	4¢	$50	0x32d387…
02-27 22:51:19	will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	Yes	SELL	400	99¢	$394	0xd82738…
02-27 18:39:39	will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x66eb58…