Loving-Scheme — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.9%

Resolved

Trades

208

lifetime

Volume

$418

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 09-03 01:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Politics

58% 86% -$20

Other

34% 100% +$2

Crypto

5% 100% +$0

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 29 2026 526	10	$25	26	0	+26	Yes	+$0	03-30 21:45
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	9	$23	17	6	+11	Yes	+$0	04-17 19:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	11	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	07-29 13:02
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	8	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	06-01 23:57
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	7	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	07-31 19:31
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	10	$18	15	15	+0	Yes	-$8	02-28 06:25
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	7	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	07-24 15:59
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	7	$12	12	0	+12	Yes	+$0	04-21 16:07
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	3	$9	9	0	+9	Yes	+$0	07-19 23:20
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	5	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	08-24 22:35
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-08-30?	3	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	08-30 19:20
will trump say supreme court during kentucky visit	3	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	03-12 01:24
will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	3	$7	6	2	+4	No	+$0	08-11 19:53
Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 2 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?	4	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	+$0	08-08 04:24
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	3	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	+$0	08-15 16:55
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	4	$6	6	2	+4	Yes	-$6	08-12 04:30
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	3	$6	4	2	+2	No	+$0	08-30 21:05
iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	2	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	07-19 10:49
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	04-10 10:51
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	2	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	05-13 04:18
will trump say hezbollah or hamas during kentucky visit	2	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	03-12 01:24
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	4	$5	5	2	+3	No	-$2	08-12 06:26
will voter turnout be 7477 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	3	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	04-18 19:31
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$1	05-14 02:03
will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694 787	2	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	07-22 21:46
will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 25 2026	2	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	07-22 21:46
will anyone be kicked out of trumps state of the union address	1	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	02-25 04:21
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	02-27 10:39
cs2 imhowe 300fps 2026 08 20	2	$4	4	0	+4	IMHOWeRGOAT	+$0	08-23 06:11
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	04-21 16:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-03 01:53:46	will iran target an arab country by september 11 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x010f41…
08-30 21:05:34	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf6af48…
08-30 19:30:16	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xb8d48d…
08-30 19:30:16	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x78e481…
08-30 19:30:16	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1f9203…
08-30 19:20:15	Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xcc87cb…
08-30 18:45:06	Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x764294…
08-30 18:45:06	Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6300df…
08-30 17:04:39	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc98daa…
08-24 22:35:22	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe61b5b…
08-24 22:35:22	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe14340…
08-24 22:35:21	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xda5354…
08-24 22:35:21	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbdc117…
08-24 22:35:21	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x2b4ee1…
08-23 06:11:34	cs2 imhowe 300fps 2026 08 20	IMHOWeRGOAT	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbb5148…
08-23 06:11:34	cs2 imhowe 300fps 2026 08 20	IMHOWeRGOAT	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1b511b…
08-22 00:10:45	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 25	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xa87605…
08-20 06:22:42	will russia target kyiv on august 19 2026 20260810162903054	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xea6b46…
08-19 03:12:37	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 22	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x190765…
08-19 03:12:36	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 22	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xede4fa…
08-18 18:21:21	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd4ee8f…
08-18 18:21:21	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x874d9e…
08-18 18:21:21	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x59b104…
08-18 18:21:19	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xeeaf52…
08-18 18:21:19	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x82dd3a…
08-18 03:07:49	will trump speak to mark carney in august 20260731154203527	No	BUY	172	1¢	$2	0xf48222…
08-15 16:55:15	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc68583…
08-15 16:55:15	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa07df6…
08-15 16:55:15	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x13349d…
08-15 15:09:46	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x771661…
08-14 18:30:36	will leonardo bonucci attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630267	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf876b7…
08-14 18:30:36	will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdba86e…
08-14 18:30:36	will diogo dalot attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000827858	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xabbae3…
08-14 18:30:34	will giorgio chiellini attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630268	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9dd033…
08-14 18:30:34	will sergio ramos attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630257	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x20c7ad…
08-13 17:26:18	will casemiro attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630260	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfee85a…
08-13 17:26:18	will luan santana attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000739430	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe86c3d…
08-13 17:26:16	will rio ferdinand attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806201203759	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf70b6b…
08-13 17:26:16	will jorge jesus attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000254153	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6f228d…
08-13 17:26:16	will nininho vaz maia attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000540828	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5a4015…
08-13 15:15:57	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x41b973…
08-13 15:15:55	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb6c15e…
08-13 02:23:58	will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x333d37…
08-12 21:58:01	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x79e94d…
08-12 20:47:51	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5535ec…
08-12 20:47:51	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5098d2…
08-12 19:52:45	Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8741d8…
08-12 19:52:45	Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5c226e…
08-12 16:37:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xbbc8b0…
08-12 16:12:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xee3035…
08-12 06:26:07	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc62dfa…
08-12 06:26:07	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa787f6…
08-12 04:30:39	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xac1d4e…
08-12 04:30:39	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x41ebb0…
08-11 23:39:28	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf448a1…
08-11 23:39:28	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xaedf3a…
08-11 23:39:28	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x2188a0…
08-11 23:39:28	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x15d0ba…
08-11 19:53:51	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x5cd800…
08-11 19:48:49	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xbc1c87…
08-08 04:39:07	Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 2 - 3 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9811c8…
08-08 04:24:04	Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 2 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc60b7f…
08-08 04:24:04	Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 2 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa3f91b…
08-08 04:24:04	Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 2 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9ab2a6…
08-08 04:24:04	Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 2 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x82f52f…
08-08 04:09:03	Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 3 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa940e8…
08-08 04:09:03	Will 1. FC Cologne win on 2026-08-07?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x71502d…
08-06 12:07:39	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x9e8a1b…
08-06 12:07:38	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x6e20e0…
08-03 12:54:33	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd5c772…
08-02 19:11:11	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7918ad…
08-02 02:12:53	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x54c49c…
07-31 22:52:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf2af96…
07-31 22:27:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe641f4…
07-31 19:31:51	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1a2293…
07-31 19:31:50	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xea54aa…
07-31 19:31:50	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa17f45…
07-31 19:31:48	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x853077…
07-31 19:31:48	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x708f6a…
07-31 19:31:48	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x651391…
07-31 19:31:48	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2fc0fc…
07-29 13:02:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xca1ee3…
07-29 13:02:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x05df2c…
07-29 13:02:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfdd7aa…
07-29 13:02:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe1c0cc…
07-29 13:02:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa2ccb8…
07-29 13:02:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa0b384…
07-29 13:02:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x75f84c…
07-29 13:02:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x536a10…
07-29 13:02:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc8bcbd…
07-29 13:02:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x36e1a3…
07-29 13:02:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x00f489…
07-27 23:16:28	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0x5ea28e…
07-27 22:21:19	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x029a9e…
07-27 22:21:18	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xcb0897…
07-26 10:58:43	will episode not air 20260721174118170	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcc339e…
07-25 16:55:04	will mrbeast say hundred or thousand or million 10 times during his next youtube video 20260702154826870	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x898a9a…
07-24 15:59:49	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf8afa2…
07-24 15:59:49	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x94cf4b…
07-24 15:59:48	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe9afa0…