Lovely-Imprisonment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$156

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

Trades

610

lifetime

Volume

$2.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$104

1 position

First seen

2026-03-30

last 06-04 20:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

58% 100% +$1

Other

39% — —

Crypto

3% 33% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes		+864	$260	12¢	$104	$-156	06-04 20:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza finish with the second most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$747	431	431	+0	open	—	04-12 19:16
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	39	$260	864	0	+864	open	—	06-04 20:57
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$172	100	100	+0	open	—	04-20 09:04
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$162	100	100	+0	open	—	04-12 19:13
will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	2	$147	100	100	+0	open	—	04-12 19:16
will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	12	$135	183	183	+0	open	—	04-12 16:56
will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	5	$129	100	100	+0	open	—	04-12 21:47
will fidesz kdnp win at least 90 seats	2	$126	77	77	+0	open	—	04-12 19:16
hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	2	$113	103	100	+3	open	—	04-12 18:45
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	2	$103	74	74	+0	open	—	04-12 21:06
will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	8	$102	177	177	+0	open	—	04-12 13:28
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	164	$95	26,573	9,799	+16,773	open	—	04-16 17:05
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	75	$91	2,600	1,600	+1,000	open	—	04-24 12:31
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$48	25	25	+0	open	—	05-24 09:07
will voter turnout be 7477 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$43	65	65	+0	open	—	04-12 08:08
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	5	$40	100	100	+0	open	—	04-23 00:55
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	90	$38	19,045	103	+18,942	open	—	04-02 05:28
btc updown 15m 1775823300	2	$34	100	93	+7	open	—	04-10 12:24
will another party win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	19	$32	4,878	4,878	+0	open	—	04-18 10:10
will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$32	169	169	+0	open	—	04-12 20:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$25	29	0	+29	open	—	05-06 13:53
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$25	26	0	+26	No	+$1	05-06 13:36
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	2	$20	222	0	+222	open	—	05-11 19:54
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	97	$17	12,500	2,500	+10,000	open	—	04-10 14:17
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	2	$14	56	56	+0	open	—	05-14 19:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$10	15	0	+15	Up	$-0	05-05 10:44
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	05-12 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	3	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-05 07:24
btc updown 15m 1776416400	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 09:13
will tisza win 70 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	2	$3	22	22	+0	open	—	04-05 13:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 20:57:45	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x09c5f9…
06-04 20:48:01	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x15cb8c…
06-04 20:38:00	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x6a2828…
06-04 20:27:55	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x6fbd14…
06-04 20:00:45	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x8d10a0…
06-04 19:50:22	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xbf2d7f…
06-04 19:40:19	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xcd29da…
06-04 19:20:31	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xb30443…
06-04 19:20:15	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x2405f0…
06-04 19:10:21	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x3009ce…
06-04 18:50:19	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x31a638…
06-04 18:40:16	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xa10d96…
06-04 18:32:07	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x820db0…
06-04 18:30:18	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xdde404…
06-04 18:22:42	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	76	26¢	$20	0x205428…
06-04 18:10:22	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x54a744…
06-04 18:00:30	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xf78dfe…
06-04 18:00:15	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x4452b3…
06-04 17:40:21	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xc4091d…
06-04 17:30:28	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x8e2d6e…
06-04 17:30:12	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x5d53cb…
06-04 17:20:18	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x032992…
05-31 17:29:25	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x0f8fa5…
05-31 17:28:57	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	65	35¢	$23	0x054bc4…
05-31 17:25:23	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe2424c…
05-31 17:25:06	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x7018bc…
05-31 17:24:48	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	296	34¢	$101	0x998604…
05-31 17:23:36	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x91a6e4…
05-31 17:23:15	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xc33820…
05-31 17:23:07	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x1437d7…
05-31 17:22:56	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	142	33¢	$47	0x947326…
05-29 22:54:19	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	78	22¢	$17	0xa8974e…
05-29 20:40:23	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	39	22¢	$9	0xa494f4…
05-29 16:24:24	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x2ab51f…
05-29 15:39:15	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	22¢	$3	0x740744…
05-29 15:39:02	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x4c87c1…
05-29 15:38:55	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xd515d0…
05-29 15:38:54	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xaa0af4…
05-29 15:00:25	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x626cad…
05-24 09:07:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0xf67884…
05-14 19:57:34	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	56	8¢	$4	0xde400d…
05-13 14:13:36	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x3bb868…
05-12 18:07:05	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x25afb2…
05-12 17:53:40	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x2ea726…
05-12 17:53:31	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xf3de7a…
05-11 19:55:08	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x9f18f8…
05-11 19:54:22	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	154	6¢	$10	0x6572e1…
05-11 18:56:58	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	68	15¢	$10	0x3d839f…
05-06 13:53:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xa7ae7b…
05-06 13:36:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x895f13…
05-05 12:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x180856…
05-05 11:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb298e3…
05-05 11:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x7f7c03…
05-05 11:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xeb015a…
05-05 11:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1c28e0…
05-05 10:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xaf8377…
05-05 10:44:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf38bce…
05-05 10:39:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd95efa…
05-05 08:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf26d4f…
05-05 07:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xbcd736…
05-05 07:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x4803b8…
05-05 07:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xcfa31d…
05-05 07:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7fbbb6…
05-05 07:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6b651d…
05-05 07:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4adae6…
05-05 07:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x22ee77…
05-04 18:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xafce70…
05-04 18:25:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe168cc…
05-04 18:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xebf626…
05-04 18:13:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x53e454…
05-04 17:58:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xb24c73…
05-04 17:58:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xaa85c8…
05-04 17:58:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xa1437b…
05-04 17:57:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xeb7710…
05-04 17:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe83f03…
05-04 17:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xce8286…
05-04 17:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbebede…
05-04 17:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x930991…
05-04 17:28:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc59970…
05-04 17:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3b31ec…
05-04 16:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xcc9c95…
05-04 11:32:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5460b4…
05-04 11:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x44579c…
05-04 08:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xff21f9…
05-03 19:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd37c9e…
05-03 18:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x726af4…
05-03 15:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xedb261…
05-03 13:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xae72bf…
05-03 12:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x38882f…
04-25 08:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb84129…
04-24 12:31:56	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x8d2e3d…
04-24 12:01:06	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x902c29…
04-24 12:00:32	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	2¢	$2	0x3d41bd…
04-24 11:48:04	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x83c095…
04-24 11:29:56	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xc31f57…
04-24 11:28:08	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xff1b8e…
04-24 11:18:58	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	2¢	$2	0x51a715…
04-24 10:38:54	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x75461b…
04-24 10:26:42	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	183	2¢	$4	0x9dca9b…
04-24 09:44:16	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	2¢	$3	0xa39475…