Diligent-Reflection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$79

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 18:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$4	9	+9	open	—	05-05 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	1	$4	6	+6	open	—	05-05 08:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	1	$4	6	+6	open	—	05-05 12:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Down	$-4	05-05 05:35
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$4	6	+6	open	—	05-05 17:32
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$4	6	+6	open	—	05-05 17:54
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$4	6	+6	open	—	05-05 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$4	6	+6	open	—	05-05 13:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Down	+$3	05-05 04:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$3	9	+9	open	—	05-05 18:47
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Up	$-3	05-04 21:19
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Down	$-3	05-05 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$3	6	+6	open	—	05-05 06:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$3	6	+6	open	—	05-05 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	1	$3	6	+6	open	—	05-05 08:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	1	$2	6	+6	open	—	05-05 08:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$2	6	+6	open	—	05-05 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$2	6	+6	open	—	05-05 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$2	6	+6	open	—	05-05 13:35
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	1	$2	6	+6	open	—	05-05 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	1	$2	6	+6	Down	$-2	05-05 04:35
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	1	$2	6	+6	Up	+$4	05-04 21:19
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	05-05 04:05
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$2	6	+6	open	—	05-05 17:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$2	6	+6	open	—	05-05 13:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$1	4	+4	open	—	05-05 06:31
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$1	6	+6	open	—	05-05 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	1	$1	6	+6	open	—	05-05 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$1	6	+6	Down	+$5	05-05 05:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 18:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x7e8f81…
05-05 18:47:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xb0d9c9…
05-05 17:54:56	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x2d5853…
05-05 17:54:56	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x28e99a…
05-05 17:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x8c9b77…
05-05 17:32:42	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x840724…
05-05 17:32:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xdfd578…
05-05 15:34:46	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x86f63a…
05-05 13:35:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc5aadb…
05-05 13:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xd25fe5…
05-05 13:22:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xed54d5…
05-05 13:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xad4559…
05-05 12:50:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xd95190…
05-05 12:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x7f3df6…
05-05 10:05:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x0177fa…
05-05 10:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x7a682c…
05-05 08:51:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x7e888c…
05-05 08:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x34dfec…
05-05 08:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x98aff7…
05-05 08:16:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xcada83…
05-05 07:00:48	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x16481e…
05-05 06:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x05e941…
05-05 06:31:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x068fd9…
05-05 05:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x5cfd60…
05-05 05:35:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xb8708d…
05-05 04:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x9fe476…
05-05 04:35:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x401365…
05-05 04:05:24	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd79234…
05-05 04:05:24	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x5c9011…
05-04 21:19:26	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xcb4243…
05-04 21:19:26	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb0cbb5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	21	$8.16K	167	05-05 18:58
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	21	$3.48K	141	05-05 18:58
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	20	$517	64	05-05 18:58
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	17	$2.92K	75	05-05 18:58
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	16	$599	95	05-05 18:58
Funny-Keyboarding 0xa665…01e3	11	$1.28K	31	05-05 18:58
Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68	7	$801	53	05-05 18:58
Fatal-Proximal-Stepsister 0xd0a5…7b04	4	$879	22	05-05 13:22