Dear-Minibus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$604

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.1%

Resolved

2,583

Trades

3,017

lifetime

Volume

$9.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 10-25 08:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 56% -$501

Other

30% 44% -$108

Sports

1% 40% +$5

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 18:20 UTC	1	$64	230	0	+230	Up	-$64	04-03 18:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 14:15 UTC	1	$45	66	0	+66	Up	-$45	04-03 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 14:55 UTC	1	$36	56	0	+56	Up	-$36	03-28 14:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:15 UTC	10	$31	27	22	+4	Up	-$1	04-10 14:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 23:35 UTC	1	$29	79	0	+79	Up	-$29	04-03 23:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:45 UTC	10	$25	25	24	+1	Down	-$5	04-10 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 14:00 UTC	2	$25	15	15	+0	Down	+$5	04-09 14:05
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	3	$21	42	0	+42	Up	+$2	10-20 20:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:35 UTC	8	$21	20	20	+1	Up	-$3	04-10 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 13:40 UTC	7	$20	20	15	+5	Up	+$0	04-10 13:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:10 UTC	7	$19	19	14	+5	Down	$0	04-10 15:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:35 UTC	7	$19	20	20	+1	Down	-$5	04-10 14:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 14:20 UTC	1	$18	35	0	+35	Up	+$17	03-28 14:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 18:00 UTC	1	$17	69	0	+69	Up	-$17	04-03 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 13:45 UTC	6	$17	13	13	+0	Up	$0	04-10 13:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:40 UTC	6	$17	15	14	+0	Down	-$1	04-10 14:42
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 7?	4	$16	21	0	+21	Yes	+$5	09-07 06:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 17:10 UTC	3	$15	23	0	+23	Down	+$8	04-17 17:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 18:25 UTC	3	$15	22	0	+22	Down	-$15	04-17 18:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 16:45 UTC	3	$15	22	0	+22	Down	+$7	04-17 16:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 15:25 UTC	3	$15	22	0	+22	Down	+$7	04-17 15:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 04:30 UTC	3	$15	22	0	+22	Down	+$7	04-18 04:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 15:50 UTC	3	$15	23	0	+23	Up	+$8	04-17 15:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 10:45 UTC	2	$15	20	19	+1	Down	-$5	04-09 10:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 13:50 UTC	1	$14	23	0	+23	Up	-$14	03-28 13:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 13:55 UTC	1	$14	29	0	+29	Down	+$15	04-03 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:05 UTC	5	$14	14	9	+5	Up	+$1	04-10 15:06
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on October 20?	2	$14	40	0	+40	Down	-$14	10-20 18:59
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 7?	3	$13	15	0	+15	Yes	+$3	09-07 06:06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28?	3	$13	16	0	+16	Yes	+$3	09-28 06:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 08:17:47	Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xebae22…
10-25 08:17:41	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 55%-60%?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$4	0x3ded87…
10-25 08:17:35	Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x87a720…
10-25 08:17:21	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x777e63…
10-25 08:17:15	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	No	SELL	5	28¢	$2	0x496dc6…
10-25 08:17:12	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x2b3bfb…
10-24 17:30:32	Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x51b5fc…
10-24 15:58:35	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$5	0x8596e6…
10-24 13:18:26	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	9	38¢	$3	0xd924f2…
10-23 05:00:26	Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe855af…
10-22 14:27:29	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xebe1b5…
10-22 13:44:44	Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x3d6e5e…
10-22 13:41:44	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x4611ca…
10-22 12:56:51	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xdb0aa2…
10-22 10:41:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0xdbed71…
10-22 10:31:17	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x07da9b…
10-22 09:44:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on October 24?	Yes	BUY	51	6¢	$3	0xb9d08f…
10-22 09:28:54	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x66ecfc…
10-22 09:18:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x5e6cd0…
10-22 09:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	51	6¢	$3	0xc4b9f0…
10-22 09:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	51	6¢	$3	0x254f79…
10-22 09:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x3f07df…
10-22 09:09:53	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x2f1a0a…
10-22 09:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 23?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb50409…
10-22 09:04:20	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 23?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x0069d3…
10-22 09:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 23?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x6fadf5…
10-22 09:01:11	Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x793cc7…
10-22 08:48:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	51	6¢	$3	0x54db22…
10-22 08:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 22?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x1d0852…
10-22 08:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xb1bb6e…
10-22 07:50:23	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 22?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xa39fb5…
10-22 07:50:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x8a4f2e…
10-22 07:31:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 23?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb3f295…
10-22 07:24:38	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x098a0e…
10-22 07:18:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	52	6¢	$3	0xb7a53e…
10-22 07:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 23?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x3defea…
10-22 07:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x961440…
10-22 06:41:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8c38c8…
10-22 06:41:18	highest temperature in shenzhen on october 24 2026 32c	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x120116…
10-22 06:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xf9d715…
10-22 06:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0x852edd…
10-22 05:59:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x4619cf…
10-22 05:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C or higher on October 23?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xc16e91…
10-22 05:42:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0x07d3a3…
10-22 04:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xcfd945…
10-22 04:01:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4571be…
10-22 00:02:33	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 55%-60%?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x5adb63…
10-21 19:41:39	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x5c6168…
10-21 16:46:11	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xba1d82…
10-21 09:54:05	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	52	6¢	$3	0xaeb5f7…
10-21 09:43:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	55	5¢	$3	0x7636fc…
10-21 08:59:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xb96270…
10-21 08:49:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 21?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x16e3a5…
10-21 08:42:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 21?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa9dcae…
10-21 08:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xbe3da0…
10-21 08:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xacca93…
10-21 07:39:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x7b5a40…
10-21 07:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 21?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x0ecb1b…
10-21 06:55:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xdfa006…
10-21 06:12:05	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x5359dc…
10-21 06:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x238519…
10-21 05:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x160800…
10-21 05:36:02	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x52ba33…
10-20 20:52:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0x5038ed…
10-20 20:49:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xeb688a…
10-20 20:30:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x2b0fa8…
10-20 18:59:03	Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xda5a46…
10-20 18:57:42	Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xcaa5c3…
10-20 18:53:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 21?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x46a795…
10-20 18:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x2608e7…
10-20 18:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x36911a…
10-20 18:43:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 21?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x45389f…
10-20 10:56:05	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x360233…
10-20 10:43:02	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xcc7f4d…
10-20 10:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 21?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x8ea832…
10-20 10:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 21?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xa86a34…
10-20 10:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 20?	No	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x9afeb1…
10-20 10:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 20?	No	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x6e114f…
10-20 09:53:17	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x735dcb…
10-19 22:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x480978…
10-19 22:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xfbf6f5…
10-19 22:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 21?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xf1923b…
10-19 19:29:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xeb57d5…
10-19 19:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x65d847…
10-19 18:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x0b2290…
10-19 17:59:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x728ff3…
10-19 16:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xa51dfc…
10-19 16:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x93e4d9…
10-19 15:34:02	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 20?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x51c5ad…
10-19 10:06:20	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x85b073…
10-19 08:21:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x3a6d02…
10-19 07:41:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 19?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xbc4689…
10-19 06:25:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xb060da…
10-19 05:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x83ae32…
10-19 04:40:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	52	6¢	$3	0xf7c8ef…
10-19 03:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x2a7ef0…
10-19 01:56:05	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xa0a9bb…
10-19 01:44:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0xf5d196…
10-19 01:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 19?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x451946…
10-19 00:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xd00e57…