Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

74.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$256

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 07-14 13:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

69% 69% +$2

Politics

18% 33% -$7

Crypto

13% 75% +$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No		+14	$10	86¢	$12	+$2	07-14 13:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$30	38	0	+38	No	+$8	01-22 22:53
spx opens up or down on april 13 2026	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	04-13 22:12
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$17	22	0	+22	No	+$5	05-16 22:00
Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$17	20	0	+20	No	+$3	05-04 15:56
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?	1	$15	136	0	+136	No	-$15	06-23 09:49
Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$15	17	0	+17	Yes	+$2	05-14 20:26
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$12	20	0	+20	Spain	-$12	07-14 13:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$12	13	0	+13	Yes	-$12	04-13 22:13
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	17	0	+17	Yes	+$7	04-12 16:48
fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	1	$10	15	0	+15	DR Congo	+$5	06-23 09:52
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	1	$10	21	0	+21	Belgium	+$11	07-06 15:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	1	$10	15	0	+15	No	+$5	04-12 16:52
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	1	$10	19	0	+19	Yes	+$9	07-06 15:07
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	07-14 13:51
will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	1	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	-$10	07-14 13:50
Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-12 20:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 16:00 UTC	1	$8	9	0	+9	Down	+$0	02-18 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 16:15 UTC	1	$6	7	0	+7	Up	+$1	02-18 16:17
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	12	0	+12	Yes	-$5	07-14 13:51
Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$5	12	0	+12	No	-$5	05-12 20:39
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	2	$4	18	18	+0	No	+$0	05-04 15:55
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	-$3	01-18 18:45
Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?	2	$3	18	18	+0	Yes	+$1	04-12 19:47
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase january 13 19	1	$2	8	0	+8	No	-$2	01-18 18:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 13:51:23	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x66a126…
07-14 13:51:07	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x9a5785…
07-14 13:51:01	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xc79158…
07-14 13:50:22	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x842a21…
07-06 15:08:08	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x92fd19…
07-06 15:07:55	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xfbd899…
06-23 09:52:11	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xee521f…
06-23 09:49:26	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0xa680f2…
05-16 22:00:01	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	22	76¢	$17	0x8c0391…
05-14 20:26:22	Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x706d81…
05-12 20:40:00	Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x375df5…
05-12 20:39:27	Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xef440c…
05-04 15:56:30	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x1909e6…
05-04 15:55:26	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	12¢	$2	0x2bec3e…
04-13 22:13:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x14d060…
04-13 22:12:29	spx opens up or down on april 13 2026	Down	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xe9be83…
04-12 19:49:15	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x0ce54f…
04-12 19:47:53	Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?	No	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0xc8e481…
04-12 16:52:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xdf4898…
04-12 16:51:37	spx opens up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xc7eb65…
04-12 16:50:43	Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?	No	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x583f94…
04-12 16:48:47	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xd73a3e…
02-18 16:17:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xc83aa2…
02-18 16:03:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	96¢	$8	0x81f73a…
01-22 22:53:14	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x487bea…
01-18 18:45:30	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase january 13 19	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xa9fe7e…
01-18 18:45:06	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xc82c2d…