Roasted-Prairie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$339

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.5%

Resolved

161

Trades

884

lifetime

Volume

$23.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-03 17:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

97% 43% +$325

Crypto

3% 71% +$9

Politics

0% 50% +$5

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 540 559	13	$1.8K	1,287	1,287	+0	Yes	+$111	01-16 16:51
es2 bur eib 2026 01 10 draw	3	$1.4K	1,527	1,527	+0	No	-$108	01-10 18:43
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 460 479	2	$1.4K	754	754	+0	No	+$1	01-08 13:55
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 480 499	2	$1.2K	621	621	+0	No	+$5	01-08 16:35
elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 140plus	20	$825	998	933	+65	Yes	+$190	01-07 16:36
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 540 559	22	$739	817	860	-43	No	+$349	01-06 17:00
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 460 479	3	$707	464	464	+0	No	+$72	01-02 13:28
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 540 559	13	$647	1,185	1,185	+0	No	+$117	01-09 03:01
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 520 539	21	$595	867	867	+0	Yes	+$83	01-20 16:47
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 190 214	27	$575	510	646	-136	Yes	+$314	01-10 16:39
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 580plus	35	$532	4,518	5,182	-664	No	-$74	01-09 17:29
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 520 539	34	$527	983	983	+0	Yes	+$8	01-06 14:31
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 560 579	18	$429	1,311	1,271	+40	No	-$20	01-13 16:59
over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	8	$412	300	300	+0	No	+$12	01-07 16:50
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	2	$406	412	412	+0	No	+$6	01-03 23:56
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 520 539	14	$378	828	828	+0	No	+$17	01-16 16:06
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 560 579	11	$368	604	604	+0	Yes	+$88	01-09 12:58
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 560 579	25	$330	1,326	1,524	-198	No	+$18	01-06 16:46
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 480 499	21	$330	3,344	1,769	+1,575	No	+$108	01-23 16:56
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 500 519	9	$314	916	916	+0	Yes	+$273	01-02 16:52
elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 90 114	5	$306	177	177	+0	Yes	+$46	01-19 16:58
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 400 419	10	$300	680	680	+0	No	+$72	01-22 17:21
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 420 439	10	$287	636	636	+0	No	+$142	01-22 18:27
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	17	$285	1,075	1,882	-806	Yes	-$676	01-13 16:38
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	2	$275	139	139	+0	No	+$1	06-03 17:42
Mezo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$262	135	135	+0	No	+$6	04-02 17:52
Citrea FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$241	123	123	+0	No	+$3	05-26 14:51
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 520 539	10	$233	487	487	+0	No	-$26	01-08 16:50
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 500 519	17	$228	876	876	+0	No	+$7	01-16 14:40
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	8	$227	1,213	213	+1,000	Yes	+$23	01-10 04:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 17:42:34	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	139	99¢	$138	0x92fe72…
06-03 14:13:49	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	139	98¢	$137	0x98c2be…
05-26 14:51:09	Citrea FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	123	99¢	$122	0xfa1e62…
05-24 10:57:06	Citrea FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	123	97¢	$119	0x97a291…
05-24 10:55:39	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x009ae5…
05-23 20:09:58	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x4b4bd0…
05-16 18:31:50	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	No	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0xd296d6…
05-16 16:57:42	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0xbf498d…
05-13 20:16:22	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf334ad…
05-13 20:15:49	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x54420e…
04-02 17:52:33	Mezo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	135	99¢	$134	0x86aebe…
04-01 21:34:19	Mezo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	135	95¢	$128	0xee541c…
03-29 14:51:32	Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0x563c68…
03-29 14:51:16	Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	126	91¢	$114	0xe6a517…
03-27 20:06:51	Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x3c8532…
03-27 20:03:57	Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0x293496…
02-10 14:57:13	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	SELL	250	46¢	$115	0x590532…
02-10 07:22:37	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xfe15ec…
02-10 02:30:07	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x3562ba…
02-10 02:20:01	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xacd09e…
02-10 02:19:59	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x26f530…
02-10 02:19:53	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf971fa…
02-10 02:19:53	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xda5771…
02-10 02:19:53	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xa65a32…
02-10 02:19:53	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x8c33f6…
02-10 02:19:47	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x620f14…
02-10 02:19:41	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x8e62eb…
02-10 02:18:27	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xad5828…
02-10 02:18:05	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x52b4d0…
02-10 02:17:59	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x76011b…
02-10 02:16:51	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xc864bd…
02-10 02:15:23	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x55e735…
02-10 02:12:17	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xe61649…
02-10 02:11:49	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xfba394…
02-10 02:09:49	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x543127…
02-10 02:08:45	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x0e644d…
02-10 02:08:35	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x795a8f…
02-10 02:07:59	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xdfc777…
02-10 02:06:57	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x638efd…
02-10 02:05:13	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x0c9425…
02-10 02:04:37	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xa9ceb3…
02-10 02:03:31	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x6d7951…
02-10 02:02:25	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x6d7545…
02-10 02:01:41	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xb9b31e…
02-10 02:01:27	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xfc98bb…
02-10 01:55:31	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x25d05a…
02-10 01:54:25	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xaab9c8…
02-10 01:53:17	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x9ebe4e…
02-10 01:53:13	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xa264ca…
02-10 01:52:01	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x765f15…
02-10 01:51:19	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x619d6a…
02-10 01:51:05	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xebfb71…
02-10 01:50:41	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x1c4bf2…
02-10 01:48:21	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x6e9445…
02-10 01:48:01	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x7eed4a…
02-09 22:01:21	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 300 319	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x49e56b…
02-09 22:01:01	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 280 299	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x8e19e5…
02-09 20:25:31	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 260 279	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x5d4cbf…
02-09 20:25:23	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 380 399	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xb0e8a8…
02-08 21:16:03	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 400 419	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xd4d3df…
02-08 21:15:57	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 340 359	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xeba68b…
02-08 21:15:49	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 320 339	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x19d252…
02-07 22:56:45	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xce3f5b…
02-07 22:55:21	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x14d056…
02-07 22:55:17	will claude 5 be released by february 14 2026 449	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x234be3…
02-07 22:55:11	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1803b3…
02-07 08:43:47	will claude 5 be released by february 14 2026 449	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcdfbdf…
02-07 08:42:53	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd16762…
02-07 08:42:09	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe122b6…
01-28 05:22:33	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 360 379	Yes	SELL	193	14¢	$27	0x6a1062…
01-28 00:28:53	elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 90 114	Yes	SELL	91	21¢	$19	0xbaf5ff…
01-28 00:27:17	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 360 379	Yes	SELL	193	13¢	$25	0xba6f97…
01-28 00:21:23	elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 90 114	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xf3fae8…
01-27 23:55:59	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 360 379	Yes	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0xa3f206…
01-27 19:09:33	elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 40 64	No	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x62784a…
01-27 19:09:31	elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 40 64	No	SELL	87	84¢	$73	0xd9fba9…
01-27 19:00:47	elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 40 64	No	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0xbf5080…
01-27 18:48:59	elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 40 64	No	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x198c79…
01-27 17:01:37	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0xa8a1c9…
01-27 16:54:41	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x17dba4…
01-27 16:54:41	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x033cee…
01-27 16:53:15	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0xf6242e…
01-27 16:50:19	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	Yes	BUY	115	4¢	$5	0xab7ef8…
01-27 16:49:43	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	Yes	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0xc22703…
01-27 16:49:43	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	Yes	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0x5d18fb…
01-27 16:49:05	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x7b0401…
01-27 16:45:25	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	Yes	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x4e592d…
01-27 15:56:17	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	Yes	BUY	378	0¢	$2	0xfe3cb4…
01-27 15:53:35	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	Yes	BUY	101	20¢	$20	0x5ab998…
01-27 15:52:59	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	Yes	BUY	101	20¢	$20	0xb4fe75…
01-27 15:52:41	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	Yes	BUY	490	0¢	$2	0x1fccda…
01-26 16:30:41	elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 140 164	Yes	SELL	944	1¢	$6	0xcd961e…
01-26 16:24:29	elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 140 164	Yes	BUY	944	2¢	$20	0x4cc05b…
01-26 14:24:03	elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 115 139	Yes	SELL	246	16¢	$39	0x87ee9d…
01-26 14:07:05	elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 115 139	Yes	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0xac7eb7…
01-26 13:57:21	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	Yes	SELL	471	15¢	$71	0x4c3bb0…
01-26 13:55:17	elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 115 139	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x29d6d7…
01-26 13:29:59	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	Yes	BUY	128	16¢	$20	0x6d45d4…
01-26 13:22:59	elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 115 139	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x4d33a2…
01-26 11:42:31	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	Yes	BUY	343	15¢	$50	0x493256…