Flippant-Nectar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

Trades

189

lifetime

Volume

$3.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 05-19 21:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 61% +$6

Politics

1% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	5	$340	334	187	+147	open	—	05-19 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$300	208	208	+0	open	—	05-19 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$247	170	170	+0	open	—	05-19 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	3	$221	195	145	+50	open	—	05-19 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	6	$106	76	76	+0	open	—	05-18 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$105	205	0	+205	open	—	05-19 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$105	130	0	+130	open	—	05-19 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$100	217	0	+217	open	—	05-19 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$100	188	0	+188	open	—	05-19 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$100	187	0	+187	open	—	05-19 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$100	172	0	+172	open	—	05-19 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	8	$90	72	72	+0	open	—	05-18 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	5	$74	87	54	+33	open	—	05-18 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	4	$73	60	60	+0	open	—	05-18 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	3	$57	52	29	+23	open	—	05-18 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	5	$56	36	36	+0	open	—	05-18 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$55	45	45	+0	open	—	05-17 23:40
btc updown 5m 1773934500	1	$55	119	0	+119	open	—	03-19 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$52	76	31	+45	open	—	05-18 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$50	98	0	+98	open	—	05-19 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$40	33	33	+0	open	—	05-17 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$40	78	0	+78	open	—	05-18 22:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$36	21	21	+0	open	—	05-17 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	05-18 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$25	37	0	+37	Down	$-25	05-12 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$22	34	34	+0	open	—	05-18 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$20	40	0	+40	Up	+$20	05-11 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$20	35	0	+35	open	—	05-18 22:30
btc updown 5m 1772269500	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-28 09:09
us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-11 17:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 21:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xb5d083…
05-19 21:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xb4ce7a…
05-19 21:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	198	51¢	$100	0x61faa4…
05-19 21:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	170	86¢	$147	0x3057cf…
05-19 21:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0x1d98da…
05-19 21:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x6d4672…
05-19 20:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x7d0c8c…
05-19 20:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xd77669…
05-19 20:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0fd263…
05-19 20:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	177	77¢	$136	0xdde20b…
05-19 20:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	177	54¢	$96	0x484a27…
05-19 20:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	187	53¢	$100	0x373946…
05-19 20:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	208	96¢	$200	0x1912b0…
05-19 20:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x7c2a4d…
05-19 20:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0x9bb2a0…
05-19 20:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x63674d…
05-19 20:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	145	82¢	$119	0x3cdce6…
05-19 20:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x7c4a5a…
05-19 20:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4339f3…
05-19 20:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x8069dd…
05-19 20:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x58612c…
05-19 20:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x26993f…
05-19 20:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x124e2f…
05-19 20:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x91a945…
05-19 20:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x52cd21…
05-19 20:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x739fc9…
05-19 20:07:17	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$0	0x0be3ea…
05-19 20:07:03	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	No	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xe59efe…
05-19 20:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x6644aa…
05-19 20:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x0c5240…
05-19 20:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0xa3493e…
05-19 20:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x25f5f0…
05-18 23:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	34	22¢	$7	0x2804cc…
05-18 23:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x9b4d78…
05-18 23:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	18	89¢	$16	0x84d4f0…
05-18 23:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x15a1aa…
05-18 23:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	18	86¢	$15	0x06ef43…
05-18 23:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x6868b5…
05-18 23:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa6e969…
05-18 22:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xdf7599…
05-18 22:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x22e145…
05-18 22:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x58c604…
05-18 22:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0xf402a9…
05-18 22:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0xe2ef84…
05-18 22:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	43	70¢	$30	0x221915…
05-18 22:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x436e5e…
05-18 22:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0xfc3a47…
05-18 22:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb9ee09…
05-18 22:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	24	86¢	$20	0xc9566a…
05-18 22:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x24a776…
05-18 22:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0xc67365…
05-18 22:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x050466…
05-18 22:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	27	67¢	$18	0xa8e49f…
05-18 22:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x4e415e…
05-18 22:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xe7cd5a…
05-18 22:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	29	76¢	$22	0xee24a6…
05-18 22:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x804700…
05-18 22:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xbd9834…
05-18 22:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	31	87¢	$27	0xe97538…
05-18 22:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x355907…
05-18 22:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x83e58e…
05-18 22:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x3ec444…
05-18 22:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xb5815e…
05-18 22:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	39	57¢	$22	0x007824…
05-18 22:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xb61447…
05-18 22:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x5f09c7…
05-18 22:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0xacb745…
05-18 22:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x36c728…
05-18 22:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x1b400b…
05-18 22:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	31	61¢	$19	0x7052ca…
05-18 22:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xda2295…
05-18 22:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x76437e…
05-18 22:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x424da3…
05-17 23:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0x46631a…
05-17 23:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x754d74…
05-17 23:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x27a549…
05-17 23:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	33	76¢	$25	0x3194ca…
05-17 23:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x9503d5…
05-17 23:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	45	78¢	$35	0x705aad…
05-17 23:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x5ae36f…
05-17 23:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	21	96¢	$21	0x36e344…
05-17 23:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x292709…
05-17 23:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x9ba056…
05-15 11:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xde83a4…
05-15 11:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x1aa691…
05-15 10:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x70e608…
05-15 10:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfcfe21…
05-15 10:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xf952a8…
05-15 09:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xff3ed4…
05-15 09:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xddf99a…
05-14 20:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfd4e3e…
05-14 20:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xa8c0c3…
05-14 20:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6ecb73…
05-14 20:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xab65a3…
05-14 20:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x18d78c…
05-14 20:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xea7c03…
05-14 19:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc5aaf1…
05-14 19:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x034fc2…
05-14 19:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xaa36a7…
05-14 19:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x569417…