Classic-Frosting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

303

lifetime

Volume

$202.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$669

Open exposure

$4.94K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-19 15:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 100% +$0

Other

14% — —

Politics

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+5,000	$4,935	99¢	$4.9K	+$8	07-15 16:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$9.9K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	04-04 17:10
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	2	$9.0K	9,000	0	+9,000	open	—	03-15 15:56
will solana dip to 90 in january 2026	10	$7.7K	7,951	0	+7,951	open	—	01-10 21:14
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 8	1	$7.7K	7,728	0	+7,728	open	—	03-08 14:10
bitcoin above 94k on january 12	2	$7.5K	7,524	0	+7,524	open	—	01-12 15:26
will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	5	$6.8K	6,819	0	+6,819	open	—	01-20 03:32
will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	1	$6.2K	6,261	0	+6,261	open	—	02-13 10:53
will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	8	$5.8K	5,829	0	+5,829	open	—	06-12 08:04
will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	8	$5.4K	5,449	0	+5,449	open	—	03-05 15:15
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$5.1K	5,114	0	+5,114	open	—	03-18 15:44
ethereum above 2600 on february 2	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	02-02 14:49
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	04-04 17:10
will ethereum reach 2700 march 2 8	3	$5.0K	5,014	0	+5,014	open	—	03-02 15:32
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	02-13 10:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	07-15 16:52
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	1	$4.8K	4,846	0	+4,846	open	—	01-07 02:54
will solana reach 200 in january 2026	10	$4.6K	4,689	0	+4,689	open	—	01-13 22:18
will the price of solana be between 70 80 on february 22	1	$4.1K	4,091	0	+4,091	open	—	02-22 10:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	4	$3.5K	3,500	0	+3,500	open	—	04-12 17:08
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	1	$3.1K	3,082	0	+3,082	open	—	02-14 16:12
will strc hit 100 by june 30 20260618001621117	2	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	06-29 12:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	3	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	05-06 16:12
will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	2	$3.0K	2,980	0	+2,980	open	—	02-13 14:56
will hyperliquid reach 52 in february	8	$2.9K	2,953	0	+2,953	open	—	02-23 13:13
will hyperliquid reach 52 in march	4	$2.8K	2,920	0	+2,920	open	—	03-16 12:07
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	7	$2.5K	2,569	0	+2,569	open	—	05-16 07:22
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 26	4	$2.5K	2,511	0	+2,511	open	—	02-26 13:27
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	9	$2.4K	1,900	1,496	+404	open	—	06-13 18:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	2	$2.1K	2,266	0	+2,266	open	—	05-02 15:47
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on february 3	6	$2.0K	2,055	0	+2,055	open	—	02-03 16:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 15:13:09	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	250	41¢	$102	0x4f6c1f…
07-18 15:46:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xbf6f3c…
07-15 16:52:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x1b6a89…
07-15 16:44:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xbd3334…
07-15 16:44:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x88da80…
07-15 16:44:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xaa8751…
07-15 16:44:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	4,869	99¢	$4,806	0x186169…
07-09 19:21:34	bitcoin above 72k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$982	0x95548f…
07-09 19:21:11	bitcoin above 74k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	798	99¢	$791	0xe00f94…
07-09 15:07:56	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$978	0xd9412b…
07-07 20:54:47	bitcoin above 74k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xfca585…
07-07 20:54:47	bitcoin above 74k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	1,080	99¢	$1,070	0x9be81a…
07-07 20:53:37	bitcoin above 74k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xbefea1…
07-07 06:51:46	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x785624…
07-07 04:37:55	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	916	62¢	$568	0x9d4551…
07-07 00:09:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0x97d5ae…
07-05 18:18:31	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 spread home 1pt5	Norway	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xde4240…
07-04 14:54:22	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x8db5c7…
07-04 13:40:04	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x2639f4…
07-04 13:39:55	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x63afaa…
07-04 13:39:55	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x58c9c2…
07-04 13:39:55	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x30ad35…
07-04 13:39:52	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0xed1115…
07-04 13:39:52	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x65262a…
07-04 13:39:52	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x47ec1a…
07-04 13:39:52	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x403155…
07-04 13:38:29	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	729	98¢	$714	0xf54e79…
06-29 12:32:31	will strc hit 100 by june 30 20260618001621117	No	BUY	2,167	99¢	$2,154	0x0453df…
06-29 10:58:08	will strc hit 100 by june 30 20260618001621117	No	BUY	833	99¢	$828	0x0d46d1…
06-28 07:03:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xbfe35d…
06-14 21:35:52	ethereum above 1900 on june 15 2026	No	BUY	805	100¢	$801	0xb3cc3a…
06-14 21:27:58	ethereum above 1900 on june 15 2026	No	BUY	195	100¢	$194	0xabe21c…
06-13 18:46:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0x437ec7…
06-13 18:45:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	185	73¢	$135	0x96e0c9…
06-13 17:37:45	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,986	0x446763…
06-13 17:00:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	600	64¢	$384	0xe7fc13…
06-13 16:59:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	22	30¢	$7	0xc63168…
06-13 16:59:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	600	64¢	$383	0x893e0d…
06-13 16:58:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x14f236…
06-13 16:57:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	600	64¢	$383	0x180021…
06-13 16:47:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x4acd48…
06-13 16:28:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,000	73¢	$731	0x47270e…
06-12 08:04:51	will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	No	BUY	429	99¢	$426	0x557349…
06-12 07:25:51	will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	No	BUY	977	99¢	$970	0x5b838e…
06-12 07:08:07	will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	No	BUY	285	99¢	$283	0x235253…
06-12 05:18:55	will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x00a06a…
06-12 02:39:27	will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xccc704…
06-11 21:43:36	will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x1a2e6e…
06-11 21:35:16	will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	No	BUY	2,710	99¢	$2,691	0x2fb488…
06-11 17:08:10	will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$994	0x5e2032…
06-09 13:09:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xca32a6…
06-09 12:27:55	will bnb dip to 300 in june	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x5404e0…
06-08 22:35:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0x38632d…
06-06 12:53:15	ethereum above 2300 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	277	99¢	$275	0xcf6e41…
06-06 01:41:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xc0a36f…
06-05 12:19:39	will bnb dip to 300 in june	No	BUY	274	99¢	$271	0x9a1f69…
06-05 09:40:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xdee136…
06-04 15:44:45	ethereum above 2300 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xf67d47…
06-03 19:12:51	Will Solana dip to $30 in June?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$296	0x5f3841…
06-03 16:26:39	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?	No	BUY	2,000	98¢	$1,968	0xedca1f…
06-03 15:56:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x718a08…
06-03 14:25:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x6662d0…
06-03 14:11:48	Will BNB dip to $300 in June?	No	BUY	460	99¢	$455	0xeeb2cb…
06-03 14:11:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x0cdf9b…
06-03 13:23:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	659	100¢	$658	0xa54ffa…
06-01 12:10:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xcec49c…
06-01 12:07:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	78¢	$67	0x9acd73…
06-01 12:07:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	78¢	$67	0x960d18…
06-01 12:07:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	78¢	$21	0x5131b9…
05-16 07:22:50	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0xe09fa7…
05-15 21:26:26	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	No	BUY	190	99¢	$188	0xd38d3c…
05-15 09:50:17	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa189e0…
05-14 19:41:34	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x903d2e…
05-13 23:56:19	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	No	BUY	814	99¢	$806	0x993959…
05-13 17:18:31	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x35cdc4…
05-12 14:42:41	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$991	0xc7659b…
05-06 16:12:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	BUY	850	99¢	$843	0xb812ee…
05-06 15:20:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,150	99¢	$1,141	0xdcb764…
05-06 14:57:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$993	0xd6a7eb…
05-05 05:35:26	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 May 4-10?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x37fc25…
05-02 15:48:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	BUY	2,000	98¢	$1,954	0x120a85…
05-02 15:47:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	2,000	94¢	$1,880	0x204086…
05-02 15:47:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	266	93¢	$247	0x9837fd…
05-02 15:43:22	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 5?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xc64192…
05-02 15:42:56	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 7?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x076b98…
05-02 15:41:50	Will the price of Solana be above $130 on May 7?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x90343f…
04-24 15:46:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0xe47421…
04-19 16:56:42	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?	No	BUY	1,500	99¢	$1,486	0x918b3c…
04-19 04:12:46	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xb78542…
04-17 08:36:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	245	99¢	$243	0x5a6e8c…
04-17 08:33:46	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,992	0x1ed918…
04-17 08:19:10	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?	No	BUY	799	99¢	$792	0xaf400d…
04-15 14:48:38	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 15	No	BUY	584	100¢	$582	0x57f6b5…
04-14 15:29:25	will bitcoin reach 78k on april 14	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x689191…
04-14 15:24:43	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	1,338	100¢	$1,332	0x5df927…
04-12 17:08:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0x16d3ee…
04-12 16:26:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x7e8261…
04-12 15:40:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x69bf51…
04-10 17:59:25	Will Solana reach $140 in April?	No	BUY	495	99¢	$490	0xce6ea3…
04-10 17:59:19	Will Solana reach $150 in April?	No	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0x0241fa…