Classic-Frosting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$507

Unrealized P&L

-$1.35K

Hit rate

96.3%

Resolved

184

Trades

378

lifetime

Volume

$216.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$573

Open exposure

$1.80K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 09-17 16:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 96% +$1,103

Other

17% 61% -$479

Politics

2% 62% +$82

Tech

2% 100% +$20

Sports

0% 9% -$219

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	+3,000	$2,550	49¢	$1.5K	-$1,080	07-01 19:19
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	-380	-$285	82¢	$-313	-$28	09-17 16:23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+2,000	$160	1¢	$11	-$149	09-04 12:31
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+2,819	$100	0¢	$3	-$97	09-01 04:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$9.9K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$50	04-04 17:10
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	2	$9.0K	9,000	0	+9,000	No	+$47	03-15 15:56
will solana dip to 90 in january 2026	10	$7.7K	7,951	0	+7,951	No	+$208	01-10 21:14
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 8	1	$7.7K	7,728	0	+7,728	No	+$23	03-08 14:10
bitcoin above 94k on january 12	2	$7.5K	7,524	0	+7,524	No	+$30	01-12 15:26
will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	5	$6.8K	6,819	0	+6,819	No	+$62	01-20 03:32
will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	1	$6.2K	6,261	0	+6,261	No	+$31	02-13 10:53
will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	8	$5.8K	5,829	0	+5,829	No	+$40	06-12 08:04
will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	8	$5.4K	5,449	0	+5,449	No	+$60	03-05 15:15
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$5.1K	5,114	0	+5,114	No	+$31	03-18 15:44
ethereum above 2600 on february 2	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$20	02-02 14:49
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$35	04-04 17:10
will ethereum reach 2700 march 2 8	3	$5.0K	5,014	0	+5,014	No	+$50	03-02 15:32
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$50	02-13 10:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$65	07-15 16:52
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	1	$4.8K	4,846	0	+4,846	No	+$53	01-07 02:54
will solana reach 200 in january 2026	10	$4.6K	4,689	0	+4,689	No	+$108	01-13 22:18
will the price of solana be between 70 80 on february 22	1	$4.1K	4,091	0	+4,091	No	+$33	02-22 10:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	4	$3.5K	3,500	0	+3,500	No	+$38	04-12 17:08
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	1	$3.1K	3,082	0	+3,082	No	+$18	02-14 16:12
will strc hit 100 by june 30 20260618001621117	2	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$18	06-29 12:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	3	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$23	05-06 16:12
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	8	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$29	05-16 08:24
will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	2	$3.0K	2,980	0	+2,980	No	+$21	02-13 14:56
will hyperliquid reach 52 in february	8	$2.9K	2,953	0	+2,953	No	+$27	02-23 13:13
will hyperliquid reach 52 in march	4	$2.8K	2,920	0	+2,920	No	+$139	03-16 12:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	10	$2.7K	1,900	1,900	+0	Yes	-$92	06-13 18:46
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	1	$2.5K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	07-01 19:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 26	4	$2.5K	2,511	0	+2,511	No	+$18	02-26 13:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	2	$2.1K	2,266	0	+2,266	No	+$139	05-02 15:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 16:23:58	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	144	75¢	$108	0xdc5d80…
09-17 16:22:54	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	155	75¢	$117	0x4bfc44…
09-17 11:49:34	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	80	75¢	$60	0x6f09ab…
09-05 09:43:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,700	49¢	$833	0x592110…
09-04 12:31:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	8¢	$160	0x951854…
09-01 11:08:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	500	42¢	$210	0xf536c9…
09-01 05:55:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	500	43¢	$215	0x2d0db5…
09-01 04:23:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	500	44¢	$220	0x11adf8…
09-01 04:17:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,819	4¢	$100	0x664e68…
09-01 04:08:00	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0xeb846f…
08-16 17:41:22	will courtyard launch a token by december 31 2026 20260729144519160	Yes	BUY	300	22¢	$66	0xe0c927…
08-06 11:54:14	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	SELL	342	62¢	$212	0x9c40a5…
08-06 11:52:20	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	SELL	31	62¢	$20	0x0b257b…
08-06 11:51:32	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	SELL	64	62¢	$40	0xb9f234…
08-06 11:49:29	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	SELL	252	62¢	$156	0x66c669…
08-06 11:49:26	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	SELL	252	62¢	$156	0x4e4912…
08-06 11:12:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2,000	84¢	$1,680	0x80ad5f…
08-05 03:08:11	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	234	94¢	$220	0x84325f…
08-05 02:51:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	213	94¢	$200	0x1e5a2a…
08-05 02:47:17	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0x310bce…
07-20 14:41:04	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0x7e64d8…
07-19 15:13:09	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	250	41¢	$102	0x4f6c1f…
07-18 15:46:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xbf6f3c…
07-15 16:52:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x1b6a89…
07-15 16:44:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xbd3334…
07-15 16:44:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x88da80…
07-15 16:44:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xaa8751…
07-15 16:44:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	4,869	99¢	$4,806	0x186169…
07-15 08:30:05	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x3195e9…
07-15 08:12:25	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	186	8¢	$16	0x6e7d02…
07-15 08:01:10	Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xc51b27…
07-13 17:32:17	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0xa85698…
07-12 16:04:40	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xad3f82…
07-10 21:24:08	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	54	16¢	$9	0xd1ddd0…
07-10 21:17:58	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x5ef027…
07-10 21:14:44	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x21606a…
07-10 21:14:04	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	74	16¢	$12	0x328a0b…
07-10 17:37:22	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$47	0x532e6f…
07-10 15:51:07	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	150	16¢	$24	0x63a875…
07-09 19:21:34	bitcoin above 72k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$982	0x95548f…
07-09 19:21:11	bitcoin above 74k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	798	99¢	$791	0xe00f94…
07-09 15:07:56	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$978	0xd9412b…
07-08 15:10:55	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0x84c8fb…
07-08 13:41:34	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0xf9fb9e…
07-07 20:54:47	bitcoin above 74k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xfca585…
07-07 20:54:47	bitcoin above 74k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	1,080	99¢	$1,070	0x9be81a…
07-07 20:53:37	bitcoin above 74k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xbefea1…
07-07 06:51:46	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x785624…
07-07 06:49:08	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	333	9¢	$30	0x5d333d…
07-07 04:37:55	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	916	62¢	$568	0x9d4551…
07-07 00:09:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0x97d5ae…
07-06 17:48:53	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x35c831…
07-06 17:29:43	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x9e86a6…
07-06 16:39:56	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x08ec06…
07-06 16:39:23	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x60cced…
07-06 02:41:17	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	156	13¢	$20	0x7cf508…
07-05 18:18:31	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 spread home 1pt5	Norway	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xde4240…
07-04 20:55:55	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$33	0xb41fe2…
07-04 14:54:22	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x8db5c7…
07-04 13:40:04	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x2639f4…
07-04 13:39:55	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x63afaa…
07-04 13:39:55	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x58c9c2…
07-04 13:39:55	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x30ad35…
07-04 13:39:52	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0xed1115…
07-04 13:39:52	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x65262a…
07-04 13:39:52	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x47ec1a…
07-04 13:39:52	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x403155…
07-04 13:38:29	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	729	98¢	$714	0xf54e79…
07-04 13:37:23	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	351	57¢	$200	0x41c2b1…
07-02 12:06:01	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0xae5ce2…
07-01 19:19:16	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	85¢	$2,550	0xb737d4…
06-30 01:41:11	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	44	77¢	$34	0x79e11c…
06-30 01:40:56	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	56	77¢	$43	0x30e429…
06-29 15:03:13	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0xfba6a5…
06-29 12:32:31	will strc hit 100 by june 30 20260618001621117	No	BUY	2,167	99¢	$2,154	0x0453df…
06-29 10:58:08	will strc hit 100 by june 30 20260618001621117	No	BUY	833	99¢	$828	0x0d46d1…
06-28 07:03:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xbfe35d…
06-27 01:07:50	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x9f8c7e…
06-26 16:08:01	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0xfb0efa…
06-24 12:42:11	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	270	8¢	$21	0x0557ac…
06-23 14:51:35	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$39	0x9e9398…
06-23 12:49:25	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x52086a…
06-23 11:06:59	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x46db20…
06-22 19:07:28	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	70	42¢	$29	0xc9b788…
06-22 17:59:37	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	1,000	91¢	$910	0xb0954a…
06-22 11:17:28	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	450	6¢	$25	0x33583a…
06-22 11:09:47	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	480	2¢	$10	0x272f94…
06-22 11:08:43	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	417	2¢	$10	0xbb1e0f…
06-22 10:02:26	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$11	0x449a23…
06-22 09:56:10	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	980	68¢	$666	0x9d563f…
06-19 15:37:38	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	102	63¢	$64	0x350e3b…
06-19 15:37:02	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	548	63¢	$345	0xacae44…
06-16 16:58:38	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	1,000	67¢	$670	0x9cc8c3…
06-14 21:37:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 20?	No	BUY	145	97¢	$141	0xc6c351…
06-14 21:36:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 20?	No	BUY	150	97¢	$146	0x760774…
06-14 21:35:52	ethereum above 1900 on june 15 2026	No	BUY	805	100¢	$801	0xb3cc3a…
06-14 21:27:58	ethereum above 1900 on june 15 2026	No	BUY	195	100¢	$194	0xabe21c…
06-14 21:20:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 20?	No	BUY	150	97¢	$146	0x11c7bc…
06-14 21:19:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 20?	No	BUY	150	97¢	$146	0x2598b2…
06-14 14:38:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 20?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc0750d…