Fickle-Lute — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$581

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,023

lifetime

Volume

$77.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 05-12 14:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Sports

43% 88% +$522

Politics

35% 80% +$140

Other

17% 0% $-81

Pop-Culture

4% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Golden Knights vs. Ducks	2	$4.5K	2,268	2,268	+0	Ducks	+$66	05-11 06:06
Golden Knights vs. Ducks	2	$4.0K	2,098	2,098	+0	Golden Knights	+$166	05-09 03:22
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	51	$3.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	04-17 05:56
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?	4	$3.6K	1,805	1,805	+0	Yes	+$3	05-07 13:05
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	2	$3.5K	1,814	1,814	+0	Ducks	+$143	05-07 04:21
Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	2	$3.4K	1,730	1,714	+16	Athletics	+$28	05-09 22:57
Lakers vs. Thunder	5	$3.1K	1,581	1,581	+0	Thunder	+$16	05-06 02:55
will iran strike oman again in march	12	$3.1K	2,450	2,450	+0	open	—	04-05 00:04
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	7	$2.8K	1,409	1,409	+0	open	—	04-30 23:38
highest temperature in seattle on april 11 2026 53forbelow	35	$2.5K	6,390	1,378	+5,012	open	—	04-12 01:00
Canadiens vs. Lightning	2	$2.4K	1,216	1,216	+0	open	—	04-30 01:51
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	6	$2.3K	1,248	1,248	+0	open	—	04-27 23:22
Canadiens vs. Sabres	3	$2.1K	1,070	1,070	+0	Sabres	+$42	05-07 01:35
Drake Iceman sculpture Date Revealed by April 24?	2	$1.7K	859	858	+1	open	—	04-22 15:05
will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 8	8	$1.2K	3,157	0	+3,157	open	—	03-08 07:26
Ducks vs. Oilers	3	$1.2K	1,287	0	+1,287	open	—	04-29 02:55
will jon rothstein tweet this is march 81 times during march madness	4	$1.2K	626	626	+0	open	—	04-07 22:25
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	17	$1.1K	786	786	+0	open	—	04-04 05:27
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	3	$986	553	553	+0	open	—	04-22 06:03
nba atl nyk 2026 04 20 assists josh hart 0pt5	3	$917	468	468	+1	open	—	04-21 00:49
NBA Playoffs: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Total Games O/U 5.5	3	$873	485	483	+3	open	—	04-28 05:15
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 17 2026	7	$835	971	971	+0	open	—	04-17 12:36
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 8, 2026?	23	$832	1,085	271	+814	open	—	04-08 23:13
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	6	$734	3,141	0	+3,141	open	—	04-22 19:21
will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	9	$689	530	530	+0	open	—	04-02 20:11
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	16	$674	755	755	+0	open	—	03-27 21:19
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	5	$653	457	457	+0	open	—	04-14 21:10
highest temperature in seattle on april 7 2026 54 55f	3	$636	338	336	+2	open	—	04-08 04:20
highest temperature in seattle on april 9 2026 62 63f	2	$630	644	0	+644	open	—	04-09 21:17
will trump post potus this week on truth social	12	$619	400	400	+0	open	—	04-19 01:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 14:18:22	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x47e9f5…
05-11 14:20:28	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$28	0x61bf10…
05-11 06:06:41	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Ducks	SELL	2,268	100¢	$2,266	0x3e27ff…
05-11 04:08:23	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	2,268	97¢	$2,200	0x42221c…
05-11 01:11:54	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xdb1db6…
05-09 22:57:08	Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	Athletics	SELL	1,714	100¢	$1,712	0x4aafc7…
05-09 22:49:33	Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	Athletics	BUY	1,730	98¢	$1,700	0x645470…
05-09 03:22:12	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	SELL	2,098	100¢	$2,096	0x5e76bc…
05-09 02:56:29	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	2,098	92¢	$1,930	0x11a59e…
05-08 18:02:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x7ee02d…
05-08 18:01:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	13¢	$10	0x7a3f96…
05-07 13:05:52	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,805	100¢	$1,803	0x71bae7…
05-07 11:06:21	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe1c569…
05-07 11:05:56	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,003	100¢	$1,000	0x9c8fb4…
05-07 11:05:19	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	701	100¢	$700	0xf3ed30…
05-07 04:21:39	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	SELL	1,814	100¢	$1,812	0x2a2bb7…
05-07 04:04:23	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	BUY	1,814	92¢	$1,669	0xd9c0fc…
05-07 01:44:36	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xcb6d56…
05-07 01:44:22	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0xdeb938…
05-07 01:35:58	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	SELL	1,070	100¢	$1,069	0x83bd2c…
05-07 00:51:11	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	19	33¢	$6	0xb7b666…
05-07 00:39:37	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	1,025	96¢	$984	0x62f0d9…
05-07 00:38:27	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x1f80cf…
05-06 20:21:52	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	750	0¢	$1	0xce4f83…
05-06 20:21:36	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x2a4ac8…
05-06 20:17:33	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	958	0¢	$2	0x277e35…
05-06 20:17:28	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0xf768cc…
05-06 20:12:42	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	127	79¢	$100	0x1d97fb…
05-06 16:58:41	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x1aa1d0…
05-06 09:44:00	James Comey mugshot released by May 5?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x68f8a8…
05-06 09:20:58	James Comey mugshot released by May 5?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x550842…
05-06 03:27:24	James Comey mugshot released by May 5?	Yes	SELL	383	0¢	$0	0x672927…
05-06 03:26:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x9a7862…
05-06 02:55:20	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	464	100¢	$464	0x6f8f5e…
05-06 02:55:08	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x962052…
05-06 02:50:30	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0xa29a76…
05-06 02:50:30	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x7ebcb9…
05-06 02:46:22	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	1,581	99¢	$1,564	0x5c4699…
05-05 21:10:04	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xeaa13f…
05-03 02:06:30	Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 0.5	Yes	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x7840c4…
05-02 20:50:24	Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 0.5	Yes	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0xa09a37…
05-01 02:26:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	54	0¢	$0	0xad28a0…
05-01 02:22:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x77c485…
05-01 02:17:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	59	0¢	$0	0x1a5131…
05-01 02:03:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	136	0¢	$0	0x8d365e…
05-01 01:48:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x346986…
05-01 01:47:46	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	31¢	$42	0x4fbbde…
05-01 01:40:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x092560…
05-01 01:38:24	Derrick White: Points O/U 11.5	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x846171…
05-01 01:37:56	Derrick White: Points O/U 11.5	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x0c500b…
05-01 01:37:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x3f7350…
05-01 01:36:36	Derrick White: Points O/U 11.5	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x386744…
05-01 01:36:30	Derrick White: Points O/U 11.5	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x62edf5…
05-01 01:36:24	Derrick White: Points O/U 11.5	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x56069d…
05-01 01:33:54	NBA Playoffs: Pistons vs. Magic Total Games O/U 5.5	Under 5.5	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x8e3ae1…
04-30 23:38:08	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,409	100¢	$1,408	0xe83142…
04-30 08:21:30	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	721	98¢	$705	0xee082a…
04-30 08:20:48	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x7b10b7…
04-30 07:59:22	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xfda43d…
04-30 07:57:52	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x4d425d…
04-30 06:14:58	Utah vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	SELL	47	46¢	$21	0x6d98a6…
04-30 06:13:50	Utah vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xab9ca4…
04-30 03:37:56	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xec0e2f…
04-30 03:10:08	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	409	98¢	$401	0xc71ec6…
04-30 03:09:32	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	185	98¢	$182	0x270f79…
04-30 02:25:14	Penguins vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xd5cb0c…
04-30 02:25:14	Penguins vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9a127b…
04-30 02:25:14	Penguins vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x07ac78…
04-30 02:24:26	Penguins vs. Flyers	Penguins	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8f250f…
04-30 01:51:26	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	SELL	1,216	100¢	$1,215	0x9a20ec…
04-30 01:48:02	Spread: Pistons (-7.5)	Magic	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x5389d7…
04-30 01:46:40	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	BUY	1,216	99¢	$1,200	0x7014e9…
04-30 01:42:30	Spread: Pistons (-7.5)	Magic	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xae329d…
04-30 01:42:28	Spread: Pistons (-7.5)	Magic	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd9547a…
04-29 23:07:48	Magic vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x76685d…
04-29 23:01:38	NBA Playoffs: Pistons vs. Magic Total Games O/U 5.5	Under 5.5	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0xde1d37…
04-29 02:55:28	Ducks vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0x7a7864…
04-29 02:55:10	Ducks vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	780	92¢	$718	0x90a968…
04-29 02:55:08	Ducks vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	290	91¢	$264	0x3b3d71…
04-29 01:35:24	VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 0.5	Yes	SELL	209	100¢	$209	0x179308…
04-29 01:28:08	James Comey mugshot released by May 5?	Yes	BUY	129	18¢	$23	0xef459d…
04-29 01:25:02	James Comey mugshot released by May 5?	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x04faff…
04-29 01:24:40	James Comey mugshot released by May 5?	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0xf152d1…
04-29 01:23:10	76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5	Under	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0xbccf20…
04-29 01:19:48	76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5	Under	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x5aa1df…
04-28 18:19:00	VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 0.5	Yes	BUY	209	93¢	$194	0xf5fed5…
04-28 05:15:42	NBA Playoffs: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Total Games O/U 5.5	Over 5.5	SELL	483	100¢	$482	0x108355…
04-28 04:15:10	NBA Playoffs: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Total Games O/U 5.5	Over 5.5	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x9de83e…
04-28 04:05:42	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 32.5	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x046620…
04-28 03:53:26	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 32.5	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x812393…
04-27 23:30:18	NBA Playoffs: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Total Games O/U 5.5	Over 5.5	BUY	465	80¢	$372	0x2af8b7…
04-27 23:26:48	Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 0.5	Yes	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0xfe444b…
04-27 23:22:06	Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	1,173	100¢	$1,171	0xda849f…
04-27 23:16:00	Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	772	99¢	$766	0x997636…
04-27 22:46:30	Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	75	68¢	$51	0x5d16b4…
04-27 20:43:54	Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	268	82¢	$220	0x8c7606…
04-26 21:58:58	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	27	95¢	$26	0x6db3a7…
04-22 19:21:24	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	723	22¢	$159	0x8d59dc…
04-22 18:35:14	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	442	23¢	$100	0x8f5763…
04-22 17:05:14	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,042	24¢	$250	0xddc2d3…