Orange-Structure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.71K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.9%

Resolved

373

Trades

993

lifetime

Volume

$21.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 11-03 19:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 31% -$2,742

Other

0% 100% +$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 428 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 10:45 UTC	1	$448	1,034	0	+1,034	Up	-$448	02-08 10:48
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 12:15 UTC	1	$400	973	0	+973	Up	-$400	02-08 12:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	14	$390	1,510	343	+1,167	Up	+$296	11-02 12:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 11:30 UTC	1	$368	1,049	0	+1,049	Up	-$368	02-08 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	10	$289	520	145	+375	Down	+$183	11-02 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	3	$262	178	178	+0	Up	+$91	10-26 13:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 08:15 UTC	4	$251	1,242	0	+1,242	Up	+$374	02-08 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	6	$232	480	171	+308	Up	+$293	11-02 19:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 12:00 UTC	1	$229	716	0	+716	Down	-$229	02-08 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	6	$218	286	286	+0	Up	+$102	05-14 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10AM ET	3	$211	142	142	+0	Down	+$64	11-02 16:01
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 2pm et	2	$202	161	153	+8	Down	+$111	04-23 20:55
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 10:30 UTC	1	$200	521	0	+521	Up	-$200	02-08 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$193	434	103	+331	Up	-$86	04-27 08:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	7	$188	410	74	+337	Down	+$179	11-02 18:43
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	10	$184	166	151	+14	Down	+$104	11-02 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5PM ET	4	$177	542	49	+494	Up	-$126	11-02 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	7	$168	390	81	+309	Down	+$198	05-14 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$153	172	86	+86	Up	+$101	11-02 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	9	$151	255	86	+169	Up	+$105	10-27 15:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 09:15 UTC	1	$150	537	0	+537	Up	-$150	02-08 09:23
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 22:30 UTC	4	$148	369	0	+369	Up	+$168	02-07 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	4	$143	462	66	+397	Down	+$184	11-02 16:39
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 07:45 UTC	2	$142	322	319	+3	Up	-$38	02-08 07:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11AM ET	3	$139	163	82	+82	Up	+$96	10-27 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 19:35 UTC	2	$137	103	101	+1	Down	+$65	02-22 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	3	$135	188	47	+141	Down	+$100	11-03 03:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 28?	2	$133	226	226	+0	No	-$7	10-28 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	8	$129	164	106	+58	Down	+$81	11-02 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	4	$124	185	60	+125	Down	+$99	05-14 20:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 19:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	55	33¢	$18	0x0af353…
11-03 19:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	44	27¢	$12	0xf31fa1…
11-03 07:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xefe4db…
11-03 07:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x46f00b…
11-03 07:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x09471b…
11-03 07:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	63	30¢	$19	0x89f4e0…
11-03 07:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	63	30¢	$19	0xe6ff2f…
11-03 05:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xa6edae…
11-03 04:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xe91f6f…
11-03 04:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	86	22¢	$19	0xd71436…
11-03 04:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	68	28¢	$19	0x544ad9…
11-03 04:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	68	28¢	$19	0x624cde…
11-03 04:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	230	30¢	$69	0x8f3d32…
11-03 04:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	185	20¢	$37	0x8bf0c3…
11-03 04:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	76	25¢	$19	0xbcfa25…
11-03 04:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x3b4f73…
11-03 04:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	76	25¢	$19	0x29dcf0…
11-03 04:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	46	41¢	$19	0x709acf…
11-03 04:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	46	41¢	$19	0x09a2a5…
11-03 04:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x4f1c90…
11-03 04:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	42	76¢	$32	0xb3dd53…
11-03 04:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x3b2691…
11-03 04:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	28	33¢	$9	0xb0c937…
11-03 04:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	63	30¢	$19	0xd4dabb…
11-03 04:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	63	30¢	$19	0xa60328…
11-03 04:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	160	43¢	$69	0x43880f…
11-03 04:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	194	36¢	$69	0xbc3d04…
11-03 03:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x0edf47…
11-03 03:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	41	46¢	$19	0x6c1a0c…
11-03 03:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	147	47¢	$69	0x4993e2…
11-03 03:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	32	28¢	$9	0x6994c2…
11-03 03:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	22	40¢	$9	0x8114ac…
11-03 03:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0x49ef13…
11-03 03:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0xe68ed9…
11-03 03:52:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	234	4¢	$9	0x955fde…
11-03 03:47:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	112	8¢	$9	0xb3006b…
11-03 03:47:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xa47f28…
11-03 03:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	44	25¢	$11	0xc177f1…
11-03 03:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xc5c284…
11-03 03:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	218	43¢	$94	0xa31b3b…
11-03 03:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0x77e83e…
11-03 03:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd2c5e6…
11-03 03:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x134ac1…
11-02 22:56:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	168	14¢	$24	0x6f4636…
11-02 22:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	49	52¢	$25	0x603bed…
11-02 22:23:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	353	15¢	$53	0x7f5138…
11-02 22:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	452	25¢	$113	0x27b22b…
11-02 22:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	45	42¢	$19	0xe72e3b…
11-02 22:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	45	42¢	$19	0xbafca8…
11-02 22:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	63	30¢	$19	0xbcfa94…
11-02 22:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	63	30¢	$19	0xc33fef…
11-02 22:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x61f37e…
11-02 22:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0x2dda5c…
11-02 22:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	38	32¢	$12	0xd86a34…
11-02 22:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	38	32¢	$12	0x4c8106…
11-02 22:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	38	32¢	$12	0x3c7496…
11-02 22:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	38	32¢	$12	0x3460d4…
11-02 22:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	38	32¢	$12	0xc3fd85…
11-02 22:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x9a94a3…
11-02 21:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0x2522ee…
11-02 21:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x64fb61…
11-02 21:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x37642f…
11-02 21:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x38a4b8…
11-02 21:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x0e530b…
11-02 21:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x9953fd…
11-02 21:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	53	43¢	$23	0x924fef…
11-02 21:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x480d71…
11-02 21:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	66	35¢	$23	0xaae5df…
11-02 21:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	64	36¢	$23	0x9cdd64…
11-02 21:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	192	36¢	$69	0x2fc95b…
11-02 21:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x769ce9…
11-02 21:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xbcf9f2…
11-02 21:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x92d742…
11-02 21:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x3c1f09…
11-02 21:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x2db4b4…
11-02 21:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	215	32¢	$69	0xa7da8e…
11-02 21:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x1b236e…
11-02 21:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x604c28…
11-02 21:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x561e71…
11-02 21:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	37	99¢	$36	0x2c44f7…
11-02 21:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xcc40d4…
11-02 21:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x5f90c1…
11-02 21:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	61	38¢	$23	0x6135b0…
11-02 21:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	61	38¢	$23	0x8a798f…
11-02 21:20:22	Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	SELL	97	67¢	$65	0xce4140…
11-02 21:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	51	45¢	$23	0x575b96…
11-02 21:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	208	33¢	$69	0xacd8d7…
11-02 21:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xfdbe4e…
11-02 21:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xe736ce…
11-02 21:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x9f5f35…
11-02 21:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x8bae27…
11-02 21:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x098159…
11-02 21:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x99631e…
11-02 21:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x74a2c9…
11-02 21:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x4deb0f…
11-02 21:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	192	36¢	$69	0x2cf0d5…
11-02 20:56:48	Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0x2210da…
11-02 20:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x6adcf1…
11-02 20:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc303e7…
11-02 20:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x95fc00…