Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

98.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$480

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

$11

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 08-21 04:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

86% 100% +$37

Other

12% 100% +$8

Sports

1% 0% -$28

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	-29	-$8	18¢	$-5	+$3	05-18 22:27
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	-5	-$3	97¢	$-5	-$1	05-18 22:25
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+41	$17	3¢	$1	-$16	08-21 04:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$212	134	134	+0	No	+$11	03-24 23:18
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$99	59	59	+0	Yes	+$19	04-06 03:17
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$86	46	46	+0	No	+$6	04-01 05:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$38	25	25	+0	No	+$8	04-05 03:37
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	2	$17	41	0	+41	open	—	08-21 04:00
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	1	$11	13	0	+13	No	+$2	05-18 22:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$8	0	29	-29	open	—	05-18 22:27
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$7	0	35	-35	Yes	-$28	07-12 02:00
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$3	0	5	-5	open	—	05-18 22:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 04:00:54	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xaa51c9…
07-12 02:00:35	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	35	20¢	$7	0x16711c…
06-02 16:23:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	55¢	$12	0x5e3c4b…
05-18 22:32:29	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0x8eb47a…
05-18 22:27:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	29	27¢	$8	0xebea48…
05-18 22:25:40	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x250e5d…
04-06 03:17:33	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x285857…
04-05 03:37:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	25	91¢	$23	0x88ebcd…
04-02 02:29:21	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0xe38b88…
04-01 05:13:15	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x0fb8da…
03-24 23:49:03	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	46	88¢	$40	0xb9718b…
03-24 23:31:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xc91161…
03-24 23:18:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	134	83¢	$111	0x2204f9…
03-12 23:26:29	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0x4c2aab…