Twin-Nudge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.6%

Resolved

Trades

4,722

lifetime

Volume

$119.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 05-06 09:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 639 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1774465200	2	$922	1,250	+1,250	open	—	03-25 19:11
eth updown 15m 1774046700	45	$917	1,500	+1,500	open	—	03-20 22:57
eth updown 15m 1774064700	4	$774	1,184	+1,184	open	—	03-21 03:53
eth updown 15m 1774420200	12	$736	1,445	+1,445	open	—	03-25 06:43
eth updown 15m 1774293300	4	$693	1,171	+1,171	open	—	03-23 19:28
eth updown 15m 1774204200	37	$678	1,377	+1,377	open	—	03-22 18:35
btc updown 15m 1774093500	2	$673	833	+833	open	—	03-21 11:57
eth updown 15m 1774359000	2	$664	833	+833	open	—	03-24 13:39
btc updown 15m 1774431900	2	$631	833	+833	open	—	03-25 09:57
eth updown 15m 1774159200	48	$620	1,333	+1,333	open	—	03-22 06:12
eth updown 15m 1774183500	4	$615	1,003	+1,003	open	—	03-22 12:58
eth updown 15m 1774193400	14	$605	1,208	+1,208	open	—	03-22 15:40
eth updown 15m 1773990000	16	$605	1,250	+1,250	open	—	03-20 07:07
eth updown 15m 1774271700	29	$598	1,122	+1,122	open	—	03-23 13:27
eth updown 15m 1774297800	28	$597	1,250	+1,250	open	—	03-23 20:42
eth updown 15m 1774242900	27	$595	1,250	+1,250	open	—	03-23 05:24
eth updown 15m 1774340100	17	$593	1,250	+1,250	open	—	03-24 08:20
eth updown 15m 1774154700	26	$563	1,200	+1,200	open	—	03-22 04:57
eth updown 15m 1773951300	6	$562	967	+967	open	—	03-19 20:27
eth updown 15m 1774062000	2	$553	833	+833	open	—	03-21 03:07
eth updown 15m 1774299600	32	$545	1,150	+1,150	open	—	03-23 21:10
eth updown 15m 1773993600	4	$531	851	+851	open	—	03-20 08:06
eth updown 15m 1774175400	31	$530	1,042	+1,042	open	—	03-22 10:40
eth updown 15m 1773727200	16	$521	833	+833	open	—	03-17 06:12
eth updown 15m 1774582200	4	$519	959	+959	open	—	03-27 03:43
eth updown 15m 1774013400	17	$477	1,000	+1,000	open	—	03-20 13:35
eth updown 15m 1774044900	33	$476	1,000	+1,000	open	—	03-20 22:26
btc updown 15m 1774096200	2	$472	714	+714	open	—	03-21 12:39
eth updown 15m 1774039500	27	$471	1,000	+1,000	open	—	03-20 20:51
eth updown 15m 1774358100	14	$470	1,000	+1,000	open	—	03-24 13:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 09:14:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xb7a23a…
05-06 09:11:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xa6b9da…
05-06 09:10:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xd9375d…
05-06 08:29:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x9f7575…
05-06 08:25:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x647f86…
05-06 08:24:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0xfa2cf0…
05-06 08:23:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xa02e99…
05-06 07:57:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x637a50…
05-06 07:53:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	79¢	$12	0x889a83…
05-06 07:41:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0x31ba9b…
05-06 07:41:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x14a297…
05-06 07:39:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	84¢	$28	0x760e60…
05-06 07:25:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0xf4610e…
05-06 07:25:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xb1e6d2…
05-06 07:25:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x0e4071…
05-06 07:25:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x030188…
05-06 07:23:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x25df37…
05-06 06:59:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xab7d9e…
05-06 06:58:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$9	0x3f8434…
05-06 06:53:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	69¢	$9	0xeff570…
05-06 06:28:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x14c135…
05-06 06:28:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xa9cddf…
05-06 06:27:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	55	59¢	$32	0xe56fcb…
05-06 06:22:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	83¢	$23	0xf9411e…
05-06 06:10:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x70650a…
05-06 06:10:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x215968…
05-06 06:10:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd02f31…
05-06 06:10:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x062ae0…
05-06 06:07:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	81¢	$19	0x3e1568…
05-06 05:56:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x861cee…
05-06 05:56:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x8ff2de…
05-06 05:56:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x6fb7d6…
05-06 05:56:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x63c580…
05-06 05:53:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	77¢	$14	0x7d18cf…
05-06 05:27:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x9640c1…
05-06 05:25:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x91a6b8…
05-06 05:11:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x83bdd7…
05-06 05:08:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0xeec2cc…
05-06 03:44:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	15¢	$3	0xc2c8a1…
05-06 03:40:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x264cce…
05-06 03:38:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	82¢	$22	0x351d48…
05-06 03:14:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0x955c45…
05-06 03:09:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	64	62¢	$40	0x6defb3…
05-06 03:07:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x0dfae4…
05-06 02:55:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0xc63a1b…
05-06 02:54:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	82¢	$22	0x1088a2…
05-06 02:42:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x25d45e…
05-06 02:41:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x876217…
05-06 02:38:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x82ad09…
05-06 02:13:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x7ada78…
05-06 02:13:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xa6af71…
05-06 02:13:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x9dd4ba…
05-06 02:09:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	84¢	$28	0x98ca35…
05-06 00:54:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$21	0x565e3a…
05-06 00:54:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x9ca396…
05-06 00:53:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	79¢	$17	0x623428…
05-05 23:43:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0x80cda6…
05-05 23:42:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	55¢	$18	0x3ef1fa…
05-05 23:39:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x16dee9…
03-31 04:10:29	eth updown 15m 1774929600	Down	BUY	232	62¢	$144	0xbb95c4…
03-31 04:09:03	eth updown 15m 1774929600	Up	BUY	232	80¢	$185	0xd8b3b1…
03-31 04:06:45	eth updown 15m 1774929600	Up	BUY	62	58¢	$36	0x5b3761…
03-31 04:03:39	eth updown 15m 1774929600	Down	BUY	62	70¢	$44	0xf14c72…
03-31 03:53:35	eth updown 15m 1774928700	Down	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x03f362…
03-31 03:53:33	eth updown 15m 1774928700	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x05d732…
03-31 03:53:29	eth updown 15m 1774928700	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xbc2e10…
03-31 03:53:09	eth updown 15m 1774928700	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x7395cf…
03-31 03:53:07	eth updown 15m 1774928700	Down	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x35e851…
03-31 03:53:05	eth updown 15m 1774928700	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xd48f73…
03-31 03:53:05	eth updown 15m 1774928700	Down	BUY	52	5¢	$3	0x663c69…
03-31 03:47:15	eth updown 15m 1774928700	Up	BUY	94	77¢	$73	0x3980c5…
03-31 02:51:15	eth updown 15m 1774925100	Up	BUY	156	59¢	$92	0x345102…
03-31 02:49:55	eth updown 15m 1774925100	Down	BUY	156	74¢	$115	0x47d813…
03-31 02:47:39	eth updown 15m 1774925100	Up	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0x805f41…
03-31 02:47:01	eth updown 15m 1774925100	Down	BUY	60	69¢	$41	0x9fb24b…
03-31 02:39:03	eth updown 15m 1774924200	Up	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x641f15…
03-31 02:39:01	eth updown 15m 1774924200	Up	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0xc5b769…
03-31 02:39:01	eth updown 15m 1774924200	Up	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x2d08e4…
03-31 02:39:01	eth updown 15m 1774924200	Up	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x00f792…
03-31 02:38:53	eth updown 15m 1774924200	Up	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x2b9cb1…
03-31 02:38:51	eth updown 15m 1774924200	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xe6a64d…
03-31 02:35:23	eth updown 15m 1774924200	Down	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xea2c10…
03-31 02:25:03	eth updown 15m 1774923300	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xbc1cdc…
03-31 02:25:03	eth updown 15m 1774923300	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa94f93…
03-31 02:25:03	eth updown 15m 1774923300	Down	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x8751a7…
03-31 02:25:03	eth updown 15m 1774923300	Down	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x6d618d…
03-31 02:25:03	eth updown 15m 1774923300	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x3e63a3…
03-31 02:25:03	eth updown 15m 1774923300	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x3588ad…
03-31 02:25:03	eth updown 15m 1774923300	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2bfe03…
03-31 02:25:01	eth updown 15m 1774923300	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xfc8900…
03-31 02:25:01	eth updown 15m 1774923300	Down	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x31e88c…
03-31 02:25:01	eth updown 15m 1774923300	Down	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x223cf9…
03-31 02:21:07	eth updown 15m 1774923300	Up	BUY	79	75¢	$59	0xa979b2…
03-31 00:20:03	eth updown 15m 1774916100	Up	BUY	71	61¢	$43	0xf59b60…
03-31 00:18:59	eth updown 15m 1774916100	Down	BUY	71	73¢	$52	0x2d9229…
03-31 00:09:05	eth updown 15m 1774915200	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x753ef8…
03-31 00:09:03	eth updown 15m 1774915200	Up	BUY	32	5¢	$2	0xe98b8a…
03-31 00:09:03	eth updown 15m 1774915200	Up	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x591e65…
03-31 00:08:37	eth updown 15m 1774915200	Up	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x579c58…
03-31 00:04:37	eth updown 15m 1774915200	Down	BUY	65	71¢	$46	0x84f554…